Curry Arena · at Queens University Royals
Closing line
QUC -7.5✓ UNCG covered by 0.5
QUC -7.5✓ UNCG covered by 0.5Closing total150.5Over by 44.5
 UNCG | This season | QUC |
|---|---|---|
| 0-4 | Record | 1-3 |
| 0-4 | ATS | 2-2 |
| 3-1 | O/U | 2-2 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: UNCG 75–81 QUC · ✓ QUC (71%) won
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| UNCG | 39 | 55 | 94 |
| QUC | 51 | 50 | 101 |
1st half: UNCG 39, QUC 51 (QUC by 12). The model had QUC by 3.6 and a total of 73.3 (actual 90).
Team stats
| UNCG | QUC | |
|---|---|---|
| 32-57 56% | Field goals | 33-62 53% |
| 6-17 35% | 3-pointers | 15-32 47% |
| 24-36 67% | Free throws | 20-23 87% |
| 27 9 off | Rebounds | 36 12 off |
| 8 | Assists | 19 |
| 4 | Steals | 1 |
| 1 | Blocks | 3 |
| 4 | Turnovers | 6 |
| 18 | Fouls | 24 |
| 46 | Points in paint | 36 |
| 3 | Fast-break points | 5 |
Players
| UNCG | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Justin Neely F | 32 | 19 | 8 | 2 | 6-10 | 1-1 |
| Valentino Pinedo F | 32 | 10 | 7 | 2 | 4-8 | 0-0 |
| Lilian Marville G | 28 | 11 | 3 | 2 | 3-8 | 1-3 |
| Donald Whitehead Jr. G | 28 | 14 | 1 | 2 | 5-12 | 1-7 |
| KJ Younger G | 25 | 22 | 1 | 0 | 7-9 | 2-3 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Noah Norgaard G | 19 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2-3 | 0-1 |
| Domas Kauzonas F | 16 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 4-5 | 0-0 |
| Clinton Efinda F | 15 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Landon King G | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1-2 | 1-2 |
Did not play: Antwann Jones, Braylen Bowman, Chane Bynum, Assane Mandian, Jordan Brown, Clyde Bailey II
| QUC | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chris Ashby G | 35 | 18 | 3 | 1 | 5-14 | 5-12 |
| Nasir Mann G | 29 | 12 | 5 | 5 | 3-10 | 0-3 |
| Yoav Berman F | 28 | 17 | 6 | 4 | 4-10 | 2-5 |
| Jordan Watford G | 28 | 13 | 3 | 6 | 6-9 | 0-0 |
| Avantae Parker F | 22 | 14 | 5 | 1 | 6-6 | 1-1 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Carson Schwieger F | 17 | 9 | 4 | 0 | 3-5 | 3-5 |
| Maban Jabriel G | 17 | 9 | 4 | 0 | 3-3 | 3-3 |
| Gus Larson F | 17 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3-4 | 1-2 |
| Kam Clark G | 6 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
Did not play: Matthew Walter, Seamus Wilson, Saif-Allah Zatari, Tyler Crider, Jimma James, Reid Celestin, Danzelle Bullock Coles, Colby Christiansen, Jacob Brandly, Isaiah Henry
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Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketQUC -7.5
ModelQUC -6.2
Model edgeUNCG +1.3
W UNCG covered
Total
Market150.5
Model156.6
Model edgeOver 6.1
W Over
Projected score
UNCG 75.2 · QUC 81.4
UNCG 94 · QUC 101
Win probability
QUC 71%
1st half
Spread
QUC -3.6
QUC -12.0
Total
73.3
90 points
Projected score
UNCG 34.9 · QUC 38.5
UNCG 39 · QUC 51
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenQUC -6.5
1 → QUC
CloseQUC -7.5
1 pt toward QUC
Total
Open151.5
▼ 1
Close150.5
Down 1 since the open
Moneyline
UNCG +280 · QUC -360
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened QUC -6.5 · closed QUC -7.5 · moved 1 toward QUCmodel QUC -6
model QUC -6
Opened 151.5 · closed 150.5 · moved 1 downmodel 156.5
model 156.5
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| UNCGlast 4 | 0-4 0% | 0-4 0% | 3-1 75% |
| QUClast 4 | 1-3 25% | 2-2 50% | 2-2 50% |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
UNC Greensboro
4 games played
Straight up
0-4
0% wins
Against the spread
0-4
0% covers · avg −10 pts vs the line
Over / Under
3-1
75% overs · avg +13.8 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
4
@
KSU
KSUL 64-93
−10.5
8
vs
ELON
ELONL 90-92
−6.5
12
@
NCSU
NCSUL 64-110
−15.5
15
vs
APSU
APSUL 63-69
−7.5
covered 0didn’t cover 4avg −10 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
4
@KSU
KSUL 64-93
+8.5
8
vsELON
ELONL 90-92
+39.5
12
@NCSU
NCSUL 64-110
+20.5
15
vsAPSU
APSUL 63-69
−13.5
over 3under 1avg +13.8 ptslonger = bigger margin
Queens University Royals
4 games played
Straight up
1-3
25% wins
Against the spread
2-2
50% covers · avg +3 pts vs the line
Over / Under
2-2
50% overs · avg −1.5 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vs
WIN
WINL 74-81
−3.5
8
@
VILL
VILLL 74-94
−2.5
11
@
DUQ
DUQL 81-87
+6.5
15
vs
SHU
SHUW 81-64
+11.5
covered 2didn’t cover 2avg +3 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsWIN
WINL 74-81
−8.5
8
@VILL
VILLL 74-94
+17.5
11
@DUQ
DUQL 81-87
+5.5
15
vsSHU
SHUW 81-64
−20.5
over 2under 2avg −1.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
UNC Greensboro
0-4 overall · 0-0 in conference · Southern Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Lvs Austin Peay63–69
- L@ NC State64–110
- Lvs Elon90–92
- L@ Kansas St64–93
5 days since their last game.
Queens University Royals
1-3 overall · 0-0 in conference · Atlantic Sun Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs Sacred Heart81–64
- L@ Duquesne81–87
- L@ Villanova74–94
- Lvs Winthrop74–81
5 days since their last game.