Dee Glen Smith Spectrum · at Utah State
Closing line
USU -16.5✓ USU covered by 7.5
USU -16.5✓ USU covered by 7.5Closing total149.5Under by 23.5
 UTEP | This season | USU |
|---|---|---|
| 0-1 | Record | 2-0 |
| 0-1 | ATS | 1-1 |
| 0-1 | O/U | 0-2 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: UTEP 68–84 USU · ✓ USU (92%) won
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| UTEP | 20 | 31 | 51 |
| USU | 34 | 41 | 75 |
1st half: UTEP 20, USU 34 (USU by 14). The model had USU by 9.5 and a total of 71.2 (actual 54).
Team stats
| UTEP | USU | |
|---|---|---|
| 19-51 37% | Field goals | 23-48 48% |
| 3-16 19% | 3-pointers | 6-23 26% |
| 10-19 53% | Free throws | 23-36 64% |
| 24 8 off | Rebounds | 41 14 off |
| 5 | Assists | 14 |
| 7 | Steals | 11 |
| 3 | Blocks | 4 |
| 16 | Turnovers | 17 |
| 27 | Fouls | 18 |
| 32 | Points in paint | 30 |
| 9 | Fast-break points | 11 |
Players
| UTEP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Caleb Blackwell G | 35 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 3-10 | 1-5 |
| Elijah Jones F | 24 | 13 | 1 | 0 | 6-9 | 1-2 |
| Jamal West Jr. F | 24 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 2-3 | 0-0 |
| Tyreese Watson G | 20 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1-3 | 0-1 |
| Kaseem Watson F | 19 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 1-7 | 0-1 |
| Bench | ||||||
| KJ Thomas G | 28 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 0-7 | 0-4 |
| Cassius Brooks G | 19 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 3-6 | 0-1 |
| David Tubek F | 19 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 3-6 | 1-2 |
| Mouhamed Mbaye C | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| LA Hayes G | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Bobby Montgomery Jr. G | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: C.J. Smith, Trey Horton III, Jordan Hernandez
| USU | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MJ Collins Jr. G | 32 | 13 | 3 | 2 | 4-7 | 1-3 |
| Elijah Perryman G | 30 | 11 | 2 | 5 | 3-8 | 1-5 |
| Mason Falslev G | 29 | 10 | 7 | 1 | 4-9 | 1-3 |
| Karson Templin F | 15 | 10 | 3 | 1 | 4-6 | 0-1 |
| Tucker Anderson F | 11 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-2 | 0-2 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Garry Clark F | 32 | 20 | 13 | 3 | 5-6 | 0-0 |
| Kolby King G | 21 | 10 | 4 | 0 | 3-4 | 3-4 |
| Zach Keller F | 11 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Jordy Barnes G | 9 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0-2 | 0-1 |
| Luke Kearney F | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-4 | 0-4 |
| Adlan Elamin F | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: David Iweze, Drake Allen, Kingston Tosi, Brayden Boe
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Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketUSU -16.5
ModelUSU -15.9
Model edgeUTEP +0.6
L USU covered
Total
Market149.5
Model151.9
Model edgeOver 2.4
L Under
Projected score
UTEP 68 · USU 83.9
UTEP 51 · USU 75
Win probability
USU 92%
1st half
Spread
USU -9.5
USU -14.0
Total
71.2
54 points
Projected score
UTEP 30.8 · USU 40.3
UTEP 20 · USU 34
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenUSU -18.5
2 → UTEP
CloseUSU -16.5
2 pts toward UTEP
Total
Open152.5
▼ 3
Close149.5
Down 3 since the open
Moneyline
UTEP +1200 · USU -3000
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened USU -18.5 · closed USU -16.5 · moved 2 toward UTEPmodel USU -16
model USU -16
Opened 152.5 · closed 149.5 · moved 3 downmodel 152
model 152
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| UTEPlast 1 | 0-1 0% | 0-1 0% | 0-1 0% |
| USUlast 2 | 2-0 100% | 1-1 50% | 0-2 0% |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
UTEP
1 game played
Straight up
0-1
0% wins
Against the spread
0-1
0% covers · avg −14.5 pts vs the line
Over / Under
0-1
0% overs · avg −15.5 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 11 | vs LMU | L 58-71 | -1.5 | L −14.5 | 144.5 | U 129 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
11
vsLMU
LMUL 58-71
−14.5
covered 0didn’t cover 1avg −14.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
11
vsLMU
LMUL 58-71
−15.5
over 0under 1avg −15.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Utah State
2 games played
Straight up
2-0
100% wins
Against the spread
1-1
50% covers · avg −6 pts vs the line
Over / Under
0-2
0% overs · avg −3.5 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
7
vs
VCU
VCUW 80-77
+0.5
12
vs
WEB
WEBW 83-73
−12.5
covered 1didn’t cover 1avg −6 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
7
vsVCU
VCUW 80-77
−6.5
12
vsWEB
WEBW 83-73
−0.5
over 0under 2avg −3.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
UTEP
0-1 overall · 0-0 in conference · Mountain West Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Lvs LMU58–71
4 days since their last game.
Utah State
2-0 overall · 0-0 in conference · Pac-12 Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs Weber St83–73
- Wvs VCU80–77
3 days since their last game.