Smoothie King Center · Neutral site
Closing line
LSU -1.5✓ LSU covered by 10.5
Closing total158.5Over by 7.5
| This season | LSU | |
|---|---|---|
| 9-1 | Record | 8-1 |
| 5-5 | ATS | 5-4 |
| 5-5 | O/U | 5-4 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: SMU 82–85 LSU · ✓ LSU (58%) won
Loading the game…
Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| SMU | 44 | 33 | 77 |
| LSU | 47 | 42 | 89 |
1st half: SMU 44, LSU 47 (LSU by 3). The model had LSU by 1.3 and a total of 78.0 (actual 91).
Team stats
| SMU | LSU | |
|---|---|---|
| 30-61 49% | Field goals | 36-58 62% |
| 7-19 37% | 3-pointers | 7-15 47% |
| 10-17 59% | Free throws | 10-12 83% |
| 29 16 off | Rebounds | 31 10 off |
| 10 | Assists | 17 |
| 6 | Steals | 7 |
| 1 | Blocks | 4 |
| 10 | Turnovers | 12 |
| 15 | Fouls | 18 |
| 38 | Points in paint | 50 |
| 8 | Fast-break points | 11 |
Players
| SMU | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jaron Pierre Jr. G | 38 | 16 | 1 | 3 | 6-14 | 3-8 |
| Boopie Miller G | 33 | 16 | 2 | 4 | 5-12 | 3-4 |
| B.J. Edwards G | 33 | 8 | 5 | 2 | 3-7 | 0-2 |
| Samet Yigitoglu C | 27 | 10 | 10 | 0 | 4-8 | 0-0 |
| Corey Washington F | 23 | 7 | 4 | 0 | 2-6 | 1-2 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Jaden Toombs F | 27 | 16 | 3 | 1 | 8-10 | 0-1 |
| Jermaine O'Neal Jr. F | 17 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 2-4 | 0-2 |
| B.J. Davis-Ray G | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Mitchell Holmes F | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Chance Puryear, Sam Walters, Billy White III, Niccolo Kalischer-Stork, Trey Utter, Nigel Walls
| LSU | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marquel Sutton F | 39 | 23 | 12 | 0 | 8-15 | 1-4 |
| Pablo Tamba F | 38 | 14 | 10 | 2 | 7-9 | 0-0 |
| Dedan Thomas Jr. G | 36 | 16 | 3 | 12 | 6-15 | 0-2 |
| Max Mackinnon G | 33 | 22 | 1 | 2 | 8-9 | 6-7 |
| Mike Nwoko F | 14 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 4-5 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Robert Miller III F | 15 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2-2 | 0-0 |
| Rashad King G | 13 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1-3 | 0-2 |
| Jalen Reece G | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Ron Zipper G | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Matt Gilhool, Jaden Bobbett, PJ Carter, Jalen Reed, Mazi Mosley
Loading the game…
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenSMU -1.5
3 → LSU
CloseLSU -1.5
3 pts toward LSU
Total
Open156.5
▲ 2
Close158.5
Up 2 since the open
Moneyline
SMU -105 · LSU -115
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened SMU -1.5 · closed LSU -1.5 · moved 3 toward LSUmodel LSU -2.5
model LSU -2.5
Opened 156.5 · closed 158.5 · moved 2 upmodel 167
model 167
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Model vs market
| Market | Model | Model edge | Result | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | LSU -1.5 | LSU -2.4 | LSU +0.9 | W LSU covered |
| Total | 158.5 | 166.9 | Over 8.4 | W Over |
| Projected score | — | SMU 82.3 · LSU 84.6 |
1st-half model
| Model | Actual | |
|---|---|---|
| 1H spread | LSU -1.3 | LSU -3.0 |
| 1H total | 78.0 | 91 |
| 1H projected score | SMU 38.4 · LSU 39.7 | SMU 44 · LSU 47 |
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 9-1 90% | 5-5 50% | 5-5 50% | |
| 8-1 89% | 5-4 56% | 5-4 56% |
Recent meetings
Since 2021-22
SMU 1–0 LSUSMU leads · 1 game since 2021-22 · SMU 1-0 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 14, 2024-25 | LSU 64 vs SMU 74 | SMU -4.5 | SMU W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
SMU
10 games played
Straight up
9-1
90% wins
Against the spread
5-5
50% covers · avg +1.5 pts vs the line
Over / Under
5-5
50% overs · avg +2.6 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs | W 96-76 | -21.5 | L −1.5 | 144.5 | O 172 |
| Nov 6 | vs | W 69-58 | -23.5 | L −12.5 | 160.5 | U 127 |
| Nov 11 | vs | W 102-91 | -10.5 | W +0.5 | 164.5 | O 193 |
| Nov 15 | vs | W 87-85 | -7.5 | L −5.5 | 163.5 | O 172 |
| Nov 18 | vs | W 106-60 | -35.5 | W +10.5 | 168.5 | U 166 |
| Nov 21 | vs | W 100-69 | -14.5 | W +16.5 | 172.5 | U 169 |
| Nov 24 | vs | W 89-72 | -23.5 | L −6.5 | 165.5 | U 161 |
| Nov 28 | @ | W 87-81 | +1.5 | W +7.5 | 162.5 | O 168 |
| Dec 3 | @ | L 69-88 | +10.5 | L −8.5 | 165.5 | U 157 |
| Dec 7 | vs | W 93-80 | +1.5 | W +14.5 | 164.5 | O 173 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vs
TAR
W 96-76
−1.5
6
vs
AMCC
W 69-58
−12.5
11
vs
MUR
W 102-91
+0.5
15
vs
BTLR
W 87-85
−5.5
18
vs
UAPB
W 106-60
+10.5
21
vs
ARST
W 100-69
+16.5
24
vs
RAD
W 89-72
−6.5
28
@
MSST
W 87-81
+7.5
3
@
VAN
L 69-88
−8.5
7
vs
TA&M
W 93-80
+14.5
covered 5didn’t cover 5avg +1.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vs
TAR
W 96-76
+27.5
6
vs
AMCC
W 69-58
−33.5
11
vs
MUR
W 102-91
+28.5
15
vs
BTLR
W 87-85
+8.5
18
vs
UAPB
W 106-60
−2.5
21
vs
ARST
W 100-69
−3.5
24
vs
RAD
W 89-72
−4.5
28
@
MSST
W 87-81
+5.5
3
@
VAN
L 69-88
−8.5
7
vs
TA&M
W 93-80
+8.5
over 5under 5avg +2.6 ptslonger = bigger margin
LSU
9 games played
Straight up
8-1
89% wins
Against the spread
5-4
56% covers · avg +4.3 pts vs the line
Over / Under
5-4
56% overs · avg +3.2 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 5 | vs | W 96-60 | -15.5 | W +20.5 | 148.5 | O 156 |
| Nov 10 | vs | W 93-58 | -19.5 | W +15.5 | 162.5 | U 151 |
| Nov 13 | vs | W 98-81 | -21.5 | L −4.5 | 158.5 | O 179 |
| Nov 18 | vs | W 107-81 | -32.5 | L −6.5 | 155.5 | O 188 |
| Nov 21 | vs | W 99-73 | -20.5 | W +5.5 | 163.5 | O 172 |
| Nov 28 | vs | W 71-62 | -11.5 | L −2.5 | 151.5 | U 133 |
| Nov 29 | vs | W 96-63 | -5.5 | W +27.5 | 152.5 | O 159 |
| Dec 3 | @ | W 78-69 | -7.5 | W +1.5 | 149.5 | U 147 |
| Dec 7 | vs | L 58-82 | +5.5 | L −18.5 | 154.5 | U 140 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
5
vs
TAR
W 96-60
+20.5
10
vs
NOLA
W 93-58
+15.5
13
vs
FIU
W 98-81
−4.5
18
vs
ALCN
W 107-81
−6.5
21
vs
OMA
W 99-73
+5.5
28
vs
DRKE
W 71-62
−2.5
29
vs
DEP
W 96-63
+27.5
3
@
BC
W 78-69
+1.5
7
vs
TTU
L 58-82
−18.5
covered 5didn’t cover 4avg +4.3 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
5
vs
TAR
W 96-60
+7.5
10
vs
NOLA
W 93-58
−11.5
13
vs
FIU
W 98-81
+20.5
18
vs
ALCN
W 107-81
+32.5
21
vs
OMA
W 99-73
+8.5
28
vs
DRKE
W 71-62
−18.5
29
vs
DEP
W 96-63
+6.5
3
@
BC
W 78-69
−2.5
7
vs
TTU
L 58-82
−14.5
over 5under 4avg +3.2 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
SMU
9-1 overall · 0-0 in conference · Atlantic Coast Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs Texas A&M93–80
- L@ Vanderbilt69–88
- W@ Mississippi St87–81
- Wvs Radford89–72
- Wvs Arkansas St100–69
6 days since their last game.
LSU
8-1 overall · 0-0 in conference · Southeastern Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Lvs Texas Tech58–82
- W@ Boston College78–69
- Wvs DePaul96–63
- Wvs Drake71–62
- Wvs Omaha99–73
6 days since their last game.