The Sandy and John Black Pavilion at Ole Miss · at Ole Miss
Closing line
MISS -9.5✓ MEM covered by 3.5
MISS -9.5✓ MEM covered by 3.5Closing total152.5Over by 7.5
 MEM | This season | MISS |
|---|---|---|
| 1-0 | Record | 2-0 |
| 1-0 | ATS | 1-1 |
| 0-1 | O/U | 2-0 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: MEM 73–81 MISS · ✓ MISS (74%) won
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| MEM | 33 | 44 | 77 |
| MISS | 42 | 41 | 83 |
1st half: MEM 33, MISS 42 (MISS by 9). The model had MISS by 4.3 and a total of 72.3 (actual 75).
Team stats
| MEM | MISS | |
|---|---|---|
| 28-60 47% | Field goals | 27-52 52% |
| 7-21 33% | 3-pointers | 8-13 62% |
| 14-20 70% | Free throws | 21-33 64% |
| 33 9 off | Rebounds | 32 7 off |
| 20 | Assists | 17 |
| 6 | Steals | 5 |
| 3 | Blocks | 2 |
| 7 | Turnovers | 7 |
| 25 | Fouls | 15 |
| 30 | Points in paint | 22 |
| 9 | Fast-break points | 2 |
Players
| MEM | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dug McDaniel G | 35 | 15 | 7 | 7 | 5-14 | 2-4 |
| Curtis Givens III G | 31 | 20 | 2 | 2 | 7-14 | 3-7 |
| Sincere Parker G | 23 | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4-8 | 0-1 |
| Aaron Bradshaw F | 20 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| Thierno Sylla C | 18 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Ashton Hardaway F | 24 | 16 | 3 | 4 | 7-11 | 1-4 |
| Quante Berry G | 14 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2-4 | 1-2 |
| Zach Davis G | 14 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1-2 | 0-1 |
| Julius Thedford G | 11 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0-3 | 0-2 |
| Simon Majok C | 10 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Arop Arop, Hasan Abdul Hakim, William Whorton, Mason Matthews, Tariq Ingraham
| MISS | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ilias Kamardine G | 35 | 26 | 4 | 4 | 11-14 | 3-4 |
| Kezza Giffa G | 33 | 15 | 2 | 5 | 4-7 | 1-2 |
| Malik Dia F | 29 | 13 | 6 | 1 | 3-9 | 2-3 |
| James Scott F | 27 | 3 | 7 | 2 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| AJ Storr G | 20 | 10 | 2 | 2 | 3-7 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Patton Pinkins G | 17 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2-4 | 0-0 |
| Corey Chest F | 13 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
| Augusto Cassia F | 9 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0-2 | 0-1 |
| Travis Perry G | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 2-4 | 2-3 |
| Eduardo Klafke G | 8 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0-2 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Tylis Jordan, Niko Bundalo, Max Smith, Zach Day, Hobert Grayson IV, Koren Johnson
Loading the game…
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenMISS -8.5
1 → MISS
CloseMISS -9.5
1 pt toward MISS
Total
Open156.5
▼ 4
Close152.5
Down 4 since the open
Moneyline
MEM +400 · MISS -600
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened MISS -8.5 · closed MISS -9.5 · moved 1 toward MISSmodel MISS -7.5
model MISS -7.5
Opened 156.5 · closed 152.5 · moved 4 downmodel 154.5
model 154.5
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Model vs market
| Market | Model | Model edge | Result | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | MISS -9.5 | MISS -7.4 | MEM +2.1 | W MEM covered |
| Total | 152.5 | 154.3 | Over 1.8 | W Over |
| Projected score | — | MEM 73.4 · MISS 80.9 |
1st-half model
| Model | Actual | |
|---|---|---|
| 1H spread | MISS -4.3 | MISS -9.0 |
| 1H total | 72.3 | 75 |
| 1H projected score | MEM 34 · MISS 38.3 | MEM 33 · MISS 42 |
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| MEMlast 1 | 1-0 100% | 1-0 100% | 0-1 0% |
| MISSlast 2 | 2-0 100% | 1-1 50% | 2-0 100% |
Recent meetings
Since 2021-22
MEM 2–2 MISSSeries tied · 4 games since 2021-22 · MEM 2-2 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 28, 2024-25 | MISS 70 @ MEM 87 | MEM -1.5 | MEM W |
| Dec 2, 2023-24 | MEM 77 @ MISS 80 | MISS -0.5 | MISS W |
| Dec 3, 2022-23 | MISS 57 @ MEM 68 | MEM -6.5 | MEM W |
| Dec 4, 2021-22 | MEM 63 @ MISS 67 | MISS +1 | MISS W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Memphis
1 game played
Straight up
1-0
100% wins
Against the spread
1-0
100% covers · avg +3.5 pts vs the line
Over / Under
0-1
0% overs · avg −11.5 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 8 | vs SF | W 76-70 | -2.5 | W +3.5 | 157.5 | U 146 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
8
vsSF
SFW 76-70
+3.5
covered 1didn’t cover 0avg +3.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
8
vsSF
SFW 76-70
−11.5
over 0under 1avg −11.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Ole Miss
2 games played
Straight up
2-0
100% wins
Against the spread
1-1
50% covers · avg −4 pts vs the line
Over / Under
2-0
100% overs · avg +2 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vs
SELA
SELAW 88-58
+8.5
7
vs
ULM
ULMW 86-65
−16.5
covered 1didn’t cover 1avg −4 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsSELA
SELAW 88-58
+2.5
7
vsULM
ULMW 86-65
+1.5
over 2under 0avg +2 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Memphis
1-0 overall · 0-0 in conference · American Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs San Francisco76–70
3 days since their last game.
Ole Miss
2-0 overall · 0-0 in conference · Southeastern Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs UL Monroe86–65
- Wvs SE Louisiana88–58
4 days since their last game.