Foster Pavilion · at Baylor
Closing line
BAY -35.5✓ BAY covered by 21.5
Closing total160.5Over by 8.5
| This season | BAY | |
|---|---|---|
| 1-9 | Record | 7-2 |
| 5-5 | ATS | 4-5 |
| 7-3 | O/U | 7-2 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: ALCN 67–97 BAY · ✓ BAY (100%) won
Loading the game…
Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ALCN | 30 | 26 | 56 |
| BAY | 55 | 58 | 113 |
1st half: ALCN 30, BAY 55 (BAY by 25). The model had BAY by 18.2 and a total of 76.7 (actual 85).
Team stats
| ALCN | BAY | |
|---|---|---|
| 22-74 30% | Field goals | 42-65 65% |
| 6-19 32% | 3-pointers | 9-21 43% |
| 6-7 86% | Free throws | 20-23 87% |
| 26 14 off | Rebounds | 50 11 off |
| 9 | Assists | 22 |
| 10 | Steals | 9 |
| 2 | Blocks | 6 |
| 14 | Turnovers | 14 |
| 18 | Fouls | 7 |
| 30 | Points in paint | 64 |
| 17 | Fast-break points | 38 |
Players
| ALCN | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nick Woodard SF | 31 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 4-10 | 3-5 |
| Shane Lancaster G | 28 | 17 | 1 | 2 | 7-12 | 2-3 |
| Jameel Morris G | 21 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0-7 | 0-1 |
| Omari Hamilton F | 19 | 8 | 4 | 0 | 4-8 | 0-1 |
| Tycen McDaniels F | 8 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1-3 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Davian Williams PG | 19 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1-8 | 0-4 |
| Travis Roberts SG | 16 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 2-7 | 1-2 |
| Bryson Calamese PG | 16 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 1-6 | 0-1 |
| Mike Jones SG | 16 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 1-5 | 0-1 |
| William Henderson F | 15 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 1-8 | 0-1 |
| Jeremy Ellis PF | 11 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Ray Glasgow, Alex Hawkins
| BAY | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Obi Agbim G | 30 | 14 | 3 | 3 | 4-7 | 4-6 |
| Michael Rataj G | 28 | 18 | 10 | 5 | 7-10 | 2-2 |
| Tounde Yessoufou G | 26 | 17 | 5 | 3 | 7-13 | 1-5 |
| Cameron Carr G | 25 | 24 | 6 | 1 | 8-9 | 2-3 |
| Dan Skillings Jr. G | 25 | 12 | 4 | 4 | 5-7 | 0-1 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Caden Powell C | 27 | 6 | 16 | 3 | 2-4 | 0-1 |
| Isaac Williams IV G | 27 | 21 | 2 | 3 | 9-13 | 0-1 |
| Will Kuykendall G | 7 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
| Drew Perry G | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
Did not play: Andre Iguodala II, Juslin Bodo Bodo, James Goodis, JJ White, Mayo Soyoye, Maikcol Perez
Loading the game…
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenBAY -35.5
no move
CloseBAY -35.5
No change since the open
Total
Open163.5
▼ 3
Close160.5
Down 3 since the open
Moneyline
—
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened BAY -35.5 · unchangedmodel BAY -30.5
model BAY -30.5
Opened 163.5 · closed 160.5 · moved 3 downmodel 164
model 164
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Model vs market
| Market | Model | Model edge | Result | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | BAY -35.5 | BAY -30.5 | ALCN +5.0 | L BAY covered |
| Total | 160.5 | 163.9 | Over 3.4 | W Over |
| Projected score | — | ALCN 66.7 · BAY 97.2 |
1st-half model
| Model | Actual | |
|---|---|---|
| 1H spread | BAY -18.2 | BAY -25.0 |
| 1H total | 76.7 | 85 |
| 1H projected score | ALCN 29.2 · BAY 47.5 | ALCN 30 · BAY 55 |
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1-9 10% | 5-5 50% | 7-3 70% | |
| 7-2 78% | 4-5 44% | 7-2 78% |
Recent meetings
Since 2021-22
ALCN 0–1 BAYBAY leads · 1 game since 2021-22 · ALCN 0-1 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 20, 2021-22 | ALCN 57 @ BAY 94 | BAY -34.5 | BAY W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Alcorn St
10 games played
Straight up
1-9
10% wins
Against the spread
5-5
50% covers · avg +1.1 pts vs the line
Over / Under
7-3
70% overs · avg +5.9 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 4 | @ | L 76-108 | +27.5 | L −4.5 | 156.5 | O 184 |
| Nov 6 | @ | L 70-76 | +18.5 | W +12.5 | 141.5 | O 146 |
| Nov 8 | @ | L 50-95 | +31.5 | L −13.5 | 152.5 | U 145 |
| Nov 11 | @ | L 64-84 | +29.5 | W +9.5 | 146.5 | O 148 |
| Nov 13 | @ | L 64-72 | +6.5 | L −1.5 | 154.5 | U 136 |
| Nov 18 | @ | L 81-107 | +32.5 | W +6.5 | 155.5 | O 188 |
| Nov 23 | @ | L 53-72 | +31.5 | W +12.5 | 160.5 | U 125 |
| Nov 28 | vs | W 81-74 | +12.5 | W +19.5 | 152.5 | O 155 |
| Nov 29 | @ | L 58-83 | +16.5 | L −8.5 | 137.5 | O 141 |
| Dec 3 | @ | L 68-132 | +42.5 | L −21.5 | 151.5 | O 200 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
4
@
FSU
L 76-108
−4.5
6
@
USA
L 70-76
+12.5
8
@
MINN
L 50-95
−13.5
11
@
MD
L 64-84
+9.5
13
@
HOW
L 64-72
−1.5
18
@
LSU
L 81-107
+6.5
23
@
OU
L 53-72
+12.5
28
vs
INST
W 81-74
+19.5
29
@
LT
L 58-83
−8.5
3
@
ISU
L 68-132
−21.5
covered 5didn’t cover 5avg +1.1 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
4
@
FSU
L 76-108
+27.5
6
@
USA
L 70-76
+4.5
8
@
MINN
L 50-95
−7.5
11
@
MD
L 64-84
+1.5
13
@
HOW
L 64-72
−18.5
18
@
LSU
L 81-107
+32.5
23
@
OU
L 53-72
−35.5
28
vs
INST
W 81-74
+2.5
29
@
LT
L 58-83
+3.5
3
@
ISU
L 68-132
+48.5
over 7under 3avg +5.9 ptslonger = bigger margin
Baylor
9 games played
Straight up
7-2
78% wins
Against the spread
4-5
44% covers · avg −3.4 pts vs the line
Over / Under
7-2
78% overs · avg +13.9 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs | W 96-81 | -24.5 | L −9.5 | 154.5 | O 177 |
| Nov 9 | vs | W 78-69 | -6.5 | W +2.5 | 156.5 | U 147 |
| Nov 14 | vs | W 94-81 | -23.5 | L −10.5 | 149.5 | O 175 |
| Nov 24 | vs | W 81-74 | -3.5 | W +3.5 | 154.5 | O 155 |
| Nov 25 | vs | L 81-96 | +5.5 | L −9.5 | 159.5 | O 177 |
| Nov 26 | vs | W 91-81 | -2.5 | W +7.5 | 148.5 | O 172 |
| Dec 2 | vs | W 110-88 | -29.5 | L −7.5 | 158.5 | O 198 |
| Dec 6 | @ | L 71-78 | -3.5 | L −10.5 | 158.5 | U 149 |
| Dec 10 | vs | W 97-67 | -26.5 | W +3.5 | 148.5 | O 164 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vs
RGV
W 96-81
−9.5
9
vs
WASH
W 78-69
+2.5
14
vs
TAR
W 94-81
−10.5
24
vs
CREI
W 81-74
+3.5
25
vs
SJU
L 81-96
−9.5
26
vs
SDSU
W 91-81
+7.5
2
vs
SAC
W 110-88
−7.5
6
@
MEM
L 71-78
−10.5
10
vs
NORF
W 97-67
+3.5
covered 4didn’t cover 5avg −3.4 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vs
RGV
W 96-81
+22.5
9
vs
WASH
W 78-69
−9.5
14
vs
TAR
W 94-81
+25.5
24
vs
CREI
W 81-74
+0.5
25
vs
SJU
L 81-96
+17.5
26
vs
SDSU
W 91-81
+23.5
2
vs
SAC
W 110-88
+39.5
6
@
MEM
L 71-78
−9.5
10
vs
NORF
W 97-67
+15.5
over 7under 2avg +13.9 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Alcorn St
1-9 overall · 0-0 in conference · Southwestern Athletic Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- L@ Iowa State68–132
- L@ Louisiana Tech58–83
- Wvs Indiana St81–74
- L@ Oklahoma53–72
- L@ LSU81–107
A week or more of rest.
Baylor
7-2 overall · 0-0 in conference · Big 12 Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs Norfolk St97–67
- L@ Memphis71–78
- Wvs Sacramento St110–88
- Wvs San Diego St91–81
- Lvs St John's81–96
A week or more of rest.