Queens University Royals at Furman Paladins: Model Line and Edge

Sun, Nov 23, 5:00 PM ETTimmons Arena · at Furman

Final

#152FURFurman90▲ winner

Closing lineFUR -8.5✓ FUR covered by 2.5

Closing total153.5Over by 15.5

Season records: Queens University Royals and Furman
QUC	This season	FUR
2-3	Record	0-3
2-3	ATS	0-3
3-2	O/U	1-2

ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders

Model before tip-off: QUC 76–79 FUR · ✓ FUR (62%) won

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Box score

Score by half

	1H	2H	T
QUC	32	47	79
FUR	45	45	90

1st half: QUC 32, FUR 45 (FUR by 13). The model had FUR by 2.0 and a total of 72.4 (actual 77).

Team stats

QUC		FUR
28-59 47%	Field goals	32-60 53%
9-26 35%	3-pointers	12-33 36%
14-17 82%	Free throws	14-21 67%
27 8 off	Rebounds	36 11 off
18	Assists	20
3	Steals	2
2	Blocks	4
4	Turnovers	4
19	Fouls	15
36	Points in paint	36
9	Fast-break points	8

Players

QUC	MIN	PTS	REB	AST	FG	3P
Nasir Mann G	33	14	3	4	6-10	2-3
Chris Ashby G	27	12	0	2	4-8	2-3
Yoav Berman F	26	6	0	3	2-8	0-3
Jordan Watford G	21	14	2	1	4-9	1-2
Avantae Parker F	18	10	3	0	4-5	0-1
Bench
Maban Jabriel G	25	16	7	2	6-8	2-4
Gus Larson F	18	0	1	3	0-1	0-1
Carson Schwieger F	17	3	4	1	1-7	1-7
Isaiah Henry G	11	4	2	1	1-3	1-2
Kam Clark G	3	0	0	1	0-0	0-0
Reid Celestin F	1	0	0	0	0-0	0-0

Did not play: Matthew Walter, Seamus Wilson, Saif-Allah Zatari, Tyler Crider, Jimma James, Danzelle Bullock Coles, Colby Christiansen, Jacob Brandly

FUR	MIN	PTS	REB	AST	FG	3P
Cooper Bowser F	31	17	2	1	6-7	0-0
Asa Thomas G	30	12	3	3	3-12	3-11
Ben Vander Wal F	30	6	5	3	3-4	0-1
Alex Wilkins G	30	23	5	7	9-15	3-7
Charles Johnston F	26	14	13	4	5-6	2-3
Bench
Eddrin Bronson G	27	15	2	0	5-11	3-8
Tom House G	17	0	1	2	0-2	0-2
Collin O'Neal G	9	3	2	0	1-3	1-1

Did not play: Gunnar Lewis, Owen Ritger, Cole Bowser, Abijah Franklin, Mason Smith, Thomas Tillman, Davis Molnar

Model vs market

	Market	Model	Model edge	Result
Spread	FUR -8.5	FUR -3.5	QUC +5.0	L FUR covered
Total	153.5	154.7	Over 1.2	W Over
Projected score	—	QUC 75.6 · FUR 79.1

1st-half model

1st-half slate ›

	Model	Actual
1H spread	FUR -2.0	FUR -13.0
1H total	72.4	77
1H projected score	QUC 35.2 · FUR 37.2	QUC 32 · FUR 45

The 1st-half model is fitted from the full-game model and past halves. ESPN has no 1st-half lines for college games, so there is no market to compare it with.

ATS

2025-26, records before tip-off

	Season	Cover	Venue	Role
QUC LLWWL	2-3	40%	1-1	1-2
FUR LLL	0-3	0%	0-1	0-1

Venue/role: QUC away, as underdog; FUR home, as favorite. Squares: last 5 games ATS (W covered, L didn’t), oldest first.

Totals

Over/under before tip-off

	O-U	Over %	SU
QUC UOOUO	3-2	60%	2-3
FUR OUU	1-2	33%	0-3

Squares: last 5 games (O over, U under), oldest first. Tap for the score and line.

Last 10 games

2025-26, before tip-off

	Straight up	Spread	Over / under
QUClast 5	2-3 40%	2-3 40%	3-2 60%
FURlast 3	0-3 0%	0-3 0%	1-2 33%

Wins-losses (pushes last). Spread and over / under skip games without a line.

ATS History · 2025-26

WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total

Queens University Royals

5 games played

Straight up

2-3

40% wins

Against the spread

2-3

40% covers · avg +2.3 pts vs the line

Over / Under

3-2

60% overs · avg +7.7 pts vs the total

Straight up

2-340%

L L L W W

2 straight wins2 of last 4 won

Against the spread

2-340%

L L W W L

2 of last 4 coveredno streak

Over / Under

3-260%

U O O U O

3 of last 4 overno streak

Game by game: lines, results and totals

TableATSO/U

Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total

Date	Opp	Result	Line	ATS	Total	O/U
Nov 3	vsWIN	L 74-81	+3.5	L −3.5	163.5	U 155
Nov 8	@VILL	L 74-94	+17.5	L −2.5	150.5	O 168
Nov 11	@DUQ	L 81-87	+12.5	W +6.5	162.5	O 168
Nov 15	vsSHU	W 81-64	-5.5	W +11.5	165.5	U 145
Nov 20	vsUNCG	W 101-94	-7.5	L −0.5	150.5	O 195

Day

Opp

Result

MissedCovered

Margin

WIN

L 74-81

−3.5

VILL

L 74-94

−2.5

DUQ

L 81-87

+6.5

SHU

W 81-64

+11.5

UNCG

W 101-94

−0.5

covered 2didn’t cover 3avg +2.3 ptslonger = bigger margin

Day

Opp

Result

UnderOver

Margin

WIN

L 74-81

−8.5

VILL

L 74-94

+17.5

DUQ

L 81-87

+5.5

SHU

W 81-64

−20.5

UNCG

W 101-94

+44.5

over 3under 2avg +7.7 ptslonger = bigger margin

Furman

3 games played

Straight up

0-3

0% wins

Against the spread

0-3

0% covers · avg −11.5 pts vs the line

Over / Under

1-2

33% overs · avg −10.2 pts vs the total

Straight up

0-30%

L L L

3 straight losses0 of 3 won

Against the spread

0-30%

L L L

3 straight misses ATS0 of 3 covered

Over / Under

1-233%

O U U

2 straight unders1 of 3 over

Game by game: lines, results and totals

TableATSO/U

Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total

Date	Opp	Result	Line	ATS	Total	O/U
Nov 3	vsHPU	L 71-97	+3.5	L −22.5	153.5	O 168
Nov 7	vsTROY	L 61-64	-2.5	L −5.5	152.5	U 125
Nov 14	@UNI	L 54-70	+9.5	L −6.5	141.5	U 124

Day

Opp

Result

MissedCovered

Margin

HPU

L 71-97

−22.5

TROY

L 61-64

−5.5

UNI

L 54-70

−6.5

covered 0didn’t cover 3avg −11.5 ptslonger = bigger margin

Day

Opp

Result

UnderOver

Margin

HPU

L 71-97

+14.5

TROY

L 61-64

−27.5

UNI

L 54-70

−17.5

over 1under 2avg −10.2 ptslonger = bigger margin

Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.

Queens University Royals at Furman Paladins

Box score

Team stats

Players

Market

Model vs market

1st-half model

ATS

Totals

Last 10 games

ATS History · 2025-26

Queens University Royals

Furman

Queens University Royals

Furman