JMA Wireless Dome · at Syracuse
Closing line
SYR -11.5✓ JOES covered by 3.5
Closing total146.5Under by 12.5
| This season | SYR | |
|---|---|---|
| 5-3 | Record | 5-3 |
| 2-6 | ATS | 5-3 |
| 4-4 | O/U | 3-5 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: JOES 67–82 SYR · ✓ SYR (90%) won
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| JOES | 30 | 33 | 63 |
| SYR | 34 | 37 | 71 |
1st half: JOES 30, SYR 34 (SYR by 4). The model had SYR by 8.8 and a total of 69.4 (actual 64).
Team stats
| JOES | SYR | |
|---|---|---|
| 20-56 36% | Field goals | 25-53 47% |
| 5-26 19% | 3-pointers | 6-14 43% |
| 18-27 67% | Free throws | 15-28 54% |
| 44 14 off | Rebounds | 34 6 off |
| 10 | Assists | 9 |
| 7 | Steals | 7 |
| 4 | Blocks | 7 |
| 14 | Turnovers | 10 |
| 22 | Fouls | 17 |
| 30 | Points in paint | 36 |
| 16 | Fast-break points | 11 |
Players
| JOES | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Deuce Jones G | 39 | 18 | 7 | 5 | 6-16 | 2-7 |
| Derek Simpson G | 37 | 9 | 8 | 1 | 3-11 | 1-6 |
| Jaiden Glover-Toscano G | 36 | 14 | 9 | 1 | 4-13 | 1-6 |
| Dasear Haskins F | 28 | 10 | 8 | 2 | 3-6 | 0-3 |
| Justice Ajogbor C | 27 | 7 | 5 | 1 | 2-4 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Anthony Finkley F | 10 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1-4 | 1-4 |
| Jaden Smith C | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Austin Williford G | 7 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| Khaafiq Myers G | 6 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| Steven Solano C | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Mekai Johnson, Billy Rayer, Kevin Kearney, Will Lange, Al Amadou, Owen Verna
| SYR | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nate Kingz G | 35 | 14 | 5 | 0 | 5-8 | 3-5 |
| J.J. Starling G | 32 | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5-13 | 0-3 |
| William Kyle III F | 28 | 12 | 11 | 0 | 3-4 | 0-0 |
| Naithan George G | 27 | 10 | 2 | 3 | 4-6 | 0-0 |
| Sadiq White Jr. F | 19 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1-4 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Tyler Betsey F | 21 | 16 | 3 | 1 | 6-9 | 3-5 |
| Kiyan Anthony G | 20 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 1-6 | 0-0 |
| Akir Souare F | 12 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Bryce Zephir G | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| Luke Fennell G | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-2 | 0-1 |
Did not play: Tiefing Diawara, Aaron Womack III, Noah Lobdell, Donnie Freeman
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Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketSYR -11.5
ModelSYR -14.9
Model edgeSYR +3.4
L JOES covered
Total
Market146.5
Model148.2
Model edgeOver 1.7
L Under
Projected score
JOES 66.6 · SYR 81.5
JOES 63 · SYR 71
Win probability
SYR 90%
1st half
Spread
SYR -8.8
SYR -4.0
Total
69.4
64 points
Projected score
JOES 30.3 · SYR 39.1
JOES 30 · SYR 34
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenSYR -12.5
1 → JOES
CloseSYR -11.5
1 pt toward JOES
Total
Open145.5
▲ 1
Close146.5
Up 1 since the open
Moneyline
JOES +575 · SYR -850
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened SYR -12.5 · closed SYR -11.5 · moved 1 toward JOESmodel SYR -15
model SYR -15
Opened 145.5 · closed 146.5 · moved 1 upmodel 148
model 148
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5-3 63% | 2-6 25% | 4-4 50% | |
| 5-3 63% | 5-3 63% | 3-5 38% |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Saint Joseph's
8 games played
Straight up
5-3
63% wins
Against the spread
2-6
25% covers · avg −5.6 pts vs the line
Over / Under
4-4
50% overs · avg +0.4 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs | W 85-76 | -13.5 | L −4.5 | 138.5 | O 161 |
| Nov 8 | vs | W 76-65 | -9.5 | W +1.5 | 139.5 | O 141 |
| Nov 12 | @ | L 59-94 | +12.5 | L −22.5 | 158.5 | U 153 |
| Nov 17 | @ | L 74-83 | -5.5 | L −14.5 | 163.5 | U 157 |
| Nov 20 | @ | L 85-99 | +10.5 | L −3.5 | 161.5 | O 184 |
| Nov 30 | vs | W 60-58 | -5.5 | L −3.5 | 146.5 | U 118 |
| Dec 6 | vs | W 70-69 | +1.5 | W +2.5 | 147.5 | U 139 |
| Dec 9 | vs | W 87-65 | -22.5 | L −0.5 | 146.5 | O 152 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vs
LAF
W 85-76
−4.5
8
vs
DREX
W 76-65
+1.5
12
@
VT
L 59-94
−22.5
17
@
PENN
L 74-83
−14.5
20
@
UNLV
L 85-99
−3.5
30
vs
PRIN
W 60-58
−3.5
6
vs
TEM
W 70-69
+2.5
9
vs
COPP
W 87-65
−0.5
covered 2didn’t cover 6avg −5.6 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vs
LAF
W 85-76
+22.5
8
vs
DREX
W 76-65
+1.5
12
@
VT
L 59-94
−5.5
17
@
PENN
L 74-83
−6.5
20
@
UNLV
L 85-99
+22.5
30
vs
PRIN
W 60-58
−28.5
6
vs
TEM
W 70-69
−8.5
9
vs
COPP
W 87-65
+5.5
over 4under 4avg +0.4 ptslonger = bigger margin
Syracuse
8 games played
Straight up
5-3
63% wins
Against the spread
5-3
63% covers · avg +3.1 pts vs the line
Over / Under
3-5
38% overs · avg −9.4 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs | W 85-47 | -21.5 | W +16.5 | 153.5 | U 132 |
| Nov 8 | vs | W 83-43 | -26.5 | W +13.5 | 157.5 | U 126 |
| Nov 15 | vs | W 80-50 | -11.5 | W +18.5 | 143.5 | U 130 |
| Nov 18 | vs | W 78-73 | -21.5 | L −16.5 | 145.5 | O 151 |
| Nov 24 | vs | L 74-78 | +14.5 | W +10.5 | 140.5 | O 152 |
| Nov 25 | vs | L 60-71 | +4.5 | L −6.5 | 144.5 | U 131 |
| Nov 26 | vs | L 64-95 | +10.5 | L −20.5 | 145.5 | O 159 |
| Dec 2 | vs | W 62-60 | +7.5 | W +9.5 | 147.5 | U 122 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vs
BING
W 85-47
+16.5
8
vs
DSU
W 83-43
+13.5
15
vs
DREX
W 80-50
+18.5
18
vs
MONM
W 78-73
−16.5
24
vs
HOU
L 74-78
+10.5
25
vs
KU
L 60-71
−6.5
26
vs
ISU
L 64-95
−20.5
2
vs
TENN
W 62-60
+9.5
covered 5didn’t cover 3avg +3.1 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vs
BING
W 85-47
−21.5
8
vs
DSU
W 83-43
−31.5
15
vs
DREX
W 80-50
−13.5
18
vs
MONM
W 78-73
+5.5
24
vs
HOU
L 74-78
+11.5
25
vs
KU
L 60-71
−13.5
26
vs
ISU
L 64-95
+13.5
2
vs
TENN
W 62-60
−25.5
over 3under 5avg −9.4 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Saint Joseph's
5-3 overall · 0-0 in conference · Atlantic 10 Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs Coppin St87–65
- Wvs Temple70–69
- Wvs Princeton60–58
- L@ UNLV85–99
- L@ Penn74–83
2 days since their last game.
Syracuse
5-3 overall · 0-0 in conference · Atlantic Coast Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs Tennessee62–60
- Lvs Iowa State64–95
- Lvs Kansas60–71
- Lvs Houston74–78
- Wvs Monmouth78–73
A week or more of rest.