Abessinio Court at Eleanor R. Baldwin Arena · at FAU
Closing line
FAU -7.5✓ FAU covered by 15.5
FAU -7.5✓ FAU covered by 15.5Closing total154.5Under by 13.5
 PAC | This season | FAU |
|---|---|---|
| 2-1 | Record | 2-1 |
| 2-1 | ATS | 2-1 |
| 1-2 | O/U | 3-0 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: PAC 75–82 FAU · ✓ FAU (74%) won
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| PAC | 28 | 31 | 59 |
| FAU | 40 | 42 | 82 |
1st half: PAC 28, FAU 40 (FAU by 12). The model had FAU by 4.3 and a total of 73.4 (actual 68).
Team stats
| PAC | FAU | |
|---|---|---|
| 21-50 42% | Field goals | 29-52 56% |
| 2-11 18% | 3-pointers | 11-26 42% |
| 15-20 75% | Free throws | 13-16 81% |
| 29 10 off | Rebounds | 28 7 off |
| 8 | Assists | 15 |
| 7 | Steals | 9 |
| 1 | Blocks | 8 |
| 15 | Turnovers | 13 |
| 17 | Fouls | 18 |
| 28 | Points in paint | 24 |
| 5 | Fast-break points | 11 |
Players
| PAC | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elias Ralph F | 40 | 16 | 4 | 0 | 6-11 | 0-2 |
| TJ Wainwright G | 31 | 12 | 0 | 1 | 4-13 | 1-4 |
| Justin Rochelin G | 29 | 7 | 7 | 1 | 3-5 | 0-1 |
| Isaac Jack F | 23 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 4-5 | 0-0 |
| Jaden Clayton G | 19 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0-2 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Kajus Kublickas G | 26 | 8 | 4 | 2 | 3-7 | 1-3 |
| Alexis Marmolejos G | 14 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-2 | 0-1 |
| Jaion Pitt F | 14 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1-3 | 0-0 |
| KC Ibekwe C | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-2 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Noah Budu, Kris Keinys, Kellen Hampton, Dominic Capriotti, Carlsheon Young, Augustas Brazdeikis, Emmanuel Manyuon, Eyal Harel, Clayton Mpiana
| FAU | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Devin Vanterpool G | 32 | 12 | 5 | 3 | 5-10 | 2-6 |
| Xander Pintelon F | 29 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 2-6 | 1-3 |
| Kanaan Carlyle G | 27 | 21 | 4 | 4 | 7-12 | 2-5 |
| Isaiah Elohim G | 24 | 13 | 0 | 0 | 3-7 | 3-5 |
| Devin Williams F | 18 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 2-4 | 1-3 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Niccolo Moretti G | 20 | 8 | 1 | 5 | 3-5 | 0-1 |
| Vincent Neugebauer C | 12 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 3-3 | 0-0 |
| Yohann Sissoko G | 10 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1-1 | 1-1 |
| Maxim Logue F | 10 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Josiah Parker F | 9 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2-2 | 0-0 |
| Amar Amkou G | 4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Max Langenfeld G | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1-2 | 1-2 |
| Liam Dayco-Green G | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Zion Sampaio, Lachlan Smith
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Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenFAU -8.5
1 → PAC
CloseFAU -7.5
1 pt toward PAC
Total
Open156.5
▼ 2
Close154.5
Down 2 since the open
Moneyline
PAC +280 · FAU -360
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened FAU -8.5 · closed FAU -7.5 · moved 1 toward PACmodel FAU -7.5 matches the line
model FAU -7.5 = line ✓
Opened 156.5 · closed 154.5 · moved 2 downmodel 156.5
model 156.5
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Model vs market
| Market | Model | Model edge | Result | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | FAU -7.5 | FAU -7.3 | PAC +0.2 | L FAU covered |
| Total | 154.5 | 156.7 | Over 2.2 | L Under |
| Projected score | — | PAC 74.7 · FAU 82 |
1st-half model
| Model | Actual | |
|---|---|---|
| 1H spread | FAU -4.3 | FAU -12.0 |
| 1H total | 73.4 | 68 |
| 1H projected score | PAC 34.6 · FAU 38.8 | PAC 28 · FAU 40 |
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| PAClast 3 | 2-1 67% | 2-1 67% | 1-2 33% |
| FAUlast 3 | 2-1 67% | 2-1 67% | 3-0 100% |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Pacific
3 games played
Straight up
2-1
67% wins
Against the spread
2-1
67% covers · avg +2.8 pts vs the line
Over / Under
1-2
33% overs · avg +2.5 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
8
@
NEV
NEVL 77-78
+12.5
12
vs
LBSU
LBSUW 69-66
−9.5
15
@
CSUF
CSUFW 85-73
+5.5
covered 2didn’t cover 1avg +2.8 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
8
@NEV
NEVL 77-78
+15.5
12
vsLBSU
LBSUW 69-66
−6.5
15
@CSUF
CSUFW 85-73
−1.5
over 1under 2avg +2.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
FAU
3 games played
Straight up
2-1
67% wins
Against the spread
2-1
67% covers · avg +0.8 pts vs the line
Over / Under
3-0
100% overs · avg +10.2 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vs
BC
BCW 83-78
+3.5
8
vs
COFC
COFCW 94-77
+11.5
9
@
LIB
LIBL 68-88
−12.5
covered 2didn’t cover 1avg +0.8 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsBC
BCW 83-78
+12.5
8
vsCOFC
COFCW 94-77
+14.5
9
@LIB
LIBL 68-88
+3.5
over 3under 0avg +10.2 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Pacific
2-1 overall · 0-0 in conference · West Coast Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- W@ Fullerton85–73
- Wvs Long Beach St69–66
- L@ Nevada77–78
5 days since their last game.
FAU
2-1 overall · 0-0 in conference · American Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- L@ Liberty68–88
- Wvs Charleston94–77
- Wvs Boston College83–78
A week or more of rest.