CU Events Center · at Colorado
Closing line
COLO -16.5✓ PRST covered by 5.5
Closing total150.5Over by 6.5
| This season | COLO | |
|---|---|---|
| 3-3 | Record | 9-1 |
| 5-1 | ATS | 6-4 |
| 2-4 | O/U | 6-4 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: PRST 69–85 COLO · ✓ COLO (92%) won
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| PRST | 35 | 38 | 73 |
| COLO | 37 | 47 | 84 |
1st half: PRST 35, COLO 37 (COLO by 2). The model had COLO by 9.6 and a total of 72.2 (actual 72).
Team stats
| PRST | COLO | |
|---|---|---|
| 27-57 47% | Field goals | 28-58 48% |
| 5-15 33% | 3-pointers | 6-20 30% |
| 14-20 70% | Free throws | 22-26 85% |
| 30 9 off | Rebounds | 35 11 off |
| 8 | Assists | 15 |
| 10 | Steals | 12 |
| 4 | Blocks | 5 |
| 14 | Turnovers | 12 |
| 23 | Fouls | 13 |
| 42 | Points in paint | 38 |
| 8 | Fast-break points | 17 |
Players
| PRST | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jaylin Henderson G | 40 | 23 | 6 | 4 | 10-18 | 1-1 |
| Keyon Kensie Jr. G | 35 | 11 | 8 | 1 | 3-11 | 0-4 |
| Terri Miller Jr. F | 34 | 16 | 3 | 1 | 6-12 | 2-5 |
| Tre-Vaughn Minott C | 27 | 8 | 4 | 0 | 3-5 | 0-0 |
| Alex Dupre G | 25 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0-3 | 0-1 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Sebastian Tidor G | 20 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2-4 | 1-2 |
| Isaiah Williams G | 8 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 2-3 | 1-2 |
| Kelcy Phipps G | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Kean Webb C | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Charles Chukwu F | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Brycen Long, Brayden Barron, Colt Ness, Matt Beatty, Mozae Downing-Rivers, Samuel Stewart IV, Isaac Brice
| COLO | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Barrington Hargress G | 28 | 15 | 2 | 6 | 6-9 | 2-2 |
| Felix Kossaras G | 27 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 1-4 | 1-3 |
| Bangot Dak F | 26 | 10 | 10 | 0 | 5-10 | 0-1 |
| Sebastian Rancik F | 25 | 12 | 1 | 2 | 4-9 | 1-4 |
| Elijah Malone C | 13 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Isaiah Johnson G | 27 | 20 | 2 | 3 | 4-10 | 1-5 |
| Alon Michaeli F | 24 | 9 | 10 | 0 | 3-6 | 1-2 |
| Josiah Sanders G | 19 | 9 | 3 | 4 | 4-7 | 0-2 |
| Jalin Holland G | 11 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1-3 | 0-1 |
Did not play: Leonardo Van Elswyk, Tacko Ifaola, Jon Mani, Nick Randall, Ian Inman, Andrew Crawford
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Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenCOLO -17.5
1 → PRST
CloseCOLO -16.5
1 pt toward PRST
Total
Open150.5
no move
Close150.5
No change since the open
Moneyline
PRST +1200 · COLO -2400
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened COLO -17.5 · closed COLO -16.5 · moved 1 toward PRSTmodel COLO -16
model COLO -16
Opened 150.5 · unchangedmodel 154
model 154
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Model vs market
| Market | Model | Model edge | Result | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | COLO -16.5 | COLO -16.2 | PRST +0.3 | W PRST covered |
| Total | 150.5 | 154.2 | Over 3.7 | W Over |
| Projected score | — | PRST 69 · COLO 85.2 |
1st-half model
| Model | Actual | |
|---|---|---|
| 1H spread | COLO -9.6 | COLO -2.0 |
| 1H total | 72.2 | 72 |
| 1H projected score | PRST 31.3 · COLO 40.9 | PRST 35 · COLO 37 |
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3-3 50% | 5-1 83% | 2-4 33% | |
| 9-1 90% | 6-4 60% | 6-4 60% |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Portland St
6 games played
Straight up
3-3
50% wins
Against the spread
5-1
83% covers · avg −0.2 pts vs the line
Over / Under
2-4
33% overs · avg −0.8 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
4
@
STAN
L 79-89
+1.5
12
@
SF
L 70-80
+3.5
17
vs
CSUB
W 93-80
+4.5
25
@
UTU
W 68-63
+3.5
3
@
SDAK
W 77-71
+3.5
6
vs
OMA
L 55-60
−17.5
covered 5didn’t cover 1avg −0.2 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
4
@
STAN
L 79-89
+23.5
12
@
SF
L 70-80
−4.5
17
vs
CSUB
W 93-80
+31.5
25
@
UTU
W 68-63
−15.5
3
@
SDAK
W 77-71
−10.5
6
vs
OMA
L 55-60
−29.5
over 2under 4avg −0.8 ptslonger = bigger margin
Colorado
10 games played
Straight up
9-1
90% wins
Against the spread
6-4
60% covers · avg +1.7 pts vs the line
Over / Under
6-4
60% overs · avg +12.4 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs | W 84-78 | -11.5 | L −5.5 | 148.5 | O 162 |
| Nov 8 | vs | W 102-97 | -16.5 | L −11.5 | 152.5 | O 199 |
| Nov 14 | vs | W 97-88 | -1.5 | W +7.5 | 163.5 | O 185 |
| Nov 17 | vs | W 94-66 | -22.5 | W +5.5 | 156.5 | O 160 |
| Nov 21 | vs | W 95-79 | -14.5 | W +1.5 | 152.5 | O 174 |
| Nov 27 | vs | W 79-69 | +1.5 | W +11.5 | 150.5 | U 148 |
| Nov 28 | vs | W 81-68 | +2.5 | W +15.5 | 151.5 | U 149 |
| Dec 1 | vs | W 78-70 | -13.5 | L −5.5 | 150.5 | U 148 |
| Dec 6 | @ | L 86-91 | +1.5 | L −3.5 | 149.5 | O 177 |
| Dec 13 | vs | W 88-64 | -22.5 | W +1.5 | 154.5 | U 152 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vs
MTST
W 84-78
−5.5
8
vs
EWU
W 102-97
−11.5
14
vs
PROV
W 97-88
+7.5
17
vs
ALST
W 94-66
+5.5
21
vs
UCD
W 95-79
+1.5
27
vs
SF
W 79-69
+11.5
28
vs
WASH
W 81-68
+15.5
1
vs
CBU
W 78-70
−5.5
6
@
CSU
L 86-91
−3.5
13
vs
UTSA
W 88-64
+1.5
covered 6didn’t cover 4avg +1.7 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vs
MTST
W 84-78
+13.5
8
vs
EWU
W 102-97
+46.5
14
vs
PROV
W 97-88
+21.5
17
vs
ALST
W 94-66
+3.5
21
vs
UCD
W 95-79
+21.5
27
vs
SF
W 79-69
−2.5
28
vs
WASH
W 81-68
−2.5
1
vs
CBU
W 78-70
−2.5
6
@
CSU
L 86-91
+27.5
13
vs
UTSA
W 88-64
−2.5
over 6under 4avg +12.4 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Portland St
3-3 overall · 0-0 in conference · Big Sky Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Lvs Omaha55–60
- W@ South Dakota77–71
- W@ Utah Tech68–63
- Wvs Bakersfield93–80
- L@ San Francisco70–80
A week or more of rest.
Colorado
9-1 overall · 0-0 in conference · Big 12 Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs UTSA88–64
- L@ Colorado St86–91
- Wvs CA Baptist78–70
- Wvs Washington81–68
- Wvs San Francisco79–69
4 days since their last game.