Ocean Center · Neutral site
Closing line
GMU -7.5✓ GMU covered by 15.5
GMU -7.5✓ GMU covered by 15.5Closing total142.5Over by 18.5
| GMU | This season | OHIO |
|---|---|---|
| 4-0 | Record | 1-4 |
| 2-2 | ATS | 2-3 |
| 1-3 | O/U | 3-2 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: GMU 78–71 OHIO · ✓ GMU (74%) won
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| GMU | 52 | 40 | 92 |
| OHIO | 33 | 36 | 69 |
1st half: GMU 52, OHIO 33 (GMU by 19). The model had GMU by 4.7 and a total of 69.8 (actual 85).
Team stats
| GMU | OHIO | |
|---|---|---|
| 32-69 46% | Field goals | 24-58 41% |
| 14-31 45% | 3-pointers | 8-26 31% |
| 14-20 70% | Free throws | 13-20 65% |
| 39 16 off | Rebounds | 36 13 off |
| 19 | Assists | 12 |
| 7 | Steals | 3 |
| 1 | Blocks | 3 |
| 6 | Turnovers | 12 |
| 14 | Fouls | 17 |
| 34 | Points in paint | 24 |
| 18 | Fast-break points | 3 |
Players
| GMU | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kory Mincy G | 30 | 22 | 2 | 4 | 6-12 | 6-11 |
| Jahari Long G | 28 | 9 | 3 | 8 | 3-6 | 3-5 |
| Riley Allenspach F | 23 | 14 | 8 | 0 | 6-13 | 1-3 |
| Malik Presley G | 20 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 1-3 | 0-1 |
| Dola Adebayo F | 17 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 2-8 | 0-1 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Masai Troutman G | 24 | 18 | 5 | 2 | 7-10 | 4-4 |
| Fatt Hill G | 20 | 13 | 9 | 1 | 5-8 | 0-2 |
| Nick Ellington F | 14 | 7 | 4 | 0 | 2-4 | 0-0 |
| Emmanuel Kanga F | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| Devin Booker G | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
| Stas Sivka F | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-2 | 0-2 |
| Ben Woodward G | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
| T.J. Prosise G | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Isaiah Skinn, Ryan-Preston Mendy, Brayden O'Connor
| OHIO | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jackson Paveletzke G | 29 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 3-7 | 1-3 |
| Aidan Hadaway F | 26 | 16 | 5 | 1 | 5-13 | 3-8 |
| Elijah Elliott G | 23 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 2-7 | 1-3 |
| Dior Conners G | 18 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2-6 | 0-3 |
| Javan Simmons F | 17 | 12 | 3 | 0 | 3-5 | 0-1 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Ajay Sheldon G | 21 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 3-5 | 2-3 |
| JJ Kelly G | 19 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| Jalen Breath F | 19 | 6 | 6 | 1 | 2-4 | 0-0 |
| Ayden Evans F | 15 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2-5 | 0-1 |
| Jesse Burris G | 8 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 1-4 | 1-3 |
| Kiir Kuany F | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
| Jordan Fisher F | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Chase Boals, Zay Mosley, Carter Reese
Loading the game…
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenGMU -6.5
1 → GMU
CloseGMU -7.5
1 pt toward GMU
Total
Open145.5
▼ 3
Close142.5
Down 3 since the open
Moneyline
GMU -340 · OHIO +270
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened GMU -6.5 · closed GMU -7.5 · moved 1 toward GMUmodel GMU -7.5 matches the line
model GMU -7.5 = line ✓
Opened 145.5 · closed 142.5 · moved 3 downmodel 149
model 149
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Model vs market
| Market | Model | Model edge | Result | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | GMU -7.5 | GMU -7.5 | — | GMU covered |
| Total | 142.5 | 149.1 | Over 6.6 | W Over |
| Projected score | — | GMU 78.3 · OHIO 70.8 |
1st-half model
| Model | Actual | |
|---|---|---|
| 1H spread | GMU -4.7 | GMU -19.0 |
| 1H total | 69.8 | 85 |
| 1H projected score | GMU 37.3 · OHIO 32.6 | GMU 52 · OHIO 33 |
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| GMUlast 4 | 4-0 100% | 2-2 50% | 1-3 25% |
| OHIOlast 5 | 1-4 20% | 2-3 40% | 3-2 60% |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
George Mason
4 games played
Straight up
4-0
100% wins
Against the spread
2-2
50% covers · avg +1 pts vs the line
Over / Under
1-3
25% overs · avg −6.3 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vs
WOF
WOFW 70-46
+9.5
7
vs
WIN
WINW 96-90
−3.5
15
vs
UNH
UNHW 61-44
−7.5
18
vs
JAX
JAXW 79-57
+5.5
covered 2didn’t cover 2avg +1 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsWOF
WOFW 70-46
−24.5
7
vsWIN
WINW 96-90
+39.5
15
vsUNH
UNHW 61-44
−39.5
18
vsJAX
JAXW 79-57
−0.5
over 1under 3avg −6.3 ptslonger = bigger margin
Ohio
5 games played
Straight up
1-4
20% wins
Against the spread
2-3
40% covers · avg −4.1 pts vs the line
Over / Under
3-2
60% overs · avg +0.5 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vs
ARST
ARSTL 85-89
−7.5
6
vs
ILST
ILSTW 72-68
+2.5
11
@
SMC
SMCL 60-90
−12.5
15
@
LOU
LOUL 81-106
+6.5
19
vs
BCU
BCUL 73-76
−9.5
covered 2didn’t cover 3avg −4.1 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsARST
ARSTL 85-89
+14.5
6
vsILST
ILSTW 72-68
−21.5
11
@SMC
SMCL 60-90
+5.5
15
@LOU
LOUL 81-106
+12.5
19
vsBCU
BCUL 73-76
−8.5
over 3under 2avg +0.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
George Mason
4-0 overall · 0-0 in conference · Atlantic 10 Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs Jacksonville79–57
- Wvs New Hampshire61–44
- Wvs Winthrop96–90
- Wvs Wofford70–46
6 days since their last game.
Ohio
1-4 overall · 0-0 in conference · Mid-American Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Lvs Bethune73–76
- L@ Louisville81–106
- L@ Saint Mary's60–90
- Wvs Illinois St72–68
- Lvs Arkansas St85–89
5 days since their last game.