Pete Maravich Assembly Center · at LSU · Conference game
Closing line
LSU -1.5✓ LSU covered by 6.5
LSU -1.5✓ LSU covered by 6.5Closing total148.5Under by 0.5
 MIZ | This season | LSU |
|---|---|---|
| 13-4 | Record | 12-5 |
| 8-9 | ATS | 10-7 |
| 7-10 | O/U | 8-9 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: MIZ 76–81 LSU · ✓ LSU (65%) won
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| MIZ | 27 | 43 | 70 |
| LSU | 37 | 41 | 78 |
1st half: MIZ 27, LSU 37 (LSU by 10). The model had LSU by 2.5 and a total of 73.4 (actual 64).
Team stats
| MIZ | LSU | |
|---|---|---|
| 20-46 43% | Field goals | 25-59 42% |
| 6-18 33% | 3-pointers | 10-26 38% |
| 24-30 80% | Free throws | 18-23 78% |
| 30 9 off | Rebounds | 35 16 off |
| 7 | Assists | 12 |
| 4 | Steals | 7 |
| 4 | Blocks | 2 |
| 12 | Turnovers | 7 |
| 17 | Fouls | 22 |
| 26 | Points in paint | 30 |
| 5 | Fast-break points | 9 |
Players
| MIZ | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jayden Stone G | 36 | 20 | 4 | 0 | 7-14 | 3-7 |
| Jacob Crews G | 30 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 1-5 | 1-4 |
| Mark Mitchell Jr. G | 25 | 13 | 5 | 0 | 3-6 | 0-1 |
| Shawn Phillips Jr. C | 21 | 10 | 5 | 0 | 2-3 | 0-0 |
| Anthony Robinson II G | 17 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1-4 | 0-1 |
| Bench | ||||||
| T.O. Barrett F | 29 | 11 | 5 | 4 | 3-8 | 0-1 |
| Trent Pierce G | 24 | 9 | 3 | 0 | 3-4 | 2-3 |
| Annor Boateng G | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
| Trent Burns C | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Nicholas Randall F | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| Sebastian Mack G | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Luke Northweather, Aaron Rowe, Jevon Porter
| LSU | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Max Mackinnon G | 38 | 20 | 3 | 2 | 7-19 | 4-10 |
| Marquel Sutton F | 34 | 26 | 6 | 1 | 7-14 | 2-4 |
| Pablo Tamba F | 31 | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2-3 | 1-2 |
| Rashad King G | 29 | 7 | 1 | 4 | 3-9 | 1-4 |
| Mike Nwoko F | 13 | 6 | 8 | 1 | 2-2 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Robert Miller III F | 27 | 4 | 7 | 0 | 2-5 | 0-0 |
| Jalen Reece G | 20 | 7 | 0 | 3 | 2-4 | 2-4 |
| Mazi Mosley G | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-3 | 0-2 |
Did not play: Jaden Bobbett, Marcus Vaughn, Matt Gilhool, Ron Zipper, Jalen Reed, Dedan Thomas Jr., PJ Carter
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Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketLSU -1.5
ModelLSU -4.4
Model edgeLSU +2.9
W LSU covered
Total
Market148.5
Model156.7
Model edgeOver 8.2
L Under
Projected score
MIZ 76.2 · LSU 80.5
MIZ 70 · LSU 78
Win probability
LSU 65%
1st half
Spread
LSU -2.5
LSU -10.0
Total
73.4
64 points
Projected score
MIZ 35.5 · LSU 37.9
MIZ 27 · LSU 37
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenLSU -4.5
3 → MIZ
CloseLSU -1.5
3 pts toward MIZ
Total
Open155.5
▼ 7
Close148.5
Down 7 since the open
Moneyline
MIZ -105 · LSU -115
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened LSU -4.5 · closed LSU -1.5 · moved 3 toward MIZmodel LSU -4.5
model LSU -4.5
Opened 155.5 · closed 148.5 · moved 7 downmodel 156.5
model 156.5
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| MIZ | 6-4 60% | 4-6 40% | 4-6 40% |
| LSU | 5-5 50% | 6-4 60% | 3-7 30% |
Recent meetings
Last 5 of 6 since 2021-22
MIZ 3–3 LSUSeries tied · 6 games since 2021-22 · MIZ 4-2 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 7, 2024-25 | LSU 67 @ MIZ 83 | MIZ -7.5 | MIZ W |
| Mar 9, 2023-24 | MIZ 80 @ LSU 84 | LSU -7.5 | MIZ W |
| Mar 1, 2022-23 | MIZ 81 @ LSU 76 | LSU +3.5 | MIZ W |
| Feb 1, 2022-23 | LSU 77 @ MIZ 87 | MIZ -10.5 | LSU W |
| Mar 10, 2021-22 | MIZ 68 vs LSU 76 | LSU -11.5 | MIZ W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Missouri
17 games played
Straight up
13-4
76% wins
Against the spread
8-9
47% covers · avg −2.6 pts vs the line
Over / Under
7-10
41% overs · avg −2.8 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | @ HOW | W 88-67 | -20.5 | W +0.5 | 158.5 | U 155 |
| Nov 7 | vs SEMO | W 89-84 | -25.5 | L −20.5 | 157.5 | O 173 |
| Nov 9 | vs VMI | W 106-68 | -23.5 | W +14.5 | 161.5 | O 174 |
| Nov 12 | vs MINN | W 83-60 | -7.5 | W +15.5 | 158.5 | U 143 |
| Nov 17 | vs PV | W 91-73 | -35.5 | L −17.5 | 166.5 | U 164 |
| Nov 20 | vs SDAK | W 102-68 | -24.5 | W +9.5 | 171.5 | U 170 |
| Nov 25 | vs SCST | W 98-66 | -34.5 | L −2.5 | 160.5 | O 164 |
| Nov 28 | vs CLE | W 86-59 | -31.5 | L −4.5 | 170.5 | U 145 |
| Dec 2 | @ ND | L 71-76 | -1.5 | L −6.5 | 146.5 | O 147 |
| Dec 7 | vs KU | L 60-80 | +5.5 | L −14.5 | 150.5 | U 140 |
| Dec 11 | vs ALST | W 85-77 | -26.5 | L −18.5 | 155.5 | O 162 |
| Dec 14 | vs BCU | W 82-60 | -20.5 | W +1.5 | 146.5 | U 142 |
| Dec 22 | vs ILL | L 48-91 | +8.5 | L −34.5 | 153.5 | U 139 |
| Jan 3 | vs FLA | W 76-74 | +7.5 | W +9.5 | 154.5 | U 150 |
| Jan 7 | @ UK | W 73-68 | +12.5 | W +17.5 | 150.5 | U 141 |
| Jan 10 | @ MISS | L 69-76 | +1.5 | L −5.5 | 143.5 | O 145 |
| Jan 14 | vs AUB | W 84-74 | +1.5 | W +11.5 | 153.5 | O 158 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
@HOW
HOWW 88-67
+0.5
7
vsSEMO
SEMOW 89-84
−20.5
9
vsVMI
VMIW 106-68
+14.5
12
vsMINN
MINNW 83-60
+15.5
17
vsPV
PVW 91-73
−17.5
20
vsSDAK
SDAKW 102-68
+9.5
25
vsSCST
SCSTW 98-66
−2.5
28
vsCLE
CLEW 86-59
−4.5
2
@ND
NDL 71-76
−6.5
7
vsKU
KUL 60-80
−14.5
11
vsALST
ALSTW 85-77
−18.5
14
vsBCU
BCUW 82-60
+1.5
22
vsILL
ILLL 48-91
−34.5
3
vsFLA
FLAW 76-74
+9.5
7
@UK
UKW 73-68
+17.5
10
@MISS
MISSL 69-76
−5.5
14
vsAUB
AUBW 84-74
+11.5
covered 8didn’t cover 9avg −2.6 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
@HOW
HOWW 88-67
−3.5
7
vsSEMO
SEMOW 89-84
+15.5
9
vsVMI
VMIW 106-68
+12.5
12
vsMINN
MINNW 83-60
−15.5
17
vsPV
PVW 91-73
−2.5
20
vsSDAK
SDAKW 102-68
−1.5
25
vsSCST
SCSTW 98-66
+3.5
28
vsCLE
CLEW 86-59
−25.5
2
@ND
NDL 71-76
+0.5
7
vsKU
KUL 60-80
−10.5
11
vsALST
ALSTW 85-77
+6.5
14
vsBCU
BCUW 82-60
−4.5
22
vsILL
ILLL 48-91
−14.5
3
vsFLA
FLAW 76-74
−4.5
7
@UK
UKW 73-68
−9.5
10
@MISS
MISSL 69-76
+1.5
14
vsAUB
AUBW 84-74
+4.5
over 7under 10avg −2.8 ptslonger = bigger margin
LSU
17 games played
Straight up
12-5
71% wins
Against the spread
10-7
59% covers · avg +1.1 pts vs the line
Over / Under
8-9
47% overs · avg +2.3 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 5 | vs TAR | W 96-60 | -15.5 | W +20.5 | 148.5 | O 156 |
| Nov 10 | vs NOLA | W 93-58 | -19.5 | W +15.5 | 162.5 | U 151 |
| Nov 13 | vs FIU | W 98-81 | -21.5 | L −4.5 | 158.5 | O 179 |
| Nov 18 | vs ALCN | W 107-81 | -32.5 | L −6.5 | 155.5 | O 188 |
| Nov 21 | vs OMA | W 99-73 | -20.5 | W +5.5 | 163.5 | O 172 |
| Nov 28 | vs DRKE | W 71-62 | -11.5 | L −2.5 | 151.5 | U 133 |
| Nov 29 | vs DEP | W 96-63 | -5.5 | W +27.5 | 152.5 | O 159 |
| Dec 3 | @ BC | W 78-69 | -7.5 | W +1.5 | 149.5 | U 147 |
| Dec 7 | vs TTU | L 58-82 | +5.5 | L −18.5 | 154.5 | U 140 |
| Dec 13 | vs SMU | W 89-77 | -1.5 | W +10.5 | 158.5 | O 166 |
| Dec 19 | vs SELA | W 78-65 | -24.5 | L −11.5 | 144.5 | U 143 |
| Dec 22 | vsPV | W 104-90 | -29.5 | L −15.5 | 161.5 | O 194 |
| Dec 29 | vs USM | W 90-62 | -21.5 | W +6.5 | 154.5 | U 152 |
| Jan 3 | @ TA&M | L 72-75 | +5.5 | W +2.5 | 168.5 | U 147 |
| Jan 6 | vs SC | L 68-78 | -7.5 | L −17.5 | 145.5 | O 146 |
| Jan 10 | @ VAN | L 73-84 | +13.5 | W +2.5 | 159.5 | U 157 |
| Jan 14 | vsUK | L 74-75 | +3.5 | W +2.5 | 151.5 | U 149 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
5
vsTAR
TARW 96-60
+20.5
10
vsNOLA
NOLAW 93-58
+15.5
13
vsFIU
FIUW 98-81
−4.5
18
vsALCN
ALCNW 107-81
−6.5
21
vsOMA
OMAW 99-73
+5.5
28
vsDRKE
DRKEW 71-62
−2.5
29
vsDEP
DEPW 96-63
+27.5
3
@BC
BCW 78-69
+1.5
7
vsTTU
TTUL 58-82
−18.5
13
vsSMU
SMUW 89-77
+10.5
19
vsSELA
SELAW 78-65
−11.5
22
vsPV
PVW 104-90
−15.5
29
vsUSM
USMW 90-62
+6.5
3
@TA&M
TA&ML 72-75
+2.5
6
vsSC
SCL 68-78
−17.5
10
@VAN
VANL 73-84
+2.5
14
vsUK
UKL 74-75
+2.5
covered 10didn’t cover 7avg +1.1 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
5
vsTAR
TARW 96-60
+7.5
10
vsNOLA
NOLAW 93-58
−11.5
13
vsFIU
FIUW 98-81
+20.5
18
vsALCN
ALCNW 107-81
+32.5
21
vsOMA
OMAW 99-73
+8.5
28
vsDRKE
DRKEW 71-62
−18.5
29
vsDEP
DEPW 96-63
+6.5
3
@BC
BCW 78-69
−2.5
7
vsTTU
TTUL 58-82
−14.5
13
vsSMU
SMUW 89-77
+7.5
19
vsSELA
SELAW 78-65
−1.5
22
vsPV
PVW 104-90
+32.5
29
vsUSM
USMW 90-62
−2.5
3
@TA&M
TA&ML 72-75
−21.5
6
vsSC
SCL 68-78
+0.5
10
@VAN
VANL 73-84
−2.5
14
vsUK
UKL 74-75
−2.5
over 8under 9avg +2.3 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Missouri
13-4 overall · 3-1 in conference · Southeastern Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs Auburn84–74
- L@ Ole Miss69–76
- W@ Kentucky73–68
- Wvs Florida76–74
- Lvs Illinois48–91
3 days since their last game.
LSU
12-5 overall · 0-4 in conference · Southeastern Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Lvs Kentucky74–75
- L@ Vanderbilt73–84
- Lvs South Carolina68–78
- L@ Texas A&M72–75
- Wvs Southern Miss90–62
3 days since their last game.