Curb Event Center Arena · at Belmont
#245TNSTTennessee St79final
Final
#138BELBelmont87▲ winner
Closing lineBEL -13.5✓ TNST covered by 5.5
Closing total158.5Over by 7.5
Season records: Tennessee St and Belmont
TNSTThis seasonBEL
0-0Record1-0
0-0ATS1-0
0-0O/U0-1

ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders

Model before tip-off: TNST 72–84 BEL · ✓ BEL (85%) won
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Box score

Score by half
1H2HT
TNST324779
BEL345387

1st half: TNST 32, BEL 34 (BEL by 2). The model had BEL by 7.1 and a total of 72.9 (actual 66).

Team stats

TNSTBEL
27-77 35%Field goals30-57 53%
8-27 30%3-pointers5-20 25%
17-20 85%Free throws22-33 67%
44 19 offRebounds42 8 off
9Assists18
12Steals6
3Blocks6
13Turnovers17
28Fouls15
34Points in paint50
14Fast-break points8

Players

TNSTMINPTSREBASTFG3P
Travis Harper II G3415324-92-6
Dante Harris G3221718-213-6
Aaron Nkrumah G2914504-131-4
Jalen Pitre F1941112-30-0
Carlous Williams F153211-70-2
Bench
Khalil London G2814014-162-8
Antoine Lorick III F206523-70-1
Jabrion Spikes G142411-10-0
JC Brooks F90100-00-0

Did not play: Maddux Bodenhamer, Alex Garcia, Kavien Jones, Ogien Ayo, Damon Howard Jr., Jayden Jones, Jean Lafleur

BELMINPTSREBASTFG3P
Jabez Jenkins G3111523-80-3
Tyler Lundblade G3014214-104-9
Sam Orme F3014826-110-3
Nic McClain G297682-70-3
Drew Scharnowski F2017716-70-0
Bench
Aidan Noyes F142101-20-1
Brigham Rogers F1412405-60-0
Isaiah West G115211-20-0
Eoin Dillon F103201-11-1
Win Miller G82021-30-0
Jack Smiley G30010-00-0

Did not play: Graydon Lemke, Keith Robbins, Jake Dykstra, Cooper Haynes

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Market vs model

The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketBEL -13.5
ModelBEL -12.0
Model edgeTNST +1.5
W TNST covered
Total
Market158.5
Model155.8
Model edgeUnder 2.7
L Over
Projected score
TNST 71.9 · BEL 83.9
TNST 79 · BEL 87
Win probability
BEL 85%
1st half
Spread
BEL -7.1
BEL -2.0
Total
72.9
66 points
Projected score
TNST 32.9 · BEL 40
TNST 32 · BEL 34

Market

Open → close
Spread
1 pt toward BEL
Total
Up 2 since the open
Moneyline
TNST +750 · BEL -1400
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened BEL -12.5 · closed BEL -13.5 · moved 1 toward BELmodel BEL -12
Opened 156.5 · closed 158.5 · moved 2 upmodel 156
Openline modelTip-off

Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.

Tennessee St

0-0 overall · 0-0 in conference · Ohio Valley Conference

Last five, 2025-26
  • No games yet

A week or more of rest.

Belmont

1-0 overall · 0-0 in conference · Missouri Valley Conference

Last five, 2025-26
  • Wvs Air Force79–63

5 days since their last game.