Viking Pavilion · at Portland St
Closing line
PRST -8.5✓ PRST covered by 4.5
PRST -8.5✓ PRST covered by 4.5Closing total141.5Over by 31.5
 CSUB | This season | PRST |
|---|---|---|
| 1-2 | Record | 0-2 |
| 2-1 | ATS | 2-0 |
| 1-2 | O/U | 1-1 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: CSUB 70–76 PRST · ✓ PRST (70%) won
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| CSUB | 32 | 48 | 80 |
| PRST | 42 | 51 | 93 |
1st half: CSUB 32, PRST 42 (PRST by 10). The model had PRST by 3.5 and a total of 68.8 (actual 74).
Team stats
| CSUB | PRST | |
|---|---|---|
| 25-55 45% | Field goals | 33-55 60% |
| 7-17 41% | 3-pointers | 10-18 56% |
| 23-29 79% | Free throws | 17-26 65% |
| 27 10 off | Rebounds | 33 10 off |
| 15 | Assists | 15 |
| 11 | Steals | 8 |
| 5 | Blocks | 4 |
| 17 | Turnovers | 15 |
| 22 | Fouls | 22 |
| 22 | Points in paint | 42 |
| 11 | Fast-break points | 11 |
Players
| CSUB | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dailin Smith G | 35 | 30 | 2 | 0 | 9-17 | 4-8 |
| CJ Hardy G | 31 | 21 | 3 | 7 | 5-9 | 1-3 |
| Tom Mark F | 30 | 5 | 7 | 4 | 2-4 | 0-2 |
| AJ George G | 29 | 10 | 3 | 2 | 4-9 | 1-3 |
| Pierre Geneste Jr. C | 13 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Ronald Jessamy F | 27 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 3-6 | 1-1 |
| Kadar Waller G | 13 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| Jaden Alexander G | 11 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0-2 | 0-0 |
| Mike Price G | 9 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1-5 | 0-0 |
| Caleb McCarty F | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Bentley Waller, Colin Darby, Dylan Purnell, TJ James Jr.
| PRST | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tre-Vaughn Minott C | 34 | 16 | 4 | 1 | 7-10 | 0-0 |
| Jaylin Henderson G | 31 | 28 | 2 | 5 | 10-17 | 1-3 |
| Terri Miller Jr. F | 27 | 20 | 5 | 5 | 7-9 | 3-4 |
| Keyon Kensie Jr. G | 27 | 9 | 8 | 1 | 4-6 | 1-1 |
| Alex Dupre G | 16 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 2-4 | 2-2 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Kelcy Phipps G | 25 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 1-2 | 1-2 |
| Sebastian Tidor G | 23 | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2-7 | 2-6 |
| Mozae Downing-Rivers G | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Charles Chukwu F | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Brycen Long G | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Kean Webb, Samuel Stewart IV, Isaac Brice, Colt Ness, Isaiah Williams, Brayden Barron, Matt Beatty
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Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketPRST -8.5
ModelPRST -6.0
Model edgeCSUB +2.5
L PRST covered
Total
Market141.5
Model146.8
Model edgeOver 5.3
W Over
Projected score
CSUB 70.4 · PRST 76.4
CSUB 80 · PRST 93
Win probability
PRST 70%
1st half
Spread
PRST -3.5
PRST -10.0
Total
68.8
74 points
Projected score
CSUB 32.7 · PRST 36.1
CSUB 32 · PRST 42
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenPRST -6.5
2 → PRST
ClosePRST -8.5
2 pts toward PRST
Total
Open148.5
▼ 7
Close141.5
Down 7 since the open
Moneyline
CSUB +320 · PRST -425
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened PRST -6.5 · closed PRST -8.5 · moved 2 toward PRSTmodel PRST -6
model PRST -6
Opened 148.5 · closed 141.5 · moved 7 downmodel 147
model 147
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| CSUBlast 3 | 1-2 33% | 2-1 67% | 1-2 33% |
| PRSTlast 2 | 0-2 0% | 2-0 100% | 1-1 50% |
Recent meetings
Since 2021-22
CSUB 0–1 PRSTPRST leads · 1 game since 2021-22 · CSUB 0-1 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 21, 2024-25 | PRST 59 @ CSUB 58 | CSUB -4.5 | PRST W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Bakersfield
3 games played
Straight up
1-2
33% wins
Against the spread
2-1
67% covers · avg −0.5 pts vs the line
Over / Under
1-2
33% overs · avg −2.8 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
@
CAL
CALL 60-87
−11.5
11
vs
WIU
WIUW 74-58
+8.5
14
@
MISS
MISSL 60-82
+1.5
covered 2didn’t cover 1avg −0.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
@CAL
CALL 60-87
−0.5
11
vsWIU
WIUW 74-58
−9.5
14
@MISS
MISSL 60-82
+1.5
over 1under 2avg −2.8 ptslonger = bigger margin
Portland St
2 games played
Straight up
0-2
0% wins
Against the spread
2-0
100% covers · avg +2.5 pts vs the line
Over / Under
1-1
50% overs · avg +9.5 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
4
@
STAN
STANL 79-89
+1.5
12
@
SF
SFL 70-80
+3.5
covered 2didn’t cover 0avg +2.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
4
@STAN
STANL 79-89
+23.5
12
@SF
SFL 70-80
−4.5
over 1under 1avg +9.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Bakersfield
1-2 overall · 0-0 in conference · Big West Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- L@ Ole Miss60–82
- Wvs W Illinois74–58
- L@ California60–87
3 days since their last game.
Portland St
0-2 overall · 0-0 in conference · Big Sky Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- L@ San Francisco70–80
- L@ Stanford79–89
5 days since their last game.