Fifth Third Arena · at Cincinnati · Conference game
Closing line
CIN -3.5✓ CIN covered by 6.5
CIN -3.5✓ CIN covered by 6.5Closing total145.5Under by 21.5
 BAY | This season | CIN |
|---|---|---|
| 10-8 | Record | 10-10 |
| 7-11 | ATS | 8-12 |
| 12-6 | O/U | 6-14 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: BAY 74–76 CIN · ✓ CIN (54%) won
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| BAY | 28 | 29 | 57 |
| CIN | 35 | 32 | 67 |
1st half: BAY 28, CIN 35 (CIN by 7). The model had CIN by 0.6 and a total of 70.2 (actual 63).
Team stats
| BAY | CIN | |
|---|---|---|
| 23-65 35% | Field goals | 24-62 39% |
| 6-26 23% | 3-pointers | 8-29 28% |
| 5-9 56% | Free throws | 11-14 79% |
| 42 11 off | Rebounds | 38 8 off |
| 13 | Assists | 15 |
| 5 | Steals | 7 |
| 1 | Blocks | 3 |
| 10 | Turnovers | 8 |
| 17 | Fouls | 15 |
| 34 | Points in paint | 24 |
| 5 | Fast-break points | 4 |
Players
| BAY | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tounde Yessoufou G | 36 | 16 | 7 | 2 | 6-14 | 2-6 |
| Dan Skillings Jr. G | 35 | 10 | 7 | 0 | 5-12 | 0-2 |
| Cameron Carr G | 33 | 4 | 7 | 4 | 1-11 | 0-4 |
| Obi Agbim G | 32 | 14 | 3 | 3 | 5-15 | 4-11 |
| Caden Powell C | 23 | 5 | 6 | 2 | 2-4 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Isaac Williams IV G | 18 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 2-6 | 0-2 |
| Michael Rataj G | 16 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 2-3 | 0-1 |
| James Nnaji C | 7 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Will Kuykendall, James Goodis, JJ White, Juslin Bodo Bodo, Andre Iguodala II, Drew Perry, Mayo Soyoye, Maikcol Perez
| CIN | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Baba Miller F | 37 | 18 | 17 | 3 | 6-12 | 0-1 |
| Jizzle James G | 36 | 17 | 4 | 1 | 6-11 | 5-6 |
| Day Day Thomas G | 33 | 8 | 6 | 4 | 2-7 | 2-7 |
| Jalen Celestine G | 30 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 2-10 | 0-7 |
| Moustapha Thiam C | 28 | 14 | 4 | 0 | 6-13 | 0-1 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Tyler McKinley F | 10 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| Kerr Kriisa G | 10 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0-3 | 0-3 |
| Keyshuan Tillery G | 8 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 2-3 | 1-2 |
| Jordi Rodriguez-Stegemeijer G | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0-2 | 0-2 |
| Halvine Dzellat C | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Sencire Harris, Grant Darbyshire, Shon Abaev, Bryson Buckingham, Lucas Atauri, Jalen Haynes
Loading the game…
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenCIN -4.5
1 → BAY
CloseCIN -3.5
1 pt toward BAY
Total
Open148.5
▼ 3
Close145.5
Down 3 since the open
Moneyline
BAY +154 · CIN -185
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened CIN -4.5 · closed CIN -3.5 · moved 1 toward BAYmodel CIN -1.5
model CIN -1.5
Opened 148.5 · closed 145.5 · moved 3 downmodel 150
model 150
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Model vs market
| Market | Model | Model edge | Result | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | CIN -3.5 | CIN -1.3 | BAY +2.2 | L CIN covered |
| Total | 145.5 | 150.0 | Over 4.5 | L Under |
| Projected score | — | BAY 74.4 · CIN 75.6 |
1st-half model
| Model | Actual | |
|---|---|---|
| 1H spread | CIN -0.6 | CIN -7.0 |
| 1H total | 70.2 | 63 |
| 1H projected score | BAY 34.8 · CIN 35.4 | BAY 28 · CIN 35 |
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| BAY | 4-6 40% | 4-6 40% | 6-4 60% |
| CIN | 4-6 40% | 6-4 60% | 3-7 30% |
Recent meetings
Since 2021-22
BAY 3–1 CINBAY leads · 4 games since 2021-22 · BAY 2-2 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 25, 2024-25 | BAY 67 @ CIN 69 | CIN -1.5 | CIN W |
| Jan 7, 2024-25 | CIN 48 @ BAY 68 | BAY -5.5 | BAY W |
| Mar 14, 2023-24 | CIN 56 vs BAY 68 | BAY -7.5 | BAY W |
| Jan 13, 2023-24 | CIN 59 @ BAY 62 | BAY -6.5 | CIN W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Baylor
18 games played
Straight up
10-8
56% wins
Against the spread
7-11
39% covers · avg −2.6 pts vs the line
Over / Under
12-6
67% overs · avg +7.1 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs RGV | W 96-81 | -24.5 | L −9.5 | 154.5 | O 177 |
| Nov 9 | vs WASH | W 78-69 | -6.5 | W +2.5 | 156.5 | U 147 |
| Nov 14 | vs TAR | W 94-81 | -23.5 | L −10.5 | 149.5 | O 175 |
| Nov 24 | vs CREI | W 81-74 | -3.5 | W +3.5 | 154.5 | O 155 |
| Nov 25 | vs SJU | L 81-96 | +5.5 | L −9.5 | 159.5 | O 177 |
| Nov 26 | vs SDSU | W 91-81 | -2.5 | W +7.5 | 148.5 | O 172 |
| Dec 2 | vs SAC | W 110-88 | -29.5 | L −7.5 | 158.5 | O 198 |
| Dec 6 | @ MEM | L 71-78 | -3.5 | L −10.5 | 158.5 | U 149 |
| Dec 10 | vs NORF | W 97-67 | -26.5 | W +3.5 | 148.5 | O 164 |
| Dec 19 | vs ALCN | W 113-56 | -35.5 | W +21.5 | 160.5 | O 169 |
| Dec 21 | vs SOU | W 111-67 | -26.5 | W +17.5 | 169.5 | O 178 |
| Jan 3 | @ TCU | L 63-69 | +2.5 | L −3.5 | 154.5 | U 132 |
| Jan 7 | vs ISU | L 60-70 | +3.5 | L −6.5 | 155.5 | U 130 |
| Jan 10 | vs HOU | L 55-77 | +2.5 | L −19.5 | 142.5 | U 132 |
| Jan 13 | @ OKST | W 94-79 | -1.5 | W +13.5 | 165.5 | O 173 |
| Jan 16 | @ KU | L 62-80 | +7.5 | L −10.5 | 156.5 | U 142 |
| Jan 20 | vs TTU | L 73-92 | +1.5 | L −17.5 | 154.5 | O 165 |
| Jan 24 | vsTCU | L 90-97 | -4.5 | L −11.5 | 147.5 | O 187 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsRGV
RGVW 96-81
−9.5
9
vsWASH
WASHW 78-69
+2.5
14
vsTAR
TARW 94-81
−10.5
24
vsCREI
CREIW 81-74
+3.5
25
vsSJU
SJUL 81-96
−9.5
26
vsSDSU
SDSUW 91-81
+7.5
2
vsSAC
SACW 110-88
−7.5
6
@MEM
MEML 71-78
−10.5
10
vsNORF
NORFW 97-67
+3.5
19
vsALCN
ALCNW 113-56
+21.5
21
vsSOU
SOUW 111-67
+17.5
3
@TCU
TCUL 63-69
−3.5
7
vsISU
ISUL 60-70
−6.5
10
vsHOU
HOUL 55-77
−19.5
13
@OKST
OKSTW 94-79
+13.5
16
@KU
KUL 62-80
−10.5
20
vsTTU
TTUL 73-92
−17.5
24
vsTCU
TCUL 90-97
−11.5
covered 7didn’t cover 11avg −2.6 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsRGV
RGVW 96-81
+22.5
9
vsWASH
WASHW 78-69
−9.5
14
vsTAR
TARW 94-81
+25.5
24
vsCREI
CREIW 81-74
+0.5
25
vsSJU
SJUL 81-96
+17.5
26
vsSDSU
SDSUW 91-81
+23.5
2
vsSAC
SACW 110-88
+39.5
6
@MEM
MEML 71-78
−9.5
10
vsNORF
NORFW 97-67
+15.5
19
vsALCN
ALCNW 113-56
+8.5
21
vsSOU
SOUW 111-67
+8.5
3
@TCU
TCUL 63-69
−22.5
7
vsISU
ISUL 60-70
−25.5
10
vsHOU
HOUL 55-77
−10.5
13
@OKST
OKSTW 94-79
+7.5
16
@KU
KUL 62-80
−14.5
20
vsTTU
TTUL 73-92
+10.5
24
vsTCU
TCUL 90-97
+39.5
over 12under 6avg +7.1 ptslonger = bigger margin
Cincinnati
20 games played
Straight up
10-10
50% wins
Against the spread
8-12
40% covers · avg −3.5 pts vs the line
Over / Under
6-14
30% overs · avg −6.3 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs WCU | W 94-63 | -22.5 | W +8.5 | 143.5 | O 157 |
| Nov 7 | vs GAST | W 74-64 | -29.5 | L −19.5 | 151.5 | U 138 |
| Nov 11 | vs DAY | W 74-62 | -5.5 | W +6.5 | 147.5 | U 136 |
| Nov 16 | vs MSM | W 72-55 | -25.5 | L −8.5 | 145.5 | U 127 |
| Nov 21 | vs LOU | L 64-74 | +8.5 | L −1.5 | 163.5 | U 138 |
| Nov 24 | vs NJIT | W 94-67 | -34.5 | L −7.5 | 141.5 | O 161 |
| Nov 26 | vs EMU | L 56-64 | -22.5 | L −30.5 | 146.5 | U 120 |
| Dec 1 | vsTAR | W 76-58 | -24.5 | L −6.5 | 142.5 | U 134 |
| Dec 5 | @ XAV | L 74-79 | -1.5 | L −6.5 | 147.5 | O 153 |
| Dec 13 | vs UGA | L 65-84 | +5.5 | L −13.5 | 157.5 | U 149 |
| Dec 17 | vs ALST | W 88-51 | -21.5 | W +15.5 | 145.5 | U 139 |
| Dec 21 | vs CLEM | L 65-68 | +3.5 | W +0.5 | 140.5 | U 133 |
| Dec 29 | vs LIP | W 89-62 | -13.5 | W +13.5 | 150.5 | O 151 |
| Jan 3 | vsHOU | L 60-67 | +4.5 | L −2.5 | 135.5 | U 127 |
| Jan 6 | @ WVU | L 60-62 | -1.5 | L −3.5 | 132.5 | U 122 |
| Jan 11 | @ UCF | L 72-73 | +2.5 | W +1.5 | 150.5 | U 145 |
| Jan 14 | vs COLO | W 77-68 | -8.5 | W +0.5 | 145.5 | U 145 |
| Jan 17 | vsISU | W 79-70 | +5.5 | W +14.5 | 141.5 | O 149 |
| Jan 21 | @ ARIZ | L 51-77 | +13.5 | L −12.5 | 152.5 | U 128 |
| Jan 24 | @ ASU | L 68-82 | -3.5 | L −17.5 | 146.5 | O 150 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsWCU
WCUW 94-63
+8.5
7
vsGAST
GASTW 74-64
−19.5
11
vsDAY
DAYW 74-62
+6.5
16
vsMSM
MSMW 72-55
−8.5
21
vsLOU
LOUL 64-74
−1.5
24
vsNJIT
NJITW 94-67
−7.5
26
vsEMU
EMUL 56-64
−30.5
1
vsTAR
TARW 76-58
−6.5
5
@XAV
XAVL 74-79
−6.5
13
vsUGA
UGAL 65-84
−13.5
17
vsALST
ALSTW 88-51
+15.5
21
vsCLEM
CLEML 65-68
+0.5
29
vsLIP
LIPW 89-62
+13.5
3
vsHOU
HOUL 60-67
−2.5
6
@WVU
WVUL 60-62
−3.5
11
@UCF
UCFL 72-73
+1.5
14
vsCOLO
COLOW 77-68
+0.5
17
vsISU
ISUW 79-70
+14.5
21
@ARIZ
ARIZL 51-77
−12.5
24
@ASU
ASUL 68-82
−17.5
covered 8didn’t cover 12avg −3.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsWCU
WCUW 94-63
+13.5
7
vsGAST
GASTW 74-64
−13.5
11
vsDAY
DAYW 74-62
−11.5
16
vsMSM
MSMW 72-55
−18.5
21
vsLOU
LOUL 64-74
−25.5
24
vsNJIT
NJITW 94-67
+19.5
26
vsEMU
EMUL 56-64
−26.5
1
vsTAR
TARW 76-58
−8.5
5
@XAV
XAVL 74-79
+5.5
13
vsUGA
UGAL 65-84
−8.5
17
vsALST
ALSTW 88-51
−6.5
21
vsCLEM
CLEML 65-68
−7.5
29
vsLIP
LIPW 89-62
+0.5
3
vsHOU
HOUL 60-67
−8.5
6
@WVU
WVUL 60-62
−10.5
11
@UCF
UCFL 72-73
−5.5
14
vsCOLO
COLOW 77-68
−0.5
17
vsISU
ISUW 79-70
+7.5
21
@ARIZ
ARIZL 51-77
−24.5
24
@ASU
ASUL 68-82
+3.5
over 6under 14avg −6.3 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Baylor
10-8 overall · 1-6 in conference · Big 12 Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Lvs TCU90–97
- Lvs Texas Tech73–92
- L@ Kansas62–80
- W@ Oklahoma St94–79
- Lvs Houston55–77
4 days since their last game.
Cincinnati
10-10 overall · 2-5 in conference · Big 12 Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- L@ Arizona St68–82
- L@ Arizona51–77
- Wvs Iowa State79–70
- Wvs Colorado77–68
- L@ UCF72–73
4 days since their last game.