Holmes Convocation Center · at App State
Closing line
APP -5.5✓ ELON covered by 40.5
APP -5.5✓ ELON covered by 40.5Closing total143.5Under by 2.5
 ELON | This season | APP |
|---|---|---|
| 2-2 | Record | 3-2 |
| 2-2 | ATS | 4-1 |
| 4-0 | O/U | 2-3 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: ELON 72–77 APP · ✗ APP (69%) lost
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ELON | 44 | 44 | 88 |
| APP | 23 | 30 | 53 |
1st half: ELON 44, APP 23 (ELON by 21). The model had APP by 3.2 and a total of 69.9 (actual 67).
Team stats
| ELON | APP | |
|---|---|---|
| 33-64 52% | Field goals | 17-49 35% |
| 8-29 28% | 3-pointers | 8-31 26% |
| 14-17 82% | Free throws | 11-23 48% |
| 45 16 off | Rebounds | 25 9 off |
| 15 | Assists | 10 |
| 6 | Steals | 3 |
| 4 | Blocks | 4 |
| 6 | Turnovers | 9 |
| 16 | Fouls | 16 |
| 46 | Points in paint | 16 |
| 7 | Fast-break points | 4 |
Players
| ELON | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Randall Pettus II G | 32 | 19 | 7 | 2 | 6-10 | 3-6 |
| Chandler Cuthrell F | 29 | 23 | 11 | 2 | 7-11 | 0-2 |
| Ja'Juan Carr G | 28 | 8 | 6 | 5 | 4-10 | 0-2 |
| Kacper Klaczek F | 22 | 7 | 5 | 1 | 3-6 | 1-2 |
| Isaac Harrell F | 22 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2-7 | 0-5 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Bryson Cokley G | 27 | 18 | 9 | 1 | 7-13 | 3-8 |
| DeMarco Johnson G | 15 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1-2 | 1-2 |
| Ned Hull G | 9 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1-3 | 0-2 |
| Bryson Spell F | 8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| Caleb Middleton C | 6 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| Iker Garmendia F | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Alex Olander F | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Alex Brabec, Trey O'Neil, Austin Williams, Savion Taylor
| APP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alonzo Dodd G | 29 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 4-10 | 1-5 |
| Eren Banks G | 26 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1-8 | 1-7 |
| Kasen Jennings G | 25 | 8 | 1 | 3 | 2-8 | 1-4 |
| Luke Wilson C | 20 | 4 | 6 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Chad Moodie F | 16 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Michael Marcus Jr. F | 24 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 4-7 | 1-3 |
| Jason Clarke Jr. G | 23 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 0-2 | 0-1 |
| Jalen Tot G | 22 | 14 | 3 | 1 | 5-11 | 4-10 |
| Andrin Njock F | 12 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0-2 | 0-1 |
| Jacari Brim G | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Grant Clayton, Luke Ledford, Tre McKinnon, Ted Neal, KJ Vasser, Dalyn Brandon, Brewer Carruth, Cameron O'Kelley
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Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketAPP -5.5
ModelAPP -5.6
Model edgeAPP +0.1
L ELON covered
Total
Market143.5
Model149.2
Model edgeOver 5.7
L Under
Projected score
ELON 71.8 · APP 77.4
ELON 88 · APP 53
Win probability
APP 69%
1st half
Spread
APP -3.2
ELON -21.0
Total
69.9
67 points
Projected score
ELON 33.3 · APP 36.6
ELON 44 · APP 23
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenAPP -4.5
1 → APP
CloseAPP -5.5
1 pt toward APP
Total
Open144.5
▼ 1
Close143.5
Down 1 since the open
Moneyline
ELON +200 · APP -240
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened APP -4.5 · closed APP -5.5 · moved 1 toward APPmodel APP -5.5 matches the line
model APP -5.5 = line ✓
Opened 144.5 · closed 143.5 · moved 1 downmodel 149
model 149
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ELONlast 4 | 2-2 50% | 2-2 50% | 4-0 100% |
| APPlast 5 | 3-2 60% | 4-1 80% | 2-3 40% |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Elon
4 games played
Straight up
2-2
50% wins
Against the spread
2-2
50% covers · avg −0.5 pts vs the line
Over / Under
4-0
100% overs · avg +25 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
8
@
UNCG
UNCGW 92-90
+6.5
12
@
MRSH
MRSHL 89-96
+1.5
15
vs
GWEB
GWEBW 95-84
−2.5
20
@
MIA
MIAL 72-99
−7.5
covered 2didn’t cover 2avg −0.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
8
@UNCG
UNCGW 92-90
+39.5
12
@MRSH
MRSHL 89-96
+29.5
15
vsGWEB
GWEBW 95-84
+24.5
20
@MIA
MIAL 72-99
+6.5
over 4under 0avg +25 ptslonger = bigger margin
App State
5 games played
Straight up
3-2
60% wins
Against the spread
4-1
80% covers · avg +1.1 pts vs the line
Over / Under
2-3
40% overs · avg −0.7 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
@
CMU
CMUL 66-82
−14.5
9
vs
NCCU
NCCUW 76-54
+11.5
11
@
OSU
OSUL 53-75
+1.5
16
@
DART
DARTW 85-77
+6.5
21
vs
CLT
CLTW 65-63
+0.5
covered 4didn’t cover 1avg +1.1 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
@CMU
CMUL 66-82
+5.5
9
vsNCCU
NCCUW 76-54
−6.5
11
@OSU
OSUL 53-75
−19.5
16
@DART
DARTW 85-77
+21.5
21
vsCLT
CLTW 65-63
−4.5
over 2under 3avg −0.7 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Elon
2-2 overall · 0-0 in conference · Coastal Athletic Association
Last five, 2025-26
- L@ Miami72–99
- Wvs Gardner-Webb95–84
- L@ Marshall89–96
- W@ UNC Greensboro92–90
4 days since their last game.
App State
3-2 overall · 0-0 in conference · Sun Belt Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs Charlotte65–63
- W@ Dartmouth85–77
- L@ Ohio State53–75
- Wvs NC Central76–54
- L@ C Michigan66–82
3 days since their last game.