McAlister Field House · at The Citadel
Closing line
BELL -3.5✓ BELL covered by 8.5
Closing total156.5Under by 28.5
| This season | CIT | |
|---|---|---|
| 0-4 | Record | 0-3 |
| 2-2 | ATS | 0-3 |
| 4-0 | O/U | 2-1 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: BELL 83–79 CIT · ✓ BELL (62%) won
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| BELL | 35 | 35 | 70 |
| CIT | 31 | 27 | 58 |
1st half: BELL 35, CIT 31 (BELL by 4). The model had BELL by 2.2 and a total of 75.8 (actual 66).
Team stats
| BELL | CIT | |
|---|---|---|
| 25-50 50% | Field goals | 22-59 37% |
| 11-22 50% | 3-pointers | 3-24 13% |
| 9-16 56% | Free throws | 11-16 69% |
| 24 4 off | Rebounds | 44 19 off |
| 16 | Assists | 5 |
| 6 | Steals | 3 |
| 2 | Blocks | 2 |
| 7 | Turnovers | 12 |
| 13 | Fouls | 16 |
| 26 | Points in paint | 38 |
| 7 | Fast-break points | 4 |
Players
| BELL | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kenyon Goodin G | 38 | 24 | 3 | 3 | 8-13 | 6-9 |
| Jack Karasinski F | 32 | 16 | 3 | 1 | 5-12 | 2-6 |
| Sam Donald F | 32 | 4 | 5 | 4 | 2-5 | 0-1 |
| Brian Waddell F | 28 | 15 | 0 | 1 | 6-8 | 1-2 |
| Myles Watkins G | 18 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 0-3 | 0-1 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Michael Wilson Jr. G | 21 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 4-7 | 2-3 |
| Darrius Bolden G | 16 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| Grant Whitaker G | 15 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Donovan Hunter, Tommy Clark, Jacob Wassler, Dominique Murphy, Ant McAfee, Grant Neal, Tyler Doyle, Luke Anderson
| CIT | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Carter Kingsbury G | 30 | 11 | 6 | 0 | 5-11 | 1-5 |
| Eze Wali G | 30 | 10 | 7 | 2 | 3-7 | 1-3 |
| Christian Moore F | 25 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0-4 | 0-4 |
| Simeon German F | 25 | 4 | 9 | 0 | 2-6 | 0-0 |
| Keynan Davis G | 20 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 2-8 | 0-4 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Dante Kearse G | 18 | 7 | 5 | 1 | 3-4 | 1-2 |
| Braxton Williams F | 17 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 3-8 | 0-2 |
| Marcos Gonzales G | 16 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0-2 | 0-1 |
| Cassius Bonjasky F | 12 | 7 | 4 | 0 | 2-5 | 0-1 |
| Logan Applegate G | 7 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2-3 | 0-1 |
Did not play: Rowan Irelan, Logan Menefee, Chase Williams, Gabe Hernandez, Jameson Heck, Aidan Alexander, Jack Walter, Sola Adebisi
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Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketBELL -3.5
ModelBELL -3.4
Model edgeCIT +0.1
L BELL covered
Total
Market156.5
Model161.9
Model edgeOver 5.4
L Under
Projected score
BELL 82.7 · CIT 79.3
BELL 70 · CIT 58
Win probability
BELL 62%
1st half
Spread
BELL -2.2
BELL -4.0
Total
75.8
66 points
Projected score
BELL 39 · CIT 36.8
BELL 35 · CIT 31
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenBELL -1.5
2 → BELL
CloseBELL -3.5
2 pts toward BELL
Total
Open158.5
▼ 2
Close156.5
Down 2 since the open
Moneyline
BELL -170 · CIT +145
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened BELL -1.5 · closed BELL -3.5 · moved 2 toward BELLmodel BELL -3.5 matches the line
model BELL -3.5 = line ✓
Opened 158.5 · closed 156.5 · moved 2 downmodel 162
model 162
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0-4 0% | 2-2 50% | 4-0 100% | |
| 0-3 0% | 0-3 0% | 2-1 67% |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Bellarmine
4 games played
Straight up
0-4
0% wins
Against the spread
2-2
50% covers · avg −1.8 pts vs the line
Over / Under
4-0
100% overs · avg +12.8 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
@
UGA
L 59-104
−21.5
8
@
KSU
L 71-98
+1.5
15
vs
WOF
L 86-94
−4.5
19
@
ND
L 79-86
+17.5
covered 2didn’t cover 2avg −1.8 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
@
UGA
L 59-104
+12.5
8
@
KSU
L 71-98
+0.5
15
vs
WOF
L 86-94
+23.5
19
@
ND
L 79-86
+14.5
over 4under 0avg +12.8 ptslonger = bigger margin
The Citadel
3 games played
Straight up
0-3
0% wins
Against the spread
0-3
0% covers · avg −7.5 pts vs the line
Over / Under
2-1
67% overs · avg +18.8 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
6
@
BC
L 47-76
−13.5
10
vs
CHSO
L 86-96
−7.5
14
@
WGA
L 92-100
−1.5
covered 0didn’t cover 3avg −7.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
6
@
BC
L 47-76
−21.5
10
vs
CHSO
L 86-96
+36.5
14
@
WGA
L 92-100
+41.5
over 2under 1avg +18.8 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Bellarmine
0-4 overall · 0-0 in conference · Atlantic Sun Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- L@ Notre Dame79–86
- Lvs Wofford86–94
- L@ Kansas St71–98
- L@ Georgia59–104
5 days since their last game.
The Citadel
0-3 overall · 0-0 in conference · Southern Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- L@ West Georgia92–100
- Lvs Charleston So86–96
- L@ Boston College47–76
A week or more of rest.