Addition Financial Arena · at UCF · Conference game
Closing line
ARIZ -9.5✓ UCF covered by 2.5
ARIZ -9.5✓ UCF covered by 2.5Closing total165.5Under by 4.5
| ARIZ | This season | UCF |
|---|---|---|
| 17-0 | Record | 14-2 |
| 10-7 | ATS | 8-8 |
| 11-6 | O/U | 6-10 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: ARIZ 88–77 UCF · ✓ ARIZ (82%) won
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ARIZ | 41 | 43 | 84 |
| UCF | 38 | 39 | 77 |
1st half: ARIZ 41, UCF 38 (ARIZ by 3). The model had ARIZ by 6.4 and a total of 77.1 (actual 79).
Team stats
| ARIZ | UCF | |
|---|---|---|
| 29-55 53% | Field goals | 28-70 40% |
| 3-13 23% | 3-pointers | 8-26 31% |
| 23-33 70% | Free throws | 13-14 93% |
| 37 9 off | Rebounds | 36 14 off |
| 13 | Assists | 13 |
| 5 | Steals | 6 |
| 3 | Blocks | 1 |
| 12 | Turnovers | 13 |
| 13 | Fouls | 23 |
| 36 | Points in paint | 28 |
| 21 | Fast-break points | 10 |
Players
| ARIZ | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jaden Bradley G | 32 | 23 | 6 | 5 | 6-11 | 0-2 |
| Brayden Burries G | 32 | 18 | 1 | 1 | 8-14 | 2-5 |
| Motiejus Krivas C | 30 | 17 | 12 | 1 | 6-9 | 1-1 |
| Ivan Kharchenkov F | 27 | 10 | 1 | 2 | 5-6 | 0-0 |
| Koa Peat F | 20 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1-4 | 0-1 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Tobe Awaka F | 27 | 10 | 9 | 0 | 2-3 | 0-0 |
| Anthony Dell'Orso G | 18 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 0-6 | 0-3 |
| Dwayne Aristode F | 14 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 1-2 | 0-1 |
Did not play: Sidi Gueye, Mabil Mawut, Sven Djopmo, Jackson Cook, Jackson Francois, Bryce James, Addison Arnold, Evan Nelson
| UCF | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Themus Fulks G | 35 | 30 | 5 | 8 | 11-18 | 2-4 |
| Jordan Burks F | 33 | 16 | 3 | 0 | 6-12 | 2-6 |
| Riley Kugel G | 32 | 12 | 2 | 3 | 5-18 | 1-5 |
| Jamichael Stillwell F | 24 | 6 | 6 | 2 | 2-7 | 2-4 |
| John Bol C | 17 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Chris Johnson G | 17 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 2-7 | 1-3 |
| Jeremy Foumena C | 17 | 2 | 6 | 0 | 1-3 | 0-0 |
| Devan Cambridge F | 15 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0-2 | 0-2 |
| Carmelo Pacheco G | 10 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-2 | 0-2 |
Did not play: Zachary Johnson, Tanner Jones, Elijah Hulsewe, George Beale Jr., Poohpha Warakulnukroh, Kris Parker
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Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketARIZ -9.5
ModelARIZ -10.6
Model edgeARIZ +1.1
L UCF covered
Total
Market165.5
Model164.6
Model edgeUnder 0.9
W Under
Projected score
ARIZ 87.6 · UCF 77
ARIZ 84 · UCF 77
Win probability
ARIZ 82%
1st half
Spread
ARIZ -6.4
ARIZ -3.0
Total
77.1
79 points
Projected score
ARIZ 41.7 · UCF 35.3
ARIZ 41 · UCF 38
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenARIZ -9.5
no move
CloseARIZ -9.5
No change since the open
Total
Open163.5
▲ 2
Close165.5
Up 2 since the open
Moneyline
ARIZ -485 · UCF +370
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened ARIZ -9.5 · unchangedmodel ARIZ -10.5
model ARIZ -10.5
Opened 163.5 · closed 165.5 · moved 2 upmodel 164.5
model 164.5
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ARIZ | 10-0 100% | 6-4 60% | 8-2 80% |
| UCF | 9-1 90% | 5-5 50% | 3-7 30% |
Recent meetings
Since 2021-22
ARIZ 1–0 UCFARIZ leads · 1 game since 2021-22 · ARIZ 0-1 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 11, 2024-25 | UCF 80 @ ARIZ 88 | ARIZ -17.5 | UCF W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Arizona
17 games played
Straight up
17-0
100% wins
Against the spread
10-7
59% covers · avg +2.9 pts vs the line
Over / Under
11-6
65% overs · avg +0.1 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs FLA | W 93-87 | +3.5 | W +9.5 | 164.5 | O 180 |
| Nov 7 | vs UTU | W 93-67 | -33.5 | L −7.5 | 162.5 | U 160 |
| Nov 11 | vs NAU | W 84-49 | -35.5 | L −0.5 | 163.5 | U 133 |
| Nov 14 | vs UCLA | W 69-65 | -1.5 | W +2.5 | 153.5 | U 134 |
| Nov 19 | @ CONN | W 71-67 | +4.5 | W +8.5 | 156.5 | U 138 |
| Nov 24 | vs DEN | W 103-73 | -32.5 | L −2.5 | 154.5 | O 176 |
| Nov 29 | vs NORF | W 98-61 | -35.5 | W +1.5 | 146.5 | O 159 |
| Dec 6 | vs AUB | W 97-68 | -11.5 | W +17.5 | 162.5 | O 165 |
| Dec 13 | vs ALA | W 96-75 | -2.5 | W +18.5 | 178.5 | U 171 |
| Dec 16 | vs ACU | W 96-62 | -34.5 | L −0.5 | 145.5 | O 158 |
| Dec 20 | vs SDSU | W 68-45 | -13.5 | W +9.5 | 153.5 | U 113 |
| Dec 22 | vs BCU | W 107-71 | -39.5 | L −3.5 | 154.5 | O 178 |
| Dec 29 | vs SDST | W 99-71 | -31.5 | L −3.5 | 159.5 | O 170 |
| Jan 3 | @ UTAH | W 97-78 | -17.5 | W +1.5 | 162.5 | O 175 |
| Jan 7 | vs KSU | W 101-76 | -17.5 | W +7.5 | 171.5 | O 177 |
| Jan 10 | @ TCU | W 86-73 | -7.5 | W +5.5 | 157.5 | O 159 |
| Jan 14 | vs ASU | W 89-82 | -21.5 | L −14.5 | 167.5 | O 171 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsFLA
FLAW 93-87
+9.5
7
vsUTU
UTUW 93-67
−7.5
11
vsNAU
NAUW 84-49
−0.5
14
vsUCLA
UCLAW 69-65
+2.5
19
@CONN
CONNW 71-67
+8.5
24
vsDEN
DENW 103-73
−2.5
29
vsNORF
NORFW 98-61
+1.5
6
vsAUB
AUBW 97-68
+17.5
13
vsALA
ALAW 96-75
+18.5
16
vsACU
ACUW 96-62
−0.5
20
vsSDSU
SDSUW 68-45
+9.5
22
vsBCU
BCUW 107-71
−3.5
29
vsSDST
SDSTW 99-71
−3.5
3
@UTAH
UTAHW 97-78
+1.5
7
vsKSU
KSUW 101-76
+7.5
10
@TCU
TCUW 86-73
+5.5
14
vsASU
ASUW 89-82
−14.5
covered 10didn’t cover 7avg +2.9 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsFLA
FLAW 93-87
+15.5
7
vsUTU
UTUW 93-67
−2.5
11
vsNAU
NAUW 84-49
−30.5
14
vsUCLA
UCLAW 69-65
−19.5
19
@CONN
CONNW 71-67
−18.5
24
vsDEN
DENW 103-73
+21.5
29
vsNORF
NORFW 98-61
+12.5
6
vsAUB
AUBW 97-68
+2.5
13
vsALA
ALAW 96-75
−7.5
16
vsACU
ACUW 96-62
+12.5
20
vsSDSU
SDSUW 68-45
−40.5
22
vsBCU
BCUW 107-71
+23.5
29
vsSDST
SDSTW 99-71
+10.5
3
@UTAH
UTAHW 97-78
+12.5
7
vsKSU
KSUW 101-76
+5.5
10
@TCU
TCUW 86-73
+1.5
14
vsASU
ASUW 89-82
+3.5
over 11under 6avg +0.1 ptslonger = bigger margin
UCF
16 games played
Straight up
14-2
88% wins
Against the spread
8-8
50% covers · avg +3.6 pts vs the line
Over / Under
6-10
38% overs · avg +0.4 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs HOF | W 82-78 | -8.5 | L −4.5 | 140.5 | O 160 |
| Nov 8 | vs VAN | L 93-105 | +10.5 | L −1.5 | 166.5 | O 198 |
| Nov 11 | vs FAMU | W 97-60 | -23.5 | W +13.5 | 169.5 | U 157 |
| Nov 14 | @ TA&M | W 86-74 | +10.5 | W +22.5 | 172.5 | U 160 |
| Nov 17 | vs OAK | W 87-83 | -13.5 | L −9.5 | 163.5 | O 170 |
| Nov 20 | vs PITT | W 77-67 | +1.5 | W +11.5 | 149.5 | U 144 |
| Nov 25 | vs QUIN | W 102-91 | -13.5 | L −2.5 | 162.5 | O 193 |
| Nov 29 | vs VMI | W 82-57 | -25.5 | L −0.5 | 159.5 | U 139 |
| Dec 7 | vs TOW | W 86-61 | -9.5 | W +15.5 | 148.5 | U 147 |
| Dec 17 | vs MER | W 81-63 | -16.5 | W +1.5 | 160.5 | U 144 |
| Dec 20 | vs FGCU | W 102-80 | -17.5 | W +4.5 | 161.5 | O 182 |
| Dec 23 | vs FAU | W 85-80 | -8.5 | L −3.5 | 162.5 | O 165 |
| Jan 3 | vs KU | W 81-75 | +4.5 | W +10.5 | 157.5 | U 156 |
| Jan 6 | @ OKST | L 76-87 | +1.5 | L −9.5 | 175.5 | U 163 |
| Jan 11 | vs CIN | W 73-72 | -2.5 | L −1.5 | 150.5 | U 145 |
| Jan 14 | @KSU | W 82-73 | +2.5 | W +11.5 | 170.5 | U 155 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsHOF
HOFW 82-78
−4.5
8
vsVAN
VANL 93-105
−1.5
11
vsFAMU
FAMUW 97-60
+13.5
14
@TA&M
TA&MW 86-74
+22.5
17
vsOAK
OAKW 87-83
−9.5
20
vsPITT
PITTW 77-67
+11.5
25
vsQUIN
QUINW 102-91
−2.5
29
vsVMI
VMIW 82-57
−0.5
7
vsTOW
TOWW 86-61
+15.5
17
vsMER
MERW 81-63
+1.5
20
vsFGCU
FGCUW 102-80
+4.5
23
vsFAU
FAUW 85-80
−3.5
3
vsKU
KUW 81-75
+10.5
6
@OKST
OKSTL 76-87
−9.5
11
vsCIN
CINW 73-72
−1.5
14
@KSU
KSUW 82-73
+11.5
covered 8didn’t cover 8avg +3.6 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsHOF
HOFW 82-78
+19.5
8
vsVAN
VANL 93-105
+31.5
11
vsFAMU
FAMUW 97-60
−12.5
14
@TA&M
TA&MW 86-74
−12.5
17
vsOAK
OAKW 87-83
+6.5
20
vsPITT
PITTW 77-67
−5.5
25
vsQUIN
QUINW 102-91
+30.5
29
vsVMI
VMIW 82-57
−20.5
7
vsTOW
TOWW 86-61
−1.5
17
vsMER
MERW 81-63
−16.5
20
vsFGCU
FGCUW 102-80
+20.5
23
vsFAU
FAUW 85-80
+2.5
3
vsKU
KUW 81-75
−1.5
6
@OKST
OKSTL 76-87
−12.5
11
vsCIN
CINW 73-72
−5.5
14
@KSU
KSUW 82-73
−15.5
over 6under 10avg +0.4 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Arizona
17-0 overall · 4-0 in conference · Big 12 Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs Arizona St89–82
- W@ TCU86–73
- Wvs Kansas St101–76
- W@ Utah97–78
- Wvs S Dakota St99–71
3 days since their last game.
UCF
14-2 overall · 3-1 in conference · Big 12 Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- W@ Kansas St82–73
- Wvs Cincinnati73–72
- L@ Oklahoma St76–87
- Wvs Kansas81–75
- Wvs FAU85–80
3 days since their last game.