T-Mobile Center · Neutral site · Conference game · Conference tournament
Closing line
ISU -7.5✓ ISU covered by 14.5
Closing total143.5Under by 15.5
| This season | TTU | |
|---|---|---|
| 26-6 | Record | 22-9 |
| 18-14 | ATS | 16-15 |
| 13-19 | O/U | 14-17 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: ISU 75–71 TTU · ✓ ISU (63%) won
Loading the game…
Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ISU | 36 | 39 | 75 |
| TTU | 33 | 20 | 53 |
1st half: ISU 36, TTU 33 (ISU by 3). The model had ISU by 2.5 and a total of 68.5 (actual 69).
Team stats
| ISU | TTU | |
|---|---|---|
| 30-56 54% | Field goals | 19-56 34% |
| 7-18 39% | 3-pointers | 9-29 31% |
| 8-14 57% | Free throws | 6-10 60% |
| 39 7 off | Rebounds | 29 7 off |
| 14 | Assists | 11 |
| 8 | Steals | 6 |
| 2 | Blocks | 2 |
| 10 | Turnovers | 10 |
| 14 | Fouls | 11 |
| 42 | Points in paint | 18 |
| 13 | Fast-break points | 2 |
Players
| ISU | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joshua Jefferson F | 34 | 18 | 13 | 6 | 8-13 | 0-2 |
| Tamin Lipsey G | 32 | 20 | 2 | 4 | 8-12 | 4-7 |
| Milan Momcilovic F | 31 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 2-8 | 1-6 |
| Blake Buchanan F | 24 | 9 | 3 | 0 | 3-5 | 0-0 |
| Killyan Toure G | 21 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1-4 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Jamarion Batemon G | 21 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 3-6 | 2-3 |
| Nate Heise G | 18 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 1-3 | 0-0 |
| Dominykas Pleta F | 14 | 11 | 3 | 1 | 4-5 | 0-0 |
| Eric Mulder F | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Anthony Rise G | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Cade Kelderman G | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Dominick Nelson G | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Mason Williams, Xzavion Mitchell
| TTU | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jaylen Petty G | 37 | 8 | 5 | 4 | 3-10 | 2-8 |
| Donovan Atwell G | 33 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 3-10 | 3-9 |
| Christian Anderson G | 31 | 10 | 1 | 3 | 4-10 | 2-6 |
| LeJuan Watts G | 28 | 12 | 7 | 2 | 5-12 | 1-3 |
| Luke Bamgboye F | 22 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Josiah Moseley F | 18 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 3-7 | 0-0 |
| Tyeree Bryan G | 11 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0-2 | 0-2 |
| Jazz Henderson Jr. G | 9 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1-3 | 1-1 |
| Nolan Groves G | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Marial Akuentok F | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Leon Horner G | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| Jack Francis G | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: JT Toppin, LaTrell Hoover
Loading the game…
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenISU -4.5
3 → ISU
CloseISU -7.5
3 pts toward ISU
Total
Open143.5
no move
Close143.5
No change since the open
Moneyline
ISU -298 · TTU +240
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened ISU -4.5 · closed ISU -7.5 · moved 3 toward ISUmodel ISU -4
model ISU -4
Opened 143.5 · unchangedmodel 146.5
model 146.5
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Model vs market
| Market | Model | Model edge | Result | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | ISU -7.5 | ISU -3.9 | TTU +3.6 | L ISU covered |
| Total | 143.5 | 146.4 | Over 2.9 | L Under |
| Projected score | — | ISU 75.2 · TTU 71.2 |
1st-half model
| Model | Actual | |
|---|---|---|
| 1H spread | ISU -2.5 | ISU -3.0 |
| 1H total | 68.5 | 69 |
| 1H projected score | ISU 35.5 · TTU 33 | ISU 36 · TTU 33 |
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 6-4 60% | 5-5 50% | 3-7 30% | |
| 6-4 60% | 6-4 60% | 3-7 30% |
Recent meetings
Last 5 of 8 since 2021-22
ISU 4–4 TTUSeries tied · 8 games since 2021-22 · ISU 3-5 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 28, 2025-26 | TTU 82 @ ISU 73 | ISU -10.5 | TTU W |
| Jan 11, 2024-25 | ISU 85 @ TTU 84 | TTU -2.5 | ISU W |
| Feb 17, 2023-24 | TTU 74 @ ISU 82 | ISU -7.5 | ISU W |
| Jan 30, 2022-23 | ISU 77 @ TTU 80 | TTU -2.5 | TTU W |
| Jan 10, 2022-23 | TTU 50 @ ISU 84 | ISU -4.5 | ISU W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Iowa State
32 games played
Straight up
26-6
81% wins
Against the spread
18-14
56% covers · avg +1.7 pts vs the line
Over / Under
13-19
41% overs · avg −2.6 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs | W 88-50 | -37.5 | W +0.5 | 147.5 | U 138 |
| Nov 6 | vs | W 102-62 | -33.5 | W +6.5 | 144.5 | O 164 |
| Nov 10 | vs | W 96-80 | -5.5 | W +10.5 | 150.5 | O 176 |
| Nov 17 | vs | W 96-57 | -40.5 | L −1.5 | 146.5 | O 153 |
| Nov 24 | vs | W 83-82 | -2.5 | L −1.5 | 158.5 | O 165 |
| Nov 25 | vs | W 78-60 | -9.5 | W +8.5 | 152.5 | U 138 |
| Nov 26 | vs | W 95-64 | -10.5 | W +20.5 | 145.5 | O 159 |
| Dec 3 | vs | W 132-68 | -42.5 | W +21.5 | 151.5 | O 200 |
| Dec 6 | @ | W 81-58 | +4.5 | W +27.5 | 154.5 | U 139 |
| Dec 11 | vs | W 66-62 | -11.5 | L −7.5 | 141.5 | U 128 |
| Dec 14 | vs | W 78-53 | -43.5 | L −18.5 | 144.5 | U 131 |
| Dec 21 | vs | W 91-60 | -37.5 | L −6.5 | 149.5 | O 151 |
| Dec 29 | vs | W 89-61 | -35.5 | L −7.5 | 145.5 | O 150 |
| Jan 2 | vs | W 80-59 | -16.5 | W +4.5 | 142.5 | U 139 |
| Jan 7 | @ | W 70-60 | -3.5 | W +6.5 | 155.5 | U 130 |
| Jan 10 | vs | W 83-71 | -19.5 | L −7.5 | 165.5 | U 154 |
| Jan 13 | @ | L 63-84 | -3.5 | L −24.5 | 152.5 | U 147 |
| Jan 17 | @ | L 70-79 | -5.5 | L −14.5 | 141.5 | O 149 |
| Jan 20 | vs | W 87-57 | -14.5 | W +15.5 | 156.5 | U 144 |
| Jan 24 | @ | W 84-71 | -10.5 | W +2.5 | 162.5 | U 155 |
| Jan 29 | vs | W 97-67 | -17.5 | W +12.5 | 152.5 | O 164 |
| Feb 1 | @ | W 95-61 | -12.5 | W +21.5 | 156.5 | U 156 |
| Feb 7 | vs | W 72-69 | -14.5 | L −11.5 | 151.5 | U 141 |
| Feb 10 | @ | L 55-62 | -7.5 | L −14.5 | 147.5 | U 117 |
| Feb 14 | vs | W 74-56 | -7.5 | W +10.5 | 147.5 | U 130 |
| Feb 16 | vs | W 70-67 | -2.5 | W +0.5 | 134.5 | O 137 |
| Feb 21 | @ | L 69-79 | -2.5 | L −12.5 | 154.5 | U 148 |
| Feb 24 | @ | W 75-59 | -14.5 | W +1.5 | 144.5 | U 134 |
| Feb 28 | vs | L 73-82 | -10.5 | L −19.5 | 145.5 | O 155 |
| Mar 2 | @ | L 57-73 | +7.5 | L −8.5 | 149.5 | U 130 |
| Mar 7 | vs | W 86-65 | -16.5 | W +4.5 | 148.5 | O 151 |
| Mar 11 | vs | W 91-42 | -13.5 | W +35.5 | 148.5 | U 133 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vs
FDU
W 88-50
+0.5
6
vs
GRAM
W 102-62
+6.5
10
vs
MSST
W 96-80
+10.5
17
vs
STO
W 96-57
−1.5
24
vs
SJU
W 83-82
−1.5
25
vs
CREI
W 78-60
+8.5
26
vs
SYR
W 95-64
+20.5
3
vs
ALCN
W 132-68
+21.5
6
@
PUR
W 81-58
+27.5
11
vs
IOWA
W 66-62
−7.5
14
vs
EIU
W 78-53
−18.5
21
vs
LBSU
W 91-60
−6.5
29
vs
HCU
W 89-61
−7.5
2
vs
WVU
W 80-59
+4.5
7
@
BAY
W 70-60
+6.5
10
vs
OKST
W 83-71
−7.5
13
@
KU
L 63-84
−24.5
17
@
CIN
L 70-79
−14.5
20
vs
UCF
W 87-57
+15.5
24
@
OKST
W 84-71
+2.5
29
vs
COLO
W 97-67
+12.5
1
@
KSU
W 95-61
+21.5
7
vs
BAY
W 72-69
−11.5
10
@
TCU
L 55-62
−14.5
14
vs
KU
W 74-56
+10.5
16
vs
HOU
W 70-67
+0.5
21
@
BYU
L 69-79
−12.5
24
@
UTAH
W 75-59
+1.5
28
vs
TTU
L 73-82
−19.5
2
@
ARIZ
L 57-73
−8.5
7
vs
ASU
W 86-65
+4.5
11
vs
ASU
W 91-42
+35.5
covered 18didn’t cover 14avg +1.7 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vs
FDU
W 88-50
−9.5
6
vs
GRAM
W 102-62
+19.5
10
vs
MSST
W 96-80
+25.5
17
vs
STO
W 96-57
+6.5
24
vs
SJU
W 83-82
+6.5
25
vs
CREI
W 78-60
−14.5
26
vs
SYR
W 95-64
+13.5
3
vs
ALCN
W 132-68
+48.5
6
@
PUR
W 81-58
−15.5
11
vs
IOWA
W 66-62
−13.5
14
vs
EIU
W 78-53
−13.5
21
vs
LBSU
W 91-60
+1.5
29
vs
HCU
W 89-61
+4.5
2
vs
WVU
W 80-59
−3.5
7
@
BAY
W 70-60
−25.5
10
vs
OKST
W 83-71
−11.5
13
@
KU
L 63-84
−5.5
17
@
CIN
L 70-79
+7.5
20
vs
UCF
W 87-57
−12.5
24
@
OKST
W 84-71
−7.5
29
vs
COLO
W 97-67
+11.5
1
@
KSU
W 95-61
−0.5
7
vs
BAY
W 72-69
−10.5
10
@
TCU
L 55-62
−30.5
14
vs
KU
W 74-56
−17.5
16
vs
HOU
W 70-67
+2.5
21
@
BYU
L 69-79
−6.5
24
@
UTAH
W 75-59
−10.5
28
vs
TTU
L 73-82
+9.5
2
@
ARIZ
L 57-73
−19.5
7
vs
ASU
W 86-65
+2.5
11
vs
ASU
W 91-42
−15.5
over 13under 19avg −2.6 ptslonger = bigger margin
Texas Tech
31 games played
Straight up
22-9
71% wins
Against the spread
16-15
52% covers · avg +0.6 pts vs the line
Over / Under
14-17
45% overs · avg −1.3 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 4 | vs | W 98-60 | -29.5 | W +8.5 | 146.5 | O 158 |
| Nov 7 | vs | W 98-77 | -31.5 | L −10.5 | 156.5 | O 175 |
| Nov 11 | @ | L 77-81 | +3.5 | L −0.5 | 168.5 | U 158 |
| Nov 14 | vs | W 80-63 | -27.5 | L −10.5 | 165.5 | U 143 |
| Nov 20 | vs | W 84-83 | -9.5 | L −8.5 | 160.5 | O 167 |
| Nov 21 | vs | L 56-86 | +3.5 | L −26.5 | 153.5 | U 142 |
| Nov 26 | vs | W 82-50 | -29.5 | W +2.5 | 157.5 | U 132 |
| Nov 30 | vs | W 76-72 | -19.5 | L −15.5 | 152.5 | U 148 |
| Dec 7 | vs | W 82-58 | -5.5 | W +18.5 | 154.5 | U 140 |
| Dec 13 | vs | L 86-93 | -2.5 | L −9.5 | 155.5 | O 179 |
| Dec 16 | vs | W 101-90 | -25.5 | L −14.5 | 152.5 | O 191 |
| Dec 20 | vs | W 82-81 | +9.5 | W +10.5 | 152.5 | O 163 |
| Dec 28 | vs | W 87-57 | -17.5 | W +12.5 | 163.5 | U 144 |
| Jan 3 | vs | W 102-80 | -12.5 | W +9.5 | 167.5 | O 182 |
| Jan 6 | @ | L 65-69 | +7.5 | W +3.5 | 142.5 | U 134 |
| Jan 10 | @ | W 73-71 | -5.5 | L −3.5 | 161.5 | U 144 |
| Jan 14 | vs | W 88-74 | -17.5 | L −3.5 | 159.5 | O 162 |
| Jan 17 | vs | W 84-71 | -2.5 | W +10.5 | 165.5 | U 155 |
| Jan 20 | @ | W 92-73 | -1.5 | W +17.5 | 154.5 | O 165 |
| Jan 24 | vs | W 90-86 | +1.5 | W +5.5 | 141.5 | O 176 |
| Jan 31 | @ | L 80-88 | -5.5 | L −13.5 | 159.5 | O 168 |
| Feb 2 | vs | L 61-64 | -3.5 | L −6.5 | 155.5 | U 125 |
| Feb 8 | @ | W 70-63 | -4.5 | W +2.5 | 139.5 | U 133 |
| Feb 11 | vs | W 78-44 | -13.5 | W +20.5 | 155.5 | U 122 |
| Feb 14 | @ | W 78-75 | +8.5 | W +11.5 | 156.5 | U 153 |
| Feb 17 | @ | L 67-72 | -7.5 | L −12.5 | 156.5 | U 139 |
| Feb 21 | vs | W 100-72 | -12.5 | W +15.5 | 158.5 | O 172 |
| Feb 24 | vs | W 80-68 | -6.5 | W +5.5 | 143.5 | O 148 |
| Feb 28 | @ | W 82-73 | +10.5 | W +19.5 | 145.5 | O 155 |
| Mar 3 | vs | L 65-73 | -8.5 | L −16.5 | 147.5 | U 138 |
| Mar 7 | @ | L 76-82 | +2.5 | L −3.5 | 159.5 | U 158 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
4
vs
LIN
W 98-60
+8.5
7
vs
SHSU
W 98-77
−10.5
11
@
ILL
L 77-81
−0.5
14
vs
MILW
W 80-63
−10.5
20
vs
WAKE
W 84-83
−8.5
21
vs
PUR
L 56-86
−26.5
26
vs
NOLA
W 82-50
+2.5
30
vs
WYO
W 76-72
−15.5
7
vs
LSU
W 82-58
+18.5
13
vs
ARK
L 86-93
−9.5
16
vs
UNCO
W 101-90
−14.5
20
vs
DUKE
W 82-81
+10.5
28
vs
WIN
W 87-57
+12.5
3
vs
OKST
W 102-80
+9.5
6
@
HOU
L 65-69
+3.5
10
@
COLO
W 73-71
−3.5
14
vs
UTAH
W 88-74
−3.5
17
vs
BYU
W 84-71
+10.5
20
@
BAY
W 92-73
+17.5
24
vs
HOU
W 90-86
+5.5
31
@
UCF
L 80-88
−13.5
2
vs
KU
L 61-64
−6.5
8
@
WVU
W 70-63
+2.5
11
vs
COLO
W 78-44
+20.5
14
@
ARIZ
W 78-75
+11.5
17
@
ASU
L 67-72
−12.5
21
vs
KSU
W 100-72
+15.5
24
vs
CIN
W 80-68
+5.5
28
@
ISU
W 82-73
+19.5
3
vs
TCU
L 65-73
−16.5
7
@
BYU
L 76-82
−3.5
covered 16didn’t cover 15avg +0.6 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
4
vs
LIN
W 98-60
+11.5
7
vs
SHSU
W 98-77
+18.5
11
@
ILL
L 77-81
−10.5
14
vs
MILW
W 80-63
−22.5
20
vs
WAKE
W 84-83
+6.5
21
vs
PUR
L 56-86
−11.5
26
vs
NOLA
W 82-50
−25.5
30
vs
WYO
W 76-72
−4.5
7
vs
LSU
W 82-58
−14.5
13
vs
ARK
L 86-93
+23.5
16
vs
UNCO
W 101-90
+38.5
20
vs
DUKE
W 82-81
+10.5
28
vs
WIN
W 87-57
−19.5
3
vs
OKST
W 102-80
+14.5
6
@
HOU
L 65-69
−8.5
10
@
COLO
W 73-71
−17.5
14
vs
UTAH
W 88-74
+2.5
17
vs
BYU
W 84-71
−10.5
20
@
BAY
W 92-73
+10.5
24
vs
HOU
W 90-86
+34.5
31
@
UCF
L 80-88
+8.5
2
vs
KU
L 61-64
−30.5
8
@
WVU
W 70-63
−6.5
11
vs
COLO
W 78-44
−33.5
14
@
ARIZ
W 78-75
−3.5
17
@
ASU
L 67-72
−17.5
21
vs
KSU
W 100-72
+13.5
24
vs
CIN
W 80-68
+4.5
28
@
ISU
W 82-73
+9.5
3
vs
TCU
L 65-73
−9.5
7
@
BYU
L 76-82
−1.5
over 14under 17avg −1.3 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Iowa State
26-6 overall · 13-6 in conference · Big 12 Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs Arizona St91–42
- Wvs Arizona St86–65
- L@ Arizona57–73
- Lvs Texas Tech73–82
- W@ Utah75–59
1 day since their last game.
Texas Tech
22-9 overall · 12-6 in conference · Big 12 Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- L@ BYU76–82
- Lvs TCU65–73
- W@ Iowa State82–73
- Wvs Cincinnati80–68
- Wvs Kansas St100–72
5 days since their last game.