The Sandy and John Black Pavilion at Ole Miss · at Ole Miss · Conference game
Closing line
ARK -3.5✓ ARK covered by 3.5
ARK -3.5✓ ARK covered by 3.5Closing total153.5Over by 27.5
| ARK | This season | MISS |
|---|---|---|
| 11-3 | Record | 8-6 |
| 10-4 | ATS | 3-11 |
| 8-6 | O/U | 8-6 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: ARK 80–75 MISS · ✓ ARK (68%) won
Loading the game…
Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ARK | 42 | 52 | 94 |
| MISS | 32 | 55 | 87 |
1st half: ARK 42, MISS 32 (ARK by 10). The model had ARK by 3.3 and a total of 72.3 (actual 74).
Team stats
| ARK | MISS | |
|---|---|---|
| 31-60 52% | Field goals | 31-61 51% |
| 10-24 42% | 3-pointers | 8-26 31% |
| 22-30 73% | Free throws | 17-21 81% |
| 37 14 off | Rebounds | 27 8 off |
| 19 | Assists | 19 |
| 7 | Steals | 8 |
| 2 | Blocks | 5 |
| 11 | Turnovers | 10 |
| 16 | Fouls | 22 |
| 34 | Points in paint | 28 |
| 8 | Fast-break points | 9 |
Players
| ARK | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Darius Acuff Jr. G | 33 | 26 | 0 | 9 | 7-18 | 1-4 |
| Trevon Brazile F | 31 | 18 | 6 | 1 | 5-6 | 4-5 |
| Karter Knox G | 30 | 10 | 6 | 2 | 4-8 | 2-5 |
| Nick Pringle F | 21 | 6 | 5 | 0 | 2-3 | 0-0 |
| DJ Wagner G | 21 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 1-5 | 0-3 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Meleek Thomas G | 25 | 13 | 1 | 2 | 5-12 | 2-6 |
| Billy Richmond III G | 24 | 13 | 6 | 1 | 5-5 | 1-1 |
| Malique Ewin F | 15 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 2-3 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Jaden Karuletwa, Ayden Kelley, Isaiah Sealy, Paulo Semedo, Karim Rtail, Elmir Dzafic, Amere Brown
| MISS | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Malik Dia F | 27 | 16 | 6 | 1 | 6-11 | 0-2 |
| Ilias Kamardine G | 26 | 16 | 4 | 4 | 6-12 | 2-6 |
| Patton Pinkins G | 25 | 10 | 3 | 0 | 2-8 | 1-4 |
| James Scott F | 24 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 3-3 | 0-0 |
| Eduardo Klafke G | 19 | 11 | 1 | 3 | 4-5 | 1-2 |
| Bench | ||||||
| AJ Storr G | 19 | 12 | 1 | 2 | 5-10 | 0-2 |
| Travis Perry G | 17 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 1-3 | 1-3 |
| Kezza Giffa G | 14 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 2-4 | 2-3 |
| Augusto Cassia F | 11 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 1-2 | 0-1 |
| Corey Chest F | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Koren Johnson G | 6 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1-1 | 1-1 |
| Zach Day G | 6 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0-2 | 0-2 |
Did not play: Tylis Jordan, Niko Bundalo, Max Smith, Hobert Grayson IV
Loading the game…
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenARK -4.5
1 → MISS
CloseARK -3.5
1 pt toward MISS
Total
Open155.5
▼ 2
Close153.5
Down 2 since the open
Moneyline
ARK -185 · MISS +154
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened ARK -4.5 · closed ARK -3.5 · moved 1 toward MISSmodel ARK -5.5
model ARK -5.5
Opened 155.5 · closed 153.5 · moved 2 downmodel 154.5
model 154.5
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Model vs market
| Market | Model | Model edge | Result | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | ARK -3.5 | ARK -5.3 | ARK +1.8 | W ARK covered |
| Total | 153.5 | 154.3 | Over 0.8 | W Over |
| Projected score | — | ARK 79.8 · MISS 74.5 |
1st-half model
| Model | Actual | |
|---|---|---|
| 1H spread | ARK -3.3 | ARK -10.0 |
| 1H total | 72.3 | 74 |
| 1H projected score | ARK 37.8 · MISS 34.5 | ARK 42 · MISS 32 |
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ARK | 8-2 80% | 8-2 80% | 7-3 70% |
| MISS | 4-6 40% | 2-8 20% | 4-6 40% |
Recent meetings
Since 2021-22
ARK 2–3 MISSMISS leads · 5 games since 2021-22 · MISS has won the last 3 meetings · ARK 3-2 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 13, 2024-25 | ARK 80 vs MISS 83 | MISS -4.5 | ARK W |
| Jan 8, 2024-25 | MISS 73 @ ARK 66 | ARK -3.5 | MISS W |
| Jan 24, 2023-24 | ARK 51 @ MISS 77 | MISS -8.5 | MISS W |
| Jan 21, 2022-23 | MISS 57 @ ARK 69 | ARK -9.5 | ARK W |
| Jan 26, 2021-22 | ARK 64 @ MISS 55 | MISS +4 | ARK W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Arkansas
14 games played
Straight up
11-3
79% wins
Against the spread
10-4
71% covers · avg +2.5 pts vs the line
Over / Under
8-6
57% overs · avg +5.9 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs SOU | W 109-77 | -26.5 | W +5.5 | 150.5 | O 186 |
| Nov 8 | @ MSU | L 66-69 | +2.5 | L −0.5 | 155.5 | U 135 |
| Nov 11 | vs CARK | W 93-56 | -35.5 | W +1.5 | 158.5 | U 149 |
| Nov 14 | vs SAM | W 79-75 | -24.5 | L −20.5 | 158.5 | U 154 |
| Nov 18 | vs WIN | W 84-83 | -23.5 | L −22.5 | 168.5 | U 167 |
| Nov 21 | vs JKST | W 115-61 | -29.5 | W +24.5 | 159.5 | O 176 |
| Nov 27 | vs DUKE | L 71-80 | +12.5 | W +3.5 | 159.5 | U 151 |
| Dec 3 | vs LOU | W 89-80 | +1.5 | W +10.5 | 166.5 | O 169 |
| Dec 6 | vs FRES | W 82-58 | -19.5 | W +4.5 | 161.5 | U 140 |
| Dec 13 | vs TTU | W 93-86 | +2.5 | W +9.5 | 155.5 | O 179 |
| Dec 16 | vs QUC | W 108-80 | -23.5 | W +4.5 | 169.5 | O 188 |
| Dec 20 | vs HOU | L 85-94 | +5.5 | L −3.5 | 146.5 | O 179 |
| Dec 29 | vs JMU | W 103-74 | -23.5 | W +5.5 | 159.5 | O 177 |
| Jan 3 | vs TENN | W 86-75 | +1.5 | W +12.5 | 158.5 | O 161 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsSOU
SOUW 109-77
+5.5
8
@MSU
MSUL 66-69
−0.5
11
vsCARK
CARKW 93-56
+1.5
14
vsSAM
SAMW 79-75
−20.5
18
vsWIN
WINW 84-83
−22.5
21
vsJKST
JKSTW 115-61
+24.5
27
vsDUKE
DUKEL 71-80
+3.5
3
vsLOU
LOUW 89-80
+10.5
6
vsFRES
FRESW 82-58
+4.5
13
vsTTU
TTUW 93-86
+9.5
16
vsQUC
QUCW 108-80
+4.5
20
vsHOU
HOUL 85-94
−3.5
29
vsJMU
JMUW 103-74
+5.5
3
vsTENN
TENNW 86-75
+12.5
covered 10didn’t cover 4avg +2.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsSOU
SOUW 109-77
+35.5
8
@MSU
MSUL 66-69
−20.5
11
vsCARK
CARKW 93-56
−9.5
14
vsSAM
SAMW 79-75
−4.5
18
vsWIN
WINW 84-83
−1.5
21
vsJKST
JKSTW 115-61
+16.5
27
vsDUKE
DUKEL 71-80
−8.5
3
vsLOU
LOUW 89-80
+2.5
6
vsFRES
FRESW 82-58
−21.5
13
vsTTU
TTUW 93-86
+23.5
16
vsQUC
QUCW 108-80
+18.5
20
vsHOU
HOUL 85-94
+32.5
29
vsJMU
JMUW 103-74
+17.5
3
vsTENN
TENNW 86-75
+2.5
over 8under 6avg +5.9 ptslonger = bigger margin
Ole Miss
14 games played
Straight up
8-6
57% wins
Against the spread
3-11
21% covers · avg −4.6 pts vs the line
Over / Under
8-6
57% overs · avg −2.9 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs SELA | W 88-58 | -21.5 | W +8.5 | 143.5 | O 146 |
| Nov 7 | vs ULM | W 86-65 | -37.5 | L −16.5 | 149.5 | O 151 |
| Nov 11 | vs MEM | W 83-77 | -9.5 | L −3.5 | 152.5 | O 160 |
| Nov 14 | vs CSUB | W 82-60 | -23.5 | L −1.5 | 140.5 | O 142 |
| Nov 18 | vs APSU | W 72-65 | -20.5 | L −13.5 | 145.5 | U 137 |
| Nov 25 | vs IOWA | L 69-74 | +4.5 | L −0.5 | 140.5 | O 143 |
| Nov 26 | vs UTAH | L 74-75 | -10.5 | L −11.5 | 144.5 | O 149 |
| Dec 2 | vs MIA | L 66-75 | -1.5 | L −10.5 | 145.5 | U 141 |
| Dec 6 | @ SJU | L 58-63 | +13.5 | W +8.5 | 151.5 | U 121 |
| Dec 13 | vs USM | W 71-67 | -12.5 | L −8.5 | 138.5 | U 138 |
| Dec 17 | vs AAMU | W 80-66 | -20.5 | L −6.5 | 135.5 | O 146 |
| Dec 21 | vs NCSU | L 62-76 | +7.5 | L −6.5 | 148.5 | U 138 |
| Dec 29 | vs ALCN | W 79-43 | -28.5 | W +7.5 | 148.5 | U 122 |
| Jan 3 | @ OU | L 70-86 | +6.5 | L −9.5 | 146.5 | O 156 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsSELA
SELAW 88-58
+8.5
7
vsULM
ULMW 86-65
−16.5
11
vsMEM
MEMW 83-77
−3.5
14
vsCSUB
CSUBW 82-60
−1.5
18
vsAPSU
APSUW 72-65
−13.5
25
vsIOWA
IOWAL 69-74
−0.5
26
vsUTAH
UTAHL 74-75
−11.5
2
vsMIA
MIAL 66-75
−10.5
6
@SJU
SJUL 58-63
+8.5
13
vsUSM
USMW 71-67
−8.5
17
vsAAMU
AAMUW 80-66
−6.5
21
vsNCSU
NCSUL 62-76
−6.5
29
vsALCN
ALCNW 79-43
+7.5
3
@OU
OUL 70-86
−9.5
covered 3didn’t cover 11avg −4.6 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsSELA
SELAW 88-58
+2.5
7
vsULM
ULMW 86-65
+1.5
11
vsMEM
MEMW 83-77
+7.5
14
vsCSUB
CSUBW 82-60
+1.5
18
vsAPSU
APSUW 72-65
−8.5
25
vsIOWA
IOWAL 69-74
+2.5
26
vsUTAH
UTAHL 74-75
+4.5
2
vsMIA
MIAL 66-75
−4.5
6
@SJU
SJUL 58-63
−30.5
13
vsUSM
USMW 71-67
−0.5
17
vsAAMU
AAMUW 80-66
+10.5
21
vsNCSU
NCSUL 62-76
−10.5
29
vsALCN
ALCNW 79-43
−26.5
3
@OU
OUL 70-86
+9.5
over 8under 6avg −2.9 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Arkansas
11-3 overall · 1-0 in conference · Southeastern Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs Tennessee86–75
- Wvs James Madison103–74
- Lvs Houston85–94
- Wvs Queens University Royals108–80
- Wvs Texas Tech93–86
4 days since their last game.
Ole Miss
8-6 overall · 0-1 in conference · Southeastern Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- L@ Oklahoma70–86
- Wvs Alcorn St79–43
- Lvs NC State62–76
- Wvs Alabama A&M80–66
- Wvs Southern Miss71–67
4 days since their last game.