Hawkins Arena · at Mercer
Closing line
MER -6.5✓ MER covered by 1.5
MER -6.5✓ MER covered by 1.5Closing total142.5Under by 0.5
 APP | This season | MER |
|---|---|---|
| 3-3 | Record | 2-2 |
| 4-2 | ATS | 3-1 |
| 2-4 | O/U | 3-1 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: APP 70–75 MER · ✓ MER (68%) won
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| APP | 29 | 38 | 67 |
| MER | 26 | 49 | 75 |
1st half: APP 29, MER 26 (APP by 3). The model had MER by 3.0 and a total of 67.6 (actual 55).
Team stats
| APP | MER | |
|---|---|---|
| 28-61 46% | Field goals | 24-59 41% |
| 4-21 19% | 3-pointers | 11-28 39% |
| 7-13 54% | Free throws | 16-19 84% |
| 35 13 off | Rebounds | 39 15 off |
| 14 | Assists | 13 |
| 6 | Steals | 7 |
| 4 | Blocks | 1 |
| 8 | Turnovers | 9 |
| 16 | Fouls | 12 |
| 44 | Points in paint | 22 |
| 10 | Fast-break points | 12 |
Players
| APP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kasen Jennings G | 34 | 16 | 2 | 4 | 5-12 | 3-7 |
| Andrin Njock F | 32 | 6 | 7 | 3 | 3-4 | 0-1 |
| Eren Banks G | 27 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 3-11 | 0-3 |
| Alonzo Dodd G | 25 | 11 | 6 | 2 | 5-11 | 0-3 |
| Luke Wilson C | 21 | 10 | 4 | 0 | 5-7 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Jason Clarke Jr. G | 21 | 8 | 0 | 2 | 3-5 | 0-1 |
| Michael Marcus Jr. F | 15 | 2 | 8 | 0 | 1-4 | 0-1 |
| Jalen Tot G | 13 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1-5 | 1-5 |
| Chad Moodie F | 12 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 2-2 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Jacari Brim, KJ Vasser, Ted Neal, Tre McKinnon, Grant Clayton, Dalyn Brandon, Brewer Carruth, Cameron O'Kelley, Luke Ledford
| MER | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Baraka Okojie G | 36 | 16 | 6 | 7 | 3-11 | 0-3 |
| Armani Mighty C | 35 | 12 | 9 | 2 | 3-7 | 0-0 |
| Zaire Williams G | 32 | 21 | 5 | 1 | 8-13 | 5-10 |
| Brady Shoulders G | 30 | 6 | 7 | 2 | 2-8 | 2-4 |
| Quinton Perkins II G | 25 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 2-7 | 1-5 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Kyle Cuffe Jr. G | 17 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 2-9 | 2-5 |
| Connor Serven F | 15 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 2-2 | 1-1 |
| Tristan Gross G | 10 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2-2 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Jaydon Cole, NJ Nganga, Pero Zubac, Braeden Carlsen, Alex Koch, Petras Padegimas, TJ Grant, Bendji Pierre
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Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenMER -5.5
1 → MER
CloseMER -6.5
1 pt toward MER
Total
Open140.5
▲ 2
Close142.5
Up 2 since the open
Moneyline
APP +230 · MER -285
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened MER -5.5 · closed MER -6.5 · moved 1 toward MERmodel MER -5.5
model MER -5.5
Opened 140.5 · closed 142.5 · moved 2 upmodel 144.5
model 144.5
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Model vs market
| Market | Model | Model edge | Result | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | MER -6.5 | MER -5.3 | APP +1.2 | L MER covered |
| Total | 142.5 | 144.4 | Over 1.9 | L Under |
| Projected score | — | APP 69.5 · MER 74.8 |
1st-half model
| Model | Actual | |
|---|---|---|
| 1H spread | MER -3.0 | APP -3.0 |
| 1H total | 67.6 | 55 |
| 1H projected score | APP 32.3 · MER 35.3 | APP 29 · MER 26 |
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| APPlast 6 | 3-3 50% | 4-2 67% | 2-4 33% |
| MERlast 4 | 2-2 50% | 3-1 75% | 3-1 75% |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
App State
6 games played
Straight up
3-3
50% wins
Against the spread
4-2
67% covers · avg −5.8 pts vs the line
Over / Under
2-4
33% overs · avg −1 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
@
CMU
CMUL 66-82
−14.5
9
vs
NCCU
NCCUW 76-54
+11.5
11
@
OSU
OSUL 53-75
+1.5
16
@
DART
DARTW 85-77
+6.5
21
vs
CLT
CLTW 65-63
+0.5
24
vs
ELON
ELONL 53-88
−40.5
covered 4didn’t cover 2avg −5.8 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
@CMU
CMUL 66-82
+5.5
9
vsNCCU
NCCUW 76-54
−6.5
11
@OSU
OSUL 53-75
−19.5
16
@DART
DARTW 85-77
+21.5
21
vsCLT
CLTW 65-63
−4.5
24
vsELON
ELONL 53-88
−2.5
over 2under 4avg −1 ptslonger = bigger margin
Mercer
4 games played
Straight up
2-2
50% wins
Against the spread
3-1
75% covers · avg +2 pts vs the line
Over / Under
3-1
75% overs · avg +7.8 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
@
TENN
TENNL 61-76
+13.5
9
vs
LIP
LIPW 92-77
+11.5
15
@
WIN
WINL 69-105
−33.5
22
@
EKU
EKUW 95-83
+16.5
covered 3didn’t cover 1avg +2 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
@TENN
TENNL 61-76
−6.5
9
vsLIP
LIPW 92-77
+11.5
15
@WIN
WINL 69-105
+11.5
22
@EKU
EKUW 95-83
+14.5
over 3under 1avg +7.8 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
App State
3-3 overall · 0-0 in conference · Sun Belt Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Lvs Elon53–88
- Wvs Charlotte65–63
- W@ Dartmouth85–77
- L@ Ohio State53–75
- Wvs NC Central76–54
2 days since their last game.
Mercer
2-2 overall · 0-0 in conference · Southern Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- W@ E Kentucky95–83
- L@ Winthrop69–105
- Wvs Lipscomb92–77
- L@ Tennessee61–76
4 days since their last game.