Addition Financial Arena · at UCF
Closing line
UCF -16.5✓ UCF covered by 1.5
UCF -16.5✓ UCF covered by 1.5Closing total160.5Under by 16.5
 MER | This season | UCF |
|---|---|---|
| 5-3 | Record | 8-1 |
| 7-1 | ATS | 4-5 |
| 4-4 | O/U | 4-5 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: MER 73–89 UCF · ✓ UCF (92%) won
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| MER | 27 | 36 | 63 |
| UCF | 35 | 46 | 81 |
1st half: MER 27, UCF 35 (UCF by 8). The model had UCF by 9.5 and a total of 76.0 (actual 62).
Team stats
| MER | UCF | |
|---|---|---|
| 20-53 38% | Field goals | 30-68 44% |
| 5-18 28% | 3-pointers | 8-24 33% |
| 18-24 75% | Free throws | 13-17 76% |
| 34 9 off | Rebounds | 44 17 off |
| 7 | Assists | 13 |
| 7 | Steals | 10 |
| 4 | Blocks | 4 |
| 17 | Turnovers | 12 |
| 14 | Fouls | 19 |
| 26 | Points in paint | 34 |
| 7 | Fast-break points | 14 |
Players
| MER | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Armani Mighty C | 37 | 13 | 9 | 1 | 3-6 | 0-0 |
| Baraka Okojie G | 34 | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3-11 | 1-3 |
| Brady Shoulders G | 32 | 14 | 6 | 1 | 5-7 | 0-1 |
| Zaire Williams G | 25 | 9 | 3 | 0 | 3-10 | 1-5 |
| Quinton Perkins II G | 18 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1-6 | 1-4 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Connor Serven F | 26 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 2-3 | 1-2 |
| Kyle Cuffe Jr. G | 16 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 2-7 | 1-2 |
| Tristan Gross G | 12 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1-3 | 0-1 |
Did not play: Petras Padegimas, TJ Grant, Bendji Pierre, Alex Koch, Braeden Carlsen, NJ Nganga, Pero Zubac, Jaydon Cole
| UCF | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Themus Fulks G | 35 | 14 | 3 | 2 | 7-15 | 0-2 |
| Riley Kugel G | 31 | 16 | 4 | 3 | 5-15 | 0-4 |
| Jamichael Stillwell F | 29 | 12 | 10 | 2 | 6-9 | 0-0 |
| Jordan Burks F | 26 | 17 | 5 | 0 | 5-12 | 4-7 |
| John Bol C | 12 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Devan Cambridge F | 20 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 1-2 | 0-1 |
| Carmelo Pacheco G | 14 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 2-5 | 2-5 |
| Jeremy Foumena C | 12 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
| Chris Johnson G | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 2-3 | 1-1 |
| George Beale Jr. G | 7 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1-4 | 1-4 |
| Elijah Hulsewe C | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Poohpha Warakulnukroh, Kris Parker, Zachary Johnson, Tanner Jones
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Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenUCF -13.5
3 → UCF
CloseUCF -16.5
3 pts toward UCF
Total
Open164.5
▼ 4
Close160.5
Down 4 since the open
Moneyline
MER +1000 · UCF -1800
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened UCF -13.5 · closed UCF -16.5 · moved 3 toward UCFmodel UCF -16
model UCF -16
Opened 164.5 · closed 160.5 · moved 4 downmodel 162.5
model 162.5
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Model vs market
| Market | Model | Model edge | Result | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | UCF -16.5 | UCF -16.0 | MER +0.5 | L UCF covered |
| Total | 160.5 | 162.5 | Over 2.0 | L Under |
| Projected score | — | MER 73.3 · UCF 89.2 |
1st-half model
| Model | Actual | |
|---|---|---|
| 1H spread | UCF -9.5 | UCF -8.0 |
| 1H total | 76.0 | 62 |
| 1H projected score | MER 33.3 · UCF 42.7 | MER 27 · UCF 35 |
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| MERlast 8 | 5-3 63% | 7-1 88% | 4-4 50% |
| UCFlast 9 | 8-1 89% | 4-5 44% | 4-5 44% |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Mercer
8 games played
Straight up
5-3
63% wins
Against the spread
7-1
88% covers · avg +4.4 pts vs the line
Over / Under
4-4
50% overs · avg +2 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | @ TENN | L 61-76 | +28.5 | W +13.5 | 143.5 | U 137 |
| Nov 9 | vs LIP | W 92-77 | -3.5 | W +11.5 | 157.5 | O 169 |
| Nov 15 | @ WIN | L 69-105 | +2.5 | L −33.5 | 162.5 | O 174 |
| Nov 22 | @ EKU | W 95-83 | +4.5 | W +16.5 | 163.5 | O 178 |
| Nov 26 | vs APP | W 75-67 | -6.5 | W +1.5 | 142.5 | U 142 |
| Nov 29 | @ ELON | W 91-84 | +2.5 | W +9.5 | 159.5 | O 175 |
| Dec 2 | vs GAST | W 78-67 | -10.5 | W +0.5 | 155.5 | U 145 |
| Dec 13 | @ CLEM | L 63-70 | +22.5 | W +15.5 | 152.5 | U 133 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
@TENN
TENNL 61-76
+13.5
9
vsLIP
LIPW 92-77
+11.5
15
@WIN
WINL 69-105
−33.5
22
@EKU
EKUW 95-83
+16.5
26
vsAPP
APPW 75-67
+1.5
29
@ELON
ELONW 91-84
+9.5
2
vsGAST
GASTW 78-67
+0.5
13
@CLEM
CLEML 63-70
+15.5
covered 7didn’t cover 1avg +4.4 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
@TENN
TENNL 61-76
−6.5
9
vsLIP
LIPW 92-77
+11.5
15
@WIN
WINL 69-105
+11.5
22
@EKU
EKUW 95-83
+14.5
26
vsAPP
APPW 75-67
−0.5
29
@ELON
ELONW 91-84
+15.5
2
vsGAST
GASTW 78-67
−10.5
13
@CLEM
CLEML 63-70
−19.5
over 4under 4avg +2 ptslonger = bigger margin
UCF
9 games played
Straight up
8-1
89% wins
Against the spread
4-5
44% covers · avg +4.9 pts vs the line
Over / Under
4-5
44% overs · avg +3.9 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs HOF | W 82-78 | -8.5 | L −4.5 | 140.5 | O 160 |
| Nov 8 | vs VAN | L 93-105 | +10.5 | L −1.5 | 166.5 | O 198 |
| Nov 11 | vs FAMU | W 97-60 | -23.5 | W +13.5 | 169.5 | U 157 |
| Nov 14 | @ TA&M | W 86-74 | +10.5 | W +22.5 | 172.5 | U 160 |
| Nov 17 | vs OAK | W 87-83 | -13.5 | L −9.5 | 163.5 | O 170 |
| Nov 20 | vs PITT | W 77-67 | +1.5 | W +11.5 | 149.5 | U 144 |
| Nov 25 | vs QUIN | W 102-91 | -13.5 | L −2.5 | 162.5 | O 193 |
| Nov 29 | vs VMI | W 82-57 | -25.5 | L −0.5 | 159.5 | U 139 |
| Dec 7 | vs TOW | W 86-61 | -9.5 | W +15.5 | 148.5 | U 147 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsHOF
HOFW 82-78
−4.5
8
vsVAN
VANL 93-105
−1.5
11
vsFAMU
FAMUW 97-60
+13.5
14
@TA&M
TA&MW 86-74
+22.5
17
vsOAK
OAKW 87-83
−9.5
20
vsPITT
PITTW 77-67
+11.5
25
vsQUIN
QUINW 102-91
−2.5
29
vsVMI
VMIW 82-57
−0.5
7
vsTOW
TOWW 86-61
+15.5
covered 4didn’t cover 5avg +4.9 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsHOF
HOFW 82-78
+19.5
8
vsVAN
VANL 93-105
+31.5
11
vsFAMU
FAMUW 97-60
−12.5
14
@TA&M
TA&MW 86-74
−12.5
17
vsOAK
OAKW 87-83
+6.5
20
vsPITT
PITTW 77-67
−5.5
25
vsQUIN
QUINW 102-91
+30.5
29
vsVMI
VMIW 82-57
−20.5
7
vsTOW
TOWW 86-61
−1.5
over 4under 5avg +3.9 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Mercer
5-3 overall · 0-0 in conference · Southern Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- L@ Clemson63–70
- Wvs Georgia St78–67
- W@ Elon91–84
- Wvs App State75–67
- W@ E Kentucky95–83
4 days since their last game.
UCF
8-1 overall · 0-0 in conference · Big 12 Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs Towson86–61
- Wvs VMI82–57
- Wvs Quinnipiac102–91
- Wvs Pitt77–67
- Wvs Oakland87–83
A week or more of rest.