Madison Square Garden · Neutral site
Closing line
DUKE -9.5✓ TTU covered by 10.5
DUKE -9.5✓ TTU covered by 10.5Closing total152.5Over by 10.5
 TTU | This season | DUKE |
|---|---|---|
| 8-3 | Record | 11-0 |
| 3-8 | ATS | 7-4 |
| 5-6 | O/U | 2-9 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: TTU 71–79 DUKE · ✗ DUKE (75%) lost
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| TTU | 36 | 46 | 82 |
| DUKE | 46 | 35 | 81 |
1st half: TTU 36, DUKE 46 (DUKE by 10). The model had DUKE by 4.5 and a total of 70.5 (actual 82).
Team stats
| TTU | DUKE | |
|---|---|---|
| 32-58 55% | Field goals | 27-52 52% |
| 7-22 32% | 3-pointers | 10-27 37% |
| 11-17 65% | Free throws | 17-29 59% |
| 30 7 off | Rebounds | 29 6 off |
| 9 | Assists | 15 |
| 7 | Steals | 8 |
| 0 | Blocks | 2 |
| 11 | Turnovers | 11 |
| 24 | Fouls | 16 |
| 38 | Points in paint | 34 |
| 10 | Fast-break points | 9 |
Players
| TTU | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Donovan Atwell G | 40 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 1-3 | 1-3 |
| Christian Anderson G | 40 | 27 | 3 | 5 | 9-14 | 5-9 |
| JT Toppin F | 33 | 19 | 10 | 0 | 8-13 | 0-1 |
| LeJuan Watts G | 27 | 20 | 6 | 3 | 10-17 | 0-4 |
| Tyeree Bryan G | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Jaylen Petty G | 31 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2-7 | 1-3 |
| Nolan Groves G | 13 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-2 | 0-2 |
| Leon Horner G | 13 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 2-2 | 0-0 |
Did not play: LaTrell Hoover, Marial Akuentok, Jazz Henderson Jr., Jack Francis, Josiah Moseley, Luke Bamgboye
| DUKE | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cameron Boozer F | 36 | 23 | 8 | 7 | 7-11 | 0-2 |
| Isaiah Evans G | 30 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 1-4 | 0-2 |
| Caleb Foster G | 27 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 3-7 | 2-4 |
| Patrick Ngongba II C | 21 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| Nik Khamenia F | 18 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 3-8 | 2-6 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Maliq Brown F | 23 | 7 | 5 | 0 | 3-4 | 0-0 |
| Cayden Boozer G | 19 | 13 | 0 | 2 | 5-8 | 2-5 |
| Darren Harris G | 16 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1-2 | 1-2 |
| Dame Sarr F | 10 | 9 | 3 | 0 | 3-7 | 3-6 |
Did not play: Sebastian Wilkins, Cameron Sheffield, Ifeanyi Ufochukwu, Jack Scott
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Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenTTU -8.5
18 → DUKE
CloseDUKE -9.5
18 pts toward DUKE
Total
Open150.5
▲ 2
Close152.5
Up 2 since the open
Moneyline
TTU +360 · DUKE -470
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened TTU -8.5 · closed DUKE -9.5 · moved 18 toward DUKEmodel DUKE -7.5
model DUKE -7.5
Opened 150.5 · closed 152.5 · moved 2 upmodel 150.5
model 150.5
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Model vs market
| Market | Model | Model edge | Result | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | DUKE -9.5 | DUKE -7.7 | TTU +1.8 | W TTU covered |
| Total | 152.5 | 150.4 | Under 2.1 | L Over |
| Projected score | — | TTU 71.4 · DUKE 79 |
1st-half model
| Model | Actual | |
|---|---|---|
| 1H spread | DUKE -4.5 | DUKE -10.0 |
| 1H total | 70.5 | 82 |
| 1H projected score | TTU 33 · DUKE 37.5 | TTU 36 · DUKE 46 |
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| TTU | 7-3 70% | 2-8 20% | 4-6 40% |
| DUKE | 10-0 100% | 6-4 60% | 2-8 20% |
Recent meetings
Since 2021-22
TTU 0–1 DUKEDUKE leads · 1 game since 2021-22 · TTU 0-1 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 24, 2021-22 | TTU 73 vs DUKE 78 | DUKE PK | DUKE W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Texas Tech
11 games played
Straight up
8-3
73% wins
Against the spread
3-8
27% covers · avg −6 pts vs the line
Over / Under
5-6
45% overs · avg +0.9 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 4 | vs LIN | W 98-60 | -29.5 | W +8.5 | 146.5 | O 158 |
| Nov 7 | vs SHSU | W 98-77 | -31.5 | L −10.5 | 156.5 | O 175 |
| Nov 11 | @ ILL | L 77-81 | +3.5 | L −0.5 | 168.5 | U 158 |
| Nov 14 | vs MILW | W 80-63 | -27.5 | L −10.5 | 165.5 | U 143 |
| Nov 20 | vs WAKE | W 84-83 | -9.5 | L −8.5 | 160.5 | O 167 |
| Nov 21 | vs PUR | L 56-86 | +3.5 | L −26.5 | 153.5 | U 142 |
| Nov 26 | vs NOLA | W 82-50 | -29.5 | W +2.5 | 157.5 | U 132 |
| Nov 30 | vs WYO | W 76-72 | -19.5 | L −15.5 | 152.5 | U 148 |
| Dec 7 | vs LSU | W 82-58 | -5.5 | W +18.5 | 154.5 | U 140 |
| Dec 13 | vs ARK | L 86-93 | -2.5 | L −9.5 | 155.5 | O 179 |
| Dec 16 | vs UNCO | W 101-90 | -25.5 | L −14.5 | 152.5 | O 191 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
4
vsLIN
LINW 98-60
+8.5
7
vsSHSU
SHSUW 98-77
−10.5
11
@ILL
ILLL 77-81
−0.5
14
vsMILW
MILWW 80-63
−10.5
20
vsWAKE
WAKEW 84-83
−8.5
21
vsPUR
PURL 56-86
−26.5
26
vsNOLA
NOLAW 82-50
+2.5
30
vsWYO
WYOW 76-72
−15.5
7
vsLSU
LSUW 82-58
+18.5
13
vsARK
ARKL 86-93
−9.5
16
vsUNCO
UNCOW 101-90
−14.5
covered 3didn’t cover 8avg −6 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
4
vsLIN
LINW 98-60
+11.5
7
vsSHSU
SHSUW 98-77
+18.5
11
@ILL
ILLL 77-81
−10.5
14
vsMILW
MILWW 80-63
−22.5
20
vsWAKE
WAKEW 84-83
+6.5
21
vsPUR
PURL 56-86
−11.5
26
vsNOLA
NOLAW 82-50
−25.5
30
vsWYO
WYOW 76-72
−4.5
7
vsLSU
LSUW 82-58
−14.5
13
vsARK
ARKL 86-93
+23.5
16
vsUNCO
UNCOW 101-90
+38.5
over 5under 6avg +0.9 ptslonger = bigger margin
Duke
11 games played
Straight up
11-0
100% wins
Against the spread
7-4
64% covers · avg +2.6 pts vs the line
Over / Under
2-9
18% overs · avg −4.4 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 4 | vs TEX | W 75-60 | -10.5 | W +4.5 | 153.5 | U 135 |
| Nov 8 | vs WCU | W 95-54 | -36.5 | W +4.5 | 152.5 | U 149 |
| Nov 11 | @ ARMY | W 114-59 | -33.5 | W +21.5 | 152.5 | O 173 |
| Nov 14 | vs INST | W 100-62 | -37.5 | W +0.5 | 163.5 | U 162 |
| Nov 18 | vs KU | W 78-66 | -10.5 | W +1.5 | 149.5 | U 144 |
| Nov 21 | vs NIA | W 100-42 | -39.5 | W +18.5 | 146.5 | U 142 |
| Nov 23 | vs HOW | W 93-56 | -43.5 | L −6.5 | 154.5 | U 149 |
| Nov 27 | vsARK | W 80-71 | -12.5 | L −3.5 | 159.5 | U 151 |
| Dec 2 | vs FLA | W 67-66 | -9.5 | L −8.5 | 157.5 | U 133 |
| Dec 6 | @ MSU | W 66-60 | -1.5 | W +4.5 | 141.5 | U 126 |
| Dec 16 | vs LIP | W 97-73 | -32.5 | L −8.5 | 151.5 | O 170 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
4
vsTEX
TEXW 75-60
+4.5
8
vsWCU
WCUW 95-54
+4.5
11
@ARMY
ARMYW 114-59
+21.5
14
vsINST
INSTW 100-62
+0.5
18
vsKU
KUW 78-66
+1.5
21
vsNIA
NIAW 100-42
+18.5
23
vsHOW
HOWW 93-56
−6.5
27
vsARK
ARKW 80-71
−3.5
2
vsFLA
FLAW 67-66
−8.5
6
@MSU
MSUW 66-60
+4.5
16
vsLIP
LIPW 97-73
−8.5
covered 7didn’t cover 4avg +2.6 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
4
vsTEX
TEXW 75-60
−18.5
8
vsWCU
WCUW 95-54
−3.5
11
@ARMY
ARMYW 114-59
+20.5
14
vsINST
INSTW 100-62
−1.5
18
vsKU
KUW 78-66
−5.5
21
vsNIA
NIAW 100-42
−4.5
23
vsHOW
HOWW 93-56
−5.5
27
vsARK
ARKW 80-71
−8.5
2
vsFLA
FLAW 67-66
−24.5
6
@MSU
MSUW 66-60
−15.5
16
vsLIP
LIPW 97-73
+18.5
over 2under 9avg −4.4 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Texas Tech
8-3 overall · 0-0 in conference · Big 12 Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs N Colorado101–90
- Lvs Arkansas86–93
- Wvs LSU82–58
- Wvs Wyoming76–72
- Wvs LSU N Orleans82–50
4 days since their last game.
Duke
11-0 overall · 0-0 in conference · Atlantic Coast Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs Lipscomb97–73
- W@ Michigan St66–60
- Wvs Florida67–66
- Wvs Arkansas80–71
- Wvs Howard93–56
4 days since their last game.