McKale Center at ALKEME Arena · at Arizona
Closing line
ARIZ -11.5✓ ARIZ covered by 17.5
ARIZ -11.5✓ ARIZ covered by 17.5Closing total162.5Over by 2.5
 AUB | This season | ARIZ |
|---|---|---|
| 7-2 | Record | 7-0 |
| 7-2 | ATS | 4-3 |
| 7-2 | O/U | 3-4 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: AUB 80–85 ARIZ · ✓ ARIZ (67%) won
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| AUB | 32 | 36 | 68 |
| ARIZ | 44 | 53 | 97 |
1st half: AUB 32, ARIZ 44 (ARIZ by 12). The model had ARIZ by 3.0 and a total of 77.4 (actual 76).
Team stats
| AUB | ARIZ | |
|---|---|---|
| 21-63 33% | Field goals | 41-67 61% |
| 6-25 24% | 3-pointers | 6-15 40% |
| 20-25 80% | Free throws | 9-12 75% |
| 34 16 off | Rebounds | 40 11 off |
| 7 | Assists | 23 |
| 8 | Steals | 8 |
| 4 | Blocks | 3 |
| 15 | Turnovers | 13 |
| 15 | Fouls | 21 |
| 24 | Points in paint | 60 |
| 13 | Fast-break points | 19 |
Players
| AUB | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Keyshawn Hall F | 36 | 13 | 4 | 0 | 3-11 | 1-4 |
| Tahaad Pettiford G | 35 | 30 | 3 | 1 | 10-19 | 5-9 |
| KeShawn Murphy F | 28 | 8 | 8 | 1 | 4-8 | 0-1 |
| Kevin Overton G | 27 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 1-8 | 0-4 |
| Elyjah Freeman G | 21 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 1-7 | 0-3 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Sebastian Williams-Adams F | 24 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1-6 | 0-2 |
| Filip Jovic C | 18 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Kaden Magwood G | 11 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1-4 | 0-2 |
Did not play: Bradley Pearson, Jeremiah Bowman, Emeka Opurum, Abdul Bashir, Drake Cardwell, Joah Shay, Simon Walker, Reed Trapp, Blake Muschalek, CJ Williams
| ARIZ | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Koa Peat F | 34 | 18 | 4 | 5 | 8-11 | 0-0 |
| Jaden Bradley G | 31 | 16 | 4 | 4 | 6-11 | 2-3 |
| Ivan Kharchenkov F | 29 | 12 | 5 | 8 | 5-9 | 2-3 |
| Brayden Burries G | 28 | 16 | 5 | 1 | 7-11 | 0-3 |
| Motiejus Krivas C | 23 | 8 | 9 | 1 | 4-6 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Anthony Dell'Orso G | 20 | 11 | 0 | 2 | 5-8 | 1-2 |
| Tobe Awaka F | 17 | 6 | 7 | 1 | 3-5 | 0-1 |
| Dwayne Aristode F | 13 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 2-4 | 1-3 |
| Evan Nelson G | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| Sidi Gueye C | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| Addison Arnold G | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Sven Djopmo G | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Mabil Mawut, Jackson Cook, Bryce James, Jackson Francois
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Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenARIZ -7.5
4 → ARIZ
CloseARIZ -11.5
4 pts toward ARIZ
Total
Open161.5
▲ 1
Close162.5
Up 1 since the open
Moneyline
AUB +455 · ARIZ -625
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened ARIZ -7.5 · closed ARIZ -11.5 · moved 4 toward ARIZmodel ARIZ -5
model ARIZ -5
Opened 161.5 · closed 162.5 · moved 1 upmodel 165.5
model 165.5
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Model vs market
| Market | Model | Model edge | Result | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | ARIZ -11.5 | ARIZ -5.2 | AUB +6.3 | L ARIZ covered |
| Total | 162.5 | 165.5 | Over 3.0 | W Over |
| Projected score | — | AUB 80.2 · ARIZ 85.3 |
1st-half model
| Model | Actual | |
|---|---|---|
| 1H spread | ARIZ -3.0 | ARIZ -12.0 |
| 1H total | 77.4 | 76 |
| 1H projected score | AUB 37.2 · ARIZ 40.2 | AUB 32 · ARIZ 44 |
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| AUBlast 9 | 7-2 78% | 7-2 78% | 7-2 78% |
| ARIZlast 7 | 7-0 100% | 4-3 57% | 3-4 43% |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Auburn
9 games played
Straight up
7-2
78% wins
Against the spread
7-2
78% covers · avg +2.4 pts vs the line
Over / Under
7-2
78% overs · avg +6.8 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs BCU | W 95-90 | -24.5 | L −19.5 | 153.5 | O 185 |
| Nov 6 | vs MRMK | W 95-57 | -23.5 | W +14.5 | 148.5 | O 152 |
| Nov 11 | vs WOF | W 93-62 | -27.5 | W +3.5 | 152.5 | O 155 |
| Nov 16 | vs HOU | L 72-73 | +7.5 | W +6.5 | 140.5 | O 145 |
| Nov 19 | vs JKST | W 112-66 | -30.5 | W +15.5 | 156.5 | O 178 |
| Nov 24 | vs ORE | W 84-73 | -4.5 | W +6.5 | 155.5 | O 157 |
| Nov 25 | vs MICH | L 72-102 | +4.5 | L −25.5 | 163.5 | O 174 |
| Nov 26 | vs SJU | W 85-74 | +4.5 | W +15.5 | 166.5 | U 159 |
| Dec 3 | vs NCSU | W 83-73 | -5.5 | W +4.5 | 162.5 | U 156 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsBCU
BCUW 95-90
−19.5
6
vsMRMK
MRMKW 95-57
+14.5
11
vsWOF
WOFW 93-62
+3.5
16
vsHOU
HOUL 72-73
+6.5
19
vsJKST
JKSTW 112-66
+15.5
24
vsORE
OREW 84-73
+6.5
25
vsMICH
MICHL 72-102
−25.5
26
vsSJU
SJUW 85-74
+15.5
3
vsNCSU
NCSUW 83-73
+4.5
covered 7didn’t cover 2avg +2.4 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsBCU
BCUW 95-90
+31.5
6
vsMRMK
MRMKW 95-57
+3.5
11
vsWOF
WOFW 93-62
+2.5
16
vsHOU
HOUL 72-73
+4.5
19
vsJKST
JKSTW 112-66
+21.5
24
vsORE
OREW 84-73
+1.5
25
vsMICH
MICHL 72-102
+10.5
26
vsSJU
SJUW 85-74
−7.5
3
vsNCSU
NCSUW 83-73
−6.5
over 7under 2avg +6.8 ptslonger = bigger margin
Arizona
7 games played
Straight up
7-0
100% wins
Against the spread
4-3
57% covers · avg +1.6 pts vs the line
Over / Under
3-4
43% overs · avg −3.1 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vs
FLA
FLAW 93-87
+9.5
7
vs
UTU
UTUW 93-67
−7.5
11
vs
NAU
NAUW 84-49
−0.5
14
vs
UCLA
UCLAW 69-65
+2.5
19
@
CONN
CONNW 71-67
+8.5
24
vs
DEN
DENW 103-73
−2.5
29
vs
NORF
NORFW 98-61
+1.5
covered 4didn’t cover 3avg +1.6 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsFLA
FLAW 93-87
+15.5
7
vsUTU
UTUW 93-67
−2.5
11
vsNAU
NAUW 84-49
−30.5
14
vsUCLA
UCLAW 69-65
−19.5
19
@CONN
CONNW 71-67
−18.5
24
vsDEN
DENW 103-73
+21.5
29
vsNORF
NORFW 98-61
+12.5
over 3under 4avg −3.1 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Auburn
7-2 overall · 0-0 in conference · Southeastern Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs NC State83–73
- Wvs St John's85–74
- Lvs Michigan72–102
- Wvs Oregon84–73
- Wvs Jackson St112–66
3 days since their last game.
Arizona
7-0 overall · 0-0 in conference · Big 12 Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs Norfolk St98–61
- Wvs Denver103–73
- W@ UConn71–67
- Wvs UCLA69–65
- Wvs N Arizona84–49
A week or more of rest.