Addition Financial Arena · at UCF
Closing line
VAN -10.5✓ VAN covered by 1.5
VAN -10.5✓ VAN covered by 1.5Closing total166.5Over by 31.5
| VAN | This season | UCF |
|---|---|---|
| 1-0 | Record | 1-0 |
| 1-0 | ATS | 0-1 |
| 1-0 | O/U | 1-0 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: VAN 85–80 UCF · ✓ VAN (70%) won
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| VAN | 52 | 53 | 105 |
| UCF | 36 | 57 | 93 |
1st half: VAN 52, UCF 36 (VAN by 16). The model had VAN by 3.7 and a total of 77.1 (actual 88).
Team stats
| VAN | UCF | |
|---|---|---|
| 38-68 56% | Field goals | 31-58 53% |
| 14-36 39% | 3-pointers | 9-16 56% |
| 15-17 88% | Free throws | 22-28 79% |
| 29 9 off | Rebounds | 29 8 off |
| 18 | Assists | 16 |
| 7 | Steals | 0 |
| 3 | Blocks | 1 |
| 6 | Turnovers | 12 |
| 25 | Fouls | 19 |
| 44 | Points in paint | 42 |
| 18 | Fast-break points | 13 |
Players
| VAN | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tyler Nickel F | 32 | 17 | 4 | 2 | 6-10 | 4-8 |
| Duke Miles G | 29 | 20 | 0 | 3 | 8-13 | 3-7 |
| Tyler Tanner G | 24 | 17 | 3 | 4 | 5-11 | 3-7 |
| Devin McGlockton F | 20 | 4 | 6 | 1 | 2-4 | 0-2 |
| AK Okereke F | 16 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 3-4 | 1-1 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Frankie Collins G | 28 | 17 | 5 | 5 | 5-8 | 1-3 |
| Tyler Harris F | 23 | 14 | 3 | 0 | 6-12 | 2-6 |
| Jalen Washington F | 19 | 6 | 6 | 1 | 3-5 | 0-1 |
| Jayden Leverett C | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
| Chandler Bing F | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: George Kimble III, Jaylon Dean-Vines, Coleson Messer, Mason Nicholson, Miles Keeffe, Mike James
| UCF | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Riley Kugel G | 34 | 25 | 5 | 4 | 9-19 | 4-5 |
| Devan Cambridge F | 31 | 12 | 5 | 2 | 4-7 | 0-2 |
| Jordan Burks F | 27 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 2-3 | 1-1 |
| Themus Fulks G | 19 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 1-3 | 0-1 |
| John Bol C | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Carmelo Pacheco G | 20 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2-4 | 1-3 |
| Jamichael Stillwell F | 18 | 15 | 6 | 0 | 5-8 | 0-0 |
| Chris Johnson G | 15 | 17 | 0 | 5 | 5-8 | 3-4 |
| George Beale Jr. G | 9 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2-2 | 0-0 |
| Jeremy Foumena C | 8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1-4 | 0-0 |
| Kris Parker G | 7 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Elijah Hulsewe C | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Zachary Johnson, Tanner Jones, Poohpha Warakulnukroh
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Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketVAN -10.5
ModelVAN -5.8
Model edgeUCF +4.7
L VAN covered
Total
Market166.5
Model164.8
Model edgeUnder 1.7
L Over
Projected score
VAN 85.3 · UCF 79.5
VAN 105 · UCF 93
Win probability
VAN 70%
1st half
Spread
VAN -3.7
VAN -16.0
Total
77.1
88 points
Projected score
VAN 40.4 · UCF 36.7
VAN 52 · UCF 36
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenVAN -6.5
4 → VAN
CloseVAN -10.5
4 pts toward VAN
Total
Open165.5
▲ 1
Close166.5
Up 1 since the open
Moneyline
VAN -700 · UCF +450
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened VAN -6.5 · closed VAN -10.5 · moved 4 toward VANmodel VAN -6
model VAN -6
Opened 165.5 · closed 166.5 · moved 1 upmodel 165
model 165
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| VANlast 1 | 1-0 100% | 1-0 100% | 1-0 100% |
| UCFlast 1 | 1-0 100% | 0-1 0% | 1-0 100% |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Vanderbilt
1 game played
Straight up
1-0
100% wins
Against the spread
1-0
100% covers · avg +17.5 pts vs the line
Over / Under
1-0
100% overs · avg +11.5 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs LIP | W 105-61 | -26.5 | W +17.5 | 154.5 | O 166 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsLIP
LIPW 105-61
+17.5
covered 1didn’t cover 0avg +17.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsLIP
LIPW 105-61
+11.5
over 1under 0avg +11.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
UCF
1 game played
Straight up
1-0
100% wins
Against the spread
0-1
0% covers · avg −4.5 pts vs the line
Over / Under
1-0
100% overs · avg +19.5 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs HOF | W 82-78 | -8.5 | L −4.5 | 140.5 | O 160 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsHOF
HOFW 82-78
−4.5
covered 0didn’t cover 1avg −4.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsHOF
HOFW 82-78
+19.5
over 1under 0avg +19.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Vanderbilt
1-0 overall · 0-0 in conference · Southeastern Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs Lipscomb105–61
5 days since their last game.
UCF
1-0 overall · 0-0 in conference · Big 12 Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs Hofstra82–78
5 days since their last game.