Food City Center · at Tennessee
Closing line
TENN -27.5✓ TENN covered by 11.5
TENN -27.5✓ TENN covered by 11.5Closing total137.5Over by 13.5
 NKU | This season | TENN |
|---|---|---|
| 0-0 | Record | 1-0 |
| 0-0 | ATS | 0-1 |
| 0-0 | O/U | 0-1 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: NKU 59–85 TENN · ✓ TENN (99%) won
Loading the game…
Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| NKU | 31 | 25 | 56 |
| TENN | 52 | 43 | 95 |
1st half: NKU 31, TENN 52 (TENN by 21). The model had TENN by 15.4 and a total of 67.2 (actual 83).
Team stats
| NKU | TENN | |
|---|---|---|
| 21-58 36% | Field goals | 34-65 52% |
| 9-30 30% | 3-pointers | 12-29 41% |
| 5-13 38% | Free throws | 15-19 79% |
| 25 10 off | Rebounds | 47 16 off |
| 11 | Assists | 24 |
| 9 | Steals | 10 |
| 1 | Blocks | 2 |
| 15 | Turnovers | 12 |
| 18 | Fouls | 13 |
| 22 | Points in paint | 42 |
| 10 | Fast-break points | 22 |
Players
| NKU | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kael Robinson F | 32 | 14 | 8 | 2 | 5-13 | 4-10 |
| LJ Wells F | 32 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 1-5 | 0-2 |
| Ethan Elliott G | 30 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 3-8 | 0-3 |
| Donovan Oday G | 28 | 14 | 2 | 1 | 6-10 | 2-4 |
| Dan Gherezgher G | 27 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 4-15 | 1-8 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Tae Dozier G | 18 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1-2 | 1-2 |
| Shawn Nelson G | 15 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1-4 | 1-1 |
| Addison Archer F | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| Donovan Rakotonanahary F | 8 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Bryce Darbyshire G | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Ryan Tolliver, Mitchel Minor, Juanma Ruiz, JJ Apathjang
| TENN | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ja'Kobi Gillespie G | 27 | 20 | 3 | 4 | 8-14 | 4-10 |
| Nate Ament F | 24 | 23 | 8 | 5 | 6-12 | 2-4 |
| Bishop Boswell G | 22 | 6 | 5 | 2 | 2-3 | 2-3 |
| Felix Okpara F | 20 | 4 | 11 | 0 | 2-5 | 0-0 |
| Cade Phillips F | 18 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2-3 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| J.P. Estrella F | 20 | 17 | 11 | 3 | 8-11 | 0-1 |
| Ethan Burg G | 16 | 8 | 0 | 3 | 2-3 | 2-2 |
| Troy Henderson G | 16 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 1-6 | 1-6 |
| DeWayne Brown II F | 12 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 2-3 | 0-0 |
| Amaree Abram G | 10 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0-3 | 0-2 |
| Jaylen Carey F | 10 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| Amari Evans G | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Clarence Massamba G | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1-1 | 1-1 |
Did not play: Campbell Duncan, Gavin Paull, Grant Hurst
Loading the game…
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenTENN -27.5
no move
CloseTENN -27.5
No change since the open
Total
Open141.5
▼ 4
Close137.5
Down 4 since the open
Moneyline
NKU +4000 · TENN -100000
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened TENN -27.5 · unchangedmodel TENN -25.5
model TENN -25.5
Opened 141.5 · closed 137.5 · moved 4 downmodel 143.5
model 143.5
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Model vs market
| Market | Model | Model edge | Result | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | TENN -27.5 | TENN -25.7 | NKU +1.8 | L TENN covered |
| Total | 137.5 | 143.3 | Over 5.8 | W Over |
| Projected score | — | NKU 58.8 · TENN 84.5 |
1st-half model
| Model | Actual | |
|---|---|---|
| 1H spread | TENN -15.4 | TENN -21.0 |
| 1H total | 67.2 | 83 |
| 1H projected score | NKU 25.8 · TENN 41.3 | NKU 31 · TENN 52 |
Showing 2024-25 until both teams have played this season.
Last 10 games
2024-25
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| NKU | 7-3 70% | 6-4 60% | 7-3 70% |
| TENN | 7-3 70% | 4-6 40% | 5-5 50% |
ATS History · 2024-25
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
N Kentucky
31 games played
Straight up
15-16
48% wins
Against the spread
11-20
35% covers · avg −2.5 pts vs the line
Over / Under
14-17
45% overs · avg +2.9 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 4 | @ FSU | L 62-74 | +8.5 | L −3.5 | 146.5 | U 136 |
| Nov 8 | @ PUR | L 50-72 | +20.5 | L −1.5 | 147.5 | U 122 |
| Nov 14 | vs NICH | L 59-61 | -6.5 | L −8.5 | 141.5 | U 120 |
| Nov 19 | vs CIN | L 60-76 | +13.5 | L −2.5 | 138.5 | U 136 |
| Nov 27 | @ COFC | L 64-79 | +6.5 | L −8.5 | 140.5 | O 143 |
| Nov 30 | vs BELL | W 86-70 | -10.5 | W +5.5 | 135.5 | O 156 |
| Dec 3 | @ AKR | L 73-86 | +6.5 | L −6.5 | 144.5 | O 159 |
| Dec 7 | @ IUIN | W 66-64 | -7.5 | L −5.5 | 139.5 | U 130 |
| Dec 15 | vs NORF | W 71-62 | -3.5 | W +5.5 | 137.5 | U 133 |
| Dec 18 | vs DETM | W 73-60 | -13.5 | L −0.5 | 134.5 | U 133 |
| Dec 21 | vs SCST | W 58-47 | -8.5 | W +2.5 | 137.5 | U 105 |
| Dec 29 | @ RMU | L 93-97 | -1.5 | L −5.5 | 134.5 | O 190 |
| Jan 1 | vs PFW | W 69-68 | -2.5 | L −1.5 | 143.5 | U 137 |
| Jan 4 | vs GB | W 78-60 | -12.5 | W +5.5 | 139.5 | U 138 |
| Jan 8 | @ YSU | L 61-72 | +2.5 | L −8.5 | 136.5 | U 133 |
| Jan 11 | vs OAK | L 53-68 | -3.5 | L −18.5 | 128.5 | U 121 |
| Jan 15 | @ CLE | L 58-76 | +4.5 | L −13.5 | 132.5 | O 134 |
| Jan 18 | vs WRST | L 70-78 | -1.5 | L −9.5 | 142.5 | O 148 |
| Jan 24 | vs MILW | L 59-79 | -1.5 | L −21.5 | 142.5 | U 138 |
| Jan 30 | @DETM | L 57-68 | -7.5 | L −18.5 | 133.5 | U 125 |
| Feb 1 | @OAK | W 84-75 | +6.5 | W +15.5 | 129.5 | O 159 |
| Feb 5 | vsCLE | W 85-75 | -1.5 | W +8.5 | 132.5 | O 160 |
| Feb 8 | vsRMU | L 76-81 | -1.5 | L −6.5 | 139.5 | O 157 |
| Feb 14 | @GB | W 73-60 | -7.5 | W +5.5 | 141.5 | U 133 |
| Feb 16 | @MILW | L 70-92 | +6.5 | L −15.5 | 145.5 | O 162 |
| Feb 21 | @WRST | W 80-76 | +3.5 | W +7.5 | 147.5 | O 156 |
| Feb 23 | vsIUIN | W 71-67 | -8.5 | L −4.5 | 145.5 | U 138 |
| Feb 27 | @PFW | W 79-74 | +6.5 | W +11.5 | 151.5 | O 153 |
| Mar 1 | vsYSU | W 88-79 | -2.5 | W +6.5 | 145.5 | O 167 |
| Mar 4 | vsDETM | W 99-75 | -14.5 | W +9.5 | 140.5 | O 174 |
| Mar 6 | @CLE | L 63-68 | +4.5 | L −0.5 | 140.5 | U 131 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
4
@FSU
FSUL 62-74
−3.5
8
@PUR
PURL 50-72
−1.5
14
vsNICH
NICHL 59-61
−8.5
19
vsCIN
CINL 60-76
−2.5
27
@COFC
COFCL 64-79
−8.5
30
vsBELL
BELLW 86-70
+5.5
3
@AKR
AKRL 73-86
−6.5
7
@IUIN
IUINW 66-64
−5.5
15
vsNORF
NORFW 71-62
+5.5
18
vsDETM
DETMW 73-60
−0.5
21
vsSCST
SCSTW 58-47
+2.5
29
@RMU
RMUL 93-97
−5.5
1
vsPFW
PFWW 69-68
−1.5
4
vsGB
GBW 78-60
+5.5
8
@YSU
YSUL 61-72
−8.5
11
vsOAK
OAKL 53-68
−18.5
15
@CLE
CLEL 58-76
−13.5
18
vsWRST
WRSTL 70-78
−9.5
24
vsMILW
MILWL 59-79
−21.5
30
@DETM
DETML 57-68
−18.5
1
@OAK
OAKW 84-75
+15.5
5
vsCLE
CLEW 85-75
+8.5
8
vsRMU
RMUL 76-81
−6.5
14
@GB
GBW 73-60
+5.5
16
@MILW
MILWL 70-92
−15.5
21
@WRST
WRSTW 80-76
+7.5
23
vsIUIN
IUINW 71-67
−4.5
27
@PFW
PFWW 79-74
+11.5
1
vsYSU
YSUW 88-79
+6.5
4
vsDETM
DETMW 99-75
+9.5
6
@CLE
CLEL 63-68
−0.5
covered 11didn’t cover 20avg −2.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
4
@FSU
FSUL 62-74
−10.5
8
@PUR
PURL 50-72
−25.5
14
vsNICH
NICHL 59-61
−21.5
19
vsCIN
CINL 60-76
−2.5
27
@COFC
COFCL 64-79
+2.5
30
vsBELL
BELLW 86-70
+20.5
3
@AKR
AKRL 73-86
+14.5
7
@IUIN
IUINW 66-64
−9.5
15
vsNORF
NORFW 71-62
−4.5
18
vsDETM
DETMW 73-60
−1.5
21
vsSCST
SCSTW 58-47
−32.5
29
@RMU
RMUL 93-97
+55.5
1
vsPFW
PFWW 69-68
−6.5
4
vsGB
GBW 78-60
−1.5
8
@YSU
YSUL 61-72
−3.5
11
vsOAK
OAKL 53-68
−7.5
15
@CLE
CLEL 58-76
+1.5
18
vsWRST
WRSTL 70-78
+5.5
24
vsMILW
MILWL 59-79
−4.5
30
@DETM
DETML 57-68
−8.5
1
@OAK
OAKW 84-75
+29.5
5
vsCLE
CLEW 85-75
+27.5
8
vsRMU
RMUL 76-81
+17.5
14
@GB
GBW 73-60
−8.5
16
@MILW
MILWL 70-92
+16.5
21
@WRST
WRSTW 80-76
+8.5
23
vsIUIN
IUINW 71-67
−7.5
27
@PFW
PFWW 79-74
+1.5
1
vsYSU
YSUW 88-79
+21.5
4
vsDETM
DETMW 99-75
+33.5
6
@CLE
CLEL 63-68
−9.5
over 14under 17avg +2.9 ptslonger = bigger margin
Tennessee
38 games played
Straight up
30-8
79% wins
Against the spread
20-18
53% covers · avg +0.5 pts vs the line
Over / Under
16-22
42% overs · avg −4.4 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 4 | vs GWEB | W 80-64 | -27.5 | L −11.5 | 142.5 | O 144 |
| Nov 9 | @ LOU | W 77-55 | +2.5 | W +24.5 | 156.5 | U 132 |
| Nov 13 | vs MONT | W 92-57 | -25.5 | W +9.5 | 141.5 | O 149 |
| Nov 17 | vs APSU | W 103-68 | -27.5 | W +7.5 | 141.5 | O 171 |
| Nov 21 | vs UVA | W 64-42 | -12.5 | W +9.5 | 126.5 | U 106 |
| Nov 22 | vs BAY | W 77-62 | -4.5 | W +10.5 | 142.5 | U 139 |
| Nov 27 | vs UTM | W 78-35 | -37.5 | W +5.5 | 144.5 | U 113 |
| Dec 3 | vs SYR | W 96-70 | -22.5 | W +3.5 | 144.5 | O 166 |
| Dec 10 | vs MIA | W 75-62 | -14.5 | L −1.5 | 144.5 | U 137 |
| Dec 14 | @ ILL | W 66-64 | -1.5 | W +0.5 | 148.5 | U 130 |
| Dec 17 | vs WCU | W 84-36 | -36.5 | W +11.5 | 143.5 | U 120 |
| Dec 23 | vs MTSU | W 82-64 | -26.5 | L −8.5 | 145.5 | O 146 |
| Dec 31 | vsNORF | W 67-52 | -29.5 | L −14.5 | 140.5 | U 119 |
| Jan 4 | vs ARK | W 76-52 | -12.5 | W +11.5 | 143.5 | U 128 |
| Jan 7 | @ FLA | L 43-73 | +3.5 | L −26.5 | 151.5 | U 116 |
| Jan 11 | @ TEX | W 74-70 | -4.5 | L −0.5 | 138.5 | O 144 |
| Jan 15 | vs UGA | W 74-56 | -12.5 | W +5.5 | 134.5 | U 130 |
| Jan 18 | @ VAN | L 75-76 | -5.5 | L −6.5 | 141.5 | O 151 |
| Jan 21 | vs MSST | W 68-56 | -8.5 | W +3.5 | 142.5 | U 124 |
| Jan 25 | @ AUB | L 51-53 | +6.5 | W +4.5 | 141.5 | U 104 |
| Jan 28 | vs UK | L 73-78 | -10.5 | L −15.5 | 146.5 | O 151 |
| Feb 1 | vsFLA | W 64-44 | -2.5 | W +17.5 | 144.5 | U 108 |
| Feb 5 | vs MIZ | W 85-81 | -8.5 | L −4.5 | 135.5 | O 166 |
| Feb 8 | @ OU | W 70-52 | -5.5 | W +12.5 | 141.5 | U 122 |
| Feb 11 | @UK | L 64-75 | -3.5 | L −14.5 | 146.5 | U 139 |
| Feb 15 | vsVAN | W 81-76 | -12.5 | L −7.5 | 141.5 | O 157 |
| Feb 22 | @ TA&M | W 77-69 | +1.5 | W +9.5 | 130.5 | O 146 |
| Feb 25 | @ LSU | W 65-59 | -10.5 | L −4.5 | 140.5 | U 124 |
| Mar 1 | vs ALA | W 79-76 | -3.5 | L −0.5 | 159.5 | U 155 |
| Mar 5 | @ MISS | L 76-78 | -2.5 | L −4.5 | 140.5 | O 154 |
| Mar 8 | vs SC | W 75-65 | -15.5 | L −5.5 | 133.5 | O 140 |
| Mar 14 | vsTEX | W 83-72 | -9.5 | W +1.5 | 137.5 | O 155 |
| Mar 15 | vsAUB | W 70-65 | +5.5 | W +10.5 | 141.5 | U 135 |
| Mar 16 | vsFLA | L 77-86 | +4.5 | L −4.5 | 142.5 | O 163 |
| Mar 20 | vs WOF | W 77-62 | -18.5 | L −3.5 | 135.5 | O 139 |
| Mar 22 | vs UCLA | W 67-58 | -5.5 | W +3.5 | 131.5 | U 125 |
| Mar 28 | vsUK | W 78-65 | -5.5 | W +7.5 | 145.5 | U 143 |
| Mar 30 | vs HOU | L 50-69 | +2.5 | L −16.5 | 126.5 | U 119 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
4
vsGWEB
GWEBW 80-64
−11.5
9
@LOU
LOUW 77-55
+24.5
13
vsMONT
MONTW 92-57
+9.5
17
vsAPSU
APSUW 103-68
+7.5
21
vsUVA
UVAW 64-42
+9.5
22
vsBAY
BAYW 77-62
+10.5
27
vsUTM
UTMW 78-35
+5.5
3
vsSYR
SYRW 96-70
+3.5
10
vsMIA
MIAW 75-62
−1.5
14
@ILL
ILLW 66-64
+0.5
17
vsWCU
WCUW 84-36
+11.5
23
vsMTSU
MTSUW 82-64
−8.5
31
vsNORF
NORFW 67-52
−14.5
4
vsARK
ARKW 76-52
+11.5
7
@FLA
FLAL 43-73
−26.5
11
@TEX
TEXW 74-70
−0.5
15
vsUGA
UGAW 74-56
+5.5
18
@VAN
VANL 75-76
−6.5
21
vsMSST
MSSTW 68-56
+3.5
25
@AUB
AUBL 51-53
+4.5
28
vsUK
UKL 73-78
−15.5
1
vsFLA
FLAW 64-44
+17.5
5
vsMIZ
MIZW 85-81
−4.5
8
@OU
OUW 70-52
+12.5
11
@UK
UKL 64-75
−14.5
15
vsVAN
VANW 81-76
−7.5
22
@TA&M
TA&MW 77-69
+9.5
25
@LSU
LSUW 65-59
−4.5
1
vsALA
ALAW 79-76
−0.5
5
@MISS
MISSL 76-78
−4.5
8
vsSC
SCW 75-65
−5.5
14
vsTEX
TEXW 83-72
+1.5
15
vsAUB
AUBW 70-65
+10.5
16
vsFLA
FLAL 77-86
−4.5
20
vsWOF
WOFW 77-62
−3.5
22
vsUCLA
UCLAW 67-58
+3.5
28
vsUK
UKW 78-65
+7.5
30
vsHOU
HOUL 50-69
−16.5
covered 20didn’t cover 18avg +0.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
4
vsGWEB
GWEBW 80-64
+1.5
9
@LOU
LOUW 77-55
−24.5
13
vsMONT
MONTW 92-57
+7.5
17
vsAPSU
APSUW 103-68
+29.5
21
vsUVA
UVAW 64-42
−20.5
22
vsBAY
BAYW 77-62
−3.5
27
vsUTM
UTMW 78-35
−31.5
3
vsSYR
SYRW 96-70
+21.5
10
vsMIA
MIAW 75-62
−7.5
14
@ILL
ILLW 66-64
−18.5
17
vsWCU
WCUW 84-36
−23.5
23
vsMTSU
MTSUW 82-64
+0.5
31
vsNORF
NORFW 67-52
−21.5
4
vsARK
ARKW 76-52
−15.5
7
@FLA
FLAL 43-73
−35.5
11
@TEX
TEXW 74-70
+5.5
15
vsUGA
UGAW 74-56
−4.5
18
@VAN
VANL 75-76
+9.5
21
vsMSST
MSSTW 68-56
−18.5
25
@AUB
AUBL 51-53
−37.5
28
vsUK
UKL 73-78
+4.5
1
vsFLA
FLAW 64-44
−36.5
5
vsMIZ
MIZW 85-81
+30.5
8
@OU
OUW 70-52
−19.5
11
@UK
UKL 64-75
−7.5
15
vsVAN
VANW 81-76
+15.5
22
@TA&M
TA&MW 77-69
+15.5
25
@LSU
LSUW 65-59
−16.5
1
vsALA
ALAW 79-76
−4.5
5
@MISS
MISSL 76-78
+13.5
8
vsSC
SCW 75-65
+6.5
14
vsTEX
TEXW 83-72
+17.5
15
vsAUB
AUBW 70-65
−6.5
16
vsFLA
FLAL 77-86
+20.5
20
vsWOF
WOFW 77-62
+3.5
22
vsUCLA
UCLAW 67-58
−6.5
28
vsUK
UKW 78-65
−2.5
30
vsHOU
HOUL 50-69
−7.5
over 16under 22avg −4.4 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
N Kentucky
0-0 overall · 0-0 in conference · Horizon League
Last five, 2025-26
- No games yet
A week or more of rest.
Tennessee
1-0 overall · 0-0 in conference · Southeastern Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs Mercer76–61
5 days since their last game.