United Supermarkets Arena · at Texas Tech · Conference game
Closing line
TTU -6.5✓ TTU covered by 5.5
TTU -6.5✓ TTU covered by 5.5Closing total143.5Over by 4.5
 CIN | This season | TTU |
|---|---|---|
| 15-12 | Record | 20-7 |
| 12-15 | ATS | 14-13 |
| 9-18 | O/U | 12-15 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: CIN 67–75 TTU · ✓ TTU (77%) won
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| CIN | 34 | 34 | 68 |
| TTU | 42 | 38 | 80 |
1st half: CIN 34, TTU 42 (TTU by 8). The model had TTU by 4.9 and a total of 66.6 (actual 76).
Team stats
| CIN | TTU | |
|---|---|---|
| 25-62 40% | Field goals | 27-52 52% |
| 8-24 33% | 3-pointers | 10-25 40% |
| 10-13 77% | Free throws | 16-20 80% |
| 24 11 off | Rebounds | 40 12 off |
| 8 | Assists | 14 |
| 5 | Steals | 3 |
| 1 | Blocks | 6 |
| 3 | Turnovers | 12 |
| 16 | Fouls | 14 |
| 24 | Points in paint | 28 |
| 6 | Fast-break points | 4 |
Players
| CIN | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Moustapha Thiam C | 36 | 21 | 10 | 0 | 7-19 | 1-4 |
| Jizzle James G | 35 | 12 | 0 | 0 | 5-8 | 2-4 |
| Day Day Thomas G | 35 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 2-8 | 1-4 |
| Jalen Celestine G | 34 | 15 | 3 | 1 | 5-12 | 3-8 |
| Baba Miller F | 32 | 12 | 4 | 4 | 5-8 | 1-2 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Keyshuan Tillery G | 12 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0-3 | 0-1 |
| Sencire Harris G | 10 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1-4 | 0-1 |
| Tyler McKinley F | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Jordi Rodriguez-Stegemeijer, Lucas Atauri, Bryson Buckingham, Halvine Dzellat, Grant Darbyshire, Shon Abaev, Jalen Haynes, Kerr Kriisa
| TTU | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Christian Anderson G | 40 | 31 | 11 | 7 | 11-19 | 3-8 |
| Donovan Atwell G | 38 | 12 | 2 | 2 | 4-9 | 4-9 |
| LeJuan Watts G | 33 | 13 | 5 | 0 | 4-7 | 0-1 |
| Jaylen Petty G | 33 | 9 | 7 | 1 | 3-9 | 3-6 |
| Luke Bamgboye F | 26 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Josiah Moseley F | 16 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 3-4 | 0-0 |
| Tyeree Bryan G | 9 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
| Marial Akuentok F | 5 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Nolan Groves, LaTrell Hoover, Leon Horner, Jazz Henderson Jr., Jack Francis, JT Toppin
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Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketTTU -6.5
ModelTTU -8.5
Model edgeTTU +2.0
W TTU covered
Total
Market143.5
Model142.3
Model edgeUnder 1.2
L Over
Projected score
CIN 66.9 · TTU 75.4
CIN 68 · TTU 80
Win probability
TTU 77%
1st half
Spread
TTU -4.9
TTU -8.0
Total
66.6
76 points
Projected score
CIN 30.8 · TTU 35.8
CIN 34 · TTU 42
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenTTU -5.5
1 → TTU
CloseTTU -6.5
1 pt toward TTU
Total
Open140.5
▲ 3
Close143.5
Up 3 since the open
Moneyline
CIN +260 · TTU -325
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened TTU -5.5 · closed TTU -6.5 · moved 1 toward TTUmodel TTU -8.5
model TTU -8.5
Opened 140.5 · closed 143.5 · moved 3 upmodel 142.5
model 142.5
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| CIN | 6-4 60% | 5-5 50% | 5-5 50% |
| TTU | 7-3 70% | 7-3 70% | 4-6 40% |
Recent meetings
Since 2021-22
CIN 1–1 TTUSeries tied · 2 games since 2021-22 · CIN 1-1 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 21, 2024-25 | TTU 81 @ CIN 71 | CIN +1.5 | TTU W |
| Feb 3, 2023-24 | CIN 75 @ TTU 72 | TTU -4.5 | CIN W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Cincinnati
27 games played
Straight up
15-12
56% wins
Against the spread
12-15
44% covers · avg −0.9 pts vs the line
Over / Under
9-18
33% overs · avg −5.1 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs WCU | W 94-63 | -22.5 | W +8.5 | 143.5 | O 157 |
| Nov 7 | vs GAST | W 74-64 | -29.5 | L −19.5 | 151.5 | U 138 |
| Nov 11 | vs DAY | W 74-62 | -5.5 | W +6.5 | 147.5 | U 136 |
| Nov 16 | vs MSM | W 72-55 | -25.5 | L −8.5 | 145.5 | U 127 |
| Nov 21 | vs LOU | L 64-74 | +8.5 | L −1.5 | 163.5 | U 138 |
| Nov 24 | vs NJIT | W 94-67 | -34.5 | L −7.5 | 141.5 | O 161 |
| Nov 26 | vs EMU | L 56-64 | -22.5 | L −30.5 | 146.5 | U 120 |
| Dec 1 | vs TAR | W 76-58 | -24.5 | L −6.5 | 142.5 | U 134 |
| Dec 5 | @ XAV | L 74-79 | -1.5 | L −6.5 | 147.5 | O 153 |
| Dec 13 | vs UGA | L 65-84 | +5.5 | L −13.5 | 157.5 | U 149 |
| Dec 17 | vs ALST | W 88-51 | -21.5 | W +15.5 | 145.5 | U 139 |
| Dec 21 | vs CLEM | L 65-68 | +3.5 | W +0.5 | 140.5 | U 133 |
| Dec 29 | vs LIP | W 89-62 | -13.5 | W +13.5 | 150.5 | O 151 |
| Jan 3 | vs HOU | L 60-67 | +4.5 | L −2.5 | 135.5 | U 127 |
| Jan 6 | @ WVU | L 60-62 | -1.5 | L −3.5 | 132.5 | U 122 |
| Jan 11 | @ UCF | L 72-73 | +2.5 | W +1.5 | 150.5 | U 145 |
| Jan 14 | vs COLO | W 77-68 | -8.5 | W +0.5 | 145.5 | U 145 |
| Jan 17 | vs ISU | W 79-70 | +5.5 | W +14.5 | 141.5 | O 149 |
| Jan 21 | @ ARIZ | L 51-77 | +13.5 | L −12.5 | 152.5 | U 128 |
| Jan 24 | @ ASU | L 68-82 | -3.5 | L −17.5 | 146.5 | O 150 |
| Jan 28 | vs BAY | W 67-57 | -3.5 | W +6.5 | 145.5 | U 124 |
| Jan 31 | @HOU | L 54-76 | +13.5 | L −8.5 | 135.5 | U 130 |
| Feb 5 | vsWVU | L 54-59 | -5.5 | L −10.5 | 127.5 | U 113 |
| Feb 8 | vsUCF | W 92-72 | -4.5 | W +15.5 | 146.5 | O 164 |
| Feb 11 | @ KSU | W 91-62 | -2.5 | W +26.5 | 147.5 | O 153 |
| Feb 15 | vs UTAH | W 69-65 | -12.5 | L −8.5 | 139.5 | U 134 |
| Feb 21 | @ KU | W 84-68 | +8.5 | W +24.5 | 139.5 | O 152 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsWCU
WCUW 94-63
+8.5
7
vsGAST
GASTW 74-64
−19.5
11
vsDAY
DAYW 74-62
+6.5
16
vsMSM
MSMW 72-55
−8.5
21
vsLOU
LOUL 64-74
−1.5
24
vsNJIT
NJITW 94-67
−7.5
26
vsEMU
EMUL 56-64
−30.5
1
vsTAR
TARW 76-58
−6.5
5
@XAV
XAVL 74-79
−6.5
13
vsUGA
UGAL 65-84
−13.5
17
vsALST
ALSTW 88-51
+15.5
21
vsCLEM
CLEML 65-68
+0.5
29
vsLIP
LIPW 89-62
+13.5
3
vsHOU
HOUL 60-67
−2.5
6
@WVU
WVUL 60-62
−3.5
11
@UCF
UCFL 72-73
+1.5
14
vsCOLO
COLOW 77-68
+0.5
17
vsISU
ISUW 79-70
+14.5
21
@ARIZ
ARIZL 51-77
−12.5
24
@ASU
ASUL 68-82
−17.5
28
vsBAY
BAYW 67-57
+6.5
31
@HOU
HOUL 54-76
−8.5
5
vsWVU
WVUL 54-59
−10.5
8
vsUCF
UCFW 92-72
+15.5
11
@KSU
KSUW 91-62
+26.5
15
vsUTAH
UTAHW 69-65
−8.5
21
@KU
KUW 84-68
+24.5
covered 12didn’t cover 15avg −0.9 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsWCU
WCUW 94-63
+13.5
7
vsGAST
GASTW 74-64
−13.5
11
vsDAY
DAYW 74-62
−11.5
16
vsMSM
MSMW 72-55
−18.5
21
vsLOU
LOUL 64-74
−25.5
24
vsNJIT
NJITW 94-67
+19.5
26
vsEMU
EMUL 56-64
−26.5
1
vsTAR
TARW 76-58
−8.5
5
@XAV
XAVL 74-79
+5.5
13
vsUGA
UGAL 65-84
−8.5
17
vsALST
ALSTW 88-51
−6.5
21
vsCLEM
CLEML 65-68
−7.5
29
vsLIP
LIPW 89-62
+0.5
3
vsHOU
HOUL 60-67
−8.5
6
@WVU
WVUL 60-62
−10.5
11
@UCF
UCFL 72-73
−5.5
14
vsCOLO
COLOW 77-68
−0.5
17
vsISU
ISUW 79-70
+7.5
21
@ARIZ
ARIZL 51-77
−24.5
24
@ASU
ASUL 68-82
+3.5
28
vsBAY
BAYW 67-57
−21.5
31
@HOU
HOUL 54-76
−5.5
5
vsWVU
WVUL 54-59
−14.5
8
vsUCF
UCFW 92-72
+17.5
11
@KSU
KSUW 91-62
+5.5
15
vsUTAH
UTAHW 69-65
−5.5
21
@KU
KUW 84-68
+12.5
over 9under 18avg −5.1 ptslonger = bigger margin
Texas Tech
27 games played
Straight up
20-7
74% wins
Against the spread
14-13
52% covers · avg +0.5 pts vs the line
Over / Under
12-15
44% overs · avg −1.6 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 4 | vs LIN | W 98-60 | -29.5 | W +8.5 | 146.5 | O 158 |
| Nov 7 | vs SHSU | W 98-77 | -31.5 | L −10.5 | 156.5 | O 175 |
| Nov 11 | @ ILL | L 77-81 | +3.5 | L −0.5 | 168.5 | U 158 |
| Nov 14 | vs MILW | W 80-63 | -27.5 | L −10.5 | 165.5 | U 143 |
| Nov 20 | vs WAKE | W 84-83 | -9.5 | L −8.5 | 160.5 | O 167 |
| Nov 21 | vs PUR | L 56-86 | +3.5 | L −26.5 | 153.5 | U 142 |
| Nov 26 | vs NOLA | W 82-50 | -29.5 | W +2.5 | 157.5 | U 132 |
| Nov 30 | vs WYO | W 76-72 | -19.5 | L −15.5 | 152.5 | U 148 |
| Dec 7 | vs LSU | W 82-58 | -5.5 | W +18.5 | 154.5 | U 140 |
| Dec 13 | vs ARK | L 86-93 | -2.5 | L −9.5 | 155.5 | O 179 |
| Dec 16 | vs UNCO | W 101-90 | -25.5 | L −14.5 | 152.5 | O 191 |
| Dec 20 | vs DUKE | W 82-81 | +9.5 | W +10.5 | 152.5 | O 163 |
| Dec 28 | vs WIN | W 87-57 | -17.5 | W +12.5 | 163.5 | U 144 |
| Jan 3 | vs OKST | W 102-80 | -12.5 | W +9.5 | 167.5 | O 182 |
| Jan 6 | @HOU | L 65-69 | +7.5 | W +3.5 | 142.5 | U 134 |
| Jan 10 | @COLO | W 73-71 | -5.5 | L −3.5 | 161.5 | U 144 |
| Jan 14 | vsUTAH | W 88-74 | -17.5 | L −3.5 | 159.5 | O 162 |
| Jan 17 | vs BYU | W 84-71 | -2.5 | W +10.5 | 165.5 | U 155 |
| Jan 20 | @BAY | W 92-73 | -1.5 | W +17.5 | 154.5 | O 165 |
| Jan 24 | vsHOU | W 90-86 | +1.5 | W +5.5 | 141.5 | O 176 |
| Jan 31 | @UCF | L 80-88 | -5.5 | L −13.5 | 159.5 | O 168 |
| Feb 2 | vsKU | L 61-64 | -3.5 | L −6.5 | 155.5 | U 125 |
| Feb 8 | @WVU | W 70-63 | -4.5 | W +2.5 | 139.5 | U 133 |
| Feb 11 | vsCOLO | W 78-44 | -13.5 | W +20.5 | 155.5 | U 122 |
| Feb 14 | @ARIZ | W 78-75 | +8.5 | W +11.5 | 156.5 | U 153 |
| Feb 17 | @ASU | L 67-72 | -7.5 | L −12.5 | 156.5 | U 139 |
| Feb 21 | vsKSU | W 100-72 | -12.5 | W +15.5 | 158.5 | O 172 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
4
vsLIN
LINW 98-60
+8.5
7
vsSHSU
SHSUW 98-77
−10.5
11
@ILL
ILLL 77-81
−0.5
14
vsMILW
MILWW 80-63
−10.5
20
vsWAKE
WAKEW 84-83
−8.5
21
vsPUR
PURL 56-86
−26.5
26
vsNOLA
NOLAW 82-50
+2.5
30
vsWYO
WYOW 76-72
−15.5
7
vsLSU
LSUW 82-58
+18.5
13
vsARK
ARKL 86-93
−9.5
16
vsUNCO
UNCOW 101-90
−14.5
20
vsDUKE
DUKEW 82-81
+10.5
28
vsWIN
WINW 87-57
+12.5
3
vsOKST
OKSTW 102-80
+9.5
6
@HOU
HOUL 65-69
+3.5
10
@COLO
COLOW 73-71
−3.5
14
vsUTAH
UTAHW 88-74
−3.5
17
vsBYU
BYUW 84-71
+10.5
20
@BAY
BAYW 92-73
+17.5
24
vsHOU
HOUW 90-86
+5.5
31
@UCF
UCFL 80-88
−13.5
2
vsKU
KUL 61-64
−6.5
8
@WVU
WVUW 70-63
+2.5
11
vsCOLO
COLOW 78-44
+20.5
14
@ARIZ
ARIZW 78-75
+11.5
17
@ASU
ASUL 67-72
−12.5
21
vsKSU
KSUW 100-72
+15.5
covered 14didn’t cover 13avg +0.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
4
vsLIN
LINW 98-60
+11.5
7
vsSHSU
SHSUW 98-77
+18.5
11
@ILL
ILLL 77-81
−10.5
14
vsMILW
MILWW 80-63
−22.5
20
vsWAKE
WAKEW 84-83
+6.5
21
vsPUR
PURL 56-86
−11.5
26
vsNOLA
NOLAW 82-50
−25.5
30
vsWYO
WYOW 76-72
−4.5
7
vsLSU
LSUW 82-58
−14.5
13
vsARK
ARKL 86-93
+23.5
16
vsUNCO
UNCOW 101-90
+38.5
20
vsDUKE
DUKEW 82-81
+10.5
28
vsWIN
WINW 87-57
−19.5
3
vsOKST
OKSTW 102-80
+14.5
6
@HOU
HOUL 65-69
−8.5
10
@COLO
COLOW 73-71
−17.5
14
vsUTAH
UTAHW 88-74
+2.5
17
vsBYU
BYUW 84-71
−10.5
20
@BAY
BAYW 92-73
+10.5
24
vsHOU
HOUW 90-86
+34.5
31
@UCF
UCFL 80-88
+8.5
2
vsKU
KUL 61-64
−30.5
8
@WVU
WVUW 70-63
−6.5
11
vsCOLO
COLOW 78-44
−33.5
14
@ARIZ
ARIZW 78-75
−3.5
17
@ASU
ASUL 67-72
−17.5
21
vsKSU
KSUW 100-72
+13.5
over 12under 15avg −1.6 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Cincinnati
15-12 overall · 7-7 in conference · Big 12 Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- W@ Kansas84–68
- Wvs Utah69–65
- W@ Kansas St91–62
- Wvs UCF92–72
- Lvs West Virginia54–59
3 days since their last game.
Texas Tech
20-7 overall · 10-4 in conference · Big 12 Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs Kansas St100–72
- L@ Arizona St67–72
- W@ Arizona78–75
- Wvs Colorado78–44
- W@ West Virginia70–63
3 days since their last game.