Food City Center · at Tennessee · Conference game
Closing line
TENN -14.5✓ LSU covered by 4.5
TENN -14.5✓ LSU covered by 4.5Closing total143.5Under by 7.5
 LSU | This season | TENN |
|---|---|---|
| 14-10 | Record | 17-7 |
| 13-11 | ATS | 10-14 |
| 10-14 | O/U | 14-10 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: LSU 71–80 TENN · ✓ TENN (79%) won
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| LSU | 29 | 34 | 63 |
| TENN | 35 | 38 | 73 |
1st half: LSU 29, TENN 35 (TENN by 6). The model had TENN by 5.3 and a total of 70.5 (actual 64).
Team stats
| LSU | TENN | |
|---|---|---|
| 21-55 38% | Field goals | 25-54 46% |
| 8-23 35% | 3-pointers | 6-16 38% |
| 13-19 68% | Free throws | 17-23 74% |
| 24 8 off | Rebounds | 45 16 off |
| 11 | Assists | 17 |
| 4 | Steals | 2 |
| 2 | Blocks | 2 |
| 3 | Turnovers | 9 |
| 19 | Fouls | 16 |
| 18 | Points in paint | 34 |
| 6 | Fast-break points | 7 |
Players
| LSU | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jalen Reece G | 40 | 15 | 0 | 4 | 4-8 | 3-5 |
| Pablo Tamba F | 32 | 13 | 2 | 1 | 4-8 | 2-3 |
| Marquel Sutton F | 32 | 15 | 9 | 0 | 6-15 | 1-3 |
| Mike Nwoko F | 21 | 10 | 5 | 0 | 3-7 | 0-0 |
| Rashad King G | 20 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 1-6 | 0-4 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Mazi Mosley G | 22 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2-6 | 2-5 |
| Robert Miller III F | 17 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
| PJ Carter G | 16 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0-3 | 0-3 |
Did not play: Marcus Vaughn, Ron Zipper, Matt Gilhool, Jaden Bobbett, Max Mackinnon, Dedan Thomas Jr., Jalen Reed
| TENN | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nate Ament F | 36 | 22 | 9 | 1 | 6-19 | 0-3 |
| Ja'Kobi Gillespie G | 35 | 12 | 2 | 6 | 4-9 | 4-8 |
| J.P. Estrella F | 28 | 16 | 9 | 0 | 7-9 | 0-0 |
| Felix Okpara F | 27 | 3 | 7 | 0 | 1-4 | 0-0 |
| Bishop Boswell G | 22 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 1-2 | 0-1 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Ethan Burg G | 18 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 3-4 | 2-3 |
| Jaylen Carey F | 13 | 7 | 5 | 3 | 3-5 | 0-0 |
| DeWayne Brown II F | 11 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| Amari Evans G | 7 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Troy Henderson G | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
Did not play: Clarence Massamba, Campbell Duncan, Gavin Paull, Cade Phillips, Grant Hurst, Amaree Abram
Loading the game…
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenTENN -11.5
3 → TENN
CloseTENN -14.5
3 pts toward TENN
Total
Open144.5
▼ 1
Close143.5
Down 1 since the open
Moneyline
LSU +950 · TENN -1650
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened TENN -11.5 · closed TENN -14.5 · moved 3 toward TENNmodel TENN -9
model TENN -9
Opened 144.5 · closed 143.5 · moved 1 downmodel 150.5
model 150.5
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Model vs market
| Market | Model | Model edge | Result | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | TENN -14.5 | TENN -9.1 | LSU +5.4 | W LSU covered |
| Total | 143.5 | 150.6 | Over 7.1 | L Under |
| Projected score | — | LSU 70.7 · TENN 79.9 |
1st-half model
| Model | Actual | |
|---|---|---|
| 1H spread | TENN -5.3 | TENN -6.0 |
| 1H total | 70.5 | 64 |
| 1H projected score | LSU 32.6 · TENN 37.9 | LSU 29 · TENN 35 |
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| LSU | 2-8 20% | 5-5 50% | 3-7 30% |
| TENN | 7-3 70% | 5-5 50% | 6-4 60% |
Recent meetings
Since 2021-22
LSU 1–4 TENNTENN leads · 5 games since 2021-22 · TENN has won the last 4 meetings · LSU 2-3 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 25, 2024-25 | TENN 65 @ LSU 59 | LSU +10.5 | LSU W |
| Feb 7, 2023-24 | LSU 68 @ TENN 88 | TENN -12.5 | TENN W |
| Jan 21, 2022-23 | TENN 77 @ LSU 56 | LSU +11.5 | TENN W |
| Jan 22, 2021-22 | LSU 50 @ TENN 64 | TENN -5.5 | TENN W |
| Jan 8, 2021-22 | TENN 67 @ LSU 79 | LSU -2.5 | LSU W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
LSU
24 games played
Straight up
14-10
58% wins
Against the spread
13-11
54% covers · avg −1 pts vs the line
Over / Under
10-14
42% overs · avg +1.3 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 5 | vs TAR | W 96-60 | -15.5 | W +20.5 | 148.5 | O 156 |
| Nov 10 | vs NOLA | W 93-58 | -19.5 | W +15.5 | 162.5 | U 151 |
| Nov 13 | vs FIU | W 98-81 | -21.5 | L −4.5 | 158.5 | O 179 |
| Nov 18 | vs ALCN | W 107-81 | -32.5 | L −6.5 | 155.5 | O 188 |
| Nov 21 | vs OMA | W 99-73 | -20.5 | W +5.5 | 163.5 | O 172 |
| Nov 28 | vs DRKE | W 71-62 | -11.5 | L −2.5 | 151.5 | U 133 |
| Nov 29 | vs DEP | W 96-63 | -5.5 | W +27.5 | 152.5 | O 159 |
| Dec 3 | @ BC | W 78-69 | -7.5 | W +1.5 | 149.5 | U 147 |
| Dec 7 | vs TTU | L 58-82 | +5.5 | L −18.5 | 154.5 | U 140 |
| Dec 13 | vs SMU | W 89-77 | -1.5 | W +10.5 | 158.5 | O 166 |
| Dec 19 | vs SELA | W 78-65 | -24.5 | L −11.5 | 144.5 | U 143 |
| Dec 22 | vs PV | W 104-90 | -29.5 | L −15.5 | 161.5 | O 194 |
| Dec 29 | vs USM | W 90-62 | -21.5 | W +6.5 | 154.5 | U 152 |
| Jan 3 | @ TA&M | L 72-75 | +5.5 | W +2.5 | 168.5 | U 147 |
| Jan 6 | vs SC | L 68-78 | -7.5 | L −17.5 | 145.5 | O 146 |
| Jan 10 | @ VAN | L 73-84 | +13.5 | W +2.5 | 159.5 | U 157 |
| Jan 14 | vs UK | L 74-75 | +3.5 | W +2.5 | 151.5 | U 149 |
| Jan 17 | vs MIZ | W 78-70 | -1.5 | W +6.5 | 148.5 | U 148 |
| Jan 20 | @ FLA | L 61-79 | +15.5 | L −2.5 | 158.5 | U 140 |
| Jan 24 | @ ARK | L 81-85 | +10.5 | W +6.5 | 163.5 | O 166 |
| Jan 28 | vs MSST | L 66-80 | -7.5 | L −21.5 | 154.5 | U 146 |
| Jan 31 | @SC | W 92-87 | -2.5 | W +2.5 | 147.5 | O 179 |
| Feb 7 | vs UGA | L 71-83 | +1.5 | L −10.5 | 161.5 | U 154 |
| Feb 10 | vsARK | L 62-91 | +4.5 | L −24.5 | 159.5 | U 153 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
5
vsTAR
TARW 96-60
+20.5
10
vsNOLA
NOLAW 93-58
+15.5
13
vsFIU
FIUW 98-81
−4.5
18
vsALCN
ALCNW 107-81
−6.5
21
vsOMA
OMAW 99-73
+5.5
28
vsDRKE
DRKEW 71-62
−2.5
29
vsDEP
DEPW 96-63
+27.5
3
@BC
BCW 78-69
+1.5
7
vsTTU
TTUL 58-82
−18.5
13
vsSMU
SMUW 89-77
+10.5
19
vsSELA
SELAW 78-65
−11.5
22
vsPV
PVW 104-90
−15.5
29
vsUSM
USMW 90-62
+6.5
3
@TA&M
TA&ML 72-75
+2.5
6
vsSC
SCL 68-78
−17.5
10
@VAN
VANL 73-84
+2.5
14
vsUK
UKL 74-75
+2.5
17
vsMIZ
MIZW 78-70
+6.5
20
@FLA
FLAL 61-79
−2.5
24
@ARK
ARKL 81-85
+6.5
28
vsMSST
MSSTL 66-80
−21.5
31
@SC
SCW 92-87
+2.5
7
vsUGA
UGAL 71-83
−10.5
10
vsARK
ARKL 62-91
−24.5
covered 13didn’t cover 11avg −1 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
5
vsTAR
TARW 96-60
+7.5
10
vsNOLA
NOLAW 93-58
−11.5
13
vsFIU
FIUW 98-81
+20.5
18
vsALCN
ALCNW 107-81
+32.5
21
vsOMA
OMAW 99-73
+8.5
28
vsDRKE
DRKEW 71-62
−18.5
29
vsDEP
DEPW 96-63
+6.5
3
@BC
BCW 78-69
−2.5
7
vsTTU
TTUL 58-82
−14.5
13
vsSMU
SMUW 89-77
+7.5
19
vsSELA
SELAW 78-65
−1.5
22
vsPV
PVW 104-90
+32.5
29
vsUSM
USMW 90-62
−2.5
3
@TA&M
TA&ML 72-75
−21.5
6
vsSC
SCL 68-78
+0.5
10
@VAN
VANL 73-84
−2.5
14
vsUK
UKL 74-75
−2.5
17
vsMIZ
MIZW 78-70
−0.5
20
@FLA
FLAL 61-79
−18.5
24
@ARK
ARKL 81-85
+2.5
28
vsMSST
MSSTL 66-80
−8.5
31
@SC
SCW 92-87
+31.5
7
vsUGA
UGAL 71-83
−7.5
10
vsARK
ARKL 62-91
−6.5
over 10under 14avg +1.3 ptslonger = bigger margin
Tennessee
24 games played
Straight up
17-7
71% wins
Against the spread
10-14
42% covers · avg −1.7 pts vs the line
Over / Under
14-10
58% overs · avg +1.5 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs MER | W 76-61 | -28.5 | L −13.5 | 143.5 | U 137 |
| Nov 8 | vs NKU | W 95-56 | -27.5 | W +11.5 | 137.5 | O 151 |
| Nov 12 | vs UNF | W 99-66 | -41.5 | L −8.5 | 155.5 | O 165 |
| Nov 17 | vs RICE | W 91-66 | -26.5 | L −1.5 | 143.5 | O 157 |
| Nov 20 | vs TNST | W 89-60 | -31.5 | L −2.5 | 157.5 | U 149 |
| Nov 24 | vs RUTG | W 85-60 | -14.5 | W +10.5 | 141.5 | O 145 |
| Nov 25 | vs HOU | W 76-73 | +2.5 | W +5.5 | 136.5 | O 149 |
| Nov 26 | vs KU | L 76-81 | -7.5 | L −12.5 | 140.5 | O 157 |
| Dec 2 | @ SYR | L 60-62 | -7.5 | L −9.5 | 147.5 | U 122 |
| Dec 6 | vs ILL | L 62-75 | -1.5 | L −14.5 | 149.5 | U 137 |
| Dec 16 | vs LOU | W 83-62 | -4.5 | W +16.5 | 156.5 | U 145 |
| Dec 21 | vs GWEB | W 94-52 | -42.5 | L −0.5 | 152.5 | U 146 |
| Dec 30 | vs SCST | W 105-54 | -44.5 | W +6.5 | 147.5 | O 159 |
| Jan 3 | @ARK | L 75-86 | -1.5 | L −12.5 | 158.5 | O 161 |
| Jan 6 | vs TEX | W 85-71 | -12.5 | W +1.5 | 153.5 | O 156 |
| Jan 10 | @FLA | L 67-91 | +4.5 | L −19.5 | 151.5 | O 158 |
| Jan 13 | vsTA&M | W 87-82 | -11.5 | L −6.5 | 159.5 | O 169 |
| Jan 17 | vsUK | L 78-80 | -6.5 | L −8.5 | 145.5 | O 158 |
| Jan 24 | @ ALA | W 79-73 | +4.5 | W +10.5 | 167.5 | U 152 |
| Jan 28 | @UGA | W 86-85 | -1.5 | L −0.5 | 157.5 | O 171 |
| Jan 31 | vs AUB | W 77-69 | -5.5 | W +2.5 | 147.5 | U 146 |
| Feb 3 | vs MISS | W 84-66 | -12.5 | W +5.5 | 139.5 | O 150 |
| Feb 7 | @UK | L 71-74 | +1.5 | L −1.5 | 147.5 | U 145 |
| Feb 11 | @MSST | W 73-64 | -8.5 | W +0.5 | 147.5 | U 137 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsMER
MERW 76-61
−13.5
8
vsNKU
NKUW 95-56
+11.5
12
vsUNF
UNFW 99-66
−8.5
17
vsRICE
RICEW 91-66
−1.5
20
vsTNST
TNSTW 89-60
−2.5
24
vsRUTG
RUTGW 85-60
+10.5
25
vsHOU
HOUW 76-73
+5.5
26
vsKU
KUL 76-81
−12.5
2
@SYR
SYRL 60-62
−9.5
6
vsILL
ILLL 62-75
−14.5
16
vsLOU
LOUW 83-62
+16.5
21
vsGWEB
GWEBW 94-52
−0.5
30
vsSCST
SCSTW 105-54
+6.5
3
@ARK
ARKL 75-86
−12.5
6
vsTEX
TEXW 85-71
+1.5
10
@FLA
FLAL 67-91
−19.5
13
vsTA&M
TA&MW 87-82
−6.5
17
vsUK
UKL 78-80
−8.5
24
@ALA
ALAW 79-73
+10.5
28
@UGA
UGAW 86-85
−0.5
31
vsAUB
AUBW 77-69
+2.5
3
vsMISS
MISSW 84-66
+5.5
7
@UK
UKL 71-74
−1.5
11
@MSST
MSSTW 73-64
+0.5
covered 10didn’t cover 14avg −1.7 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsMER
MERW 76-61
−6.5
8
vsNKU
NKUW 95-56
+13.5
12
vsUNF
UNFW 99-66
+9.5
17
vsRICE
RICEW 91-66
+13.5
20
vsTNST
TNSTW 89-60
−8.5
24
vsRUTG
RUTGW 85-60
+3.5
25
vsHOU
HOUW 76-73
+12.5
26
vsKU
KUL 76-81
+16.5
2
@SYR
SYRL 60-62
−25.5
6
vsILL
ILLL 62-75
−12.5
16
vsLOU
LOUW 83-62
−11.5
21
vsGWEB
GWEBW 94-52
−6.5
30
vsSCST
SCSTW 105-54
+11.5
3
@ARK
ARKL 75-86
+2.5
6
vsTEX
TEXW 85-71
+2.5
10
@FLA
FLAL 67-91
+6.5
13
vsTA&M
TA&MW 87-82
+9.5
17
vsUK
UKL 78-80
+12.5
24
@ALA
ALAW 79-73
−15.5
28
@UGA
UGAW 86-85
+13.5
31
vsAUB
AUBW 77-69
−1.5
3
vsMISS
MISSW 84-66
+10.5
7
@UK
UKL 71-74
−2.5
11
@MSST
MSSTW 73-64
−10.5
over 14under 10avg +1.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
LSU
14-10 overall · 2-9 in conference · Southeastern Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Lvs Arkansas62–91
- Lvs Georgia71–83
- W@ South Carolina92–87
- Lvs Mississippi St66–80
- L@ Arkansas81–85
4 days since their last game.
Tennessee
17-7 overall · 7-4 in conference · Southeastern Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- W@ Mississippi St73–64
- L@ Kentucky71–74
- Wvs Ole Miss84–66
- Wvs Auburn77–69
- W@ Georgia86–85
3 days since their last game.