Mizzou Arena · at Missouri
Closing line
MIZ -26.5✓ ALST covered by 18.5
MIZ -26.5✓ ALST covered by 18.5Closing total155.5Over by 6.5
 ALST | This season | MIZ |
|---|---|---|
| 2-6 | Record | 8-2 |
| 4-4 | ATS | 4-6 |
| 3-5 | O/U | 4-6 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: ALST 67–90 MIZ · ✓ MIZ (98%) won
Loading the game…
Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ALST | 39 | 38 | 77 |
| MIZ | 52 | 33 | 85 |
1st half: ALST 39, MIZ 52 (MIZ by 13). The model had MIZ by 13.9 and a total of 73.5 (actual 91).
Team stats
| ALST | MIZ | |
|---|---|---|
| 28-59 47% | Field goals | 33-51 65% |
| 13-26 50% | 3-pointers | 8-16 50% |
| 8-12 67% | Free throws | 11-16 69% |
| 24 10 off | Rebounds | 28 7 off |
| 13 | Assists | 16 |
| 7 | Steals | 3 |
| 3 | Blocks | 4 |
| 7 | Turnovers | 11 |
| 16 | Fouls | 11 |
| 26 | Points in paint | 46 |
| 9 | Fast-break points | 9 |
Players
| ALST | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Micah Simpson G | 37 | 10 | 1 | 2 | 3-8 | 2-5 |
| Asjon Anderson G | 35 | 23 | 3 | 2 | 8-17 | 5-10 |
| Cameron Palesse G | 28 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 3-9 | 0-2 |
| Jerquarius Stanback F | 26 | 5 | 7 | 1 | 2-4 | 0-1 |
| R'Chaun King F | 17 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 2-3 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Tyler Byrd G | 20 | 11 | 2 | 3 | 4-8 | 2-3 |
| Damarien Yates F | 19 | 13 | 1 | 2 | 4-5 | 3-4 |
| Tyler Mason F | 14 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 2-5 | 1-1 |
| Mario Andrews C | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Damion Cox Jr., Kevin Alabi, Jordon Marshall, Tyler Mack, Damarion Bonds, Trey Miller, JaSteven Walker
| MIZ | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Anthony Robinson II G | 37 | 19 | 4 | 5 | 7-11 | 1-3 |
| Mark Mitchell Jr. G | 35 | 15 | 4 | 3 | 6-10 | 0-0 |
| Jacob Crews G | 30 | 20 | 4 | 0 | 7-9 | 6-8 |
| Shawn Phillips Jr. C | 22 | 7 | 5 | 1 | 3-3 | 0-0 |
| Annor Boateng G | 16 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1-2 | 0-1 |
| Bench | ||||||
| T.O. Barrett F | 22 | 6 | 0 | 4 | 2-5 | 0-1 |
| Luke Northweather F | 21 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 3-4 | 0-1 |
| Sebastian Mack G | 16 | 10 | 0 | 1 | 4-7 | 1-2 |
| Jevon Porter F | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Jayden Stone, Aaron Rowe, Trent Burns, Nicholas Randall, Trent Pierce
Loading the game…
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenMIZ -22.5
4 → MIZ
CloseMIZ -26.5
4 pts toward MIZ
Total
Open157.5
▼ 2
Close155.5
Down 2 since the open
Moneyline
—
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened MIZ -22.5 · closed MIZ -26.5 · moved 4 toward MIZmodel MIZ -23.5
model MIZ -23.5
Opened 157.5 · closed 155.5 · moved 2 downmodel 157
model 157
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Model vs market
| Market | Model | Model edge | Result | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | MIZ -26.5 | MIZ -23.3 | ALST +3.2 | W ALST covered |
| Total | 155.5 | 157.0 | Over 1.5 | W Over |
| Projected score | — | ALST 66.9 · MIZ 90.2 |
1st-half model
| Model | Actual | |
|---|---|---|
| 1H spread | MIZ -13.9 | MIZ -13.0 |
| 1H total | 73.5 | 91 |
| 1H projected score | ALST 29.8 · MIZ 43.7 | ALST 39 · MIZ 52 |
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ALSTlast 8 | 2-6 25% | 4-4 50% | 3-5 38% |
| MIZ | 8-2 80% | 4-6 40% | 4-6 40% |
Recent meetings
Since 2021-22
ALST 0–1 MIZMIZ leads · 1 game since 2021-22 · ALST 1-0 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 30, 2024-25 | ALST 65 @ MIZ 82 | MIZ -24.5 | ALST W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Alabama St
8 games played
Straight up
2-6
25% wins
Against the spread
4-4
50% covers · avg +3.1 pts vs the line
Over / Under
3-5
38% overs · avg +1.6 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 7 | @ FSU | L 64-101 | +24.5 | L −12.5 | 166.5 | U 165 |
| Nov 11 | @ UAB | W 77-74 | +19.5 | W +22.5 | 164.5 | U 151 |
| Nov 17 | @ COLO | L 66-94 | +22.5 | L −5.5 | 156.5 | O 160 |
| Nov 19 | @ AF | L 64-66 | +2.5 | W +0.5 | 138.5 | U 130 |
| Nov 21 | vs IUIN | W 101-80 | +2.5 | W +23.5 | 181.5 | U 181 |
| Nov 23 | vs SIUE | L 68-83 | +1.5 | L −13.5 | 142.5 | O 151 |
| Nov 26 | @ UNM | L 87-93 | +19.5 | W +13.5 | 148.5 | O 180 |
| Dec 7 | @ UTM | L 64-74 | +6.5 | L −3.5 | 144.5 | U 138 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
7
@FSU
FSUL 64-101
−12.5
11
@UAB
UABW 77-74
+22.5
17
@COLO
COLOL 66-94
−5.5
19
@AF
AFL 64-66
+0.5
21
vsIUIN
IUINW 101-80
+23.5
23
vsSIUE
SIUEL 68-83
−13.5
26
@UNM
UNML 87-93
+13.5
7
@UTM
UTML 64-74
−3.5
covered 4didn’t cover 4avg +3.1 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
7
@FSU
FSUL 64-101
−1.5
11
@UAB
UABW 77-74
−13.5
17
@COLO
COLOL 66-94
+3.5
19
@AF
AFL 64-66
−8.5
21
vsIUIN
IUINW 101-80
−0.5
23
vsSIUE
SIUEL 68-83
+8.5
26
@UNM
UNML 87-93
+31.5
7
@UTM
UTML 64-74
−6.5
over 3under 5avg +1.6 ptslonger = bigger margin
Missouri
10 games played
Straight up
8-2
80% wins
Against the spread
4-6
40% covers · avg −2.6 pts vs the line
Over / Under
4-6
40% overs · avg −2.7 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | @ HOW | W 88-67 | -20.5 | W +0.5 | 158.5 | U 155 |
| Nov 7 | vs SEMO | W 89-84 | -25.5 | L −20.5 | 157.5 | O 173 |
| Nov 9 | vs VMI | W 106-68 | -23.5 | W +14.5 | 161.5 | O 174 |
| Nov 12 | vs MINN | W 83-60 | -7.5 | W +15.5 | 158.5 | U 143 |
| Nov 17 | vs PV | W 91-73 | -35.5 | L −17.5 | 166.5 | U 164 |
| Nov 20 | vs SDAK | W 102-68 | -24.5 | W +9.5 | 171.5 | U 170 |
| Nov 25 | vs SCST | W 98-66 | -34.5 | L −2.5 | 160.5 | O 164 |
| Nov 28 | vs CLE | W 86-59 | -31.5 | L −4.5 | 170.5 | U 145 |
| Dec 2 | @ ND | L 71-76 | -1.5 | L −6.5 | 146.5 | O 147 |
| Dec 7 | vs KU | L 60-80 | +5.5 | L −14.5 | 150.5 | U 140 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
@HOW
HOWW 88-67
+0.5
7
vsSEMO
SEMOW 89-84
−20.5
9
vsVMI
VMIW 106-68
+14.5
12
vsMINN
MINNW 83-60
+15.5
17
vsPV
PVW 91-73
−17.5
20
vsSDAK
SDAKW 102-68
+9.5
25
vsSCST
SCSTW 98-66
−2.5
28
vsCLE
CLEW 86-59
−4.5
2
@ND
NDL 71-76
−6.5
7
vsKU
KUL 60-80
−14.5
covered 4didn’t cover 6avg −2.6 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
@HOW
HOWW 88-67
−3.5
7
vsSEMO
SEMOW 89-84
+15.5
9
vsVMI
VMIW 106-68
+12.5
12
vsMINN
MINNW 83-60
−15.5
17
vsPV
PVW 91-73
−2.5
20
vsSDAK
SDAKW 102-68
−1.5
25
vsSCST
SCSTW 98-66
+3.5
28
vsCLE
CLEW 86-59
−25.5
2
@ND
NDL 71-76
+0.5
7
vsKU
KUL 60-80
−10.5
over 4under 6avg −2.7 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Alabama St
2-6 overall · 0-0 in conference · Southwestern Athletic Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- L@ UT Martin64–74
- L@ New Mexico87–93
- Lvs SIUE68–83
- Wvs IU Indy101–80
- L@ Air Force64–66
4 days since their last game.
Missouri
8-2 overall · 0-0 in conference · Southeastern Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Lvs Kansas60–80
- L@ Notre Dame71–76
- Wvs Cleveland St86–59
- Wvs SC State98–66
- Wvs South Dakota102–68
4 days since their last game.