Mizzou Arena · at Missouri
Closing line
MIZ -23.5✓ MIZ covered by 14.5
MIZ -23.5✓ MIZ covered by 14.5Closing total161.5Over by 12.5
 VMI | This season | MIZ |
|---|---|---|
| 1-0 | Record | 2-0 |
| 1-0 | ATS | 1-1 |
| 0-1 | O/U | 1-1 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: VMI 67–91 MIZ · ✓ MIZ (98%) won
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| VMI | 40 | 28 | 68 |
| MIZ | 50 | 56 | 106 |
1st half: VMI 40, MIZ 50 (MIZ by 10). The model had MIZ by 14.1 and a total of 73.9 (actual 90).
Team stats
| VMI | MIZ | |
|---|---|---|
| 19-57 33% | Field goals | 37-65 57% |
| 15-42 36% | 3-pointers | 7-21 33% |
| 15-20 75% | Free throws | 25-35 71% |
| 25 8 off | Rebounds | 50 17 off |
| 10 | Assists | 20 |
| 8 | Steals | 13 |
| 1 | Blocks | 2 |
| 17 | Turnovers | 11 |
| 24 | Fouls | 19 |
| 2 | Points in paint | 60 |
| 8 | Fast-break points | 27 |
Players
| VMI | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TJ Johnson F | 36 | 31 | 7 | 1 | 8-19 | 6-15 |
| Tan Yildizoglu G | 30 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 0-2 | 0-2 |
| Linus Holmstrom G | 22 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 2-8 | 2-5 |
| AJ Clark G | 21 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 2-5 | 2-4 |
| Kaden Stuckey F | 14 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0-2 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Mario Tatum Jr. G | 27 | 15 | 1 | 0 | 4-7 | 3-5 |
| Cal Liston F | 24 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 1-4 | 1-3 |
| Walker Andrews G | 16 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 2-7 | 1-6 |
| Jaylen Pazon G | 10 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0-3 | 0-2 |
Did not play: Alexander Daushvili, Branford Edmonds III, Mason Lawson, Mason Hagedorn, Robert Peters, Rickey Bradley Jr.
| MIZ | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mark Mitchell Jr. G | 32 | 24 | 10 | 3 | 7-13 | 0-1 |
| Sebastian Mack G | 30 | 14 | 3 | 2 | 5-13 | 0-2 |
| Anthony Robinson II G | 30 | 20 | 1 | 4 | 6-7 | 4-5 |
| Jevon Porter F | 25 | 8 | 9 | 1 | 3-6 | 0-3 |
| Luke Northweather F | 25 | 3 | 10 | 3 | 1-4 | 1-3 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Jayden Stone G | 22 | 16 | 7 | 5 | 7-10 | 0-2 |
| T.O. Barrett F | 16 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 2-3 | 0-1 |
| Jacob Crews G | 14 | 14 | 6 | 0 | 5-8 | 2-4 |
| Nicholas Randall F | 6 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Annor Boateng, Trent Burns, Shawn Phillips Jr., Aaron Rowe, Trent Pierce
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Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenMIZ -22.5
1 → MIZ
CloseMIZ -23.5
1 pt toward MIZ
Total
Open160.5
▲ 1
Close161.5
Up 1 since the open
Moneyline
VMI +2500 · MIZ -10000
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened MIZ -22.5 · closed MIZ -23.5 · moved 1 toward MIZmodel MIZ -23.5 matches the line
model MIZ -23.5 = line ✓
Opened 160.5 · closed 161.5 · moved 1 upmodel 158
model 158
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Model vs market
| Market | Model | Model edge | Result | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | MIZ -23.5 | MIZ -23.4 | VMI +0.1 | L MIZ covered |
| Total | 161.5 | 157.8 | Under 3.7 | L Over |
| Projected score | — | VMI 67.2 · MIZ 90.6 |
1st-half model
| Model | Actual | |
|---|---|---|
| 1H spread | MIZ -14.1 | MIZ -10.0 |
| 1H total | 73.9 | 90 |
| 1H projected score | VMI 29.9 · MIZ 44 | VMI 40 · MIZ 50 |
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| VMIlast 1 | 1-0 100% | 1-0 100% | 0-1 0% |
| MIZlast 2 | 2-0 100% | 1-1 50% | 1-1 50% |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
VMI
1 game played
Straight up
1-0
100% wins
Against the spread
1-0
100% covers · avg +1.5 pts vs the line
Over / Under
0-1
0% overs · avg −1.5 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 7 | @ USI | W 78-74 | -2.5 | W +1.5 | 153.5 | U 152 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
7
@USI
USIW 78-74
+1.5
covered 1didn’t cover 0avg +1.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
7
@USI
USIW 78-74
−1.5
over 0under 1avg −1.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Missouri
2 games played
Straight up
2-0
100% wins
Against the spread
1-1
50% covers · avg −10 pts vs the line
Over / Under
1-1
50% overs · avg +6 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
@
HOW
HOWW 88-67
+0.5
7
vs
SEMO
SEMOW 89-84
−20.5
covered 1didn’t cover 1avg −10 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
@HOW
HOWW 88-67
−3.5
7
vsSEMO
SEMOW 89-84
+15.5
over 1under 1avg +6 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
VMI
1-0 overall · 0-0 in conference · Southern Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- W@ Southern Indiana Screaming Eagles78–74
2 days since their last game.
Missouri
2-0 overall · 0-0 in conference · Southeastern Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs SE Missouri89–84
- W@ Howard88–67
2 days since their last game.