Saint Joseph's Hawks vs Temple Owls: Model Line and Edge

Sat, Dec 6, 4:30 PM ETXfinity Mobile Arena · Neutral site

Final

#111TEMTemple69final

Closing lineTEM -1.5✓ JOES covered by 2.5

Closing total147.5Under by 8.5

Season records: Saint Joseph's and Temple
JOES	This season	TEM
3-3	Record	4-4
1-5	ATS	2-6
3-3	O/U	6-2

ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders

Model before tip-off: JOES 78–79 TEM · ✗ TEM (55%) lost

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Box score

Score by half

	1H	2H	T
JOES	33	37	70
TEM	25	44	69

1st half: JOES 33, TEM 25 (JOES by 8). The model had TEM by 0.7 and a total of 73.1 (actual 58).

Team stats

JOES		TEM
22-58 38%	Field goals	22-59 37%
8-26 31%	3-pointers	7-26 27%
18-21 86%	Free throws	18-24 75%
39 18 off	Rebounds	36 17 off
13	Assists	15
8	Steals	6
6	Blocks	9
12	Turnovers	11
18	Fouls	17
24	Points in paint	28
8	Fast-break points	15

Players

JOES	MIN	PTS	REB	AST	FG	3P
Derek Simpson G	33	8	6	3	3-11	0-4
Justice Ajogbor C	31	10	11	1	2-2	0-0
Deuce Jones G	31	17	3	3	6-14	2-7
Jaiden Glover-Toscano G	28	11	5	1	4-9	3-6
Dasear Haskins F	18	6	5	0	3-7	0-1
Bench
Anthony Finkley F	22	10	0	2	2-6	2-4
Austin Williford G	21	6	2	0	1-3	1-2
Jaden Smith C	9	2	3	0	1-4	0-0
Khaafiq Myers G	7	0	0	3	0-2	0-2

Did not play: Kevin Kearney, Al Amadou, Mekai Johnson, Billy Rayer, Steven Solano, Will Lange, Owen Verna

TEM	MIN	PTS	REB	AST	FG	3P
Derrian Ford G	39	27	4	0	7-15	2-7
Gavin Griffiths G	37	15	4	3	5-11	5-11
Aiden Tobiason G	36	7	8	4	3-10	0-3
Jordan Mason G	31	6	5	6	2-7	0-0
Babatunde Durodola F	8	2	2	1	0-2	0-1
Bench
Ayuba Bryant Jr. F	19	7	5	0	3-6	0-0
Masiah Gilyard G	12	0	2	0	0-5	0-4
Jamai Felt F	10	5	3	1	2-2	0-0
Spencer Mahoney F	3	0	0	0	0-0	0-0
Mohamed Keita C	3	0	1	0	0-1	0-0
Cam Wallace G	2	0	0	0	0-0	0-0

Did not play: Olin Chamberlain Jr., CJ Hines, AJ Smith, Connor Gal

Model vs market

	Market	Model	Model edge	Result
Spread	TEM -1.5	TEM -1.4	JOES +0.1	W JOES covered
Total	147.5	156.3	Over 8.8	L Under
Projected score	—	JOES 77.5 · TEM 78.8

1st-half model

1st-half slate ›

	Model	Actual
1H spread	TEM -0.7	JOES -8.0
1H total	73.1	58
1H projected score	JOES 36.2 · TEM 36.9	JOES 33 · TEM 25

The 1st-half model is fitted from the full-game model and past halves. ESPN has no 1st-half lines for college games, so there is no market to compare it with.

ATS

2025-26, records before tip-off

	Season	Cover	Neutral	Role
JOES WLLLL	1-5	17%	0-1	0-2
TEM LLLLL	2-6	25%	0-3	2-4

Venue/role: JOES neutral site, as underdog; TEM neutral site, as favorite. Squares: last 5 games ATS (W covered, L didn’t), oldest first.

Totals

Over/under before tip-off

	O-U	Over %	SU
JOES OUUOU	3-3	50%	3-3
TEM OOOOU	6-2	75%	4-4

Squares: last 5 games (O over, U under), oldest first. Tap for the score and line.

Last 10 games

2025-26, before tip-off

	Straight up	Spread	Over / under
JOESlast 6	3-3 50%	1-5 17%	3-3 50%
TEMlast 8	4-4 50%	2-6 25%	6-2 75%

Wins-losses (pushes last). Spread and over / under skip games without a line.

Recent meetings

Since 2021-22

JOES 2–1 TEMJOES leads · 3 games since 2021-22 · JOES 2-1 ATS

Date	Result	Line	Covered
Dec 2, 2023-24	TEM 65 vs JOES 74	JOES -4.5	JOES W
Dec 6, 2022-23	JOES 60 @ TEM 70	TEM -9.5	TEM W
Dec 11, 2021-22	TEM 49 @ JOES 68	JOES +1	JOES W

ATS History · 2025-26

WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total

Saint Joseph's

6 games played

Straight up

3-3

50% wins

Against the spread

1-5

17% covers · avg −7.8 pts vs the line

Over / Under

3-3

50% overs · avg +1 pts vs the total

Straight up

3-350%

W W L L L W

1 of last 4 wonno streak

Against the spread

1-517%

L W L L L L

4 straight misses ATS0 of last 4 covered

Over / Under

3-350%

O O U U O U

1 of last 4 overno streak

Game by game: lines, results and totals

TableATSO/U

Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total

Date	Opp	Result	Line	ATS	Total	O/U
Nov 3	vsLAF	W 85-76	-13.5	L −4.5	138.5	O 161
Nov 8	vsDREX	W 76-65	-9.5	W +1.5	139.5	O 141
Nov 12	@VT	L 59-94	+12.5	L −22.5	158.5	U 153
Nov 17	@PENN	L 74-83	-5.5	L −14.5	163.5	U 157
Nov 20	@UNLV	L 85-99	+10.5	L −3.5	161.5	O 184
Nov 30	vsPRIN	W 60-58	-5.5	L −3.5	146.5	U 118

Day

Opp

Result

MissedCovered

Margin

LAF

W 85-76

−4.5

DREX

W 76-65

+1.5

L 59-94

−22.5

PENN

L 74-83

−14.5

UNLV

L 85-99

−3.5

PRIN

W 60-58

−3.5

covered 1didn’t cover 5avg −7.8 ptslonger = bigger margin

Day

Opp

Result

UnderOver

Margin

LAF

W 85-76

+22.5

DREX

W 76-65

+1.5

L 59-94

−5.5

PENN

L 74-83

−6.5

UNLV

L 85-99

+22.5

PRIN

W 60-58

−28.5

over 3under 3avg +1 ptslonger = bigger margin

Temple

8 games played

Straight up

4-4

50% wins

Against the spread

2-6

25% covers · avg −2.9 pts vs the line

Over / Under

6-2

75% overs · avg +5 pts vs the total

Straight up

4-450%

W W L W L W L L

2 straight losses1 of last 4 won

Against the spread

2-625%

W W L L L L L L

6 straight misses ATS0 of last 4 covered

Over / Under

6-275%

U O O O O O O U

3 of last 4 overno streak

Game by game: lines, results and totals

TableATSO/U

Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total

Date	Opp	Result	Line	ATS	Total	O/U
Nov 5	vsDSU	W 83-65	-16.5	W +1.5	154.5	U 148
Nov 11	vsLAS	W 90-63	-6.5	W +20.5	148.5	O 153
Nov 15	vsBC	L 71-76	-3.5	L −8.5	142.5	O 147
Nov 19	vsHOF	W 81-76	-5.5	L −0.5	145.5	O 157
Nov 24	vsUCSD	L 76-91	-1.5	L −16.5	148.5	O 167
Nov 25	vsPRIN	W 79-75	-8.5	L −4.5	145.5	O 154
Nov 26	vsURI	L 75-90	+3.5	L −11.5	149.5	O 165
Dec 1	@VILL	L 56-74	+14.5	L −3.5	146.5	U 130

Day

Opp

Result

MissedCovered

Margin

DSU

W 83-65

+1.5

LAS

W 90-63

+20.5

L 71-76

−8.5

HOF

W 81-76

−0.5

UCSD

L 76-91

−16.5

PRIN

W 79-75

−4.5

URI

L 75-90

−11.5

VILL

L 56-74

−3.5

covered 2didn’t cover 6avg −2.9 ptslonger = bigger margin

Day

Opp

Result

UnderOver

Margin

DSU

W 83-65

−6.5

LAS

W 90-63

+4.5

L 71-76

+4.5

HOF

W 81-76

+11.5

UCSD

L 76-91

+18.5

PRIN

W 79-75

+8.5

URI

L 75-90

+15.5

VILL

L 56-74

−16.5

over 6under 2avg +5 ptslonger = bigger margin

Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.

Saint Joseph's Hawks vs Temple Owls

Box score

Team stats

Players

Market

Model vs market

1st-half model

ATS

Totals

Last 10 games

Recent meetings

ATS History · 2025-26

Saint Joseph's

Temple

Saint Joseph's

Temple