Fertitta Center · at Houston · Conference game
Closing line
HOU -13.5✓ HOU covered by 8.5
HOU -13.5✓ HOU covered by 8.5Closing total135.5Under by 5.5
 CIN | This season | HOU |
|---|---|---|
| 11-10 | Record | 18-2 |
| 9-12 | ATS | 11-9 |
| 6-15 | O/U | 10-10 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: CIN 59–73 HOU · ✓ HOU (88%) won
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| CIN | 20 | 34 | 54 |
| HOU | 32 | 44 | 76 |
1st half: CIN 20, HOU 32 (HOU by 12). The model had HOU by 8.0 and a total of 61.6 (actual 52).
Team stats
| CIN | HOU | |
|---|---|---|
| 18-47 38% | Field goals | 26-58 45% |
| 10-23 43% | 3-pointers | 9-26 35% |
| 8-13 62% | Free throws | 15-18 83% |
| 35 12 off | Rebounds | 30 12 off |
| 11 | Assists | 14 |
| 2 | Steals | 9 |
| 1 | Blocks | 4 |
| 19 | Turnovers | 4 |
| 14 | Fouls | 16 |
| 8 | Points in paint | 26 |
| 5 | Fast-break points | 5 |
Players
| CIN | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Baba Miller F | 33 | 2 | 8 | 3 | 1-8 | 0-2 |
| Jizzle James G | 30 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 2-6 | 1-3 |
| Jalen Celestine G | 28 | 15 | 2 | 0 | 5-7 | 3-5 |
| Day Day Thomas G | 22 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 2-8 | 2-6 |
| Moustapha Thiam C | 11 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 1-5 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Kerr Kriisa G | 19 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 1-3 | 1-3 |
| Keyshuan Tillery G | 19 | 14 | 1 | 1 | 4-7 | 3-4 |
| Tyler McKinley F | 15 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| Halvine Dzellat C | 14 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
| Jordi Rodriguez-Stegemeijer G | 9 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Jalen Haynes, Sencire Harris, Grant Darbyshire, Bryson Buckingham, Lucas Atauri, Shon Abaev
| HOU | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Milos Uzan G | 32 | 16 | 2 | 5 | 7-12 | 2-5 |
| Kingston Flemings G | 30 | 7 | 4 | 6 | 2-9 | 0-2 |
| Chris Cenac Jr. F | 26 | 13 | 3 | 0 | 5-8 | 3-6 |
| Emanuel Sharp G | 26 | 13 | 3 | 3 | 4-12 | 1-7 |
| Joseph Tugler F | 25 | 7 | 5 | 0 | 2-3 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Mercy Miller G | 18 | 7 | 4 | 0 | 3-4 | 1-1 |
| Isiah Harwell G | 17 | 13 | 4 | 0 | 3-9 | 2-5 |
| Kalifa Sakho F | 14 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| Ramon Walker Jr. G | 11 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Cedric Lath C | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Bryce Jackson, Kordel Jefferson, Jacob McFarland, Chase McCarty
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Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenHOU -13.5
no move
CloseHOU -13.5
No change since the open
Total
Open131.5
▲ 4
Close135.5
Up 4 since the open
Moneyline
CIN +800 · HOU -1350
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened HOU -13.5 · unchangedmodel HOU -13.5 matches the line
model HOU -13.5 = line ✓
Opened 131.5 · closed 135.5 · moved 4 upmodel 131.5
model 131.5
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Model vs market
| Market | Model | Model edge | Result | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | HOU -13.5 | HOU -13.7 | HOU +0.2 | W HOU covered |
| Total | 135.5 | 131.4 | Under 4.1 | W Under |
| Projected score | — | CIN 58.8 · HOU 72.5 |
1st-half model
| Model | Actual | |
|---|---|---|
| 1H spread | HOU -8.0 | HOU -12.0 |
| 1H total | 61.6 | 52 |
| 1H projected score | CIN 26.8 · HOU 34.8 | CIN 20 · HOU 32 |
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| CIN | 4-6 40% | 6-4 60% | 3-7 30% |
| HOU | 9-1 90% | 7-3 70% | 5-5 50% |
Recent meetings
Last 5 of 10 since 2021-22
CIN 0–10 HOUHOU leads · 10 games since 2021-22 · HOU has won the last 10 meetings · CIN 3-5-2 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 3, 2025-26 | HOU 67 @ CIN 60 | CIN +4.5 | HOU W |
| Mar 1, 2024-25 | CIN 64 @ HOU 73 | HOU -13.5 | CIN W |
| Feb 27, 2023-24 | CIN 59 @ HOU 67 | HOU -13.5 | CIN W |
| Feb 10, 2023-24 | HOU 67 @ CIN 62 | CIN +5 | P |
| Mar 11, 2022-23 | CIN 48 vs HOU 69 | HOU -9.5 | HOU W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Cincinnati
21 games played
Straight up
11-10
52% wins
Against the spread
9-12
43% covers · avg −3 pts vs the line
Over / Under
6-15
29% overs · avg −7 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs WCU | W 94-63 | -22.5 | W +8.5 | 143.5 | O 157 |
| Nov 7 | vs GAST | W 74-64 | -29.5 | L −19.5 | 151.5 | U 138 |
| Nov 11 | vs DAY | W 74-62 | -5.5 | W +6.5 | 147.5 | U 136 |
| Nov 16 | vs MSM | W 72-55 | -25.5 | L −8.5 | 145.5 | U 127 |
| Nov 21 | vs LOU | L 64-74 | +8.5 | L −1.5 | 163.5 | U 138 |
| Nov 24 | vs NJIT | W 94-67 | -34.5 | L −7.5 | 141.5 | O 161 |
| Nov 26 | vs EMU | L 56-64 | -22.5 | L −30.5 | 146.5 | U 120 |
| Dec 1 | vs TAR | W 76-58 | -24.5 | L −6.5 | 142.5 | U 134 |
| Dec 5 | @ XAV | L 74-79 | -1.5 | L −6.5 | 147.5 | O 153 |
| Dec 13 | vs UGA | L 65-84 | +5.5 | L −13.5 | 157.5 | U 149 |
| Dec 17 | vs ALST | W 88-51 | -21.5 | W +15.5 | 145.5 | U 139 |
| Dec 21 | vs CLEM | L 65-68 | +3.5 | W +0.5 | 140.5 | U 133 |
| Dec 29 | vs LIP | W 89-62 | -13.5 | W +13.5 | 150.5 | O 151 |
| Jan 3 | vsHOU | L 60-67 | +4.5 | L −2.5 | 135.5 | U 127 |
| Jan 6 | @ WVU | L 60-62 | -1.5 | L −3.5 | 132.5 | U 122 |
| Jan 11 | @ UCF | L 72-73 | +2.5 | W +1.5 | 150.5 | U 145 |
| Jan 14 | vs COLO | W 77-68 | -8.5 | W +0.5 | 145.5 | U 145 |
| Jan 17 | vs ISU | W 79-70 | +5.5 | W +14.5 | 141.5 | O 149 |
| Jan 21 | @ ARIZ | L 51-77 | +13.5 | L −12.5 | 152.5 | U 128 |
| Jan 24 | @ ASU | L 68-82 | -3.5 | L −17.5 | 146.5 | O 150 |
| Jan 28 | vs BAY | W 67-57 | -3.5 | W +6.5 | 145.5 | U 124 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsWCU
WCUW 94-63
+8.5
7
vsGAST
GASTW 74-64
−19.5
11
vsDAY
DAYW 74-62
+6.5
16
vsMSM
MSMW 72-55
−8.5
21
vsLOU
LOUL 64-74
−1.5
24
vsNJIT
NJITW 94-67
−7.5
26
vsEMU
EMUL 56-64
−30.5
1
vsTAR
TARW 76-58
−6.5
5
@XAV
XAVL 74-79
−6.5
13
vsUGA
UGAL 65-84
−13.5
17
vsALST
ALSTW 88-51
+15.5
21
vsCLEM
CLEML 65-68
+0.5
29
vsLIP
LIPW 89-62
+13.5
3
vsHOU
HOUL 60-67
−2.5
6
@WVU
WVUL 60-62
−3.5
11
@UCF
UCFL 72-73
+1.5
14
vsCOLO
COLOW 77-68
+0.5
17
vsISU
ISUW 79-70
+14.5
21
@ARIZ
ARIZL 51-77
−12.5
24
@ASU
ASUL 68-82
−17.5
28
vsBAY
BAYW 67-57
+6.5
covered 9didn’t cover 12avg −3 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsWCU
WCUW 94-63
+13.5
7
vsGAST
GASTW 74-64
−13.5
11
vsDAY
DAYW 74-62
−11.5
16
vsMSM
MSMW 72-55
−18.5
21
vsLOU
LOUL 64-74
−25.5
24
vsNJIT
NJITW 94-67
+19.5
26
vsEMU
EMUL 56-64
−26.5
1
vsTAR
TARW 76-58
−8.5
5
@XAV
XAVL 74-79
+5.5
13
vsUGA
UGAL 65-84
−8.5
17
vsALST
ALSTW 88-51
−6.5
21
vsCLEM
CLEML 65-68
−7.5
29
vsLIP
LIPW 89-62
+0.5
3
vsHOU
HOUL 60-67
−8.5
6
@WVU
WVUL 60-62
−10.5
11
@UCF
UCFL 72-73
−5.5
14
vsCOLO
COLOW 77-68
−0.5
17
vsISU
ISUW 79-70
+7.5
21
@ARIZ
ARIZL 51-77
−24.5
24
@ASU
ASUL 68-82
+3.5
28
vsBAY
BAYW 67-57
−21.5
over 6under 15avg −7 ptslonger = bigger margin
Houston
20 games played
Straight up
18-2
90% wins
Against the spread
11-9
55% covers · avg −0.2 pts vs the line
Over / Under
10-10
50% overs · avg +2.6 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs LEH | W 75-57 | -36.5 | L −18.5 | 136.5 | U 132 |
| Nov 8 | vs TOW | W 65-48 | -26.5 | L −9.5 | 130.5 | U 113 |
| Nov 12 | vs OAK | W 78-45 | -30.5 | W +2.5 | 138.5 | U 123 |
| Nov 16 | vs AUB | W 73-72 | -7.5 | L −6.5 | 140.5 | O 145 |
| Nov 20 | vs RID | W 91-45 | -40.5 | W +5.5 | 134.5 | O 136 |
| Nov 24 | vs SYR | W 78-74 | -14.5 | L −10.5 | 140.5 | O 152 |
| Nov 25 | vs TENN | L 73-76 | -2.5 | L −5.5 | 136.5 | O 149 |
| Nov 26 | vs ND | W 66-56 | -11.5 | L −1.5 | 132.5 | U 122 |
| Dec 6 | vs FSU | W 82-67 | -12.5 | W +2.5 | 148.5 | O 149 |
| Dec 10 | vs JKST | W 80-38 | -40.5 | W +1.5 | 137.5 | U 118 |
| Dec 13 | vs NOLA | W 99-57 | -32.5 | W +9.5 | 138.5 | O 156 |
| Dec 20 | vs ARK | W 94-85 | -5.5 | W +3.5 | 146.5 | O 179 |
| Dec 29 | vs MTSU | W 69-60 | -25.5 | L −16.5 | 138.5 | U 129 |
| Jan 3 | @CIN | W 67-60 | -4.5 | W +2.5 | 135.5 | U 127 |
| Jan 6 | vs TTU | W 69-65 | -7.5 | L −3.5 | 142.5 | U 134 |
| Jan 10 | @BAY | W 77-55 | -2.5 | W +19.5 | 142.5 | U 132 |
| Jan 13 | vsWVU | W 77-48 | -13.5 | W +15.5 | 127.5 | U 125 |
| Jan 18 | vsASU | W 103-73 | -18.5 | W +11.5 | 142.5 | O 176 |
| Jan 24 | @TTU | L 86-90 | -1.5 | L −5.5 | 141.5 | O 176 |
| Jan 28 | @ TCU | W 79-70 | -8.5 | W +0.5 | 139.5 | O 149 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsLEH
LEHW 75-57
−18.5
8
vsTOW
TOWW 65-48
−9.5
12
vsOAK
OAKW 78-45
+2.5
16
vsAUB
AUBW 73-72
−6.5
20
vsRID
RIDW 91-45
+5.5
24
vsSYR
SYRW 78-74
−10.5
25
vsTENN
TENNL 73-76
−5.5
26
vsND
NDW 66-56
−1.5
6
vsFSU
FSUW 82-67
+2.5
10
vsJKST
JKSTW 80-38
+1.5
13
vsNOLA
NOLAW 99-57
+9.5
20
vsARK
ARKW 94-85
+3.5
29
vsMTSU
MTSUW 69-60
−16.5
3
@CIN
CINW 67-60
+2.5
6
vsTTU
TTUW 69-65
−3.5
10
@BAY
BAYW 77-55
+19.5
13
vsWVU
WVUW 77-48
+15.5
18
vsASU
ASUW 103-73
+11.5
24
@TTU
TTUL 86-90
−5.5
28
@TCU
TCUW 79-70
+0.5
covered 11didn’t cover 9avg −0.2 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsLEH
LEHW 75-57
−4.5
8
vsTOW
TOWW 65-48
−17.5
12
vsOAK
OAKW 78-45
−15.5
16
vsAUB
AUBW 73-72
+4.5
20
vsRID
RIDW 91-45
+1.5
24
vsSYR
SYRW 78-74
+11.5
25
vsTENN
TENNL 73-76
+12.5
26
vsND
NDW 66-56
−10.5
6
vsFSU
FSUW 82-67
+0.5
10
vsJKST
JKSTW 80-38
−19.5
13
vsNOLA
NOLAW 99-57
+17.5
20
vsARK
ARKW 94-85
+32.5
29
vsMTSU
MTSUW 69-60
−9.5
3
@CIN
CINW 67-60
−8.5
6
vsTTU
TTUW 69-65
−8.5
10
@BAY
BAYW 77-55
−10.5
13
vsWVU
WVUW 77-48
−2.5
18
vsASU
ASUW 103-73
+33.5
24
@TTU
TTUL 86-90
+34.5
28
@TCU
TCUW 79-70
+9.5
over 10under 10avg +2.6 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Cincinnati
11-10 overall · 3-5 in conference · Big 12 Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs Baylor67–57
- L@ Arizona St68–82
- L@ Arizona51–77
- Wvs Iowa State79–70
- Wvs Colorado77–68
3 days since their last game.
Houston
18-2 overall · 6-1 in conference · Big 12 Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- W@ TCU79–70
- L@ Texas Tech86–90
- Wvs Arizona St103–73
- Wvs West Virginia77–48
- W@ Baylor77–55
3 days since their last game.