Schar Center · at Elon
Closing line
ELON -2.5✓ MER covered by 9.5
ELON -2.5✓ MER covered by 9.5Closing total159.5Over by 15.5
 MER | This season | ELON |
|---|---|---|
| 3-2 | Record | 3-2 |
| 4-1 | ATS | 3-2 |
| 3-2 | O/U | 4-1 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: MER 79–84 ELON · ✗ ELON (65%) lost
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| MER | 42 | 49 | 91 |
| ELON | 46 | 38 | 84 |
1st half: MER 42, ELON 46 (ELON by 4). The model had ELON by 2.5 and a total of 76.1 (actual 88).
Team stats
| MER | ELON | |
|---|---|---|
| 28-60 47% | Field goals | 28-67 42% |
| 12-30 40% | 3-pointers | 9-26 35% |
| 23-30 77% | Free throws | 19-26 73% |
| 31 8 off | Rebounds | 48 19 off |
| 19 | Assists | 16 |
| 11 | Steals | 6 |
| 3 | Blocks | 3 |
| 9 | Turnovers | 18 |
| 22 | Fouls | 23 |
| 32 | Points in paint | 38 |
| 15 | Fast-break points | 7 |
Players
| MER | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brady Shoulders G | 35 | 11 | 2 | 3 | 5-9 | 1-4 |
| Armani Mighty C | 35 | 12 | 11 | 1 | 4-6 | 0-0 |
| Baraka Okojie G | 33 | 29 | 5 | 10 | 5-11 | 1-2 |
| Zaire Williams G | 28 | 14 | 1 | 0 | 5-12 | 4-10 |
| Quinton Perkins II G | 26 | 11 | 1 | 4 | 4-10 | 3-6 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Tristan Gross G | 19 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1-4 | 1-3 |
| Kyle Cuffe Jr. G | 14 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 2-6 | 2-5 |
| Connor Serven F | 10 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 2-2 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Pero Zubac, NJ Nganga, Braeden Carlsen, Jaydon Cole, Alex Koch, Petras Padegimas, TJ Grant, Bendji Pierre
| ELON | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Randall Pettus II G | 31 | 13 | 3 | 2 | 5-12 | 2-8 |
| Chandler Cuthrell F | 30 | 24 | 13 | 2 | 7-17 | 2-4 |
| Isaac Harrell F | 27 | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2-2 | 1-1 |
| Ja'Juan Carr G | 25 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 2-11 | 1-3 |
| Kacper Klaczek F | 23 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3-5 | 1-2 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Bryson Cokley G | 25 | 12 | 5 | 1 | 4-9 | 0-3 |
| DeMarco Johnson G | 17 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 2-3 | 1-2 |
| Bryson Spell F | 9 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 1-2 | 0-1 |
| Ned Hull G | 9 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1-2 | 1-2 |
| Caleb Middleton C | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1-4 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Alex Olander, Alex Brabec, Iker Garmendia, Trey O'Neil, Savion Taylor, Austin Williams
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Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketELON -2.5
ModelELON -4.4
Model edgeELON +1.9
L MER covered
Total
Market159.5
Model162.5
Model edgeOver 3.0
W Over
Projected score
MER 79.1 · ELON 83.5
MER 91 · ELON 84
Win probability
ELON 65%
1st half
Spread
ELON -2.5
ELON -4.0
Total
76.1
88 points
Projected score
MER 36.8 · ELON 39.3
MER 42 · ELON 46
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenELON -2.5
no move
CloseELON -2.5
No change since the open
Total
Open161.5
▼ 2
Close159.5
Down 2 since the open
Moneyline
—
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened ELON -2.5 · unchangedmodel ELON -4.5
model ELON -4.5
Opened 161.5 · closed 159.5 · moved 2 downmodel 162.5
model 162.5
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| MERlast 5 | 3-2 60% | 4-1 80% | 3-2 60% |
| ELONlast 5 | 3-2 60% | 3-2 60% | 4-1 80% |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Mercer
5 games played
Straight up
3-2
60% wins
Against the spread
4-1
80% covers · avg +1.9 pts vs the line
Over / Under
3-2
60% overs · avg +6.1 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
@
TENN
TENNL 61-76
+13.5
9
vs
LIP
LIPW 92-77
+11.5
15
@
WIN
WINL 69-105
−33.5
22
@
EKU
EKUW 95-83
+16.5
26
vs
APP
APPW 75-67
+1.5
covered 4didn’t cover 1avg +1.9 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
@TENN
TENNL 61-76
−6.5
9
vsLIP
LIPW 92-77
+11.5
15
@WIN
WINL 69-105
+11.5
22
@EKU
EKUW 95-83
+14.5
26
vsAPP
APPW 75-67
−0.5
over 3under 2avg +6.1 ptslonger = bigger margin
Elon
5 games played
Straight up
3-2
60% wins
Against the spread
3-2
60% covers · avg +7.7 pts vs the line
Over / Under
4-1
80% overs · avg +19.5 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
8
@
UNCG
UNCGW 92-90
+6.5
12
@
MRSH
MRSHL 89-96
+1.5
15
vs
GWEB
GWEBW 95-84
−2.5
20
@
MIA
MIAL 72-99
−7.5
24
@APP
APPW 88-53
+40.5
covered 3didn’t cover 2avg +7.7 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
8
@UNCG
UNCGW 92-90
+39.5
12
@MRSH
MRSHL 89-96
+29.5
15
vsGWEB
GWEBW 95-84
+24.5
20
@MIA
MIAL 72-99
+6.5
24
@APP
APPW 88-53
−2.5
over 4under 1avg +19.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Mercer
3-2 overall · 0-0 in conference · Southern Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs App State75–67
- W@ E Kentucky95–83
- L@ Winthrop69–105
- Wvs Lipscomb92–77
- L@ Tennessee61–76
3 days since their last game.
Elon
3-2 overall · 0-0 in conference · Coastal Athletic Association
Last five, 2025-26
- W@ App State88–53
- L@ Miami72–99
- Wvs Gardner-Webb95–84
- L@ Marshall89–96
- W@ UNC Greensboro92–90
5 days since their last game.