Neville Arena · at Auburn
Closing line
AUB -25.5✓ AUB covered by 15.5
AUB -25.5✓ AUB covered by 15.5Closing total171.5Under by 0.5
 QUC | This season | AUB |
|---|---|---|
| 4-7 | Record | 8-4 |
| 5-6 | ATS | 7-5 |
| 9-2 | O/U | 9-3 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: QUC 75–99 AUB · ✓ AUB (98%) won
Loading the game…
Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| QUC | 21 | 44 | 65 |
| AUB | 57 | 49 | 106 |
1st half: QUC 21, AUB 57 (AUB by 36). The model had AUB by 14.3 and a total of 81.1 (actual 78).
Team stats
| QUC | AUB | |
|---|---|---|
| 21-56 38% | Field goals | 35-63 56% |
| 2-15 13% | 3-pointers | 15-28 54% |
| 21-27 78% | Free throws | 21-30 70% |
| 26 9 off | Rebounds | 40 13 off |
| 9 | Assists | 24 |
| 3 | Steals | 13 |
| 3 | Blocks | 9 |
| 14 | Turnovers | 10 |
| 20 | Fouls | 18 |
| 38 | Points in paint | 38 |
| 5 | Fast-break points | 28 |
Players
| QUC | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nasir Mann G | 28 | 13 | 3 | 1 | 4-10 | 0-2 |
| Yoav Berman F | 26 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 1-5 | 0-1 |
| Chris Ashby G | 24 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1-4 | 0-2 |
| Jordan Watford G | 19 | 9 | 2 | 2 | 2-6 | 0-0 |
| Avantae Parker F | 8 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 3-3 | 1-1 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Gus Larson F | 24 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 2-5 | 0-2 |
| Maban Jabriel G | 22 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 2-9 | 0-4 |
| Kam Clark G | 20 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2-5 | 0-1 |
| Isaiah Henry G | 19 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 3-6 | 1-1 |
| Reid Celestin F | 10 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1-3 | 0-1 |
Did not play: Seamus Wilson, Danzelle Bullock Coles, Jimma James, Tyler Crider, Saif-Allah Zatari, Matthew Walter, Colby Christiansen, Jacob Brandly, Carson Schwieger
| AUB | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kevin Overton G | 30 | 23 | 2 | 1 | 8-12 | 5-7 |
| Tahaad Pettiford G | 29 | 5 | 4 | 9 | 1-8 | 1-5 |
| Sebastian Williams-Adams F | 29 | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4-6 | 0-1 |
| Keyshawn Hall F | 25 | 18 | 5 | 7 | 6-10 | 3-6 |
| KeShawn Murphy F | 22 | 9 | 6 | 2 | 3-6 | 1-2 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Elyjah Freeman G | 23 | 27 | 3 | 1 | 9-13 | 4-4 |
| Filip Jovic C | 18 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
| Kaden Magwood G | 11 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 1-2 | 1-1 |
| Simon Walker G | 9 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2-4 | 0-2 |
| Blake Muschalek G | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Bradley Pearson, Jeremiah Bowman, Emeka Opurum, Abdul Bashir, Drake Cardwell, Joah Shay, Reed Trapp, CJ Williams
Loading the game…
Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketAUB -25.5
ModelAUB -24.0
Model edgeQUC +1.5
L AUB covered
Total
Market171.5
Model173.4
Model edgeOver 1.9
L Under
Projected score
QUC 74.7 · AUB 98.7
QUC 65 · AUB 106
Win probability
AUB 98%
1st half
Spread
AUB -14.3
AUB -36.0
Total
81.1
78 points
Projected score
QUC 33.4 · AUB 47.7
QUC 21 · AUB 57
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenAUB -24.5
1 → AUB
CloseAUB -25.5
1 pt toward AUB
Total
Open174.5
▼ 3
Close171.5
Down 3 since the open
Moneyline
QUC +2200 · AUB -8000
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened AUB -24.5 · closed AUB -25.5 · moved 1 toward AUBmodel AUB -24
model AUB -24
Opened 174.5 · closed 171.5 · moved 3 downmodel 173.5
model 173.5
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| QUC | 4-6 40% | 5-5 50% | 9-1 90% |
| AUB | 6-4 60% | 6-4 60% | 7-3 70% |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Queens University Royals
11 games played
Straight up
4-7
36% wins
Against the spread
5-6
45% covers · avg +0.9 pts vs the line
Over / Under
9-2
82% overs · avg +12.3 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs WIN | L 74-81 | +3.5 | L −3.5 | 163.5 | U 155 |
| Nov 8 | @ VILL | L 74-94 | +17.5 | L −2.5 | 150.5 | O 168 |
| Nov 11 | @ DUQ | L 81-87 | +12.5 | W +6.5 | 162.5 | O 168 |
| Nov 15 | vs SHU | W 81-64 | -5.5 | W +11.5 | 165.5 | U 145 |
| Nov 20 | vs UNCG | W 101-94 | -7.5 | L −0.5 | 150.5 | O 195 |
| Nov 23 | @ FUR | L 79-90 | +8.5 | L −2.5 | 153.5 | O 169 |
| Nov 28 | @ UVA | L 69-94 | +25.5 | W +0.5 | 160.5 | O 163 |
| Dec 3 | vs GWEB | W 107-74 | -14.5 | W +18.5 | 161.5 | O 181 |
| Dec 12 | vs SCST | W 102-78 | -18.5 | W +5.5 | 157.5 | O 180 |
| Dec 14 | @ WAKE | L 73-111 | +18.5 | L −19.5 | 165.5 | O 184 |
| Dec 16 | @ ARK | L 80-108 | +23.5 | L −4.5 | 169.5 | O 188 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsWIN
WINL 74-81
−3.5
8
@VILL
VILLL 74-94
−2.5
11
@DUQ
DUQL 81-87
+6.5
15
vsSHU
SHUW 81-64
+11.5
20
vsUNCG
UNCGW 101-94
−0.5
23
@FUR
FURL 79-90
−2.5
28
@UVA
UVAL 69-94
+0.5
3
vsGWEB
GWEBW 107-74
+18.5
12
vsSCST
SCSTW 102-78
+5.5
14
@WAKE
WAKEL 73-111
−19.5
16
@ARK
ARKL 80-108
−4.5
covered 5didn’t cover 6avg +0.9 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsWIN
WINL 74-81
−8.5
8
@VILL
VILLL 74-94
+17.5
11
@DUQ
DUQL 81-87
+5.5
15
vsSHU
SHUW 81-64
−20.5
20
vsUNCG
UNCGW 101-94
+44.5
23
@FUR
FURL 79-90
+15.5
28
@UVA
UVAL 69-94
+2.5
3
vsGWEB
GWEBW 107-74
+19.5
12
vsSCST
SCSTW 102-78
+22.5
14
@WAKE
WAKEL 73-111
+18.5
16
@ARK
ARKL 80-108
+18.5
over 9under 2avg +12.3 ptslonger = bigger margin
Auburn
12 games played
Straight up
8-4
67% wins
Against the spread
7-5
58% covers · avg −1.8 pts vs the line
Over / Under
9-3
75% overs · avg +6.6 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs BCU | W 95-90 | -24.5 | L −19.5 | 153.5 | O 185 |
| Nov 6 | vs MRMK | W 95-57 | -23.5 | W +14.5 | 148.5 | O 152 |
| Nov 11 | vs WOF | W 93-62 | -27.5 | W +3.5 | 152.5 | O 155 |
| Nov 16 | vs HOU | L 72-73 | +7.5 | W +6.5 | 140.5 | O 145 |
| Nov 19 | vs JKST | W 112-66 | -30.5 | W +15.5 | 156.5 | O 178 |
| Nov 24 | vs ORE | W 84-73 | -4.5 | W +6.5 | 155.5 | O 157 |
| Nov 25 | vs MICH | L 72-102 | +4.5 | L −25.5 | 163.5 | O 174 |
| Nov 26 | vs SJU | W 85-74 | +4.5 | W +15.5 | 166.5 | U 159 |
| Dec 3 | vs NCSU | W 83-73 | -5.5 | W +4.5 | 162.5 | U 156 |
| Dec 6 | @ ARIZ | L 68-97 | +11.5 | L −17.5 | 162.5 | O 165 |
| Dec 13 | vs UTC | W 92-78 | -19.5 | L −5.5 | 150.5 | O 170 |
| Dec 20 | vs PUR | L 60-88 | +7.5 | L −20.5 | 152.5 | U 148 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsBCU
BCUW 95-90
−19.5
6
vsMRMK
MRMKW 95-57
+14.5
11
vsWOF
WOFW 93-62
+3.5
16
vsHOU
HOUL 72-73
+6.5
19
vsJKST
JKSTW 112-66
+15.5
24
vsORE
OREW 84-73
+6.5
25
vsMICH
MICHL 72-102
−25.5
26
vsSJU
SJUW 85-74
+15.5
3
vsNCSU
NCSUW 83-73
+4.5
6
@ARIZ
ARIZL 68-97
−17.5
13
vsUTC
UTCW 92-78
−5.5
20
vsPUR
PURL 60-88
−20.5
covered 7didn’t cover 5avg −1.8 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsBCU
BCUW 95-90
+31.5
6
vsMRMK
MRMKW 95-57
+3.5
11
vsWOF
WOFW 93-62
+2.5
16
vsHOU
HOUL 72-73
+4.5
19
vsJKST
JKSTW 112-66
+21.5
24
vsORE
OREW 84-73
+1.5
25
vsMICH
MICHL 72-102
+10.5
26
vsSJU
SJUW 85-74
−7.5
3
vsNCSU
NCSUW 83-73
−6.5
6
@ARIZ
ARIZL 68-97
+2.5
13
vsUTC
UTCW 92-78
+19.5
20
vsPUR
PURL 60-88
−4.5
over 9under 3avg +6.6 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Queens University Royals
4-7 overall · 0-0 in conference · Atlantic Sun Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- L@ Arkansas80–108
- L@ Wake Forest73–111
- Wvs SC State102–78
- Wvs Gardner-Webb107–74
- L@ Virginia69–94
A week or more of rest.
Auburn
8-4 overall · 0-0 in conference · Southeastern Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Lvs Purdue60–88
- Wvs Chattanooga92–78
- L@ Arizona68–97
- Wvs NC State83–73
- Wvs St John's85–74
A week or more of rest.