EagleBank Arena · at George Mason
Closing line
GMU -24.5✓ UNH covered by 7.5
GMU -24.5✓ UNH covered by 7.5Closing total144.5Under by 39.5
 UNH | This season | GMU |
|---|---|---|
| 0-2 | Record | 2-0 |
| 1-1 | ATS | 1-1 |
| 1-1 | O/U | 1-1 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: UNH 60–86 GMU · ✓ GMU (99%) won
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| UNH | 25 | 19 | 44 |
| GMU | 29 | 32 | 61 |
1st half: UNH 25, GMU 29 (GMU by 4). The model had GMU by 15.5 and a total of 68.6 (actual 54).
Team stats
| UNH | GMU | |
|---|---|---|
| 16-51 31% | Field goals | 19-54 35% |
| 4-18 22% | 3-pointers | 2-20 10% |
| 8-9 89% | Free throws | 21-27 78% |
| 30 6 off | Rebounds | 44 14 off |
| 8 | Assists | 13 |
| 8 | Steals | 11 |
| 3 | Blocks | 6 |
| 18 | Turnovers | 12 |
| 20 | Fouls | 13 |
| 22 | Points in paint | 34 |
| 2 | Fast-break points | 3 |
Players
| UNH | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jack Graham G | 30 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 3-7 | 2-4 |
| R.J. Kennedy G | 30 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 1-9 | 0-3 |
| Davide Poser F | 27 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 2-7 | 1-6 |
| Belal El Shakery F | 22 | 12 | 8 | 1 | 5-11 | 0-2 |
| John Squire F | 21 | 4 | 6 | 1 | 2-4 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Tyler Bike G | 28 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 1-2 | 1-2 |
| Comeh Emuobor F | 15 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2-7 | 0-1 |
| Giannos Xanthopoulos C | 13 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-3 | 0-0 |
| Jon O'Neill F | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Dylan Saunders F | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Nick Sanford G | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| Antoni Siewruk G | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Myles Blackley G | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: KiJan Robinson
| GMU | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kory Mincy G | 34 | 9 | 10 | 2 | 2-8 | 0-3 |
| Jahari Long G | 33 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1-4 | 0-2 |
| Riley Allenspach F | 25 | 13 | 11 | 1 | 4-10 | 0-2 |
| Malik Presley G | 25 | 9 | 3 | 2 | 3-5 | 1-2 |
| Dola Adebayo F | 22 | 14 | 8 | 2 | 6-12 | 1-4 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Masai Troutman G | 26 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 0-3 | 0-2 |
| Emmanuel Kanga F | 13 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Devin Booker G | 8 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1-5 | 0-4 |
| Nick Ellington F | 8 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2-5 | 0-0 |
| Stas Sivka F | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
| Ben Woodward G | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| T.J. Prosise G | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Fatt Hill, Isaiah Skinn, Ryan-Preston Mendy, Brayden O'Connor
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Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketGMU -24.5
ModelGMU -25.8
Model edgeGMU +1.3
L UNH covered
Total
Market144.5
Model146.4
Model edgeOver 1.9
L Under
Projected score
UNH 60.3 · GMU 86.1
UNH 44 · GMU 61
Win probability
GMU 99%
1st half
Spread
GMU -15.5
GMU -4.0
Total
68.6
54 points
Projected score
UNH 26.6 · GMU 42
UNH 25 · GMU 29
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenGMU -22.5
2 → GMU
CloseGMU -24.5
2 pts toward GMU
Total
Open146.5
▼ 2
Close144.5
Down 2 since the open
Moneyline
UNH +1800 · GMU -6000
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened GMU -22.5 · closed GMU -24.5 · moved 2 toward GMUmodel GMU -26
model GMU -26
Opened 146.5 · closed 144.5 · moved 2 downmodel 146.5
model 146.5
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| UNHlast 2 | 0-2 0% | 1-1 50% | 1-1 50% |
| GMUlast 2 | 2-0 100% | 1-1 50% | 1-1 50% |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
New Hampshire
2 games played
Straight up
0-2
0% wins
Against the spread
1-1
50% covers · avg −8 pts vs the line
Over / Under
1-1
50% overs · avg −3.5 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
@
CLEM
CLEML 38-88
−20.5
9
@
HARV
HARVL 75-86
+4.5
covered 1didn’t cover 1avg −8 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
@CLEM
CLEML 38-88
−20.5
9
@HARV
HARVL 75-86
+13.5
over 1under 1avg −3.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
George Mason
2 games played
Straight up
2-0
100% wins
Against the spread
1-1
50% covers · avg +3 pts vs the line
Over / Under
1-1
50% overs · avg +7.5 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vs
WOF
WOFW 70-46
+9.5
7
vs
WIN
WINW 96-90
−3.5
covered 1didn’t cover 1avg +3 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsWOF
WOFW 70-46
−24.5
7
vsWIN
WINW 96-90
+39.5
over 1under 1avg +7.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
New Hampshire
0-2 overall · 0-0 in conference · America East Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- L@ Harvard75–86
- L@ Clemson38–88
6 days since their last game.
George Mason
2-0 overall · 0-0 in conference · Atlantic 10 Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs Winthrop96–90
- Wvs Wofford70–46
A week or more of rest.