Carnesecca Arena · at St John's
Closing line
SJU -28.5✓ SJU covered by 19.5
Closing total158.5Under by 12.5
| This season | SJU | |
|---|---|---|
| 2-3 | Record | 2-1 |
| 2-3 | ATS | 2-1 |
| 1-4 | O/U | 2-1 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: BUCK 61–96 SJU · ✓ SJU (100%) won
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| BUCK | 25 | 24 | 49 |
| SJU | 41 | 56 | 97 |
1st half: BUCK 25, SJU 41 (SJU by 16). The model had SJU by 21.1 and a total of 73.5 (actual 66).
Team stats
| BUCK | SJU | |
|---|---|---|
| 15-51 29% | Field goals | 33-65 51% |
| 4-21 19% | 3-pointers | 10-26 38% |
| 15-22 68% | Free throws | 21-28 75% |
| 26 8 off | Rebounds | 48 17 off |
| 11 | Assists | 21 |
| 9 | Steals | 15 |
| 1 | Blocks | 7 |
| 24 | Turnovers | 13 |
| 22 | Fouls | 19 |
| 18 | Points in paint | 44 |
| 9 | Fast-break points | 32 |
Players
| BUCK | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Amon Dorries C | 31 | 12 | 3 | 0 | 4-9 | 0-0 |
| Jayden Williams G | 28 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 2-7 | 1-2 |
| Brandon McCreesh G | 26 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1-6 | 0-4 |
| Achile Spadone G | 25 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 2-6 | 1-5 |
| Ruot Bijiek F | 22 | 11 | 3 | 0 | 3-6 | 1-3 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Grgur Brcic F | 17 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 1-3 | 0-0 |
| Aleksander Pachucki G | 16 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 2-4 | 1-3 |
| Pat Curtin G | 10 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0-6 | 0-4 |
| Jacob Meachem G | 9 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0-2 | 0-0 |
| Josh Fulton G | 8 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Patrick O'Brien F | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| Kellen Welch F | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| Matt Lange G | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Quin Berger, Brady Muller
| SJU | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zuby Ejiofor F | 22 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 2-6 | 0-0 |
| Joson Sanon G | 22 | 10 | 6 | 0 | 3-7 | 2-3 |
| Dylan Darling G | 21 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 1-3 | 0-1 |
| Bryce Hopkins F | 17 | 20 | 3 | 3 | 7-9 | 3-4 |
| Oziyah Sellers G | 11 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 1-3 | 0-2 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Ian Jackson G | 21 | 20 | 4 | 3 | 6-13 | 2-7 |
| Dillon Mitchell F | 20 | 10 | 11 | 1 | 4-7 | 0-1 |
| Ruben Prey F | 17 | 14 | 2 | 2 | 5-7 | 2-3 |
| Lefteris Liotopoulos G | 15 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 1-4 | 1-2 |
| Sadiku Ibine Ayo F | 13 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1-3 | 0-2 |
| Casper Pohto G | 9 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1-2 | 0-1 |
| Kelvin Odih G | 7 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| Handje Tamba C | 3 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Fotis Konstantinidis G | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Imran Suljanovic
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Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenSJU -30.5
2 → BUCK
CloseSJU -28.5
2 pts toward BUCK
Total
Open154.5
▲ 4
Close158.5
Up 4 since the open
Moneyline
BUCK +4000 · SJU -100000
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened SJU -30.5 · closed SJU -28.5 · moved 2 toward BUCKmodel SJU -35
model SJU -35
Opened 154.5 · closed 158.5 · moved 4 upmodel 157
model 157
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Model vs market
| Market | Model | Model edge | Result | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | SJU -28.5 | SJU -35.2 | SJU +6.7 | W SJU covered |
| Total | 158.5 | 156.9 | Under 1.6 | W Under |
| Projected score | — | BUCK 60.9 · SJU 96 |
1st-half model
| Model | Actual | |
|---|---|---|
| 1H spread | SJU -21.1 | SJU -16.0 |
| 1H total | 73.5 | 66 |
| 1H projected score | BUCK 26.2 · SJU 47.3 | BUCK 25 · SJU 41 |
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2-3 40% | 2-3 40% | 1-4 20% | |
| 2-1 67% | 2-1 67% | 2-1 67% |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Bucknell
5 games played
Straight up
2-3
40% wins
Against the spread
2-3
40% covers · avg −1.3 pts vs the line
Over / Under
1-4
20% overs · avg −1.5 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vs
DEL
W 78-70
+5.5
7
@
MSM
W 73-62
+12.5
11
@
PRIN
L 63-73
−5.5
14
vs
HOF
L 77-83
−1.5
17
@
PITT
L 50-84
−17.5
covered 2didn’t cover 3avg −1.3 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vs
DEL
W 78-70
−1.5
7
@
MSM
W 73-62
−8.5
11
@
PRIN
L 63-73
−10.5
14
vs
HOF
L 77-83
+20.5
17
@
PITT
L 50-84
−7.5
over 1under 4avg −1.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
St John's
3 games played
Straight up
2-1
67% wins
Against the spread
2-1
67% covers · avg +0.2 pts vs the line
Over / Under
2-1
67% overs · avg +8.5 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vs
QUIN
W 108-74
+7.5
8
vs
ALA
L 96-103
−11.5
15
vs
W&M
W 93-60
+4.5
covered 2didn’t cover 1avg +0.2 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vs
QUIN
W 108-74
+25.5
8
vs
ALA
L 96-103
+26.5
15
vs
W&M
W 93-60
−26.5
over 2under 1avg +8.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Bucknell
2-3 overall · 0-0 in conference · Patriot League
Last five, 2025-26
- L@ Pitt50–84
- Lvs Hofstra77–83
- L@ Princeton63–73
- W@ Mount St Marys73–62
- Wvs Delaware78–70
3 days since their last game.
St John's
2-1 overall · 0-0 in conference · Big East Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs William & Mary93–60
- Lvs Alabama96–103
- Wvs Quinnipiac108–74
5 days since their last game.