Fifth Third Arena · at Cincinnati · Conference game
Closing line
CIN -8.5✓ CIN covered by 0.5
CIN -8.5✓ CIN covered by 0.5Closing total145.5Under by 0.5
 COLO | This season | CIN |
|---|---|---|
| 12-4 | Record | 8-8 |
| 9-7 | ATS | 6-10 |
| 9-7 | O/U | 4-12 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: COLO 72–77 CIN · ✓ CIN (67%) won
Loading the game…
Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| COLO | 25 | 43 | 68 |
| CIN | 43 | 34 | 77 |
1st half: COLO 25, CIN 43 (CIN by 18). The model had CIN by 2.9 and a total of 69.9 (actual 68).
Team stats
| COLO | CIN | |
|---|---|---|
| 25-56 45% | Field goals | 25-56 45% |
| 7-20 35% | 3-pointers | 3-16 19% |
| 11-15 73% | Free throws | 24-35 69% |
| 33 9 off | Rebounds | 32 8 off |
| 15 | Assists | 18 |
| 5 | Steals | 9 |
| 3 | Blocks | 5 |
| 17 | Turnovers | 10 |
| 24 | Fouls | 17 |
| 26 | Points in paint | 28 |
| 2 | Fast-break points | 24 |
Players
| COLO | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Barrington Hargress G | 36 | 14 | 2 | 3 | 4-9 | 2-4 |
| Bangot Dak F | 33 | 12 | 7 | 4 | 5-9 | 1-2 |
| Sebastian Rancik F | 24 | 5 | 6 | 0 | 1-5 | 0-2 |
| Elijah Malone C | 17 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 1-5 | 0-0 |
| Felix Kossaras G | 11 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-2 | 0-2 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Isaiah Johnson G | 28 | 18 | 1 | 0 | 7-10 | 2-3 |
| Josiah Sanders G | 25 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 3-6 | 0-1 |
| Alon Michaeli F | 21 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 3-8 | 1-4 |
| Ian Inman G | 5 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 1-2 | 1-2 |
Did not play: Tacko Ifaola, Leonardo Van Elswyk, Jon Mani, Nick Randall, Andrew Crawford, Jalin Holland
| CIN | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Baba Miller F | 34 | 25 | 11 | 4 | 10-17 | 0-3 |
| Day Day Thomas G | 33 | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3-7 | 1-2 |
| Jizzle James G | 31 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 1-9 | 0-2 |
| Moustapha Thiam C | 31 | 15 | 2 | 0 | 6-8 | 0-1 |
| Sencire Harris G | 27 | 9 | 3 | 4 | 3-7 | 0-2 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Jalen Celestine G | 16 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1-4 | 1-4 |
| Shon Abaev F | 10 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 1-2 | 1-2 |
| Keyshuan Tillery G | 8 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| Tyler McKinley F | 8 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| Halvine Dzellat C | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Jordi Rodriguez-Stegemeijer, Lucas Atauri, Bryson Buckingham, Grant Darbyshire, Jalen Haynes, Kerr Kriisa
Loading the game…
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenCIN -6.5
2 → CIN
CloseCIN -8.5
2 pts toward CIN
Total
Open149.5
▼ 4
Close145.5
Down 4 since the open
Moneyline
COLO +310 · CIN -395
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened CIN -6.5 · closed CIN -8.5 · moved 2 toward CINmodel CIN -5
model CIN -5
Opened 149.5 · closed 145.5 · moved 4 downmodel 149.5
model 149.5
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Model vs market
| Market | Model | Model edge | Result | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | CIN -8.5 | CIN -5.1 | COLO +3.4 | L CIN covered |
| Total | 145.5 | 149.3 | Over 3.8 | L Under |
| Projected score | — | COLO 72.1 · CIN 77.2 |
1st-half model
| Model | Actual | |
|---|---|---|
| 1H spread | CIN -2.9 | CIN -18.0 |
| 1H total | 69.9 | 68 |
| 1H projected score | COLO 33.5 · CIN 36.4 | COLO 25 · CIN 43 |
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| COLO | 6-4 60% | 5-5 50% | 4-6 40% |
| CIN | 3-7 30% | 4-6 40% | 2-8 20% |
Recent meetings
Since 2021-22
COLO 0–1 CINCIN leads · 1 game since 2021-22 · COLO 0-1 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 15, 2024-25 | CIN 68 @ COLO 62 | COLO +3.5 | CIN W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Colorado
16 games played
Straight up
12-4
75% wins
Against the spread
9-7
56% covers · avg −0.4 pts vs the line
Over / Under
9-7
56% overs · avg +8.4 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs MTST | W 84-78 | -11.5 | L −5.5 | 148.5 | O 162 |
| Nov 8 | vs EWU | W 102-97 | -16.5 | L −11.5 | 152.5 | O 199 |
| Nov 14 | vs PROV | W 97-88 | -1.5 | W +7.5 | 163.5 | O 185 |
| Nov 17 | vs ALST | W 94-66 | -22.5 | W +5.5 | 156.5 | O 160 |
| Nov 21 | vs UCD | W 95-79 | -14.5 | W +1.5 | 152.5 | O 174 |
| Nov 27 | vs SF | W 79-69 | +1.5 | W +11.5 | 150.5 | U 148 |
| Nov 28 | vs WASH | W 81-68 | +2.5 | W +15.5 | 151.5 | U 149 |
| Dec 1 | vs CBU | W 78-70 | -13.5 | L −5.5 | 150.5 | U 148 |
| Dec 6 | @ CSU | L 86-91 | +1.5 | L −3.5 | 149.5 | O 177 |
| Dec 13 | vs UTSA | W 88-64 | -22.5 | W +1.5 | 154.5 | U 152 |
| Dec 17 | vs PRST | W 84-73 | -16.5 | L −5.5 | 150.5 | O 157 |
| Dec 20 | vs STAN | L 68-77 | -2.5 | L −11.5 | 154.5 | U 145 |
| Dec 28 | vs UNCO | L 81-86 | -15.5 | L −20.5 | 158.5 | O 167 |
| Jan 3 | @ ASU | W 95-89 | +1.5 | W +7.5 | 156.5 | O 184 |
| Jan 7 | vs UTAH | W 85-73 | -9.5 | W +2.5 | 162.5 | U 158 |
| Jan 10 | vs TTU | L 71-73 | +5.5 | W +3.5 | 161.5 | U 144 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsMTST
MTSTW 84-78
−5.5
8
vsEWU
EWUW 102-97
−11.5
14
vsPROV
PROVW 97-88
+7.5
17
vsALST
ALSTW 94-66
+5.5
21
vsUCD
UCDW 95-79
+1.5
27
vsSF
SFW 79-69
+11.5
28
vsWASH
WASHW 81-68
+15.5
1
vsCBU
CBUW 78-70
−5.5
6
@CSU
CSUL 86-91
−3.5
13
vsUTSA
UTSAW 88-64
+1.5
17
vsPRST
PRSTW 84-73
−5.5
20
vsSTAN
STANL 68-77
−11.5
28
vsUNCO
UNCOL 81-86
−20.5
3
@ASU
ASUW 95-89
+7.5
7
vsUTAH
UTAHW 85-73
+2.5
10
vsTTU
TTUL 71-73
+3.5
covered 9didn’t cover 7avg −0.4 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsMTST
MTSTW 84-78
+13.5
8
vsEWU
EWUW 102-97
+46.5
14
vsPROV
PROVW 97-88
+21.5
17
vsALST
ALSTW 94-66
+3.5
21
vsUCD
UCDW 95-79
+21.5
27
vsSF
SFW 79-69
−2.5
28
vsWASH
WASHW 81-68
−2.5
1
vsCBU
CBUW 78-70
−2.5
6
@CSU
CSUL 86-91
+27.5
13
vsUTSA
UTSAW 88-64
−2.5
17
vsPRST
PRSTW 84-73
+6.5
20
vsSTAN
STANL 68-77
−9.5
28
vsUNCO
UNCOL 81-86
+8.5
3
@ASU
ASUW 95-89
+27.5
7
vsUTAH
UTAHW 85-73
−4.5
10
vsTTU
TTUL 71-73
−17.5
over 9under 7avg +8.4 ptslonger = bigger margin
Cincinnati
16 games played
Straight up
8-8
50% wins
Against the spread
6-10
38% covers · avg −3.4 pts vs the line
Over / Under
4-12
25% overs · avg −7 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs WCU | W 94-63 | -22.5 | W +8.5 | 143.5 | O 157 |
| Nov 7 | vs GAST | W 74-64 | -29.5 | L −19.5 | 151.5 | U 138 |
| Nov 11 | vs DAY | W 74-62 | -5.5 | W +6.5 | 147.5 | U 136 |
| Nov 16 | vs MSM | W 72-55 | -25.5 | L −8.5 | 145.5 | U 127 |
| Nov 21 | vs LOU | L 64-74 | +8.5 | L −1.5 | 163.5 | U 138 |
| Nov 24 | vs NJIT | W 94-67 | -34.5 | L −7.5 | 141.5 | O 161 |
| Nov 26 | vs EMU | L 56-64 | -22.5 | L −30.5 | 146.5 | U 120 |
| Dec 1 | vs TAR | W 76-58 | -24.5 | L −6.5 | 142.5 | U 134 |
| Dec 5 | @ XAV | L 74-79 | -1.5 | L −6.5 | 147.5 | O 153 |
| Dec 13 | vs UGA | L 65-84 | +5.5 | L −13.5 | 157.5 | U 149 |
| Dec 17 | vsALST | W 88-51 | -21.5 | W +15.5 | 145.5 | U 139 |
| Dec 21 | vs CLEM | L 65-68 | +3.5 | W +0.5 | 140.5 | U 133 |
| Dec 29 | vs LIP | W 89-62 | -13.5 | W +13.5 | 150.5 | O 151 |
| Jan 3 | vs HOU | L 60-67 | +4.5 | L −2.5 | 135.5 | U 127 |
| Jan 6 | @ WVU | L 60-62 | -1.5 | L −3.5 | 132.5 | U 122 |
| Jan 11 | @ UCF | L 72-73 | +2.5 | W +1.5 | 150.5 | U 145 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsWCU
WCUW 94-63
+8.5
7
vsGAST
GASTW 74-64
−19.5
11
vsDAY
DAYW 74-62
+6.5
16
vsMSM
MSMW 72-55
−8.5
21
vsLOU
LOUL 64-74
−1.5
24
vsNJIT
NJITW 94-67
−7.5
26
vsEMU
EMUL 56-64
−30.5
1
vsTAR
TARW 76-58
−6.5
5
@XAV
XAVL 74-79
−6.5
13
vsUGA
UGAL 65-84
−13.5
17
vsALST
ALSTW 88-51
+15.5
21
vsCLEM
CLEML 65-68
+0.5
29
vsLIP
LIPW 89-62
+13.5
3
vsHOU
HOUL 60-67
−2.5
6
@WVU
WVUL 60-62
−3.5
11
@UCF
UCFL 72-73
+1.5
covered 6didn’t cover 10avg −3.4 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsWCU
WCUW 94-63
+13.5
7
vsGAST
GASTW 74-64
−13.5
11
vsDAY
DAYW 74-62
−11.5
16
vsMSM
MSMW 72-55
−18.5
21
vsLOU
LOUL 64-74
−25.5
24
vsNJIT
NJITW 94-67
+19.5
26
vsEMU
EMUL 56-64
−26.5
1
vsTAR
TARW 76-58
−8.5
5
@XAV
XAVL 74-79
+5.5
13
vsUGA
UGAL 65-84
−8.5
17
vsALST
ALSTW 88-51
−6.5
21
vsCLEM
CLEML 65-68
−7.5
29
vsLIP
LIPW 89-62
+0.5
3
vsHOU
HOUL 60-67
−8.5
6
@WVU
WVUL 60-62
−10.5
11
@UCF
UCFL 72-73
−5.5
over 4under 12avg −7 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Colorado
12-4 overall · 2-1 in conference · Big 12 Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Lvs Texas Tech71–73
- Wvs Utah85–73
- W@ Arizona St95–89
- Lvs N Colorado81–86
- Lvs Stanford68–77
4 days since their last game.
Cincinnati
8-8 overall · 0-3 in conference · Big 12 Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- L@ UCF72–73
- L@ West Virginia60–62
- Lvs Houston60–67
- Wvs Lipscomb89–62
- Lvs Clemson65–68
3 days since their last game.