Pete Maravich Assembly Center · at LSU
Closing line
LSU -20.5✓ LSU covered by 5.5
LSU -20.5✓ LSU covered by 5.5Closing total163.5Over by 8.5
 OMA | This season | LSU |
|---|---|---|
| 1-3 | Record | 4-0 |
| 1-3 | ATS | 2-2 |
| 3-1 | O/U | 3-1 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: OMA 71–96 LSU · ✓ LSU (98%) won
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| OMA | 37 | 36 | 73 |
| LSU | 50 | 49 | 99 |
1st half: OMA 37, LSU 50 (LSU by 13). The model had LSU by 14.4 and a total of 78.2 (actual 87).
Team stats
| OMA | LSU | |
|---|---|---|
| 26-66 39% | Field goals | 33-63 52% |
| 9-30 30% | 3-pointers | 15-33 45% |
| 12-25 48% | Free throws | 18-24 75% |
| 39 12 off | Rebounds | 43 8 off |
| 9 | Assists | 21 |
| 7 | Steals | 9 |
| 2 | Blocks | 5 |
| 12 | Turnovers | 11 |
| 20 | Fouls | 21 |
| 20 | Points in paint | 34 |
| 2 | Fast-break points | 22 |
Players
| OMA | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kamryn Thomas F | 29 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1-4 | 0-1 |
| Tony Osburn G | 29 | 13 | 2 | 1 | 5-13 | 1-7 |
| Lance Waddles G | 27 | 19 | 4 | 2 | 6-14 | 4-10 |
| Brock Scholl F | 17 | 0 | 7 | 0 | 0-4 | 0-0 |
| Grant Stubblefield G | 17 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3-6 | 0-1 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Ja'Sean Glover G | 26 | 9 | 5 | 3 | 2-8 | 1-6 |
| Khamani Cooper G | 18 | 15 | 0 | 2 | 6-7 | 3-3 |
| Christian Richardson C | 14 | 7 | 5 | 0 | 3-7 | 0-0 |
| Valentino Simon F | 12 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
| Julian Margrave F | 9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
| Aidan Skradis G | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Paul Djobet, Isaac Ondekane, Rob Matos, Deng Mayar, Benji Nelson
| LSU | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pablo Tamba F | 33 | 3 | 13 | 4 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| Marquel Sutton F | 30 | 9 | 8 | 0 | 3-8 | 1-6 |
| Dedan Thomas Jr. G | 29 | 15 | 1 | 11 | 5-8 | 2-3 |
| Max Mackinnon G | 29 | 22 | 3 | 3 | 7-11 | 6-8 |
| Mike Nwoko F | 20 | 14 | 3 | 0 | 6-9 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Jalen Reed F | 18 | 11 | 7 | 1 | 4-8 | 0-1 |
| Jalen Reece G | 11 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 1-2 | 0-1 |
| PJ Carter G | 9 | 12 | 0 | 0 | 4-7 | 4-7 |
| Robert Miller III F | 7 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| Ron Zipper G | 6 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1-3 | 1-3 |
| Mazi Mosley G | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1-3 | 1-3 |
| Rashad King G | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
Did not play: Jaden Bobbett, Matt Gilhool
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Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenLSU -19.5
1 → LSU
CloseLSU -20.5
1 pt toward LSU
Total
Open164.5
▼ 1
Close163.5
Down 1 since the open
Moneyline
OMA +1800 · LSU -6000
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened LSU -19.5 · closed LSU -20.5 · moved 1 toward LSUmodel LSU -24
model LSU -24
Opened 164.5 · closed 163.5 · moved 1 downmodel 167
model 167
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Model vs market
| Market | Model | Model edge | Result | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | LSU -20.5 | LSU -24.2 | LSU +3.7 | W LSU covered |
| Total | 163.5 | 167.0 | Over 3.5 | W Over |
| Projected score | — | OMA 71.4 · LSU 95.6 |
1st-half model
| Model | Actual | |
|---|---|---|
| 1H spread | LSU -14.4 | LSU -13.0 |
| 1H total | 78.2 | 87 |
| 1H projected score | OMA 31.9 · LSU 46.3 | OMA 37 · LSU 50 |
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| OMAlast 4 | 1-3 25% | 1-3 25% | 3-1 75% |
| LSUlast 4 | 4-0 100% | 2-2 50% | 3-1 75% |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Omaha
4 games played
Straight up
1-3
25% wins
Against the spread
1-3
25% covers · avg −3 pts vs the line
Over / Under
3-1
75% overs · avg +10.3 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vs
MUR
MURL 77-85
−2.5
6
@
ACU
ACUL 71-73
+2.5
9
@
CSU
CSUL 74-97
−8.5
15
vs
SUU
SUUW 90-85
−3.5
covered 1didn’t cover 3avg −3 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsMUR
MURL 77-85
+8.5
6
@ACU
ACUL 71-73
−6.5
9
@CSU
CSUL 74-97
+17.5
15
vsSUU
SUUW 90-85
+21.5
over 3under 1avg +10.3 ptslonger = bigger margin
LSU
4 games played
Straight up
4-0
100% wins
Against the spread
2-2
50% covers · avg +6.3 pts vs the line
Over / Under
3-1
75% overs · avg +12.3 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
5
vs
TAR
TARW 96-60
+20.5
10
vs
NOLA
NOLAW 93-58
+15.5
13
vs
FIU
FIUW 98-81
−4.5
18
vs
ALCN
ALCNW 107-81
−6.5
covered 2didn’t cover 2avg +6.3 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
5
vsTAR
TARW 96-60
+7.5
10
vsNOLA
NOLAW 93-58
−11.5
13
vsFIU
FIUW 98-81
+20.5
18
vsALCN
ALCNW 107-81
+32.5
over 3under 1avg +12.3 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Omaha
1-3 overall · 0-0 in conference · Summit League
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs Southern Utah90–85
- L@ Colorado St74–97
- L@ Abilene Chrstn71–73
- Lvs Murray St77–85
6 days since their last game.
LSU
4-0 overall · 0-0 in conference · Southeastern Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs Alcorn St107–81
- Wvs FIU98–81
- Wvs LSU N Orleans93–58
- Wvs Tarleton St96–60
3 days since their last game.