Mizzou Arena · at Missouri · Conference game
Closing line
AUB -1.5✓ MIZ covered by 11.5
AUB -1.5✓ MIZ covered by 11.5Closing total153.5Over by 4.5
| AUB | This season | MIZ |
|---|---|---|
| 10-6 | Record | 12-4 |
| 10-6 | ATS | 7-9 |
| 11-5 | O/U | 6-10 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: AUB 83–79 MIZ · ✗ AUB (64%) lost
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| AUB | 34 | 40 | 74 |
| MIZ | 38 | 46 | 84 |
1st half: AUB 34, MIZ 38 (MIZ by 4). The model had AUB by 2.6 and a total of 76.0 (actual 72).
Team stats
| AUB | MIZ | |
|---|---|---|
| 24-59 41% | Field goals | 27-48 56% |
| 6-21 29% | 3-pointers | 9-19 47% |
| 20-28 71% | Free throws | 21-31 68% |
| 34 15 off | Rebounds | 32 7 off |
| 11 | Assists | 18 |
| 7 | Steals | 7 |
| 4 | Blocks | 5 |
| 11 | Turnovers | 13 |
| 19 | Fouls | 17 |
| 34 | Points in paint | 32 |
| 9 | Fast-break points | 22 |
Players
| AUB | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Keyshawn Hall F | 38 | 10 | 9 | 7 | 2-9 | 0-3 |
| Tahaad Pettiford G | 32 | 9 | 3 | 2 | 3-12 | 0-5 |
| Kevin Overton G | 32 | 13 | 1 | 0 | 4-10 | 3-7 |
| KeShawn Murphy F | 21 | 9 | 8 | 0 | 3-9 | 0-0 |
| Sebastian Williams-Adams F | 19 | 12 | 3 | 1 | 4-5 | 1-1 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Elyjah Freeman G | 27 | 13 | 2 | 0 | 4-8 | 2-4 |
| Filip Jovic C | 22 | 8 | 5 | 0 | 4-4 | 0-0 |
| Blake Muschalek G | 9 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0-2 | 0-1 |
Did not play: Joah Shay, Bradley Pearson, Jeremiah Bowman, Emeka Opurum, Abdul Bashir, Drake Cardwell, Simon Walker, Reed Trapp, Kaden Magwood, CJ Williams
| MIZ | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mark Mitchell Jr. G | 37 | 20 | 5 | 5 | 7-13 | 0-1 |
| Jayden Stone G | 35 | 22 | 6 | 3 | 7-10 | 2-5 |
| Anthony Robinson II G | 26 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 1-4 | 1-2 |
| Shawn Phillips Jr. C | 19 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
| Jacob Crews G | 16 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 1-2 | 1-2 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Trent Pierce G | 28 | 18 | 3 | 3 | 6-8 | 5-7 |
| T.O. Barrett F | 23 | 13 | 3 | 3 | 4-5 | 0-1 |
| Annor Boateng G | 10 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| Nicholas Randall F | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| Luke Northweather F | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-2 | 0-1 |
Did not play: Jevon Porter, Sebastian Mack, Aaron Rowe, Trent Burns
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Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenAUB -1.5
no move
CloseAUB -1.5
No change since the open
Total
Open155.5
▼ 2
Close153.5
Down 2 since the open
Moneyline
AUB -118 · MIZ -102
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened AUB -1.5 · unchangedmodel AUB -4
model AUB -4
Opened 155.5 · closed 153.5 · moved 2 downmodel 162
model 162
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Model vs market
| Market | Model | Model edge | Result | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | AUB -1.5 | AUB -4.2 | AUB +2.7 | L MIZ covered |
| Total | 153.5 | 162.2 | Over 8.7 | W Over |
| Projected score | — | AUB 83.2 · MIZ 79 |
1st-half model
| Model | Actual | |
|---|---|---|
| 1H spread | AUB -2.6 | MIZ -4.0 |
| 1H total | 76.0 | 72 |
| 1H projected score | AUB 39.3 · MIZ 36.7 | AUB 34 · MIZ 38 |
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| AUB | 5-5 50% | 5-5 50% | 5-5 50% |
| MIZ | 6-4 60% | 3-7 30% | 4-6 40% |
Recent meetings
Since 2021-22
AUB 4–0 MIZAUB leads · 4 games since 2021-22 · AUB has won the last 4 meetings · AUB 2-2 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 4, 2024-25 | MIZ 68 @ AUB 84 | AUB -18.5 | MIZ W |
| Mar 5, 2023-24 | AUB 101 @ MIZ 74 | MIZ +11.5 | AUB W |
| Feb 14, 2022-23 | MIZ 56 @ AUB 89 | AUB -6.5 | AUB W |
| Jan 25, 2021-22 | AUB 55 @ MIZ 54 | MIZ +12.5 | MIZ W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Auburn
16 games played
Straight up
10-6
63% wins
Against the spread
10-6
63% covers · avg +0.4 pts vs the line
Over / Under
11-5
69% overs · avg +7.3 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs BCU | W 95-90 | -24.5 | L −19.5 | 153.5 | O 185 |
| Nov 6 | vs MRMK | W 95-57 | -23.5 | W +14.5 | 148.5 | O 152 |
| Nov 11 | vs WOF | W 93-62 | -27.5 | W +3.5 | 152.5 | O 155 |
| Nov 16 | vs HOU | L 72-73 | +7.5 | W +6.5 | 140.5 | O 145 |
| Nov 19 | vs JKST | W 112-66 | -30.5 | W +15.5 | 156.5 | O 178 |
| Nov 24 | vs ORE | W 84-73 | -4.5 | W +6.5 | 155.5 | O 157 |
| Nov 25 | vs MICH | L 72-102 | +4.5 | L −25.5 | 163.5 | O 174 |
| Nov 26 | vs SJU | W 85-74 | +4.5 | W +15.5 | 166.5 | U 159 |
| Dec 3 | vs NCSU | W 83-73 | -5.5 | W +4.5 | 162.5 | U 156 |
| Dec 6 | @ ARIZ | L 68-97 | +11.5 | L −17.5 | 162.5 | O 165 |
| Dec 13 | vs UTC | W 92-78 | -19.5 | L −5.5 | 150.5 | O 170 |
| Dec 20 | vs PUR | L 60-88 | +7.5 | L −20.5 | 152.5 | U 148 |
| Dec 29 | vs QUC | W 106-65 | -25.5 | W +15.5 | 171.5 | U 171 |
| Jan 3 | @ UGA | L 100-104 | +6.5 | W +2.5 | 173.5 | O 204 |
| Jan 6 | vs TA&M | L 88-90 | -6.5 | L −8.5 | 168.5 | O 178 |
| Jan 10 | vs ARK | W 95-73 | -2.5 | W +19.5 | 169.5 | U 168 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsBCU
BCUW 95-90
−19.5
6
vsMRMK
MRMKW 95-57
+14.5
11
vsWOF
WOFW 93-62
+3.5
16
vsHOU
HOUL 72-73
+6.5
19
vsJKST
JKSTW 112-66
+15.5
24
vsORE
OREW 84-73
+6.5
25
vsMICH
MICHL 72-102
−25.5
26
vsSJU
SJUW 85-74
+15.5
3
vsNCSU
NCSUW 83-73
+4.5
6
@ARIZ
ARIZL 68-97
−17.5
13
vsUTC
UTCW 92-78
−5.5
20
vsPUR
PURL 60-88
−20.5
29
vsQUC
QUCW 106-65
+15.5
3
@UGA
UGAL 100-104
+2.5
6
vsTA&M
TA&ML 88-90
−8.5
10
vsARK
ARKW 95-73
+19.5
covered 10didn’t cover 6avg +0.4 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsBCU
BCUW 95-90
+31.5
6
vsMRMK
MRMKW 95-57
+3.5
11
vsWOF
WOFW 93-62
+2.5
16
vsHOU
HOUL 72-73
+4.5
19
vsJKST
JKSTW 112-66
+21.5
24
vsORE
OREW 84-73
+1.5
25
vsMICH
MICHL 72-102
+10.5
26
vsSJU
SJUW 85-74
−7.5
3
vsNCSU
NCSUW 83-73
−6.5
6
@ARIZ
ARIZL 68-97
+2.5
13
vsUTC
UTCW 92-78
+19.5
20
vsPUR
PURL 60-88
−4.5
29
vsQUC
QUCW 106-65
−0.5
3
@UGA
UGAL 100-104
+30.5
6
vsTA&M
TA&ML 88-90
+9.5
10
vsARK
ARKW 95-73
−1.5
over 11under 5avg +7.3 ptslonger = bigger margin
Missouri
16 games played
Straight up
12-4
75% wins
Against the spread
7-9
44% covers · avg −3.5 pts vs the line
Over / Under
6-10
38% overs · avg −3.3 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | @ HOW | W 88-67 | -20.5 | W +0.5 | 158.5 | U 155 |
| Nov 7 | vs SEMO | W 89-84 | -25.5 | L −20.5 | 157.5 | O 173 |
| Nov 9 | vs VMI | W 106-68 | -23.5 | W +14.5 | 161.5 | O 174 |
| Nov 12 | vs MINN | W 83-60 | -7.5 | W +15.5 | 158.5 | U 143 |
| Nov 17 | vs PV | W 91-73 | -35.5 | L −17.5 | 166.5 | U 164 |
| Nov 20 | vs SDAK | W 102-68 | -24.5 | W +9.5 | 171.5 | U 170 |
| Nov 25 | vs SCST | W 98-66 | -34.5 | L −2.5 | 160.5 | O 164 |
| Nov 28 | vs CLE | W 86-59 | -31.5 | L −4.5 | 170.5 | U 145 |
| Dec 2 | @ ND | L 71-76 | -1.5 | L −6.5 | 146.5 | O 147 |
| Dec 7 | vs KU | L 60-80 | +5.5 | L −14.5 | 150.5 | U 140 |
| Dec 11 | vs ALST | W 85-77 | -26.5 | L −18.5 | 155.5 | O 162 |
| Dec 14 | vsBCU | W 82-60 | -20.5 | W +1.5 | 146.5 | U 142 |
| Dec 22 | vs ILL | L 48-91 | +8.5 | L −34.5 | 153.5 | U 139 |
| Jan 3 | vs FLA | W 76-74 | +7.5 | W +9.5 | 154.5 | U 150 |
| Jan 7 | @ UK | W 73-68 | +12.5 | W +17.5 | 150.5 | U 141 |
| Jan 10 | @ MISS | L 69-76 | +1.5 | L −5.5 | 143.5 | O 145 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
@HOW
HOWW 88-67
+0.5
7
vsSEMO
SEMOW 89-84
−20.5
9
vsVMI
VMIW 106-68
+14.5
12
vsMINN
MINNW 83-60
+15.5
17
vsPV
PVW 91-73
−17.5
20
vsSDAK
SDAKW 102-68
+9.5
25
vsSCST
SCSTW 98-66
−2.5
28
vsCLE
CLEW 86-59
−4.5
2
@ND
NDL 71-76
−6.5
7
vsKU
KUL 60-80
−14.5
11
vsALST
ALSTW 85-77
−18.5
14
vsBCU
BCUW 82-60
+1.5
22
vsILL
ILLL 48-91
−34.5
3
vsFLA
FLAW 76-74
+9.5
7
@UK
UKW 73-68
+17.5
10
@MISS
MISSL 69-76
−5.5
covered 7didn’t cover 9avg −3.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
@HOW
HOWW 88-67
−3.5
7
vsSEMO
SEMOW 89-84
+15.5
9
vsVMI
VMIW 106-68
+12.5
12
vsMINN
MINNW 83-60
−15.5
17
vsPV
PVW 91-73
−2.5
20
vsSDAK
SDAKW 102-68
−1.5
25
vsSCST
SCSTW 98-66
+3.5
28
vsCLE
CLEW 86-59
−25.5
2
@ND
NDL 71-76
+0.5
7
vsKU
KUL 60-80
−10.5
11
vsALST
ALSTW 85-77
+6.5
14
vsBCU
BCUW 82-60
−4.5
22
vsILL
ILLL 48-91
−14.5
3
vsFLA
FLAW 76-74
−4.5
7
@UK
UKW 73-68
−9.5
10
@MISS
MISSL 69-76
+1.5
over 6under 10avg −3.3 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Auburn
10-6 overall · 1-2 in conference · Southeastern Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs Arkansas95–73
- Lvs Texas A&M88–90
- L@ Georgia100–104
- Wvs Queens University Royals106–65
- Lvs Purdue60–88
4 days since their last game.
Missouri
12-4 overall · 2-1 in conference · Southeastern Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- L@ Ole Miss69–76
- W@ Kentucky73–68
- Wvs Florida76–74
- Lvs Illinois48–91
- Wvs Bethune82–60
4 days since their last game.