Food City Center · at Tennessee
Closing line
TENN -31.5✓ TNST covered by 2.5
Closing total157.5Under by 8.5
| This season | TENN | |
|---|---|---|
| 0-2 | Record | 4-0 |
| 1-1 | ATS | 1-3 |
| 2-0 | O/U | 3-1 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: TNST 63–93 TENN · ✓ TENN (99%) won
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| TNST | 21 | 39 | 60 |
| TENN | 43 | 46 | 89 |
1st half: TNST 21, TENN 43 (TENN by 22). The model had TENN by 17.6 and a total of 73.0 (actual 64).
Team stats
| TNST | TENN | |
|---|---|---|
| 18-56 32% | Field goals | 25-57 44% |
| 5-27 19% | 3-pointers | 8-25 32% |
| 19-25 76% | Free throws | 31-35 89% |
| 30 12 off | Rebounds | 38 10 off |
| 11 | Assists | 20 |
| 12 | Steals | 12 |
| 3 | Blocks | 4 |
| 22 | Turnovers | 17 |
| 23 | Fouls | 20 |
| 22 | Points in paint | 32 |
| 16 | Fast-break points | 13 |
Players
| TNST | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dante Harris G | 36 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 0-6 | 0-2 |
| Aaron Nkrumah G | 34 | 19 | 4 | 5 | 5-16 | 1-8 |
| Travis Harper II G | 33 | 17 | 5 | 2 | 7-15 | 3-10 |
| Jalen Pitre F | 17 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| Carlous Williams F | 15 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-2 | 0-1 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Khalil London G | 15 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0-7 | 0-4 |
| Jabrion Spikes G | 15 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 1-3 | 0-1 |
| Antoine Lorick III F | 14 | 12 | 2 | 0 | 3-3 | 1-1 |
| Kavien Jones F | 10 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| Jean Lafleur C | 9 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| JC Brooks F | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Maddux Bodenhamer, Ogien Ayo, Alex Garcia, Damon Howard Jr., Jayden Jones
| TENN | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ja'Kobi Gillespie G | 31 | 17 | 4 | 5 | 7-13 | 1-7 |
| Felix Okpara F | 29 | 11 | 8 | 1 | 3-7 | 1-1 |
| Amaree Abram G | 23 | 15 | 2 | 1 | 4-6 | 3-4 |
| Nate Ament F | 22 | 15 | 6 | 4 | 3-10 | 2-6 |
| Cade Phillips F | 22 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Troy Henderson G | 18 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0-3 | 0-3 |
| Ethan Burg G | 17 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 1-5 | 1-4 |
| DeWayne Brown II F | 16 | 13 | 3 | 0 | 3-6 | 0-0 |
| Jaylen Carey F | 13 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 3-4 | 0-0 |
| Clarence Massamba G | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Amari Evans G | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Campbell Duncan, Gavin Paull, Bishop Boswell, J.P. Estrella, Grant Hurst
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Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenTENN -31.5
no move
CloseTENN -31.5
No change since the open
Total
Open151.5
▲ 6
Close157.5
Up 6 since the open
Moneyline
TNST +4000 · TENN -100000
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened TENN -31.5 · unchangedmodel TENN -29.5
model TENN -29.5
Opened 151.5 · closed 157.5 · moved 6 upmodel 156
model 156
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Model vs market
| Market | Model | Model edge | Result | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | TENN -31.5 | TENN -29.4 | TNST +2.1 | W TNST covered |
| Total | 157.5 | 155.9 | Under 1.6 | W Under |
| Projected score | — | TNST 63.3 · TENN 92.6 |
1st-half model
| Model | Actual | |
|---|---|---|
| 1H spread | TENN -17.6 | TENN -22.0 |
| 1H total | 73.0 | 64 |
| 1H projected score | TNST 27.7 · TENN 45.3 | TNST 21 · TENN 43 |
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0-2 0% | 1-1 50% | 2-0 100% | |
| 4-0 100% | 1-3 25% | 3-1 75% |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Tennessee St
2 games played
Straight up
0-2
0% wins
Against the spread
1-1
50% covers · avg +2.5 pts vs the line
Over / Under
2-0
100% overs · avg +8.5 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
8
@
BEL
L 79-87
+5.5
16
@
WKU
L 82-95
−0.5
covered 1didn’t cover 1avg +2.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
8
@
BEL
L 79-87
+7.5
16
@
WKU
L 82-95
+9.5
over 2under 0avg +8.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Tennessee
4 games played
Straight up
4-0
100% wins
Against the spread
1-3
25% covers · avg −3 pts vs the line
Over / Under
3-1
75% overs · avg +7.5 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vs
MER
W 76-61
−13.5
8
vs
NKU
W 95-56
+11.5
12
vs
UNF
W 99-66
−8.5
17
vs
RICE
W 91-66
−1.5
covered 1didn’t cover 3avg −3 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vs
MER
W 76-61
−6.5
8
vs
NKU
W 95-56
+13.5
12
vs
UNF
W 99-66
+9.5
17
vs
RICE
W 91-66
+13.5
over 3under 1avg +7.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Tennessee St
0-2 overall · 0-0 in conference · Ohio Valley Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- L@ Western KY82–95
- L@ Belmont79–87
4 days since their last game.
Tennessee
4-0 overall · 0-0 in conference · Southeastern Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs Rice91–66
- Wvs North Florida99–66
- Wvs N Kentucky95–56
- Wvs Mercer76–61
3 days since their last game.