Neville Arena · at Auburn · Conference game
Closing line
AUB -2.5✓ AUB covered by 19.5
AUB -2.5✓ AUB covered by 19.5Closing total169.5Under by 1.5
 ARK | This season | AUB |
|---|---|---|
| 12-3 | Record | 9-6 |
| 11-4 | ATS | 9-6 |
| 9-6 | O/U | 11-4 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: ARK 85–88 AUB · ✓ AUB (60%) won
Loading the game…
Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ARK | 34 | 39 | 73 |
| AUB | 49 | 46 | 95 |
1st half: ARK 34, AUB 49 (AUB by 15). The model had AUB by 1.6 and a total of 80.9 (actual 83).
Team stats
| ARK | AUB | |
|---|---|---|
| 25-58 43% | Field goals | 34-60 57% |
| 8-21 38% | 3-pointers | 10-22 45% |
| 15-21 71% | Free throws | 17-24 71% |
| 28 8 off | Rebounds | 37 9 off |
| 9 | Assists | 20 |
| 7 | Steals | 11 |
| 3 | Blocks | 2 |
| 11 | Turnovers | 10 |
| 18 | Fouls | 17 |
| 28 | Points in paint | 48 |
| 13 | Fast-break points | 15 |
Players
| ARK | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Darius Acuff Jr. G | 35 | 19 | 1 | 1 | 7-16 | 2-6 |
| DJ Wagner G | 30 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 1-5 | 1-4 |
| Trevon Brazile F | 26 | 13 | 5 | 1 | 5-9 | 1-3 |
| Nick Pringle F | 16 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
| Karter Knox G | 7 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Meleek Thomas G | 28 | 17 | 3 | 4 | 6-12 | 3-6 |
| Billy Richmond III G | 26 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1-4 | 0-1 |
| Malique Ewin F | 25 | 13 | 12 | 1 | 3-8 | 1-1 |
| Isaiah Sealy F | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Jaden Karuletwa, Ayden Kelley, Paulo Semedo, Karim Rtail, Elmir Dzafic, Amere Brown
| AUB | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Keyshawn Hall F | 36 | 32 | 2 | 5 | 11-14 | 4-5 |
| Tahaad Pettiford G | 30 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 3-9 | 0-4 |
| Kevin Overton G | 29 | 10 | 4 | 1 | 3-8 | 1-5 |
| KeShawn Murphy F | 27 | 16 | 10 | 1 | 6-10 | 2-3 |
| Sebastian Williams-Adams F | 24 | 6 | 5 | 2 | 3-6 | 0-1 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Elyjah Freeman G | 28 | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4-8 | 2-3 |
| Filip Jovic C | 12 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 3-3 | 0-0 |
| Blake Muschalek G | 10 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1-1 | 1-1 |
| Reed Trapp G | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| CJ Williams G | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Simon Walker G | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Drake Cardwell G | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Joah Shay, Abdul Bashir, Kaden Magwood, Emeka Opurum, Jeremiah Bowman, Bradley Pearson
Loading the game…
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenARK -1.5
4 → AUB
CloseAUB -2.5
4 pts toward AUB
Total
Open171.5
▼ 2
Close169.5
Down 2 since the open
Moneyline
ARK +114 · AUB -135
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened ARK -1.5 · closed AUB -2.5 · moved 4 toward AUBmodel AUB -3
model AUB -3
Opened 171.5 · closed 169.5 · moved 2 downmodel 173
model 173
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Model vs market
| Market | Model | Model edge | Result | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | AUB -2.5 | AUB -2.9 | AUB +0.4 | W AUB covered |
| Total | 169.5 | 173.0 | Over 3.5 | L Under |
| Projected score | — | ARK 85 · AUB 87.9 |
1st-half model
| Model | Actual | |
|---|---|---|
| 1H spread | AUB -1.6 | AUB -15.0 |
| 1H total | 80.9 | 83 |
| 1H projected score | ARK 39.7 · AUB 41.3 | ARK 34 · AUB 49 |
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ARK | 8-2 80% | 9-1 90% | 8-2 80% |
| AUB | 5-5 50% | 5-5 50% | 6-4 60% |
Recent meetings
Since 2021-22
ARK 2–3 AUBAUB leads · 5 games since 2021-22 · AUB has won the last 2 meetings · ARK 3-2 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 19, 2024-25 | ARK 60 @ AUB 67 | AUB -15.5 | ARK W |
| Jan 6, 2023-24 | AUB 83 @ ARK 51 | ARK +2.5 | AUB W |
| Mar 9, 2022-23 | ARK 76 vs AUB 73 | AUB +2.5 | ARK W |
| Jan 7, 2022-23 | ARK 59 @ AUB 72 | AUB -2.5 | AUB W |
| Feb 8, 2021-22 | AUB 76 @ ARK 80 | ARK +1.5 | ARK W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Arkansas
15 games played
Straight up
12-3
80% wins
Against the spread
11-4
73% covers · avg +2.6 pts vs the line
Over / Under
9-6
60% overs · avg +7.4 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs SOU | W 109-77 | -26.5 | W +5.5 | 150.5 | O 186 |
| Nov 8 | @ MSU | L 66-69 | +2.5 | L −0.5 | 155.5 | U 135 |
| Nov 11 | vs CARK | W 93-56 | -35.5 | W +1.5 | 158.5 | U 149 |
| Nov 14 | vs SAM | W 79-75 | -24.5 | L −20.5 | 158.5 | U 154 |
| Nov 18 | vs WIN | W 84-83 | -23.5 | L −22.5 | 168.5 | U 167 |
| Nov 21 | vs JKST | W 115-61 | -29.5 | W +24.5 | 159.5 | O 176 |
| Nov 27 | vs DUKE | L 71-80 | +12.5 | W +3.5 | 159.5 | U 151 |
| Dec 3 | vs LOU | W 89-80 | +1.5 | W +10.5 | 166.5 | O 169 |
| Dec 6 | vs FRES | W 82-58 | -19.5 | W +4.5 | 161.5 | U 140 |
| Dec 13 | vs TTU | W 93-86 | +2.5 | W +9.5 | 155.5 | O 179 |
| Dec 16 | vs QUC | W 108-80 | -23.5 | W +4.5 | 169.5 | O 188 |
| Dec 20 | vs HOU | L 85-94 | +5.5 | L −3.5 | 146.5 | O 179 |
| Dec 29 | vs JMU | W 103-74 | -23.5 | W +5.5 | 159.5 | O 177 |
| Jan 3 | vs TENN | W 86-75 | +1.5 | W +12.5 | 158.5 | O 161 |
| Jan 7 | @ MISS | W 94-87 | -3.5 | W +3.5 | 153.5 | O 181 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsSOU
SOUW 109-77
+5.5
8
@MSU
MSUL 66-69
−0.5
11
vsCARK
CARKW 93-56
+1.5
14
vsSAM
SAMW 79-75
−20.5
18
vsWIN
WINW 84-83
−22.5
21
vsJKST
JKSTW 115-61
+24.5
27
vsDUKE
DUKEL 71-80
+3.5
3
vsLOU
LOUW 89-80
+10.5
6
vsFRES
FRESW 82-58
+4.5
13
vsTTU
TTUW 93-86
+9.5
16
vsQUC
QUCW 108-80
+4.5
20
vsHOU
HOUL 85-94
−3.5
29
vsJMU
JMUW 103-74
+5.5
3
vsTENN
TENNW 86-75
+12.5
7
@MISS
MISSW 94-87
+3.5
covered 11didn’t cover 4avg +2.6 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsSOU
SOUW 109-77
+35.5
8
@MSU
MSUL 66-69
−20.5
11
vsCARK
CARKW 93-56
−9.5
14
vsSAM
SAMW 79-75
−4.5
18
vsWIN
WINW 84-83
−1.5
21
vsJKST
JKSTW 115-61
+16.5
27
vsDUKE
DUKEL 71-80
−8.5
3
vsLOU
LOUW 89-80
+2.5
6
vsFRES
FRESW 82-58
−21.5
13
vsTTU
TTUW 93-86
+23.5
16
vsQUC
QUCW 108-80
+18.5
20
vsHOU
HOUL 85-94
+32.5
29
vsJMU
JMUW 103-74
+17.5
3
vsTENN
TENNW 86-75
+2.5
7
@MISS
MISSW 94-87
+27.5
over 9under 6avg +7.4 ptslonger = bigger margin
Auburn
15 games played
Straight up
9-6
60% wins
Against the spread
9-6
60% covers · avg −0.8 pts vs the line
Over / Under
11-4
73% overs · avg +7.9 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs BCU | W 95-90 | -24.5 | L −19.5 | 153.5 | O 185 |
| Nov 6 | vs MRMK | W 95-57 | -23.5 | W +14.5 | 148.5 | O 152 |
| Nov 11 | vs WOF | W 93-62 | -27.5 | W +3.5 | 152.5 | O 155 |
| Nov 16 | vsHOU | L 72-73 | +7.5 | W +6.5 | 140.5 | O 145 |
| Nov 19 | vsJKST | W 112-66 | -30.5 | W +15.5 | 156.5 | O 178 |
| Nov 24 | vs ORE | W 84-73 | -4.5 | W +6.5 | 155.5 | O 157 |
| Nov 25 | vs MICH | L 72-102 | +4.5 | L −25.5 | 163.5 | O 174 |
| Nov 26 | vs SJU | W 85-74 | +4.5 | W +15.5 | 166.5 | U 159 |
| Dec 3 | vs NCSU | W 83-73 | -5.5 | W +4.5 | 162.5 | U 156 |
| Dec 6 | @ ARIZ | L 68-97 | +11.5 | L −17.5 | 162.5 | O 165 |
| Dec 13 | vs UTC | W 92-78 | -19.5 | L −5.5 | 150.5 | O 170 |
| Dec 20 | vs PUR | L 60-88 | +7.5 | L −20.5 | 152.5 | U 148 |
| Dec 29 | vsQUC | W 106-65 | -25.5 | W +15.5 | 171.5 | U 171 |
| Jan 3 | @ UGA | L 100-104 | +6.5 | W +2.5 | 173.5 | O 204 |
| Jan 6 | vs TA&M | L 88-90 | -6.5 | L −8.5 | 168.5 | O 178 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsBCU
BCUW 95-90
−19.5
6
vsMRMK
MRMKW 95-57
+14.5
11
vsWOF
WOFW 93-62
+3.5
16
vsHOU
HOUL 72-73
+6.5
19
vsJKST
JKSTW 112-66
+15.5
24
vsORE
OREW 84-73
+6.5
25
vsMICH
MICHL 72-102
−25.5
26
vsSJU
SJUW 85-74
+15.5
3
vsNCSU
NCSUW 83-73
+4.5
6
@ARIZ
ARIZL 68-97
−17.5
13
vsUTC
UTCW 92-78
−5.5
20
vsPUR
PURL 60-88
−20.5
29
vsQUC
QUCW 106-65
+15.5
3
@UGA
UGAL 100-104
+2.5
6
vsTA&M
TA&ML 88-90
−8.5
covered 9didn’t cover 6avg −0.8 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsBCU
BCUW 95-90
+31.5
6
vsMRMK
MRMKW 95-57
+3.5
11
vsWOF
WOFW 93-62
+2.5
16
vsHOU
HOUL 72-73
+4.5
19
vsJKST
JKSTW 112-66
+21.5
24
vsORE
OREW 84-73
+1.5
25
vsMICH
MICHL 72-102
+10.5
26
vsSJU
SJUW 85-74
−7.5
3
vsNCSU
NCSUW 83-73
−6.5
6
@ARIZ
ARIZL 68-97
+2.5
13
vsUTC
UTCW 92-78
+19.5
20
vsPUR
PURL 60-88
−4.5
29
vsQUC
QUCW 106-65
−0.5
3
@UGA
UGAL 100-104
+30.5
6
vsTA&M
TA&ML 88-90
+9.5
over 11under 4avg +7.9 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Arkansas
12-3 overall · 2-0 in conference · Southeastern Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- W@ Ole Miss94–87
- Wvs Tennessee86–75
- Wvs James Madison103–74
- Lvs Houston85–94
- Wvs Queens University Royals108–80
3 days since their last game.
Auburn
9-6 overall · 0-2 in conference · Southeastern Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Lvs Texas A&M88–90
- L@ Georgia100–104
- Wvs Queens University Royals106–65
- Lvs Purdue60–88
- Wvs Chattanooga92–78
4 days since their last game.