Memorial Gymnasium (TN) · at Vanderbilt
Line
VAN -32.5moved 1 toward BELL
Total158.5up 1 from 157.5
| This season | VAN | |
|---|---|---|
| 0-0 | Record | 0-0 |
| 0-0 | ATS | 0-0 |
| 0-0 | O/U | 0-0 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model: projects VAN 95–63 · win probability VAN 100%
Pick this game
Your picksMy picks ›
Spread
Total
Winner
Line
VAN -32.5
moved 1 toward BELL
Total
158.5
model 157.5 · Under by 1
Model edge
BELL by 1
model vs market
Public on the spread
84% BELL
76% of the money
The model has not beaten the closing line: with an edge of 3 or more it went 409-367 in 2025-26. Model record
What could decide it: VAN has more of the edges
BELL 1, VAN 7 · 2025-26 numbers until both teams have played three games
VAN offense vs BELL defense
Offense 22nd of 366 against a defense 345th, on the model’s ratings
BELL offense vs VAN defense
Offense 239th of 366 against a defense 29th, on the model’s ratings
Context
Schedule so far
BELL has played the 229th-hardest schedule, VAN the 21st. A record against a soft schedule means less
Rebounding
Offensive rebound rate: BELL 22.4%, VAN 31.2%. Defensive: BELL 65.8%, VAN 68.5%
Shooting
Effective FG%: BELL 59.4 and allows 59.4; VAN 55.3 and allows 49.0
Turnovers
Turnover rate: BELL 15.4%, VAN 13.5%. Forced: BELL 15.1%, VAN 17.7%
Context
Tempo
About 69 possessions: BELL plays 66.7 a game (288th fastest), VAN 70.9 (80th). Faster games mean more points
Three-pointers
BELL hits 38.1% and allows 40.4%; VAN hits 35.6% and allows 32.6%. Threes are 41.2% and 44.2% of their shots
Who is back
Minutes back from last season: BELL 56%, VAN 26%. Transfers in: BELL 1, VAN 5. Early in a season, turnover makes teams harder to price
Home court
VAN at home. This season: VAN 0-0 at home, BELL 0-0 away
Even
Free throws
Free throw rate: BELL 35.0, VAN 38.1. Allowed: BELL 34.3, VAN 39.5
How games like this went
Division I games since 2023-24, closing lines
| Situation | Games | Favorite won | Favorite covered | Went over |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home favorites of 20 or more | 1165 | 99% | 50% | 52% |
| Non-conference games at this spread | 1090 | 99% | 50% | 52% |
| Lines that moved 1+ toward the underdog | 4513 | 74% | 51% | 50% |
| Games with a total of 155 to 159.5 | 1555 | 74% | 51% | 49% |
Market
Open → current
Spread
OpenVAN -33.5
1 → BELL
NowVAN -32.5
1 pt toward BELL
Total
Open157.5
▲ 1
Now158.5
Up 1 since the open
Moneyline
BELL +5650 · VAN -55000
Line movement
Median of 7 sportsbooks, pre-tip-off · tap a dot
Opened VAN -33.5 · now VAN -32.5 · moved 1 toward BELLmodel VAN -32
model VAN -32
Opened 157.5 · now 158.5 · moved 1 upmodel 157.5
model 157.5
Openline modelNow
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Public betting
Share of bets and of money
Bets
Money
Over 158.5TotalUnder 158.5
Bets
Money
Bets
Money
Books
7 sportsbooks · current prices
| Book | Spread | Total | Moneyline | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BELL | VAN | Over | Under | BELL | VAN | |
| BetMGMMGM | -32.5-110 | +32.5-110 | 158.5-115 | 158.5-105 | +3300 | -10000 |
| BetOnline.agBetOnline.ag | -33-115 | +33-105 | 159-110 | 159-110 | — | — |
| BetRiversBetRivers | -32.5-113 | +32.5-113 | 157.5-112 | 157.5-114 | — | — |
| BovadaBovada | -33-115 | +33-105 | 159-110 | 159-110 | — | — |
| DraftKingsDK | -32.5-110 | +32.5-110 | 158.5-112 | 158.5-108 | — | — |
| FanDuelFD | -31.5-110 | +31.5-110 | 158.5-110 | 158.5-110 | +8000 | -100000 |
| LowVig.agLowVig.ag | -33-111 | +33-101 | 159-108 | 159-108 | — | — |
Model vs market
| Market | Model | Model edge | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | VAN -32.5 | VAN -31.8 | BELL +0.8 |
| Total | 158.5 | 157.5 | Under 1.0 |
| Projected score | — | BELL 62.9 · VAN 94.6 |
1st-half model
| Model | Actual | |
|---|---|---|
| 1H spread | VAN -18.8 | — |
| 1H total | 73.6 | — |
| 1H projected score | BELL 27.4 · VAN 46.2 | — |
Showing 2025-26 until both teams have played this season.
Last 10 games
2025-26
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 4-6 40% | 6-4 60% | 7-3 70% | |
| 6-4 60% | 4-6 40% | 5-5 50% |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Bellarmine
30 games played
Straight up
11-19
37% wins
Against the spread
19-11
63% covers · avg +2 pts vs the line
Over / Under
20-10
67% overs · avg +9.2 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | @ | L 59-104 | +23.5 | L −21.5 | 150.5 | O 163 |
| Nov 8 | @ | L 71-98 | +28.5 | W +1.5 | 168.5 | O 169 |
| Nov 15 | vs | L 86-94 | +3.5 | L −4.5 | 156.5 | O 180 |
| Nov 19 | @ | L 79-86 | +24.5 | W +17.5 | 150.5 | O 165 |
| Nov 24 | @ | W 70-58 | -3.5 | W +8.5 | 156.5 | U 128 |
| Nov 25 | vs | W 74-69 | +2.5 | W +7.5 | 144.5 | U 143 |
| Dec 6 | @ | L 68-81 | +16.5 | W +3.5 | 157.5 | U 149 |
| Dec 13 | vs | L 76-80 | +4.5 | W +0.5 | 146.5 | O 156 |
| Dec 17 | vs | W 79-64 | +1.5 | W +16.5 | 146.5 | U 143 |
| Dec 23 | @ | L 85-99 | +34.5 | W +20.5 | 152.5 | O 184 |
| Jan 1 | @ | L 85-87 | -1.5 | L −3.5 | 151.5 | O 172 |
| Jan 3 | @ | L 76-98 | +7.5 | L −14.5 | 169.5 | O 174 |
| Jan 8 | vs | W 84-78 | +2.5 | W +8.5 | 154.5 | O 162 |
| Jan 10 | vs | L 73-82 | -4.5 | L −13.5 | 146.5 | O 155 |
| Jan 15 | @ | L 71-81 | +11.5 | W +1.5 | 154.5 | U 152 |
| Jan 17 | @ | L 69-89 | +5.5 | L −14.5 | 156.5 | O 158 |
| Jan 22 | @ | W 77-70 | +4.5 | W +11.5 | 138.5 | O 147 |
| Jan 24 | @ | L 114-117 | -3.5 | L −6.5 | 164.5 | O 231 |
| Jan 28 | vs | W 77-74 | -2.5 | W +0.5 | 151.5 | U 151 |
| Jan 31 | vs | W 78-75 | +5.5 | W +8.5 | 163.5 | U 153 |
| Feb 5 | vs | W 92-71 | -4.5 | W +16.5 | 148.5 | O 163 |
| Feb 7 | vs | W 81-65 | +2.5 | W +18.5 | 151.5 | U 146 |
| Feb 11 | @ | L 76-84 | +8.5 | W +0.5 | 150.5 | O 160 |
| Feb 14 | @ | L 70-90 | +9.5 | L −10.5 | 153.5 | O 160 |
| Feb 18 | vs | L 72-75 | +3.5 | W +0.5 | 154.5 | U 147 |
| Feb 21 | vs | L 92-95 | +1.5 | L −1.5 | 153.5 | O 187 |
| Feb 25 | @ | L 68-73 | -2.5 | L −7.5 | 146.5 | U 141 |
| Feb 28 | vs | W 111-97 | +5.5 | W +19.5 | 153.5 | O 208 |
| Mar 4 | vs | W 82-79 | -1.5 | W +1.5 | 144.5 | O 161 |
| Mar 6 | vs | L 73-86 | +6.5 | L −6.5 | 154.5 | O 159 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
@
UGA
L 59-104
−21.5
8
@
KSU
L 71-98
+1.5
15
vs
WOF
L 86-94
−4.5
19
@
ND
L 79-86
+17.5
24
@
CIT
W 70-58
+8.5
25
vs
HCU
W 74-69
+7.5
6
@
MUR
L 68-81
+3.5
13
vs
NKU
L 76-80
+0.5
17
vs
UTC
W 79-64
+16.5
23
@
UK
L 85-99
+20.5
1
@
WGA
L 85-87
−3.5
3
@
QUC
L 76-98
−14.5
8
vs
CARK
W 84-78
+8.5
10
vs
UNA
L 73-82
−13.5
15
@
LIP
L 71-81
+1.5
17
@
EKU
L 69-89
−14.5
22
@
JAX
W 77-70
+11.5
24
@
UNF
L 114-117
−6.5
28
vs
WGA
W 77-74
+0.5
31
vs
QUC
W 78-75
+8.5
5
vs
STET
W 92-71
+16.5
7
vs
FGCU
W 81-65
+18.5
11
@
CARK
L 76-84
+0.5
14
@
APSU
L 70-90
−10.5
18
vs
LIP
L 72-75
+0.5
21
vs
EKU
L 92-95
−1.5
25
@
UNA
L 68-73
−7.5
28
vs
APSU
W 111-97
+19.5
4
vs
JAX
W 82-79
+1.5
6
vs
CARK
L 73-86
−6.5
covered 19didn’t cover 11avg +2 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
@
UGA
L 59-104
+12.5
8
@
KSU
L 71-98
+0.5
15
vs
WOF
L 86-94
+23.5
19
@
ND
L 79-86
+14.5
24
@
CIT
W 70-58
−28.5
25
vs
HCU
W 74-69
−1.5
6
@
MUR
L 68-81
−8.5
13
vs
NKU
L 76-80
+9.5
17
vs
UTC
W 79-64
−3.5
23
@
UK
L 85-99
+31.5
1
@
WGA
L 85-87
+20.5
3
@
QUC
L 76-98
+4.5
8
vs
CARK
W 84-78
+7.5
10
vs
UNA
L 73-82
+8.5
15
@
LIP
L 71-81
−2.5
17
@
EKU
L 69-89
+1.5
22
@
JAX
W 77-70
+8.5
24
@
UNF
L 114-117
+66.5
28
vs
WGA
W 77-74
−0.5
31
vs
QUC
W 78-75
−10.5
5
vs
STET
W 92-71
+14.5
7
vs
FGCU
W 81-65
−5.5
11
@
CARK
L 76-84
+9.5
14
@
APSU
L 70-90
+6.5
18
vs
LIP
L 72-75
−7.5
21
vs
EKU
L 92-95
+33.5
25
@
UNA
L 68-73
−5.5
28
vs
APSU
W 111-97
+54.5
4
vs
JAX
W 82-79
+16.5
6
vs
CARK
L 73-86
+4.5
over 20under 10avg +9.2 ptslonger = bigger margin
Vanderbilt
36 games played
Straight up
27-9
75% wins
Against the spread
18-18
50% covers · avg +0.6 pts vs the line
Over / Under
17-19
47% overs · avg +1.2 pts vs the total
Against the spread
18-1850%
3 straight misses ATS1 of last 4 covered
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs | W 105-61 | -26.5 | W +17.5 | 154.5 | O 166 |
| Nov 8 | @ | W 105-93 | -10.5 | W +1.5 | 166.5 | O 198 |
| Nov 12 | vs | W 92-62 | -28.5 | W +1.5 | 168.5 | U 154 |
| Nov 15 | vs | W 104-75 | -41.5 | L −12.5 | 172.5 | O 179 |
| Nov 20 | vs | W 109-74 | -36.5 | L −1.5 | 164.5 | O 183 |
| Nov 26 | vs | W 83-78 | -18.5 | L −13.5 | 168.5 | U 161 |
| Nov 27 | vs | W 89-74 | -6.5 | W +8.5 | 161.5 | O 163 |
| Nov 28 | vs | W 96-71 | -4.5 | W +20.5 | 149.5 | O 167 |
| Dec 3 | vs | W 88-69 | -10.5 | W +8.5 | 165.5 | U 157 |
| Dec 13 | vs | W 83-72 | -36.5 | L −25.5 | 158.5 | U 155 |
| Dec 17 | @ | W 77-70 | -9.5 | L −2.5 | 159.5 | U 147 |
| Dec 21 | @ | W 98-67 | -5.5 | W +25.5 | 164.5 | O 165 |
| Dec 29 | vs | W 96-53 | -39.5 | W +3.5 | 145.5 | O 149 |
| Jan 3 | @ | W 83-71 | -9.5 | W +2.5 | 155.5 | U 154 |
| Jan 7 | vs | W 96-90 | -3.5 | W +2.5 | 176.5 | O 186 |
| Jan 10 | vs | W 84-73 | -13.5 | L −2.5 | 159.5 | U 157 |
| Jan 14 | @ | L 64-80 | -3.5 | L −19.5 | 163.5 | U 144 |
| Jan 17 | vs | L 94-98 | +1.5 | L −2.5 | 164.5 | O 192 |
| Jan 20 | @ | L 68-93 | +1.5 | L −23.5 | 173.5 | U 161 |
| Jan 24 | @ | W 88-56 | -7.5 | W +24.5 | 159.5 | U 144 |
| Jan 27 | vs | W 80-55 | -5.5 | W +19.5 | 155.5 | U 135 |
| Jan 31 | vs | W 71-68 | -10.5 | L −7.5 | 149.5 | U 139 |
| Feb 7 | vs | L 91-92 | -11.5 | L −12.5 | 159.5 | O 183 |
| Feb 10 | @ | W 84-76 | +3.5 | W +11.5 | 161.5 | U 160 |
| Feb 14 | vs | W 82-69 | -7.5 | W +5.5 | 165.5 | U 151 |
| Feb 18 | @ | L 80-81 | -3.5 | L −4.5 | 154.5 | O 161 |
| Feb 21 | vs | L 65-69 | -2.5 | L −6.5 | 150.5 | U 134 |
| Feb 25 | vs | W 88-80 | -7.5 | W +0.5 | 163.5 | O 168 |
| Feb 28 | @ | L 77-91 | +1.5 | L −12.5 | 157.5 | O 168 |
| Mar 3 | @ | W 89-86 | -7.5 | L −4.5 | 155.5 | O 175 |
| Mar 7 | @ | W 86-82 | +2.5 | W +6.5 | 146.5 | O 168 |
| Mar 13 | vs | W 75-68 | +1.5 | W +8.5 | 147.5 | U 143 |
| Mar 14 | vs | W 91-74 | +7.5 | W +24.5 | 161.5 | O 165 |
| Mar 15 | vs | L 75-86 | -2.5 | L −13.5 | 165.5 | U 161 |
| Mar 19 | vs | W 78-68 | -12.5 | L −2.5 | 148.5 | U 146 |
| Mar 21 | vs | L 72-74 | -1.5 | L −3.5 | 146.5 | U 146 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vs
LIP
W 105-61
+17.5
8
@
UCF
W 105-93
+1.5
12
vs
EKU
W 92-62
+1.5
15
vs
UAPB
W 104-75
−12.5
20
vs
TXSO
W 109-74
−1.5
26
vs
WKU
W 83-78
−13.5
27
vs
VCU
W 89-74
+8.5
28
vs
SMC
W 96-71
+20.5
3
vs
SMU
W 88-69
+8.5
13
vs
CARK
W 83-72
−25.5
17
@
MEM
W 77-70
−2.5
21
@
WAKE
W 98-67
+25.5
29
vs
NHVN
W 96-53
+3.5
3
@
SC
W 83-71
+2.5
7
vs
ALA
W 96-90
+2.5
10
vs
LSU
W 84-73
−2.5
14
@
TEX
L 64-80
−19.5
17
vs
FLA
L 94-98
−2.5
20
@
ARK
L 68-93
−23.5
24
@
MSST
W 88-56
+24.5
27
vs
UK
W 80-55
+19.5
31
vs
MISS
W 71-68
−7.5
7
vs
OU
L 91-92
−12.5
10
@
AUB
W 84-76
+11.5
14
vs
TA&M
W 82-69
+5.5
18
@
MIZ
L 80-81
−4.5
21
vs
TENN
L 65-69
−6.5
25
vs
UGA
W 88-80
+0.5
28
@
UK
L 77-91
−12.5
3
@
MISS
W 89-86
−4.5
7
@
TENN
W 86-82
+6.5
13
vs
TENN
W 75-68
+8.5
14
vs
FLA
W 91-74
+24.5
15
vs
ARK
L 75-86
−13.5
19
vs
MCN
W 78-68
−2.5
21
vs
NEB
L 72-74
−3.5
covered 18didn’t cover 18avg +0.6 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vs
LIP
W 105-61
+11.5
8
@
UCF
W 105-93
+31.5
12
vs
EKU
W 92-62
−14.5
15
vs
UAPB
W 104-75
+6.5
20
vs
TXSO
W 109-74
+18.5
26
vs
WKU
W 83-78
−7.5
27
vs
VCU
W 89-74
+1.5
28
vs
SMC
W 96-71
+17.5
3
vs
SMU
W 88-69
−8.5
13
vs
CARK
W 83-72
−3.5
17
@
MEM
W 77-70
−12.5
21
@
WAKE
W 98-67
+0.5
29
vs
NHVN
W 96-53
+3.5
3
@
SC
W 83-71
−1.5
7
vs
ALA
W 96-90
+9.5
10
vs
LSU
W 84-73
−2.5
14
@
TEX
L 64-80
−19.5
17
vs
FLA
L 94-98
+27.5
20
@
ARK
L 68-93
−12.5
24
@
MSST
W 88-56
−15.5
27
vs
UK
W 80-55
−20.5
31
vs
MISS
W 71-68
−10.5
7
vs
OU
L 91-92
+23.5
10
@
AUB
W 84-76
−1.5
14
vs
TA&M
W 82-69
−14.5
18
@
MIZ
L 80-81
+6.5
21
vs
TENN
L 65-69
−16.5
25
vs
UGA
W 88-80
+4.5
28
@
UK
L 77-91
+10.5
3
@
MISS
W 89-86
+19.5
7
@
TENN
W 86-82
+21.5
13
vs
TENN
W 75-68
−4.5
14
vs
FLA
W 91-74
+3.5
15
vs
ARK
L 75-86
−4.5
19
vs
MCN
W 78-68
−2.5
21
vs
NEB
L 72-74
−0.5
over 17under 19avg +1.2 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Vanderbilt has the better starters
Position by position: Bellarmine 0, Vanderbilt 5, even 0
BellarmineBetterVanderbilt
G K. Goodin11.7 pts · 2.8 reb · 2 ast
Score 31
→VANBig
G T. Tanner19.5 pts · 3.6 reb · 5.1 ast
Score 100
G T. Doyle10 pts · 2.9 reb · 4 ast
Score 35
→VANBig
G A. Glass TR16.1 pts · 3 reb · 2.4 ast
Score 86
F S. Donald6.5 pts · 3.3 reb · 2.1 ast
Score 12
→VANBig
F S. Williams-Adams TR7 pts · 3.5 reb · 1.5 ast
Score 55
F J. Wassler3.4 pts · 2.1 reb · 0.3 ast
Score 4
→VANBig
F B. Dak TR11.5 pts · 6.5 reb · 1.4 ast
Score 90
F T. Tornatta TR3 pts · 2.1 reb · 0.4 ast
Score 26
→VANBig
C B. Buyuktuncel TR6.5 pts · 5.6 reb · 1.9 ast
Score 61
BellarmineBetterVanderbilt
BELL offense239th of 366 · -7.3
→VANBig
VAN defense29th of 366 · +3.7
BELL defense345th of 366 · -9.2
→VANBig
VAN offense22nd of 366 · +7.6
Backcourt-3.8 · 2 players
→VANBig
Backcourt+10.2 · 2 players
Frontcourt-4.9 · 3 players
→VANBig
Frontcourt+3.7 · 3 players
Bench-1.5 · 3 players
→VANSmall
Bench-0.4 · 3 players
Score, worst to bestBELL betterVAN betterTR transfer · NEW no Division I numbers
Depth chart
Projected rotation by position, starters outlined
Guards
K. Goodin33 minT. Doyle28 minG. Whitaker7 minG. Neal3 minT. Clark2 minJ. GizziNew
Forwards
S. Donald27 minJ. Wassler12 minT. Tornatta9 min · TRA. McAfeeNewB. KlopfensteinNewE. HarrellNew
Guards
T. Tanner34 minA. Glass29 min · TRA. BrownNewM. HawkinsNewB. AllenNewC. ByingtonNew
Forwards
S. Williams-Adams27 min · TRB. Dak26 min · TRT. Barrett23 min · TRC. Bing15 minE. MgbakoNewG. NesmithNew
Centers
B. Buyuktuncel24 min · TRJ. Leverett4 min
Showing 2025-26 until both teams have played this season.
Matchup stats
2025-26 · rank among 365 teams
Scoring
Points per game
Points per possession
Pace (possessions)
Shooting
Effective FG%
3-point %
3-point attempt rate
Free throw rate
Possessions
Turnover rate
Offensive rebound rate
Assists per game
Defense
Points allowed
Points allowed per possession
Opponent effective FG%
Opponent 3-point %
Turnovers forced
Defensive rebound rate
Steals per game
Blocks per game
| Scoring | ||
|---|---|---|
| 78.9 #80 | Points per game | 85.7 #14 |
| 1.18 #34 | Points per possession | 1.21 #9 |
| 66.7 #288 | Pace (possessions) | 70.9 #80 |
| Shooting | ||
| 59.4 #3 | Effective FG% | 55.3 #31 |
| 38.1 #17 | 3-point % | 35.6 #86 |
| 41.2 #145 | 3-point attempt rate | 44.2 #85 |
| 35.0 #178 | Free throw rate | 38.1 #101 |
| Possessions | ||
| 15.4 #100 | Turnover rate | 13.5 #15 |
| 22.4 #354 | Offensive rebound rate | 31.2 #158 |
| 14.8 #98 | Assists per game | 16.3 #40 |
| Defense | ||
| 83.3 #350 | Points allowed | 75.0 #187 |
| 1.25 #365 | Points allowed per possession | 1.06 #99 |
| 59.4 #365 | Opponent effective FG% | 49.0 #67 |
| 40.4 #364 | Opponent 3-point % | 32.6 #96 |
| 15.1 #277 | Turnovers forced | 17.7 #112 |
| 65.8 #320 | Defensive rebound rate | 68.5 #231 |
| 5.8 #255 | Steals per game | 7.9 #40 |
| 1.7 #356 | Blocks per game | 4.5 #36 |
Bellarmine
11-19 in 2025-26 overall · 8-12 in conference · Atlantic Sun Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Lvs C Arkansas73–86
- Wvs Jacksonville82–79
- Wvs Austin Peay111–97
- L@ North Alabama68–73
- Lvs E Kentucky92–95
A week or more of rest.
Vanderbilt
27-9 in 2025-26 overall · 13-8 in conference · Southeastern Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Lvs Nebraska72–74
- Wvs McNeese78–68
- Lvs Arkansas75–86
- Wvs Florida91–74
- Wvs Tennessee75–68
A week or more of rest.