Hawkins Arena · at Mercer
Closing line
MER -3.5✓ MER covered by 11.5
MER -3.5✓ MER covered by 11.5Closing total157.5Over by 11.5
 LIP | This season | MER |
|---|---|---|
| 0-1 | Record | 0-1 |
| 0-1 | ATS | 1-0 |
| 1-0 | O/U | 0-1 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: LIP 72–76 MER · ✓ MER (62%) won
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| LIP | 35 | 42 | 77 |
| MER | 46 | 46 | 92 |
1st half: LIP 35, MER 46 (MER by 11). The model had MER by 1.9 and a total of 69.2 (actual 81).
Team stats
| LIP | MER | |
|---|---|---|
| 30-67 45% | Field goals | 37-65 57% |
| 11-32 34% | 3-pointers | 9-20 45% |
| 6-7 86% | Free throws | 9-13 69% |
| 31 12 off | Rebounds | 35 11 off |
| 23 | Assists | 21 |
| 6 | Steals | 9 |
| 3 | Blocks | 5 |
| 11 | Turnovers | 8 |
| 16 | Fouls | 8 |
| 36 | Points in paint | 50 |
| 29 | Fast-break points | 14 |
Players
| LIP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Charlie Williams C | 33 | 14 | 7 | 6 | 6-14 | 2-7 |
| Mateo Esmeraldo G | 30 | 12 | 4 | 11 | 4-7 | 2-4 |
| Ross Candelino G | 29 | 17 | 4 | 3 | 7-11 | 3-7 |
| Ethan Duncan G | 23 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 4-11 | 0-4 |
| Grant Asman F | 17 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 2-8 | 1-5 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Titas Sargiunas F | 23 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 3-7 | 2-3 |
| Or Ashkenazi F | 15 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2-2 | 1-1 |
| Kennedy Okpara F | 13 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2-4 | 0-1 |
| Cole Middleton F | 12 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| Kellan Boylan F | 5 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0-2 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Josh Scott, Devyn Martin, Luke Jack, Luke Carter, Miles White, Logan Suber
| MER | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brady Shoulders G | 35 | 14 | 14 | 1 | 6-11 | 0-2 |
| Quinton Perkins II G | 33 | 16 | 0 | 3 | 6-11 | 3-6 |
| Zaire Williams G | 32 | 19 | 3 | 3 | 6-10 | 5-7 |
| Armani Mighty C | 32 | 18 | 10 | 1 | 9-12 | 0-0 |
| Baraka Okojie G | 31 | 16 | 4 | 12 | 6-12 | 0-2 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Tristan Gross G | 18 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1-3 | 1-2 |
| Kyle Cuffe Jr. G | 11 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 3-5 | 0-1 |
| Bendji Pierre F | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Jaydon Cole, Petras Padegimas, Pero Zubac, NJ Nganga, Connor Serven, Braeden Carlsen, Alex Koch, TJ Grant
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Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenMER -5.5
2 → LIP
CloseMER -3.5
2 pts toward LIP
Total
Open162.5
▼ 5
Close157.5
Down 5 since the open
Moneyline
LIP +150 · MER -175
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened MER -5.5 · closed MER -3.5 · moved 2 toward LIPmodel MER -3.5 matches the line
model MER -3.5 = line ✓
Opened 162.5 · closed 157.5 · moved 5 downmodel 147.5
model 147.5
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Model vs market
| Market | Model | Model edge | Result | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | MER -3.5 | MER -3.4 | LIP +0.1 | L MER covered |
| Total | 157.5 | 147.7 | Under 9.8 | L Over |
| Projected score | — | LIP 72.1 · MER 75.6 |
1st-half model
| Model | Actual | |
|---|---|---|
| 1H spread | MER -1.9 | MER -11.0 |
| 1H total | 69.2 | 81 |
| 1H projected score | LIP 33.6 · MER 35.5 | LIP 35 · MER 46 |
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| LIPlast 1 | 0-1 0% | 0-1 0% | 1-0 100% |
| MERlast 1 | 0-1 0% | 1-0 100% | 0-1 0% |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Lipscomb
1 game played
Straight up
0-1
0% wins
Against the spread
0-1
0% covers · avg −17.5 pts vs the line
Over / Under
1-0
100% overs · avg +11.5 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | @ VAN | L 61-105 | +26.5 | L −17.5 | 154.5 | O 166 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
@VAN
VANL 61-105
−17.5
covered 0didn’t cover 1avg −17.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
@VAN
VANL 61-105
+11.5
over 1under 0avg +11.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Mercer
1 game played
Straight up
0-1
0% wins
Against the spread
1-0
100% covers · avg +13.5 pts vs the line
Over / Under
0-1
0% overs · avg −6.5 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | @ TENN | L 61-76 | +28.5 | W +13.5 | 143.5 | U 137 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
@TENN
TENNL 61-76
+13.5
covered 1didn’t cover 0avg +13.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
@TENN
TENNL 61-76
−6.5
over 0under 1avg −6.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Lipscomb
0-1 overall · 0-0 in conference · Atlantic Sun Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- L@ Vanderbilt61–105
6 days since their last game.
Mercer
0-1 overall · 0-0 in conference · Southern Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- L@ Tennessee61–76
6 days since their last game.