MGM Grand Garden Arena · Neutral site
Closing line
ISU -10.5✓ ISU covered by 20.5
ISU -10.5✓ ISU covered by 20.5Closing total145.5Over by 13.5
 SYR | This season | ISU |
|---|---|---|
| 4-2 | Record | 6-0 |
| 4-2 | ATS | 4-2 |
| 2-4 | O/U | 4-2 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: SYR 69–82 ISU · ✓ ISU (87%) won
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| SYR | 34 | 30 | 64 |
| ISU | 35 | 60 | 95 |
1st half: SYR 34, ISU 35 (ISU by 1). The model had ISU by 7.6 and a total of 70.7 (actual 69).
Team stats
| SYR | ISU | |
|---|---|---|
| 22-56 39% | Field goals | 36-61 59% |
| 8-28 29% | 3-pointers | 9-20 45% |
| 12-19 63% | Free throws | 14-21 67% |
| 31 12 off | Rebounds | 32 8 off |
| 15 | Assists | 18 |
| 6 | Steals | 13 |
| 4 | Blocks | 2 |
| 19 | Turnovers | 9 |
| 14 | Fouls | 15 |
| 28 | Points in paint | 52 |
| 7 | Fast-break points | 22 |
Players
| SYR | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J.J. Starling G | 29 | 10 | 4 | 3 | 4-9 | 1-3 |
| Naithan George G | 28 | 5 | 3 | 6 | 1-5 | 1-5 |
| William Kyle III F | 24 | 9 | 2 | 2 | 2-3 | 0-0 |
| Sadiq White Jr. F | 20 | 14 | 3 | 0 | 6-7 | 1-1 |
| Nate Kingz G | 15 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 2-6 | 1-3 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Tyler Betsey F | 27 | 10 | 6 | 0 | 3-14 | 2-10 |
| Kiyan Anthony G | 24 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 3-8 | 1-3 |
| Luke Fennell G | 14 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 1-3 | 1-2 |
| Akir Souare F | 9 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Tiefing Diawara C | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Bryce Zephir G | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Noah Lobdell G | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
Did not play: Aaron Womack III, Donnie Freeman
| ISU | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Milan Momcilovic F | 31 | 24 | 5 | 0 | 8-14 | 6-10 |
| Killyan Toure G | 31 | 19 | 2 | 6 | 7-9 | 2-3 |
| Nate Heise G | 30 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 1-4 | 0-2 |
| Joshua Jefferson F | 28 | 13 | 6 | 10 | 6-14 | 0-2 |
| Blake Buchanan F | 23 | 12 | 5 | 0 | 6-8 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Jamarion Batemon G | 16 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 2-4 | 1-3 |
| Dominick Nelson G | 15 | 12 | 2 | 0 | 3-3 | 0-0 |
| Dominykas Pleta F | 13 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 3-4 | 0-0 |
| Xzavion Mitchell F | 7 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Anthony Rise G | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| Cade Kelderman G | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Eric Mulder F | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Mason Williams, Tamin Lipsey
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Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenISU -8.5
2 → ISU
CloseISU -10.5
2 pts toward ISU
Total
Open158.5
▼ 13
Close145.5
Down 13 since the open
Moneyline
SYR +440 · ISU -600
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened ISU -8.5 · closed ISU -10.5 · moved 2 toward ISUmodel ISU -13
model ISU -13
Opened 158.5 · closed 145.5 · moved 13 downmodel 151
model 151
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Model vs market
| Market | Model | Model edge | Result | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | ISU -10.5 | ISU -12.9 | ISU +2.4 | W ISU covered |
| Total | 145.5 | 150.9 | Over 5.4 | W Over |
| Projected score | — | SYR 69 · ISU 81.9 |
1st-half model
| Model | Actual | |
|---|---|---|
| 1H spread | ISU -7.6 | ISU -1.0 |
| 1H total | 70.7 | 69 |
| 1H projected score | SYR 31.5 · ISU 39.1 | SYR 34 · ISU 35 |
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| SYRlast 6 | 4-2 67% | 4-2 67% | 2-4 33% |
| ISUlast 6 | 6-0 100% | 4-2 67% | 4-2 67% |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Syracuse
6 games played
Straight up
4-2
67% wins
Against the spread
4-2
67% covers · avg +6 pts vs the line
Over / Under
2-4
33% overs · avg −10.5 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vs
BING
BINGW 85-47
+16.5
8
vs
DSU
DSUW 83-43
+13.5
15
vs
DREX
DREXW 80-50
+18.5
18
vs
MONM
MONMW 78-73
−16.5
24
vs
HOU
HOUL 74-78
+10.5
25
vs
KU
KUL 60-71
−6.5
covered 4didn’t cover 2avg +6 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsBING
BINGW 85-47
−21.5
8
vsDSU
DSUW 83-43
−31.5
15
vsDREX
DREXW 80-50
−13.5
18
vsMONM
MONMW 78-73
+5.5
24
vsHOU
HOUL 74-78
+11.5
25
vsKU
KUL 60-71
−13.5
over 2under 4avg −10.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Iowa State
6 games played
Straight up
6-0
100% wins
Against the spread
4-2
67% covers · avg +3.8 pts vs the line
Over / Under
4-2
67% overs · avg +5.7 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vs
FDU
FDUW 88-50
+0.5
6
vs
GRAM
GRAMW 102-62
+6.5
10
vs
MSST
MSSTW 96-80
+10.5
17
vs
STO
STOW 96-57
−1.5
24
vs
SJU
SJUW 83-82
−1.5
25
vs
CREI
CREIW 78-60
+8.5
covered 4didn’t cover 2avg +3.8 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsFDU
FDUW 88-50
−9.5
6
vsGRAM
GRAMW 102-62
+19.5
10
vsMSST
MSSTW 96-80
+25.5
17
vsSTO
STOW 96-57
+6.5
24
vsSJU
SJUW 83-82
+6.5
25
vsCREI
CREIW 78-60
−14.5
over 4under 2avg +5.7 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Syracuse
4-2 overall · 0-0 in conference · Atlantic Coast Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Lvs Kansas60–71
- Lvs Houston74–78
- Wvs Monmouth78–73
- Wvs Drexel80–50
- Wvs Delaware St83–43
1 day since their last game.
Iowa State
6-0 overall · 0-0 in conference · Big 12 Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs Creighton78–60
- Wvs St John's83–82
- Wvs Stonehill96–57
- Wvs Mississippi St96–80
- Wvs Grambling102–62
1 day since their last game.