Memorial Gymnasium (TN) · at Vanderbilt · Conference game
Closing line
VAN -13.5✓ LSU covered by 2.5
Closing total159.5Under by 2.5
| This season | VAN | |
|---|---|---|
| 12-3 | Record | 15-0 |
| 8-7 | ATS | 10-5 |
| 8-7 | O/U | 9-6 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: LSU 79–87 VAN · ✓ VAN (75%) won
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| LSU | 38 | 35 | 73 |
| VAN | 52 | 32 | 84 |
1st half: LSU 38, VAN 52 (VAN by 14). The model had VAN by 4.6 and a total of 77.9 (actual 90).
Team stats
| LSU | VAN | |
|---|---|---|
| 27-59 46% | Field goals | 27-63 43% |
| 7-20 35% | 3-pointers | 7-30 23% |
| 12-17 71% | Free throws | 23-29 79% |
| 35 10 off | Rebounds | 36 12 off |
| 14 | Assists | 13 |
| 4 | Steals | 10 |
| 3 | Blocks | 6 |
| 14 | Turnovers | 7 |
| 17 | Fouls | 17 |
| 40 | Points in paint | 38 |
| 7 | Fast-break points | 13 |
Players
| LSU | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Max Mackinnon G | 38 | 27 | 4 | 4 | 9-16 | 3-6 |
| Jalen Reece G | 32 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 2-9 | 2-5 |
| Marquel Sutton F | 31 | 13 | 6 | 0 | 5-11 | 1-3 |
| Mike Nwoko F | 22 | 6 | 7 | 1 | 3-5 | 0-0 |
| Pablo Tamba F | 19 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 3-5 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Mazi Mosley G | 27 | 3 | 6 | 2 | 1-6 | 1-4 |
| Robert Miller III F | 17 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 3-3 | 0-0 |
| Rashad King G | 11 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 1-3 | 0-1 |
| PJ Carter G | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
Did not play: Jalen Reed, Dedan Thomas Jr., Jaden Bobbett, Matt Gilhool, Ron Zipper
| VAN | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tyler Tanner G | 36 | 20 | 3 | 3 | 7-18 | 0-5 |
| Tyler Nickel F | 35 | 19 | 10 | 1 | 6-12 | 4-10 |
| AK Okereke F | 34 | 12 | 1 | 0 | 5-7 | 1-2 |
| Duke Miles G | 27 | 17 | 1 | 5 | 4-10 | 1-5 |
| Devin McGlockton F | 17 | 4 | 9 | 0 | 2-5 | 0-2 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Jalen Washington F | 26 | 11 | 8 | 1 | 3-5 | 1-2 |
| Mike James G | 15 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0-4 | 0-3 |
| Chandler Bing F | 7 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0-2 | 0-1 |
| Tyler Harris F | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Mason Nicholson, Miles Keeffe, Coleson Messer, Jaylon Dean-Vines, George Kimble III, Jayden Leverett, Frankie Collins
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Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenVAN -14.5
1 → LSU
CloseVAN -13.5
1 pt toward LSU
Total
Open162.5
▼ 3
Close159.5
Down 3 since the open
Moneyline
LSU +800 · VAN -1350
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened VAN -14.5 · closed VAN -13.5 · moved 1 toward LSUmodel VAN -8
model VAN -8
Opened 162.5 · closed 159.5 · moved 3 downmodel 166.5
model 166.5
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Model vs market
| Market | Model | Model edge | Result | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | VAN -13.5 | VAN -7.9 | LSU +5.6 | W LSU covered |
| Total | 159.5 | 166.4 | Over 6.9 | L Under |
| Projected score | — | LSU 79.3 · VAN 87.1 |
1st-half model
| Model | Actual | |
|---|---|---|
| 1H spread | VAN -4.6 | VAN -14.0 |
| 1H total | 77.9 | 90 |
| 1H projected score | LSU 36.7 · VAN 41.2 | LSU 38 · VAN 52 |
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 7-3 70% | 5-5 50% | 4-6 40% | |
| 10-0 100% | 7-3 70% | 5-5 50% |
Recent meetings
Last 5 of 6 since 2021-22
LSU 3–3 VANSeries tied · 6 games since 2021-22 · LSU 2-4 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 4, 2024-25 | VAN 80 @ LSU 72 | LSU +2.5 | VAN W |
| Mar 2, 2023-24 | LSU 75 @ VAN 61 | VAN +3.5 | LSU W |
| Jan 9, 2023-24 | VAN 69 @ LSU 77 | LSU -8.5 | VAN W |
| Mar 9, 2022-23 | LSU 68 vs VAN 77 | VAN -3.5 | VAN W |
| Feb 22, 2022-23 | VAN 77 @ LSU 84 | LSU +2.5 | LSU W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
LSU
15 games played
Straight up
12-3
80% wins
Against the spread
8-7
53% covers · avg +0.9 pts vs the line
Over / Under
8-7
53% overs · avg +2.9 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 5 | vs | W 96-60 | -15.5 | W +20.5 | 148.5 | O 156 |
| Nov 10 | vs | W 93-58 | -19.5 | W +15.5 | 162.5 | U 151 |
| Nov 13 | vs | W 98-81 | -21.5 | L −4.5 | 158.5 | O 179 |
| Nov 18 | vs | W 107-81 | -32.5 | L −6.5 | 155.5 | O 188 |
| Nov 21 | vs | W 99-73 | -20.5 | W +5.5 | 163.5 | O 172 |
| Nov 28 | vs | W 71-62 | -11.5 | L −2.5 | 151.5 | U 133 |
| Nov 29 | vs | W 96-63 | -5.5 | W +27.5 | 152.5 | O 159 |
| Dec 3 | @ | W 78-69 | -7.5 | W +1.5 | 149.5 | U 147 |
| Dec 7 | vs | L 58-82 | +5.5 | L −18.5 | 154.5 | U 140 |
| Dec 13 | vs | W 89-77 | -1.5 | W +10.5 | 158.5 | O 166 |
| Dec 19 | vs | W 78-65 | -24.5 | L −11.5 | 144.5 | U 143 |
| Dec 22 | vs | W 104-90 | -29.5 | L −15.5 | 161.5 | O 194 |
| Dec 29 | vs | W 90-62 | -21.5 | W +6.5 | 154.5 | U 152 |
| Jan 3 | @ | L 72-75 | +5.5 | W +2.5 | 168.5 | U 147 |
| Jan 6 | vs | L 68-78 | -7.5 | L −17.5 | 145.5 | O 146 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
5
vs
TAR
W 96-60
+20.5
10
vs
NOLA
W 93-58
+15.5
13
vs
FIU
W 98-81
−4.5
18
vs
ALCN
W 107-81
−6.5
21
vs
OMA
W 99-73
+5.5
28
vs
DRKE
W 71-62
−2.5
29
vs
DEP
W 96-63
+27.5
3
@
BC
W 78-69
+1.5
7
vs
TTU
L 58-82
−18.5
13
vs
SMU
W 89-77
+10.5
19
vs
SELA
W 78-65
−11.5
22
vs
PV
W 104-90
−15.5
29
vs
USM
W 90-62
+6.5
3
@
TA&M
L 72-75
+2.5
6
vs
SC
L 68-78
−17.5
covered 8didn’t cover 7avg +0.9 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
5
vs
TAR
W 96-60
+7.5
10
vs
NOLA
W 93-58
−11.5
13
vs
FIU
W 98-81
+20.5
18
vs
ALCN
W 107-81
+32.5
21
vs
OMA
W 99-73
+8.5
28
vs
DRKE
W 71-62
−18.5
29
vs
DEP
W 96-63
+6.5
3
@
BC
W 78-69
−2.5
7
vs
TTU
L 58-82
−14.5
13
vs
SMU
W 89-77
+7.5
19
vs
SELA
W 78-65
−1.5
22
vs
PV
W 104-90
+32.5
29
vs
USM
W 90-62
−2.5
3
@
TA&M
L 72-75
−21.5
6
vs
SC
L 68-78
+0.5
over 8under 7avg +2.9 ptslonger = bigger margin
Vanderbilt
15 games played
Straight up
15-0
100% wins
Against the spread
10-5
67% covers · avg +2.4 pts vs the line
Over / Under
9-6
60% overs · avg +3.5 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs | W 105-61 | -26.5 | W +17.5 | 154.5 | O 166 |
| Nov 8 | @ | W 105-93 | -10.5 | W +1.5 | 166.5 | O 198 |
| Nov 12 | vs | W 92-62 | -28.5 | W +1.5 | 168.5 | U 154 |
| Nov 15 | vs | W 104-75 | -41.5 | L −12.5 | 172.5 | O 179 |
| Nov 20 | vs | W 109-74 | -36.5 | L −1.5 | 164.5 | O 183 |
| Nov 26 | vs | W 83-78 | -18.5 | L −13.5 | 168.5 | U 161 |
| Nov 27 | vs | W 89-74 | -6.5 | W +8.5 | 161.5 | O 163 |
| Nov 28 | vs | W 96-71 | -4.5 | W +20.5 | 149.5 | O 167 |
| Dec 3 | vs | W 88-69 | -10.5 | W +8.5 | 165.5 | U 157 |
| Dec 13 | vs | W 83-72 | -36.5 | L −25.5 | 158.5 | U 155 |
| Dec 17 | @ | W 77-70 | -9.5 | L −2.5 | 159.5 | U 147 |
| Dec 21 | @ | W 98-67 | -5.5 | W +25.5 | 164.5 | O 165 |
| Dec 29 | vs | W 96-53 | -39.5 | W +3.5 | 145.5 | O 149 |
| Jan 3 | @ | W 83-71 | -9.5 | W +2.5 | 155.5 | U 154 |
| Jan 7 | vs | W 96-90 | -3.5 | W +2.5 | 176.5 | O 186 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vs
LIP
W 105-61
+17.5
8
@
UCF
W 105-93
+1.5
12
vs
EKU
W 92-62
+1.5
15
vs
UAPB
W 104-75
−12.5
20
vs
TXSO
W 109-74
−1.5
26
vs
WKU
W 83-78
−13.5
27
vs
VCU
W 89-74
+8.5
28
vs
SMC
W 96-71
+20.5
3
vs
SMU
W 88-69
+8.5
13
vs
CARK
W 83-72
−25.5
17
@
MEM
W 77-70
−2.5
21
@
WAKE
W 98-67
+25.5
29
vs
NHVN
W 96-53
+3.5
3
@
SC
W 83-71
+2.5
7
vs
ALA
W 96-90
+2.5
covered 10didn’t cover 5avg +2.4 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vs
LIP
W 105-61
+11.5
8
@
UCF
W 105-93
+31.5
12
vs
EKU
W 92-62
−14.5
15
vs
UAPB
W 104-75
+6.5
20
vs
TXSO
W 109-74
+18.5
26
vs
WKU
W 83-78
−7.5
27
vs
VCU
W 89-74
+1.5
28
vs
SMC
W 96-71
+17.5
3
vs
SMU
W 88-69
−8.5
13
vs
CARK
W 83-72
−3.5
17
@
MEM
W 77-70
−12.5
21
@
WAKE
W 98-67
+0.5
29
vs
NHVN
W 96-53
+3.5
3
@
SC
W 83-71
−1.5
7
vs
ALA
W 96-90
+9.5
over 9under 6avg +3.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
LSU
12-3 overall · 0-2 in conference · Southeastern Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Lvs South Carolina68–78
- L@ Texas A&M72–75
- Wvs Southern Miss90–62
- Wvs Prairie View104–90
- Wvs SE Louisiana78–65
4 days since their last game.
Vanderbilt
15-0 overall · 2-0 in conference · Southeastern Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs Alabama96–90
- W@ South Carolina83–71
- Wvs New Haven96–53
- W@ Wake Forest98–67
- W@ Memphis77–70
3 days since their last game.