The Sandy and John Black Pavilion at Ole Miss · at Ole Miss
Closing line
MISS -28.5✓ MISS covered by 7.5
MISS -28.5✓ MISS covered by 7.5Closing total148.5Under by 26.5
 ALCN | This season | MISS |
|---|---|---|
| 1-10 | Record | 7-5 |
| 5-6 | ATS | 2-10 |
| 8-3 | O/U | 7-5 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: ALCN 60–87 MISS · ✓ MISS (99%) won
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ALCN | 25 | 18 | 43 |
| MISS | 37 | 42 | 79 |
1st half: ALCN 25, MISS 37 (MISS by 12). The model had MISS by 15.6 and a total of 68.8 (actual 62).
Team stats
| ALCN | MISS | |
|---|---|---|
| 14-57 25% | Field goals | 31-66 47% |
| 4-17 24% | 3-pointers | 10-31 32% |
| 11-15 73% | Free throws | 7-8 88% |
| 28 8 off | Rebounds | 53 16 off |
| 8 | Assists | 18 |
| 6 | Steals | 6 |
| 0 | Blocks | 5 |
| 11 | Turnovers | 13 |
| 14 | Fouls | 13 |
| 16 | Points in paint | 36 |
| 6 | Fast-break points | 13 |
Players
| ALCN | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tycen McDaniels F | 34 | 17 | 6 | 2 | 5-10 | 2-2 |
| Jameel Morris G | 31 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 1-8 | 1-4 |
| Shane Lancaster G | 28 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 2-7 | 0-3 |
| Nick Woodard SF | 27 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 2-11 | 1-3 |
| Omari Hamilton F | 25 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 2-8 | 0-1 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Davian Williams PG | 19 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 2-5 | 0-1 |
| Travis Roberts SG | 19 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0-4 | 0-3 |
| Bryson Calamese PG | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-2 | 0-0 |
| Mike Jones SG | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-2 | 0-0 |
| Jeremy Ellis PF | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Ray Glasgow, William Henderson, Alex Hawkins
| MISS | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Malik Dia F | 23 | 12 | 11 | 2 | 5-12 | 0-1 |
| Ilias Kamardine G | 22 | 6 | 5 | 3 | 2-6 | 2-4 |
| Travis Perry G | 16 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1-7 | 0-6 |
| James Scott F | 16 | 13 | 11 | 0 | 6-8 | 0-0 |
| AJ Storr G | 9 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1-5 | 0-2 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Kezza Giffa G | 26 | 14 | 1 | 2 | 4-7 | 2-4 |
| Patton Pinkins G | 26 | 13 | 2 | 4 | 5-7 | 3-5 |
| Koren Johnson G | 16 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2-4 | 2-3 |
| Corey Chest F | 15 | 6 | 10 | 2 | 3-3 | 0-0 |
| Eduardo Klafke G | 13 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 2-3 | 1-2 |
| Augusto Cassia F | 8 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
| Zach Day G | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
| Niko Bundalo F | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Max Smith G | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-2 | 0-2 |
Did not play: Hobert Grayson IV, Tylis Jordan
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Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketMISS -28.5
ModelMISS -26.3
Model edgeALCN +2.2
L MISS covered
Total
Market148.5
Model146.9
Model edgeUnder 1.6
W Under
Projected score
ALCN 60.3 · MISS 86.6
ALCN 43 · MISS 79
Win probability
MISS 99%
1st half
Spread
MISS -15.6
MISS -12.0
Total
68.8
62 points
Projected score
ALCN 26.6 · MISS 42.2
ALCN 25 · MISS 37
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenMISS -27.5
1 → MISS
CloseMISS -28.5
1 pt toward MISS
Total
Open147.5
▲ 1
Close148.5
Up 1 since the open
Moneyline
ALCN +1800 · MISS -5000
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened MISS -27.5 · closed MISS -28.5 · moved 1 toward MISSmodel MISS -26.5
model MISS -26.5
Opened 147.5 · closed 148.5 · moved 1 upmodel 147
model 147
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ALCN | 1-9 10% | 5-5 50% | 7-3 70% |
| MISS | 5-5 50% | 1-9 10% | 5-5 50% |
Recent meetings
Since 2021-22
ALCN 0–1 MISSMISS leads · 1 game since 2021-22 · ALCN 1-0 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 7, 2022-23 | ALCN 58 @ MISS 73 | MISS -19.5 | ALCN W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Alcorn St
11 games played
Straight up
1-10
9% wins
Against the spread
5-6
45% covers · avg −1 pts vs the line
Over / Under
8-3
73% overs · avg +6.1 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 4 | @ FSU | L 76-108 | +27.5 | L −4.5 | 156.5 | O 184 |
| Nov 6 | @ USA | L 70-76 | +18.5 | W +12.5 | 141.5 | O 146 |
| Nov 8 | @ MINN | L 50-95 | +31.5 | L −13.5 | 152.5 | U 145 |
| Nov 11 | @ MD | L 64-84 | +29.5 | W +9.5 | 146.5 | O 148 |
| Nov 13 | @ HOW | L 64-72 | +6.5 | L −1.5 | 154.5 | U 136 |
| Nov 18 | @ LSU | L 81-107 | +32.5 | W +6.5 | 155.5 | O 188 |
| Nov 23 | @ OU | L 53-72 | +31.5 | W +12.5 | 160.5 | U 125 |
| Nov 28 | vs INST | W 81-74 | +12.5 | W +19.5 | 152.5 | O 155 |
| Nov 29 | @ LT | L 58-83 | +16.5 | L −8.5 | 137.5 | O 141 |
| Dec 3 | @ ISU | L 68-132 | +42.5 | L −21.5 | 151.5 | O 200 |
| Dec 19 | @ BAY | L 56-113 | +35.5 | L −21.5 | 160.5 | O 169 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
4
@FSU
FSUL 76-108
−4.5
6
@USA
USAL 70-76
+12.5
8
@MINN
MINNL 50-95
−13.5
11
@MD
MDL 64-84
+9.5
13
@HOW
HOWL 64-72
−1.5
18
@LSU
LSUL 81-107
+6.5
23
@OU
OUL 53-72
+12.5
28
vsINST
INSTW 81-74
+19.5
29
@LT
LTL 58-83
−8.5
3
@ISU
ISUL 68-132
−21.5
19
@BAY
BAYL 56-113
−21.5
covered 5didn’t cover 6avg −1 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
4
@FSU
FSUL 76-108
+27.5
6
@USA
USAL 70-76
+4.5
8
@MINN
MINNL 50-95
−7.5
11
@MD
MDL 64-84
+1.5
13
@HOW
HOWL 64-72
−18.5
18
@LSU
LSUL 81-107
+32.5
23
@OU
OUL 53-72
−35.5
28
vsINST
INSTW 81-74
+2.5
29
@LT
LTL 58-83
+3.5
3
@ISU
ISUL 68-132
+48.5
19
@BAY
BAYL 56-113
+8.5
over 8under 3avg +6.1 ptslonger = bigger margin
Ole Miss
12 games played
Straight up
7-5
58% wins
Against the spread
2-10
17% covers · avg −5.2 pts vs the line
Over / Under
7-5
58% overs · avg −2 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs SELA | W 88-58 | -21.5 | W +8.5 | 143.5 | O 146 |
| Nov 7 | vs ULM | W 86-65 | -37.5 | L −16.5 | 149.5 | O 151 |
| Nov 11 | vs MEM | W 83-77 | -9.5 | L −3.5 | 152.5 | O 160 |
| Nov 14 | vs CSUB | W 82-60 | -23.5 | L −1.5 | 140.5 | O 142 |
| Nov 18 | vs APSU | W 72-65 | -20.5 | L −13.5 | 145.5 | U 137 |
| Nov 25 | vs IOWA | L 69-74 | +4.5 | L −0.5 | 140.5 | O 143 |
| Nov 26 | vs UTAH | L 74-75 | -10.5 | L −11.5 | 144.5 | O 149 |
| Dec 2 | vs MIA | L 66-75 | -1.5 | L −10.5 | 145.5 | U 141 |
| Dec 6 | @ SJU | L 58-63 | +13.5 | W +8.5 | 151.5 | U 121 |
| Dec 13 | vs USM | W 71-67 | -12.5 | L −8.5 | 138.5 | U 138 |
| Dec 17 | vs AAMU | W 80-66 | -20.5 | L −6.5 | 135.5 | O 146 |
| Dec 21 | vs NCSU | L 62-76 | +7.5 | L −6.5 | 148.5 | U 138 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsSELA
SELAW 88-58
+8.5
7
vsULM
ULMW 86-65
−16.5
11
vsMEM
MEMW 83-77
−3.5
14
vsCSUB
CSUBW 82-60
−1.5
18
vsAPSU
APSUW 72-65
−13.5
25
vsIOWA
IOWAL 69-74
−0.5
26
vsUTAH
UTAHL 74-75
−11.5
2
vsMIA
MIAL 66-75
−10.5
6
@SJU
SJUL 58-63
+8.5
13
vsUSM
USMW 71-67
−8.5
17
vsAAMU
AAMUW 80-66
−6.5
21
vsNCSU
NCSUL 62-76
−6.5
covered 2didn’t cover 10avg −5.2 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsSELA
SELAW 88-58
+2.5
7
vsULM
ULMW 86-65
+1.5
11
vsMEM
MEMW 83-77
+7.5
14
vsCSUB
CSUBW 82-60
+1.5
18
vsAPSU
APSUW 72-65
−8.5
25
vsIOWA
IOWAL 69-74
+2.5
26
vsUTAH
UTAHL 74-75
+4.5
2
vsMIA
MIAL 66-75
−4.5
6
@SJU
SJUL 58-63
−30.5
13
vsUSM
USMW 71-67
−0.5
17
vsAAMU
AAMUW 80-66
+10.5
21
vsNCSU
NCSUL 62-76
−10.5
over 7under 5avg −2 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Alcorn St
1-10 overall · 0-0 in conference · Southwestern Athletic Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- L@ Baylor56–113
- L@ Iowa State68–132
- L@ Louisiana Tech58–83
- Wvs Indiana St81–74
- L@ Oklahoma53–72
A week or more of rest.
Ole Miss
7-5 overall · 0-0 in conference · Southeastern Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Lvs NC State62–76
- Wvs Alabama A&M80–66
- Wvs Southern Miss71–67
- L@ St John's58–63
- Lvs Miami66–75
A week or more of rest.