Food City Center · at Tennessee
Closing line
TENN -41.5✓ UNF covered by 8.5
Closing total155.5Over by 9.5
| This season | TENN | |
|---|---|---|
| 0-1 | Record | 2-0 |
| 1-0 | ATS | 1-1 |
| 0-1 | O/U | 1-1 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: UNF 61–94 TENN · ✓ TENN (100%) won
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| UNF | 30 | 36 | 66 |
| TENN | 47 | 52 | 99 |
1st half: UNF 30, TENN 47 (TENN by 17). The model had TENN by 19.9 and a total of 72.5 (actual 77).
Team stats
| UNF | TENN | |
|---|---|---|
| 25-65 38% | Field goals | 37-71 52% |
| 10-35 29% | 3-pointers | 8-27 30% |
| 6-12 50% | Free throws | 17-24 71% |
| 24 12 off | Rebounds | 52 20 off |
| 13 | Assists | 26 |
| 9 | Steals | 9 |
| 1 | Blocks | 9 |
| 17 | Turnovers | 14 |
| 18 | Fouls | 12 |
| 28 | Points in paint | 54 |
| 14 | Fast-break points | 16 |
Players
| UNF | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kamrin Oriol G | 34 | 11 | 1 | 3 | 3-12 | 2-6 |
| Mason Lee G | 30 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 2-4 | 1-3 |
| Kent Jackson G | 28 | 16 | 4 | 5 | 6-15 | 4-12 |
| Devin Hines G | 27 | 11 | 4 | 1 | 5-17 | 1-7 |
| Dalton Gayman F | 25 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4-8 | 0-1 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Dante Oliver G | 17 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2-2 | 1-1 |
| BJ Plummer G | 17 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2-2 | 1-1 |
| Nestor Dyachok F | 10 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1-2 | 0-1 |
| Trey Cady G | 8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0-2 | 0-2 |
| Gabe Jacobs G | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
| Taylor Thompson G | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Arden Begaj, Mason Watkins, Alex Vargo
| TENN | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nate Ament F | 33 | 19 | 9 | 5 | 6-16 | 1-6 |
| Ja'Kobi Gillespie G | 31 | 21 | 0 | 7 | 6-13 | 4-10 |
| Felix Okpara F | 20 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 2-4 | 0-1 |
| Cade Phillips F | 19 | 9 | 9 | 1 | 4-6 | 0-0 |
| Ethan Burg G | 15 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 1-3 | 0-1 |
| Bench | ||||||
| J.P. Estrella F | 20 | 23 | 10 | 1 | 11-14 | 1-2 |
| Troy Henderson G | 14 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 1-4 | 1-3 |
| Amaree Abram G | 13 | 9 | 0 | 2 | 3-6 | 1-3 |
| DeWayne Brown II F | 12 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Amari Evans G | 9 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Jaylen Carey F | 9 | 6 | 6 | 1 | 3-4 | 0-0 |
| Clarence Massamba G | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
Did not play: Campbell Duncan, Gavin Paull, Bishop Boswell, Grant Hurst
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Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketTENN -41.5
ModelTENN -33.1
Model edgeUNF +8.4
W UNF covered
Total
Market155.5
Model154.8
Model edgeUnder 0.8
L Over
Projected score
UNF 60.8 · TENN 93.9
UNF 66 · TENN 99
Win probability
TENN 100%
1st half
Spread
TENN -19.9
TENN -17.0
Total
72.5
77 points
Projected score
UNF 26.3 · TENN 46.2
UNF 30 · TENN 47
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenTENN -40.5
1 → TENN
CloseTENN -41.5
1 pt toward TENN
Total
Open154.5
▲ 1
Close155.5
Up 1 since the open
Moneyline
—
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened TENN -40.5 · closed TENN -41.5 · moved 1 toward TENNmodel TENN -33
model TENN -33
Opened 154.5 · closed 155.5 · moved 1 upmodel 155
model 155
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0-1 0% | 1-0 100% | 0-1 0% | |
| 2-0 100% | 1-1 50% | 1-1 50% |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
North Florida
1 game played
Straight up
0-1
0% wins
Against the spread
1-0
100% covers · avg +3.5 pts vs the line
Over / Under
0-1
0% overs · avg −1.5 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 6 | @ | L 64-104 | +43.5 | W +3.5 | 169.5 | U 168 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
6
@
FLA
L 64-104
+3.5
covered 1didn’t cover 0avg +3.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
6
@
FLA
L 64-104
−1.5
over 0under 1avg −1.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Tennessee
2 games played
Straight up
2-0
100% wins
Against the spread
1-1
50% covers · avg −1 pts vs the line
Over / Under
1-1
50% overs · avg +3.5 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vs
MER
W 76-61
−13.5
8
vs
NKU
W 95-56
+11.5
covered 1didn’t cover 1avg −1 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vs
MER
W 76-61
−6.5
8
vs
NKU
W 95-56
+13.5
over 1under 1avg +3.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
North Florida
0-1 overall · 0-0 in conference · Atlantic Sun Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- L@ Florida64–104
6 days since their last game.
Tennessee
2-0 overall · 0-0 in conference · Southeastern Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs N Kentucky95–56
- Wvs Mercer76–61
4 days since their last game.