TD Arena · Neutral site
Closing line
USU -8.5✓ USU covered by 12.5
USU -8.5✓ USU covered by 12.5Closing total151.5Over by 19.5
| USU | This season | TULN |
|---|---|---|
| 3-0 | Record | 3-1 |
| 2-1 | ATS | 1-3 |
| 0-3 | O/U | 2-2 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: USU 81–69 TULN · ✓ USU (85%) won
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| USU | 40 | 56 | 96 |
| TULN | 40 | 35 | 75 |
1st half: USU 40, TULN 40 (tied). The model had USU by 7.2 and a total of 70.5 (actual 80).
Team stats
| USU | TULN | |
|---|---|---|
| 36-58 62% | Field goals | 23-53 43% |
| 12-23 52% | 3-pointers | 15-30 50% |
| 12-18 67% | Free throws | 14-19 74% |
| 36 9 off | Rebounds | 21 5 off |
| 24 | Assists | 16 |
| 9 | Steals | 5 |
| 2 | Blocks | 6 |
| 10 | Turnovers | 13 |
| 12 | Fouls | 16 |
| 44 | Points in paint | 12 |
| 22 | Fast-break points | 6 |
Players
| USU | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mason Falslev G | 34 | 24 | 7 | 1 | 11-15 | 2-5 |
| MJ Collins Jr. G | 33 | 21 | 1 | 5 | 7-10 | 3-6 |
| Drake Allen G | 25 | 7 | 2 | 8 | 2-2 | 1-1 |
| Tucker Anderson F | 18 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 2-5 | 1-3 |
| Karson Templin F | 15 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 2-4 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Garry Clark F | 26 | 11 | 6 | 2 | 5-10 | 0-0 |
| Kolby King G | 23 | 16 | 6 | 3 | 5-7 | 4-6 |
| Elijah Perryman G | 14 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| Adlan Elamin F | 6 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1-3 | 0-1 |
| Zach Keller F | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Luke Kearney F | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1-1 | 1-1 |
| Jordy Barnes G | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: David Iweze, Kingston Tosi, Brayden Boe
| TULN | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rowan Brumbaugh G | 35 | 19 | 2 | 2 | 5-12 | 4-7 |
| Asher Woods G | 33 | 16 | 5 | 3 | 6-16 | 3-8 |
| Percy Daniels C | 23 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
| KJ Greene G | 23 | 12 | 1 | 3 | 2-4 | 2-3 |
| Tyler Ringgold F | 19 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 2-3 | 0-1 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Curtis Williams Jr. G | 26 | 11 | 3 | 2 | 4-9 | 3-5 |
| Scotty Middleton F | 26 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 2-3 | 2-3 |
| Josiah Moore G | 9 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1-3 | 0-0 |
| Robert Moore G | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1-2 | 1-2 |
| Davion Bradford C | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Jake Shapiro G | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Luke Rasmussen G | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Vasilije Kuridza, Joseph Teich, Luke Cronin, Gregg Glenn III
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Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenUSU -11.5
3 → TULN
CloseUSU -8.5
3 pts toward TULN
Total
Open151.5
no move
Close151.5
No change since the open
Moneyline
USU -550 · TULN +380
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened USU -11.5 · closed USU -8.5 · moved 3 toward TULNmodel USU -11.5
model USU -11.5
Opened 151.5 · unchangedmodel 150.5
model 150.5
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Model vs market
| Market | Model | Model edge | Result | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | USU -8.5 | USU -11.7 | USU +3.2 | W USU covered |
| Total | 151.5 | 150.4 | Under 1.1 | L Over |
| Projected score | — | USU 81 · TULN 69.3 |
1st-half model
| Model | Actual | |
|---|---|---|
| 1H spread | USU -7.2 | PK |
| 1H total | 70.5 | 80 |
| 1H projected score | USU 38.8 · TULN 31.6 | USU 40 · TULN 40 |
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| USUlast 3 | 3-0 100% | 2-1 67% | 0-3 0% |
| TULNlast 4 | 3-1 75% | 1-3 25% | 2-2 50% |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Utah State
3 games played
Straight up
3-0
100% wins
Against the spread
2-1
67% covers · avg −1.5 pts vs the line
Over / Under
0-3
0% overs · avg −10.2 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
7
vs
VCU
VCUW 80-77
+0.5
12
vs
WEB
WEBW 83-73
−12.5
15
vs
UTEP
UTEPW 75-51
+7.5
covered 2didn’t cover 1avg −1.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
7
vsVCU
VCUW 80-77
−6.5
12
vsWEB
WEBW 83-73
−0.5
15
vsUTEP
UTEPW 75-51
−23.5
over 0under 3avg −10.2 ptslonger = bigger margin
Tulane
4 games played
Straight up
3-1
75% wins
Against the spread
1-3
25% covers · avg −8.5 pts vs the line
Over / Under
2-2
50% overs · avg −1.8 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vs
SAM
SAMW 85-72
+5.5
8
vs
TXST
TXSTW 79-71
−4.5
11
@
UL
ULW 66-62
−1.5
14
vs
NOLA
NOLAL 63-85
−33.5
covered 1didn’t cover 3avg −8.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsSAM
SAMW 85-72
+2.5
8
vsTXST
TXSTW 79-71
+3.5
11
@UL
ULW 66-62
−7.5
14
vsNOLA
NOLAL 63-85
−5.5
over 2under 2avg −1.8 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Utah State
3-0 overall · 0-0 in conference · Pac-12 Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs UTEP75–51
- Wvs Weber St83–73
- Wvs VCU80–77
6 days since their last game.
Tulane
3-1 overall · 0-0 in conference · American Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Lvs LSU N Orleans63–85
- W@ Louisiana66–62
- Wvs Texas St79–71
- Wvs Samford85–72
A week or more of rest.