Clune Arena · Neutral site
Closing line
IUIN -2.5✓ ALST covered by 23.5
IUIN -2.5✓ ALST covered by 23.5Closing total181.5Under by 0.5
| IUIN | This season | ALST |
|---|---|---|
| 1-4 | Record | 1-3 |
| 2-3 | ATS | 2-2 |
| 2-3 | O/U | 1-3 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: IUIN 84–86 ALST · ✓ ALST (57%) won
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| IUIN | 45 | 35 | 80 |
| ALST | 59 | 42 | 101 |
1st half: IUIN 45, ALST 59 (ALST by 14). The model had ALST by 1.1 and a total of 79.3 (actual 104).
Team stats
| IUIN | ALST | |
|---|---|---|
| 29-67 43% | Field goals | 36-62 58% |
| 18-44 41% | 3-pointers | 9-22 41% |
| 4-8 50% | Free throws | 20-24 83% |
| 30 9 off | Rebounds | 39 8 off |
| 26 | Assists | 23 |
| 8 | Steals | 11 |
| 1 | Blocks | 4 |
| 18 | Turnovers | 15 |
| 21 | Fouls | 12 |
| 20 | Points in paint | 52 |
| 11 | Fast-break points | 28 |
Players
| IUIN | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kyler D'Augustino G | 30 | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3-7 | 2-4 |
| Finley Woodward F | 28 | 8 | 7 | 7 | 4-7 | 0-0 |
| Maguire Mitchell G | 27 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2-11 | 1-9 |
| Matt Compas G | 21 | 10 | 2 | 3 | 4-10 | 2-6 |
| Reece Hagy F | 8 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Kameron Tinsley F | 27 | 15 | 3 | 5 | 5-6 | 4-4 |
| JP Dragas G | 25 | 20 | 1 | 4 | 7-13 | 6-12 |
| Aiden Miller F | 17 | 11 | 6 | 0 | 3-6 | 3-6 |
| Micah Davis G | 13 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 1-4 | 0-2 |
| Gabe Stewart F | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0-2 | 0-0 |
| Lav Cvetkovic F | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Ajay Holubar G | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Corey Boston, Garrett Sever, Jaxon Edwards
| ALST | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Asjon Anderson G | 36 | 19 | 4 | 7 | 4-12 | 3-8 |
| Cameron Palesse G | 33 | 12 | 6 | 4 | 5-9 | 2-5 |
| Micah Simpson G | 33 | 17 | 6 | 9 | 5-10 | 2-5 |
| Jerquarius Stanback F | 31 | 10 | 6 | 1 | 4-10 | 0-1 |
| R'Chaun King F | 23 | 21 | 5 | 0 | 8-9 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Tyler Byrd G | 19 | 11 | 3 | 0 | 5-6 | 1-2 |
| Damarien Yates F | 9 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 1-1 | 1-1 |
| Tyler Mason F | 9 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 4-5 | 0-0 |
| Mario Andrews C | 7 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Damarion Bonds, Damion Cox Jr., Tyler Mack, Trey Miller, JaSteven Walker, Kevin Alabi, Jordon Marshall
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Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketIUIN -2.5
ModelALST -2.1
Model edgeALST +4.6
W ALST covered
Total
Market181.5
Model169.4
Model edgeUnder 12.1
W Under
Projected score
IUIN 83.7 · ALST 85.8
IUIN 80 · ALST 101
Win probability
ALST 57%
1st half
Spread
ALST -1.1
ALST -14.0
Total
79.3
104 points
Projected score
IUIN 39.1 · ALST 40.2
IUIN 45 · ALST 59
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenALST -2.5
5 → IUIN
CloseIUIN -2.5
5 pts toward IUIN
Total
Open182.5
▼ 1
Close181.5
Down 1 since the open
Moneyline
IUIN -150 · ALST +130
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened ALST -2.5 · closed IUIN -2.5 · moved 5 toward IUINmodel ALST -2
model ALST -2
Opened 182.5 · closed 181.5 · moved 1 downmodel 169.5
model 169.5
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| IUINlast 5 | 1-4 20% | 2-3 40% | 2-3 40% |
| ALSTlast 4 | 1-3 25% | 2-2 50% | 1-3 25% |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
IU Indy
5 games played
Straight up
1-4
20% wins
Against the spread
2-3
40% covers · avg −0.9 pts vs the line
Over / Under
2-3
40% overs · avg +7.5 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
@
OSU
OSUL 102-118
+17.5
6
vs
LIU
LIUL 90-94
−8.5
8
@
BTLR
BTLRL 80-112
−11.5
14
@
EMU
EMUW 90-83
+11.5
18
@
CHSO
CHSOL 91-103
−13.5
covered 2didn’t cover 3avg −0.9 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
@OSU
OSUL 102-118
+47.5
6
vsLIU
LIUL 90-94
−1.5
8
@BTLR
BTLRL 80-112
−0.5
14
@EMU
EMUW 90-83
−13.5
18
@CHSO
CHSOL 91-103
+5.5
over 2under 3avg +7.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Alabama St
4 games played
Straight up
1-3
25% wins
Against the spread
2-2
50% covers · avg +1.3 pts vs the line
Over / Under
1-3
25% overs · avg −5 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
7
@
FSU
FSUL 64-101
−12.5
11
@
UAB
UABW 77-74
+22.5
17
@
COLO
COLOL 66-94
−5.5
19
@
AF
AFL 64-66
+0.5
covered 2didn’t cover 2avg +1.3 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
7
@FSU
FSUL 64-101
−1.5
11
@UAB
UABW 77-74
−13.5
17
@COLO
COLOL 66-94
+3.5
19
@AF
AFL 64-66
−8.5
over 1under 3avg −5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
IU Indy
1-4 overall · 0-0 in conference · Horizon League
Last five, 2025-26
- L@ Charleston So91–103
- W@ E Michigan90–83
- L@ Butler80–112
- Lvs Long Island90–94
- L@ Ohio State102–118
3 days since their last game.
Alabama St
1-3 overall · 0-0 in conference · Southwestern Athletic Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- L@ Air Force64–66
- L@ Colorado66–94
- W@ UAB77–74
- L@ Florida St64–101
2 days since their last game.