Bridgestone Arena · Neutral site · Conference game · Conference tournament
Closing line
TENN -1.5✓ VAN covered by 8.5
TENN -1.5✓ VAN covered by 8.5Closing total147.5Under by 4.5
| TENN | This season | VAN |
|---|---|---|
| 22-10 | Record | 24-7 |
| 14-18 | ATS | 16-15 |
| 16-16 | O/U | 16-15 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: TENN 77–76 VAN · ✗ TENN (53%) lost
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| TENN | 31 | 37 | 68 |
| VAN | 31 | 44 | 75 |
1st half: TENN 31, VAN 31 (tied). The model had TENN by 0.6 and a total of 71.3 (actual 62).
Team stats
| TENN | VAN | |
|---|---|---|
| 24-64 38% | Field goals | 23-57 40% |
| 4-17 24% | 3-pointers | 7-27 26% |
| 16-26 62% | Free throws | 22-26 85% |
| 46 23 off | Rebounds | 34 13 off |
| 12 | Assists | 13 |
| 4 | Steals | 6 |
| 1 | Blocks | 5 |
| 9 | Turnovers | 6 |
| 22 | Fouls | 19 |
| 30 | Points in paint | 24 |
| 5 | Fast-break points | 11 |
Players
| TENN | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ja'Kobi Gillespie G | 38 | 21 | 2 | 4 | 8-14 | 3-7 |
| Nate Ament F | 30 | 12 | 11 | 2 | 1-13 | 0-5 |
| Felix Okpara F | 27 | 8 | 6 | 0 | 4-7 | 0-0 |
| Bishop Boswell G | 21 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0-4 | 0-2 |
| J.P. Estrella F | 20 | 12 | 6 | 1 | 4-8 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Jaylen Carey F | 23 | 10 | 5 | 1 | 5-7 | 0-0 |
| Ethan Burg G | 18 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 2-4 | 1-2 |
| Amari Evans G | 13 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0-4 | 0-1 |
| DeWayne Brown II F | 10 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0-3 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Campbell Duncan, Gavin Paull, Clarence Massamba, Cade Phillips, Grant Hurst, Amaree Abram
| VAN | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tyler Tanner G | 35 | 19 | 6 | 4 | 5-12 | 0-3 |
| AK Okereke F | 34 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 2-14 | 1-8 |
| Duke Miles G | 33 | 30 | 6 | 5 | 11-14 | 4-5 |
| Tyler Nickel F | 27 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 2-9 | 2-8 |
| Devin McGlockton F | 21 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 1-2 | 0-1 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Chandler Bing F | 23 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1-2 | 0-1 |
| Jalen Washington F | 22 | 7 | 7 | 2 | 1-4 | 0-1 |
| Jayden Leverett C | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Mike James, Frankie Collins, Miles Keeffe, George Kimble III, Jaylon Dean-Vines, Tyler Harris, Coleson Messer, Mason Nicholson
Loading the game…
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenTENN -1.5
no move
CloseTENN -1.5
No change since the open
Total
Open146.5
▲ 1
Close147.5
Up 1 since the open
Moneyline
TENN -142 · VAN +120
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened TENN -1.5 · unchangedmodel TENN -1
model TENN -1
Opened 146.5 · closed 147.5 · moved 1 upmodel 152.5
model 152.5
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Model vs market
| Market | Model | Model edge | Result | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | TENN -1.5 | TENN -0.8 | VAN +0.7 | W VAN covered |
| Total | 147.5 | 152.4 | Over 4.9 | L Under |
| Projected score | — | TENN 76.6 · VAN 75.8 |
1st-half model
| Model | Actual | |
|---|---|---|
| 1H spread | TENN -0.6 | PK |
| 1H total | 71.3 | 62 |
| 1H projected score | TENN 35.9 · VAN 35.3 | TENN 31 · VAN 31 |
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| TENN | 6-4 60% | 5-5 50% | 2-8 20% |
| VAN | 6-4 60% | 4-6 40% | 6-4 60% |
Recent meetings
Last 5 of 10 since 2021-22
TENN 7–3 VANTENN leads · 10 games since 2021-22 · TENN 3-7 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 7, 2025-26 | VAN 86 @ TENN 82 | TENN -2.5 | VAN W |
| Feb 21, 2025-26 | TENN 69 @ VAN 65 | VAN -2.5 | TENN W |
| Feb 15, 2024-25 | VAN 76 @ TENN 81 | TENN -12.5 | VAN W |
| Jan 18, 2024-25 | TENN 75 @ VAN 76 | VAN +5.5 | VAN W |
| Feb 17, 2023-24 | VAN 53 @ TENN 88 | TENN -20.5 | TENN W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Tennessee
32 games played
Straight up
22-10
69% wins
Against the spread
14-18
44% covers · avg −1.1 pts vs the line
Over / Under
16-16
50% overs · avg +0 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs MER | W 76-61 | -28.5 | L −13.5 | 143.5 | U 137 |
| Nov 8 | vs NKU | W 95-56 | -27.5 | W +11.5 | 137.5 | O 151 |
| Nov 12 | vs UNF | W 99-66 | -41.5 | L −8.5 | 155.5 | O 165 |
| Nov 17 | vs RICE | W 91-66 | -26.5 | L −1.5 | 143.5 | O 157 |
| Nov 20 | vs TNST | W 89-60 | -31.5 | L −2.5 | 157.5 | U 149 |
| Nov 24 | vs RUTG | W 85-60 | -14.5 | W +10.5 | 141.5 | O 145 |
| Nov 25 | vs HOU | W 76-73 | +2.5 | W +5.5 | 136.5 | O 149 |
| Nov 26 | vs KU | L 76-81 | -7.5 | L −12.5 | 140.5 | O 157 |
| Dec 2 | @ SYR | L 60-62 | -7.5 | L −9.5 | 147.5 | U 122 |
| Dec 6 | vs ILL | L 62-75 | -1.5 | L −14.5 | 149.5 | U 137 |
| Dec 16 | vs LOU | W 83-62 | -4.5 | W +16.5 | 156.5 | U 145 |
| Dec 21 | vs GWEB | W 94-52 | -42.5 | L −0.5 | 152.5 | U 146 |
| Dec 30 | vs SCST | W 105-54 | -44.5 | W +6.5 | 147.5 | O 159 |
| Jan 3 | @ ARK | L 75-86 | -1.5 | L −12.5 | 158.5 | O 161 |
| Jan 6 | vs TEX | W 85-71 | -12.5 | W +1.5 | 153.5 | O 156 |
| Jan 10 | @ FLA | L 67-91 | +4.5 | L −19.5 | 151.5 | O 158 |
| Jan 13 | vs TA&M | W 87-82 | -11.5 | L −6.5 | 159.5 | O 169 |
| Jan 17 | vs UK | L 78-80 | -6.5 | L −8.5 | 145.5 | O 158 |
| Jan 24 | @ ALA | W 79-73 | +4.5 | W +10.5 | 167.5 | U 152 |
| Jan 28 | @ UGA | W 86-85 | -1.5 | L −0.5 | 157.5 | O 171 |
| Jan 31 | vs AUB | W 77-69 | -5.5 | W +2.5 | 147.5 | U 146 |
| Feb 3 | vs MISS | W 84-66 | -12.5 | W +5.5 | 139.5 | O 150 |
| Feb 7 | @UK | L 71-74 | +1.5 | L −1.5 | 147.5 | U 145 |
| Feb 11 | @ MSST | W 73-64 | -8.5 | W +0.5 | 147.5 | U 137 |
| Feb 14 | vs LSU | W 73-63 | -14.5 | L −4.5 | 143.5 | U 136 |
| Feb 18 | vs OU | W 89-66 | -11.5 | W +11.5 | 149.5 | O 155 |
| Feb 21 | @VAN | W 69-65 | +2.5 | W +6.5 | 150.5 | U 134 |
| Feb 24 | @ MIZ | L 69-73 | -3.5 | L −7.5 | 143.5 | U 142 |
| Feb 28 | vsALA | L 69-71 | -5.5 | L −7.5 | 162.5 | U 140 |
| Mar 3 | @ SC | W 78-59 | -10.5 | W +8.5 | 141.5 | U 137 |
| Mar 7 | vsVAN | L 82-86 | -2.5 | L −6.5 | 146.5 | O 168 |
| Mar 12 | vsAUB | W 72-62 | -5.5 | W +4.5 | 144.5 | U 134 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsMER
MERW 76-61
−13.5
8
vsNKU
NKUW 95-56
+11.5
12
vsUNF
UNFW 99-66
−8.5
17
vsRICE
RICEW 91-66
−1.5
20
vsTNST
TNSTW 89-60
−2.5
24
vsRUTG
RUTGW 85-60
+10.5
25
vsHOU
HOUW 76-73
+5.5
26
vsKU
KUL 76-81
−12.5
2
@SYR
SYRL 60-62
−9.5
6
vsILL
ILLL 62-75
−14.5
16
vsLOU
LOUW 83-62
+16.5
21
vsGWEB
GWEBW 94-52
−0.5
30
vsSCST
SCSTW 105-54
+6.5
3
@ARK
ARKL 75-86
−12.5
6
vsTEX
TEXW 85-71
+1.5
10
@FLA
FLAL 67-91
−19.5
13
vsTA&M
TA&MW 87-82
−6.5
17
vsUK
UKL 78-80
−8.5
24
@ALA
ALAW 79-73
+10.5
28
@UGA
UGAW 86-85
−0.5
31
vsAUB
AUBW 77-69
+2.5
3
vsMISS
MISSW 84-66
+5.5
7
@UK
UKL 71-74
−1.5
11
@MSST
MSSTW 73-64
+0.5
14
vsLSU
LSUW 73-63
−4.5
18
vsOU
OUW 89-66
+11.5
21
@VAN
VANW 69-65
+6.5
24
@MIZ
MIZL 69-73
−7.5
28
vsALA
ALAL 69-71
−7.5
3
@SC
SCW 78-59
+8.5
7
vsVAN
VANL 82-86
−6.5
12
vsAUB
AUBW 72-62
+4.5
covered 14didn’t cover 18avg −1.1 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsMER
MERW 76-61
−6.5
8
vsNKU
NKUW 95-56
+13.5
12
vsUNF
UNFW 99-66
+9.5
17
vsRICE
RICEW 91-66
+13.5
20
vsTNST
TNSTW 89-60
−8.5
24
vsRUTG
RUTGW 85-60
+3.5
25
vsHOU
HOUW 76-73
+12.5
26
vsKU
KUL 76-81
+16.5
2
@SYR
SYRL 60-62
−25.5
6
vsILL
ILLL 62-75
−12.5
16
vsLOU
LOUW 83-62
−11.5
21
vsGWEB
GWEBW 94-52
−6.5
30
vsSCST
SCSTW 105-54
+11.5
3
@ARK
ARKL 75-86
+2.5
6
vsTEX
TEXW 85-71
+2.5
10
@FLA
FLAL 67-91
+6.5
13
vsTA&M
TA&MW 87-82
+9.5
17
vsUK
UKL 78-80
+12.5
24
@ALA
ALAW 79-73
−15.5
28
@UGA
UGAW 86-85
+13.5
31
vsAUB
AUBW 77-69
−1.5
3
vsMISS
MISSW 84-66
+10.5
7
@UK
UKL 71-74
−2.5
11
@MSST
MSSTW 73-64
−10.5
14
vsLSU
LSUW 73-63
−7.5
18
vsOU
OUW 89-66
+5.5
21
@VAN
VANW 69-65
−16.5
24
@MIZ
MIZL 69-73
−1.5
28
vsALA
ALAL 69-71
−22.5
3
@SC
SCW 78-59
−4.5
7
vsVAN
VANL 82-86
+21.5
12
vsAUB
AUBW 72-62
−10.5
over 16under 16avg +0 ptslonger = bigger margin
Vanderbilt
31 games played
Straight up
24-7
77% wins
Against the spread
16-15
52% covers · avg +0.3 pts vs the line
Over / Under
16-15
52% overs · avg +1.7 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs LIP | W 105-61 | -26.5 | W +17.5 | 154.5 | O 166 |
| Nov 8 | @ UCF | W 105-93 | -10.5 | W +1.5 | 166.5 | O 198 |
| Nov 12 | vs EKU | W 92-62 | -28.5 | W +1.5 | 168.5 | U 154 |
| Nov 15 | vs UAPB | W 104-75 | -41.5 | L −12.5 | 172.5 | O 179 |
| Nov 20 | vs TXSO | W 109-74 | -36.5 | L −1.5 | 164.5 | O 183 |
| Nov 26 | vs WKU | W 83-78 | -18.5 | L −13.5 | 168.5 | U 161 |
| Nov 27 | vs VCU | W 89-74 | -6.5 | W +8.5 | 161.5 | O 163 |
| Nov 28 | vs SMC | W 96-71 | -4.5 | W +20.5 | 149.5 | O 167 |
| Dec 3 | vs SMU | W 88-69 | -10.5 | W +8.5 | 165.5 | U 157 |
| Dec 13 | vs CARK | W 83-72 | -36.5 | L −25.5 | 158.5 | U 155 |
| Dec 17 | @ MEM | W 77-70 | -9.5 | L −2.5 | 159.5 | U 147 |
| Dec 21 | @ WAKE | W 98-67 | -5.5 | W +25.5 | 164.5 | O 165 |
| Dec 29 | vs NHVN | W 96-53 | -39.5 | W +3.5 | 145.5 | O 149 |
| Jan 3 | @SC | W 83-71 | -9.5 | W +2.5 | 155.5 | U 154 |
| Jan 7 | vsALA | W 96-90 | -3.5 | W +2.5 | 176.5 | O 186 |
| Jan 10 | vsLSU | W 84-73 | -13.5 | L −2.5 | 159.5 | U 157 |
| Jan 14 | @TEX | L 64-80 | -3.5 | L −19.5 | 163.5 | U 144 |
| Jan 17 | vsFLA | L 94-98 | +1.5 | L −2.5 | 164.5 | O 192 |
| Jan 20 | @ARK | L 68-93 | +1.5 | L −23.5 | 173.5 | U 161 |
| Jan 24 | @MSST | W 88-56 | -7.5 | W +24.5 | 159.5 | U 144 |
| Jan 27 | vsUK | W 80-55 | -5.5 | W +19.5 | 155.5 | U 135 |
| Jan 31 | vsMISS | W 71-68 | -10.5 | L −7.5 | 149.5 | U 139 |
| Feb 7 | vsOU | L 91-92 | -11.5 | L −12.5 | 159.5 | O 183 |
| Feb 10 | @AUB | W 84-76 | +3.5 | W +11.5 | 161.5 | U 160 |
| Feb 14 | vsTA&M | W 82-69 | -7.5 | W +5.5 | 165.5 | U 151 |
| Feb 18 | @MIZ | L 80-81 | -3.5 | L −4.5 | 154.5 | O 161 |
| Feb 21 | vsTENN | L 65-69 | -2.5 | L −6.5 | 150.5 | U 134 |
| Feb 25 | vsUGA | W 88-80 | -7.5 | W +0.5 | 163.5 | O 168 |
| Feb 28 | @UK | L 77-91 | +1.5 | L −12.5 | 157.5 | O 168 |
| Mar 3 | @MISS | W 89-86 | -7.5 | L −4.5 | 155.5 | O 175 |
| Mar 7 | @TENN | W 86-82 | +2.5 | W +6.5 | 146.5 | O 168 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsLIP
LIPW 105-61
+17.5
8
@UCF
UCFW 105-93
+1.5
12
vsEKU
EKUW 92-62
+1.5
15
vsUAPB
UAPBW 104-75
−12.5
20
vsTXSO
TXSOW 109-74
−1.5
26
vsWKU
WKUW 83-78
−13.5
27
vsVCU
VCUW 89-74
+8.5
28
vsSMC
SMCW 96-71
+20.5
3
vsSMU
SMUW 88-69
+8.5
13
vsCARK
CARKW 83-72
−25.5
17
@MEM
MEMW 77-70
−2.5
21
@WAKE
WAKEW 98-67
+25.5
29
vsNHVN
NHVNW 96-53
+3.5
3
@SC
SCW 83-71
+2.5
7
vsALA
ALAW 96-90
+2.5
10
vsLSU
LSUW 84-73
−2.5
14
@TEX
TEXL 64-80
−19.5
17
vsFLA
FLAL 94-98
−2.5
20
@ARK
ARKL 68-93
−23.5
24
@MSST
MSSTW 88-56
+24.5
27
vsUK
UKW 80-55
+19.5
31
vsMISS
MISSW 71-68
−7.5
7
vsOU
OUL 91-92
−12.5
10
@AUB
AUBW 84-76
+11.5
14
vsTA&M
TA&MW 82-69
+5.5
18
@MIZ
MIZL 80-81
−4.5
21
vsTENN
TENNL 65-69
−6.5
25
vsUGA
UGAW 88-80
+0.5
28
@UK
UKL 77-91
−12.5
3
@MISS
MISSW 89-86
−4.5
7
@TENN
TENNW 86-82
+6.5
covered 16didn’t cover 15avg +0.3 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsLIP
LIPW 105-61
+11.5
8
@UCF
UCFW 105-93
+31.5
12
vsEKU
EKUW 92-62
−14.5
15
vsUAPB
UAPBW 104-75
+6.5
20
vsTXSO
TXSOW 109-74
+18.5
26
vsWKU
WKUW 83-78
−7.5
27
vsVCU
VCUW 89-74
+1.5
28
vsSMC
SMCW 96-71
+17.5
3
vsSMU
SMUW 88-69
−8.5
13
vsCARK
CARKW 83-72
−3.5
17
@MEM
MEMW 77-70
−12.5
21
@WAKE
WAKEW 98-67
+0.5
29
vsNHVN
NHVNW 96-53
+3.5
3
@SC
SCW 83-71
−1.5
7
vsALA
ALAW 96-90
+9.5
10
vsLSU
LSUW 84-73
−2.5
14
@TEX
TEXL 64-80
−19.5
17
vsFLA
FLAL 94-98
+27.5
20
@ARK
ARKL 68-93
−12.5
24
@MSST
MSSTW 88-56
−15.5
27
vsUK
UKW 80-55
−20.5
31
vsMISS
MISSW 71-68
−10.5
7
vsOU
OUL 91-92
+23.5
10
@AUB
AUBW 84-76
−1.5
14
vsTA&M
TA&MW 82-69
−14.5
18
@MIZ
MIZL 80-81
+6.5
21
vsTENN
TENNL 65-69
−16.5
25
vsUGA
UGAW 88-80
+4.5
28
@UK
UKL 77-91
+10.5
3
@MISS
MISSW 89-86
+19.5
7
@TENN
TENNW 86-82
+21.5
over 16under 15avg +1.7 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Tennessee
22-10 overall · 12-7 in conference · Southeastern Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs Auburn72–62
- Lvs Vanderbilt82–86
- W@ South Carolina78–59
- Lvs Alabama69–71
- L@ Missouri69–73
1 day since their last game.
Vanderbilt
24-7 overall · 11-7 in conference · Southeastern Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- W@ Tennessee86–82
- W@ Ole Miss89–86
- L@ Kentucky77–91
- Wvs Georgia88–80
- Lvs Tennessee65–69
6 days since their last game.