Bethune-Cookman Wildcats at Ohio Bobcats: Model Line and Edge

Wed, Nov 19, 7:00 PM ETConvocation Center (OH) · at Ohio

#202BCUBethune76▲ winner

Final

#128OHIOOhio73final

Closing lineOHIO -6.5✓ BCU covered by 9.5

Closing total157.5Under by 8.5

Season records: Bethune and Ohio
BCU	This season	OHIO
0-3	Record	1-3
2-1	ATS	2-2
3-0	O/U	3-1

ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders

Model before tip-off: BCU 79–84 OHIO · ✗ OHIO (68%) lost

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Box score

Score by half

	1H	2H	T
BCU	37	39	76
OHIO	29	44	73

1st half: BCU 37, OHIO 29 (BCU by 8). The model had OHIO by 3.0 and a total of 76.3 (actual 66).

Team stats

BCU		OHIO
30-57 53%	Field goals	26-60 43%
8-15 53%	3-pointers	2-17 12%
8-14 57%	Free throws	19-28 68%
32 5 off	Rebounds	38 12 off
8	Assists	10
4	Steals	3
2	Blocks	1
8	Turnovers	7
23	Fouls	14
34	Points in paint	44
11	Fast-break points	4

Players

BCU	MIN	PTS	REB	AST	FG	3P
Quentin Heady F	35	12	6	0	6-10	0-0
Jakobi Heady G	35	20	4	3	7-11	2-4
Arterio Morris G	34	17	4	3	7-13	2-3
Jordan Johnson G	23	15	2	0	5-10	4-6
Daniel Perez-Rouzan F	22	10	3	1	4-9	0-1
Bench
Seneca Willoughby G	17	0	0	0	0-1	0-0
Ariel Bland F	15	0	4	0	0-0	0-0
Rickey Mitchell Jr. G	12	0	4	1	0-1	0-1
David Onanina C	6	2	1	0	1-2	0-0

Did not play: Dailon Minor, Trayvon Barbary, William Gonzalez, Reggie Ward Jr., Tyler Andrews, Doctor Bradley, Simeon Womack

OHIO	MIN	PTS	REB	AST	FG	3P
Jackson Paveletzke G	39	28	1	5	10-15	2-6
Aidan Hadaway F	34	13	11	2	6-13	0-2
Javan Simmons F	32	20	10	1	6-10	0-1
Elijah Elliott G	26	3	5	0	1-8	0-2
Ajay Sheldon G	18	2	2	1	1-3	0-2
Bench
JJ Kelly G	25	2	3	1	1-3	0-0
Dior Conners G	11	3	1	0	0-4	0-3
Ayden Evans F	8	0	1	0	0-2	0-1
Kiir Kuany F	6	2	1	0	1-2	0-0

Did not play: Zay Mosley, Carter Reese, Jordan Fisher, Jesse Burris, Chase Boals, Jalen Breath

Model vs market

	Market	Model	Model edge	Result
Spread	OHIO -6.5	OHIO -5.3	BCU +1.3	W BCU covered
Total	157.5	162.9	Over 5.4	L Under
Projected score	—	BCU 78.8 · OHIO 84.1

1st-half model

1st-half slate ›

	Model	Actual
1H spread	OHIO -3.0	BCU -8.0
1H total	76.3	66
1H projected score	BCU 36.7 · OHIO 39.7	BCU 37 · OHIO 29

The 1st-half model is fitted from the full-game model and past halves. ESPN has no 1st-half lines for college games, so there is no market to compare it with.

ATS

2025-26, records before tip-off

	Season	Cover	Venue	Role
BCU WLW	2-1	67%	2-1	2-1
OHIO LWLW	2-2	50%	1-1	1-1

Venue/role: BCU away, as underdog; OHIO home, as favorite. Squares: last 5 games ATS (W covered, L didn’t), oldest first.

Totals

Over/under before tip-off

	O-U	Over %	SU
BCU OOO	3-0	100%	0-3
OHIO OUOO	3-1	75%	1-3

Squares: last 5 games (O over, U under), oldest first. Tap for the score and line.

Last 10 games

2025-26, before tip-off

	Straight up	Spread	Over / under
BCUlast 3	0-3 0%	2-1 67%	3-0 100%
OHIOlast 4	1-3 25%	2-2 50%	3-1 75%

Wins-losses (pushes last). Spread and over / under skip games without a line.

ATS History · 2025-26

WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total

Bethune

3 games played

Straight up

0-3

0% wins

Against the spread

2-1

67% covers · avg +2.8 pts vs the line

Over / Under

3-0

100% overs · avg +21.2 pts vs the total

Straight up

0-30%

L L L

3 straight losses0 of 3 won

Against the spread

2-167%

W L W

2 of 3 coveredno streak

Over / Under

3-0100%

O O O

3 straight overs3 of 3 over

Game by game: lines, results and totals

TableATSO/U

Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total

Date	Opp	Result	Line	ATS	Total	O/U
Nov 3	@AUB	L 90-95	+24.5	W +19.5	153.5	O 185
Nov 6	@MIA	L 61-101	+16.5	L −23.5	154.5	O 162
Nov 15	@DAY	L 82-91	+21.5	W +12.5	148.5	O 173

Day

Opp

Result

MissedCovered

Margin

AUB

L 90-95

+19.5

MIA

L 61-101

−23.5

DAY

L 82-91

+12.5

covered 2didn’t cover 1avg +2.8 ptslonger = bigger margin

Day

Opp

Result

UnderOver

Margin

AUB

L 90-95

+31.5

MIA

L 61-101

+7.5

DAY

L 82-91

+24.5

over 3under 0avg +21.2 ptslonger = bigger margin

Ohio

4 games played

Straight up

1-3

25% wins

Against the spread

2-2

50% covers · avg −2.8 pts vs the line

Over / Under

3-1

75% overs · avg +2.8 pts vs the total

Straight up

1-325%

L W L L

2 straight losses1 of last 4 won

Against the spread

2-250%

L W L W

2 of last 4 coveredno streak

Over / Under

3-175%

O U O O

2 straight overs3 of last 4 over

Game by game: lines, results and totals

TableATSO/U

Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total

Date	Opp	Result	Line	ATS	Total	O/U
Nov 3	vsARST	L 85-89	-3.5	L −7.5	159.5	O 174
Nov 6	vsILST	W 72-68	-1.5	W +2.5	161.5	U 140
Nov 11	@SMC	L 60-90	+17.5	L −12.5	144.5	O 150
Nov 15	@LOU	L 81-106	+31.5	W +6.5	174.5	O 187

Day

Opp

Result

MissedCovered

Margin

ARST

L 85-89

−7.5

ILST

W 72-68

+2.5

SMC

L 60-90

−12.5

LOU

L 81-106

+6.5

covered 2didn’t cover 2avg −2.8 ptslonger = bigger margin

Day

Opp

Result

UnderOver

Margin

ARST

L 85-89

+14.5

ILST

W 72-68

−21.5

SMC

L 60-90

+5.5

LOU

L 81-106

+12.5

over 3under 1avg +2.8 ptslonger = bigger margin

Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.

Bethune-Cookman Wildcats at Ohio Bobcats

Box score

Team stats

Players

Market

Model vs market

1st-half model

ATS

Totals

Last 10 games

ATS History · 2025-26

Bethune

Ohio

Bethune

Ohio